• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error Budget

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Uncertainty Analysis of Cross-Correlation Algorithm based on FFT by PIV Standard Images (표준 영상에 의한 FFT 기반 상호상관 PIV 알고리즘의 불확도 해석)

  • Lee, Suk-Jong;Choi, Jung-Geun;Sung, Jae-Young;Hwang, Tae-Gyu;Doh, Deog-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • Uncertainty introduced by a cross-correlation algorithm based on FFT has been investigated using PIV standard images. The standard images were generated by the Monte Carlo simulation method. Both bias and random errors from the velocity vector have been analyzed with regard to the particle diameter, displacement, and the number of particles. The uncertainty of velocity is evaluated based upon the IS0/IEC standard. As a result, a total error of $0.26\%$ is included in the PIV cross-correlation algorithm. In addition, the uncertainty budget is presented, where the effect of the above three variables is examined. According to the budget, the variation of the number of particles within the interrogation window mainly contributes to the combined standard uncertainty of the real measured velocity field when excluding the effect of errors by the experiments itself. Finally, the expanded uncertainty is found to be about $12\%$ at the $95\%$ confidence level.

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A Study on the Determinants of Artificial Intelligence Industry: Evidence from United Kingdom's Macroeconomics

  • He, Yugang
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the rapid development of artificial intelligence industry has resulted in a great change in our modern society. Due to this background, this paper takes the United Kingdom as an example to explore the determinants of artificial intelligence industry in terms of United Kingdom's macroeconomics. The quarterly time series from the first quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2017 will be employed to conduct an empirical analysis under the vector error correction model. In this paper, the real GDP, the employment figure, the real income, the foreign direct investment, the government budget and the inflation will be regarded as independent variables. The input of artificial intelligence industry will be regarded as a dependent variable. These macroeconomic variables will be applied to perform an empirical analysis so as to explore how the macroeconomic variables affect the artificial intelligence industry. The findings show that the real GDP, the real income, the foreign direct investment and the government budget are the driving determinants to promote the development of artificial intelligence industry. Conversely, the employment figure and the inflation is the obstructive determinants to hamper the development of artificial intelligence industry.

Computation and Verification of Approximate Construction cost of Steel Box Girder Bridge by Using Case-Based Reasoning (사례기반추론을 이용한 강박스거더교의 개략공사비 산정 및 검증)

  • Jung, Min-Sun;Kyung, Kab-Soo;Jeon, Eun-Kyoung;Kwon, Soon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.557-568
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    • 2011
  • To effectively come up with and secure a national budget, it is very important to estimate the reasonable construction cost of each step in public construction projects. In this study, the approximate construction cost of a steel box girder bridge in the early stages of the project, on which available information is limited, was proposed using case-based reasoning. In addition, construction cost estimation models were used for existing sample design models, and the accuracy of the estimation model for the presented cost was verified. The analysis results showed that the error rate was comparatively stable. Therefore, it is expected that construction cost estimation will be effectively suggested in the country's budget preparation.

A Study on the Key Factors Affecting Travel Time Budget for Elderly Pedestrians (고령자 통행시간예산의 영향요인 규명에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sung-taek;Kim, Su-jae;Jang, Jin-young;Lee, Hyang-sook;Choo, Sang-ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays the issue of aging society has received considerable critical attention, especially in transportation planning and demand forecasting. This study identified the factors related to travel time budget for elderly by purpose using seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR model). The SUR model is suitable when error terms of each equation are assumed to be correlated across the equations in terms of travel time budget which is constant in 2 hours per day commonly. The results showed that elderly's travel time budget was affected by individual, household, urban facility and transportation service. The leisure travel comprised a large proportion of total travel time and had a positive relationship with elderly, sports, religious facilities. Moreover, the elderly who had low income or unemployed person had low frequency of social activity such as leisure, shopping and business. This study can provide a comprehensive implications of forecasting the future travel demand and analyzing the travel behavior.

A Study on the Development of Construction Budget Estimating Model for Public Office Buildings based on Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 기반의 공공청사 공사비 예산 예측모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeon Jin;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.22-34
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    • 2023
  • Predicting accurately the construction cost budget in the early stages of construction projects is crucial to support the client's decision-making and achieve the objectives of the construction project. This holds true for public construction projects as well. However, the current methods for predicting construction cost budgets in the early stages of public construction projects are not sophisticated enough in terms of accuracy and reliability, indicating a need for improvement. The objective of this study is to develop a construction cost budget prediction model that can be utilized in the early stages of public building projects using an artificial neural network (ANN). In this study, an artificial neural network model was developed using the SPSS Statistics program and the data provided by the Public Procurement Service. The level of construction cost budget prediction was analyzed, and the accuracy of the model was validated through additional testing. The validation results demonstrated that the developed artificial neural network model exhibited an error range for estimates that can be utilized in the early stages of projects, indicating the potential to predict construction cost budgets more accurately by incorporating various project conditions.

Global Carbon Budget Study using Global Carbon Cycle Model (탄소순환모델을 이용한 지구 규모의 탄소 수지 연구)

  • Kwon, O-Yul;Jung, Jaehyung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.12
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    • pp.1169-1178
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    • 2018
  • Two man-made carbon emissions, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions, have been perturbing naturally occurring global carbon cycle. These emitted carbons will eventually be deposited into the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. In this study, Simple Global Carbon Model (SGCM) was used to simulate global carbon cycle and to estimate global carbon budget. For the model input, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions were taken from the literature. Unlike fossil fuel use, land use emissions were highly uncertain. Therefore land use emission inputs were adjusted within an uncertainty range suggested in the literature. Simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations were well fitted to observations with a standard error of 0.06 ppm. Moreover, simulated carbon budgets in the ocean and terrestrial biosphere were shown to be reasonable compared to the literature values, which have considerable uncertainties. Simulation results show that with increasing fossil fuel emissions, the ratios of carbon partitioning to the atmosphere and the terrestrial biosphere have increased from 42% and 24% in the year 1958 to 50% and 30% in the year 2016 respectively, while that to the ocean has decreased from 34% in the year 1958 to 20% in the year 2016. This finding indicates that if the current emission trend continues, the atmospheric carbon partitioning ratio might be continuously increasing and thereby the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations might be increasing much faster. Among the total emissions of 399 gigatons of carbon (GtC) from fossil fuel use and land use during the simulation period (between 1960 and 2016), 189 GtC were reallocated to the atmosphere (47%), 107 GtC to the terrestrial biosphere (27%), and 103GtC to the ocean (26%). The net terrestrial biospheric carbon accumulation (terrestrial biospheric allocations minus land use emissions) showed positive 46 GtC. In other words, the terrestrial biosphere has been accumulating carbon, although land use emission has been depleting carbon in the terrestrial biosphere.

Estimation on Parameters of Water Quality in the Saemanguem Lake by WASP5 Model (WASP5 모형에 의한 새만금호의 수질 매개변수 추정)

  • Park, Young-Ki;Choi, Moon-Sul;Lee, Jang-Choon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.743-754
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    • 2000
  • Model parameters of the WASP5 applied to Saemanguem lake were estimated. The methodology is based on grouping water quality constituents and relevant parameters and successively estimating each group of parameters by a trial-and-error procedure. Chlorophyll-a, nitrogen cycles, phosphorus cycles, BOD and DO were simulated at the complexity level 4. The Saemangeum basin divided into a number of unit sub-watershed. And a water budget model analysis with 22 years from 1975 to 1996 year was examined. In this paper, input data at upstream boundaries of model was made to determine seasonally-averaged flow rate through water budget analysis. Calibration and verification of the model were used seasonal average of water quality measurements in 1997 and 1998 years. Grouping water quality constituents and associated parameters proved to be efficient in estimating a number of model parameters. From the results of model calibration and verification, it was found that quantitative evaluations of nonpoint source for organic matters are essential.

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A Utility-Based Hybrid Error Recovery Scheme for Multimedia Transmission over 3G Cellular Broadcast Networks (3G 방송망에서의 효율적인 멀티미디어 전송을 위한 유틸리티 기반 하이브라드 에러 복구기법)

  • Kang Kyung-Tae;Cho Yong-Jin;Cho Yong-Woo;Cho Jin-Sung;Shin Heon-Shik
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2006
  • The cdma2000 lxEV - DO mobile communication system provides broadcast and multicast services (BCMCS) to meet an increasing demand from multimedia data services. The servicing of video streams over a BCMCS network must, however, face a challenge from the unreliable and error-prone nature of the radio channel. The BCMCS network uses Reed-Solomon coding integrated with the MAC protocol for error recovery. We analyze this coding technique and show that it is not effective in the case of slowly moving mobiles. To improve the playback quality of an MPEG-4 FGS video stream, we propose the Hybrid error recovery scheme, which combines Reed-Solomon with ARQ, using slots which are saved by reducing the Reed-Solomon coding overhead. The target packets to be retransmitted are prioritized by a utility function to reduce the packet error rate in the application layer within a fixed retransmission budget. This is achieved by considering of the map of the error control block at each mobile node. The proposed Hybrid error recovery scheme also uses the characteristics of MPEG-4 FGS (fine granularity scalability) to improve the video quality even when conditions are adverse: slow-moving nodes and a high error rate in the physical channel.

The Performance Experiments on the Tactical Data Communication over the Legacy Radio Systems (기존 전술 무전기를 이용한 전술 데이터 통신 성능 실험)

  • Sim, Dong-Sub;Kang, Kyeong-Sung;Kim, Ki-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2010
  • The military has been putting great efforts into applying data communication on existing voice communication systems being used in NCW(Network Centric Warfare). Data communication will be an effective choice in one of many effort to yield a minimum kill chain, comparing to legacy voice communications, when tactical units conduct their missions. However, the required budget will be enormous, in case of the replacement of a lot of legacy communication systems with new one. As a cost-effective alternative, the tactical data communication systems using the conventional radio systems instead of the development of new radio systems has been proposed. It is mandatory, though, to ensure QoS while maintaining data communication by making use of legacy radio systems already in use. This paper focuses on the performance issues experimented and analyzed for tactical data communication through the legacy radio systems as the first step towards guaranteed QoS. We have conducted various experiments such as the transmission error rate on certain tactical messages, performance evaluation of redundant transfers, the relationship between the transmission frame size and rate of error, the identification of error points in the transmission frame, and techniques to reduce the errors in both hopping and non-hopping modes. As a result of the performance experiments, The adaptive communication module which decides the redundant transmission or the Forward Error Correction(FEC) technique by analyzing channel status and current transmission status(hopping/non-hopping) of the legacy radio should be designed. the FEC technique in non-hopping, and the redundant transmission technique in hopping mode was recommended from the result of experiment with the frame size is 20bytes in non-hopping and 10Bytes frame size in hopping mode.

The link performance analysis of the satellite communications system using satellite network simulator (모의위성망을 활용한 위성통신체계의 링크성능 분석)

  • Jang, Jae-Woong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.5A
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    • pp.441-450
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, it is proposed the link performance analysis results using SNRAT(Satellite Network Resource Allocation & Analysis Tool) and verified the anticipated results by satellite communication network simulator. A communication satellite cannot be corrected or fixed for the error in orbit operation after launching unlike the ground operation equipment and has a restricted operation life. So, it is important to make possible to use satellite communications in the proper time. It is expected the link BER(Bit Error Rate), throughput and AJ(Anti-Jamming) performance using SNRAT tool before launching. And it is verified the performance of the repeaters and ground equipment specification using the satellite network simulator and is extracted the optimum operational scenarios through the tests of various network operational plans.