• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.45 no.4
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• pp.327-337
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• 2024

The ocean is linked to long-term climate variability, but there are very few methods to assess the short-term performance of forecast models. This study analyzes the short-term prediction performance regarding ocean temperature and salinity of the Global Seasonal prediction system version 5 (GloSea5). GloSea5 is a historical climate re-creation (2001-2010) performed on the 1st, 9th, 17th, and 25th of each month. It comprises three ensembles. High-resolution hindcasts from the three ensembles were compared with the Array for Real-Time Geostrophic Oceanography (ARGO) float data for the period 2001-2010. The horizontal position was preprocessed to match the ARGO float data and the vertical layer to the GloSea5 data. The root mean square error (RMSE), Brier Score (BS), and Brier Skill Score (BSS) were calculated for short-term forecast periods with a lead-time of 10 days. The results show that sea surface temperature (SST) has a large RMSE in the western boundary current region in Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and Antarctic Circumpolar Current region, and sea surface salinity (SSS) has significant errors in the tropics with high precipitation, with both variables having the largest errors in the Atlantic. SST and SSS had larger errors during the fall for the NINO3.4 region and during the summer for the East Sea. Computing the BS and BSS for ocean temperature and salinity in the NINO3.4 region revealed that forecast skill decreases with increasing lead-time for SST, but not for SSS. The preprocessing of GloSea5 forecasts to match the ARGO float data applied in this study, and the evaluation methods for forecast models using the BS and BSS, could be applied to evaluate other forecast models and/or variables.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.138-142
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• 2005

The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

• Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.71-78
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose an approach which constructs classifier ensembles of various channel compensation and feature enhancement methods. CMN and CMVN are used as channel compensation methods. PCA, kernel PCA, greedy kernel PCA, and kernel multimodal discriminant analysis are used as feature enhancement methods. The proposed ensemble system is constructed with the combination of 15 classifiers which include three channel compensation methods (including 'without compensation') and five feature enhancement methods (including 'without enhancement'). Experimental results show that the proposed ensemble system gives highest average speaker identification rate in various environments (channels, noises, and sessions).

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.411-422
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• 2014

A classification ensemble method aggregates different classifiers obtained from training data to classify new data points. Voting algorithms are typical tools to summarize the outputs of each classifier in an ensemble. WAVE, proposed by Kim et al. (2011), is a new weight-adjusted voting algorithm for ensembles of classifiers with an optimal weight vector. In this study, when constructing an ensemble, we applied the WAVE algorithm on the double-bagging method (Hothorn and Lausen, 2003) to observe if any significant improvement can be achieved on performance. The results showed that double-bagging using WAVE algorithm performs better than other ensemble methods that employ plurality voting. In addition, double-bagging with WAVE algorithm is comparable with the random forest ensemble method when the ensemble size is large.

• Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.280-289
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• 2006

Multilayer adsorptions and BET adsorption are analyzed statistical-mechanically. Which ensemble is selected for the analysis is unimportant, because each ensemble yields the same results. However, the amount of mathematical manipulations and the matter of convenience vary from ensemble to ensemble. Hence, multilayer adsorptions and BET adsorption are examined using a canonical and a grand canonical ensembles, and an ensemble of subsystems. Also, the characteristics of multilayer and BET adsorptions are delineated.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.1143-1152
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• 2009

A canonical correlation analysis(CCA)-based method is proposed for prediction of future climate change which combines information from ensembles of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models(AOGCMs) and observed climate values. This paper focuses on predictions of future climate on a regional scale which are of potential economic values. The proposed method is obtained by coupling the classical CCA with empirical orthogonal functions(EOF) for dimension reduction. Furthermore, we generate a distribution of climate responses, so that extreme events as well as a general feature such as long tails and unimodality can be revealed through the distribution. Results from real data examples demonstrate the promising empirical properties of the proposed approaches.

• Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.25-30
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• 1995

This study was designed to obtain the basic data developing the UV ray protective garments for the plastichouse workers. Two subjects were volunteered for 1hr. wear test in plastic house, and the ensembles was composed of one of three kinds blouse (UV blocking blouse, polyester/cotton 47/53 blouse, and polyester blouse), shorts, sleeveless undershirts, pants and socks. The measurements were rectal temperature, skin temperature, microclimate inside clothing, subjective sensation, and the colour difference of UV sensor. The results were as follows: 1. Microclimate especially, temperature inside clothing of polyester blouse was the highest among the garments. And UV-proof polyester blouse showed the lower mean skin temperature and microclimate than others. Showing the highest sweat volume. 2. No significant difference on UV ray blocking function among 3 kinds of garment was shown. 3. We could conform that in spring for the plastic house wぉw s garment low thermal insulating value and wide covering area were more important factors than UV blocking function of fabric.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.555-558
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• 2001

본 논문에서는 인간 행동의 성별 인식문제를 해결하기 위해 여러 개의 전문가(expert) 신경망의 앙상블로 이루어진 결합 신경망 분류기를 제안한다. 하나는 여러 개의 modular 다층퍼셉트론을 계층형으로 결합한 모텔이고, 다른 하나는 modular 다층퍼셉트론들의 출력값을 의사결정트리로 결합하는 모델이다. 데이터 베이스는 남녀 각 13 명의 데이터로 이루어져 있고, 문 두드리기, 손 흔들기, 물건 들어올리기의 세 가지 동작을, 보통 상태 혹은 화난 상태하에서 10 회씩 반복 수행하여 저장하였다. 행위자의 움직임은 몸에 부착된 6 개의 적외선 센서를 사용하여 기록 되었으며, 2 차원 혹은 3 차원 속도 및 좌표가 그 특징값으로 사용되었다. 앙상블 분류기의 성능을 비교하기 위하여 단일 다층퍼셉트론, 의사결정트리, 자기구성지도 및 support vector machine 을 사용한 실험 결과를 보였다. 실험 결과, 신경망 앙상블 모델이 다른 전통적인 분류기 및 사람에 비하여 훨씬 우수한 성능을 보였음을 알 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2004.10a
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• pp.226-228
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• 2004

베이지안 네트워크는 불확실한 상황을 모델링하기 위한 확률 기반의 모델이다. 베이지안 네트워크의 구조를 자동 학습하기 위한 연구가 많이 있었고, 최근에는 진화 알고리즘을 이용한 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 그러나 대부분은 마지막 세대의 가장 좋은 개체만을 이용하고 있다. 시스템이 요구하는 다양한 요구조건을 하나의 적합도 평가 수식으로 나타내기 어렵기 때문에, 마지막 세대의 가장 좋은 개체는 종종 편향되거나 변화하는 환경에 덜 적응적일 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 적합도 공유 방법으로 다양한 베이지안 네트워크를 생성하고, 이를 베이즈 규칙을 통해 결합하여 변화하는 환경에 적응적인 추론 모델을 구축할 수 있는 방법을 제안한다. 성능 평가를 위해 ALARM 네트워크에서 인공적으로 생성한 데이터를 이용한 구조 학습 및 추론 실험을 수행하였다. 다양한 조건에서 학습된 네트워크를 실험한 결과, 제안한 방법이 변화하는 환경에서 더욱 강건하고 적응적인 모델을 생성할 수 있음을 확인한 수 있었다.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.268-273
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• 2021

In this paper, we propose a sentiment analysis model that improves performance on small-scale data. A sentiment analysis model for small-scale data is proposed and verified through experiments. To this end, we propose Bagging-Bi-GRU, which combines Bi-GRU, which learns GRU, which is a variant of LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) with excellent performance on sequential data, in both directions and the bagging technique, which is one of the ensembles learning methods. In order to verify the performance of the proposed model, it is applied to small-scale data and large-scale data. And by comparing and analyzing it with the existing machine learning algorithm, Bi-GRU, it shows that the performance of the proposed model is improved not only for small data but also for large data.