• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제46권7호
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• pp.755-765
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• 2013

본 연구의 목적은 앙상블 칼만필터링 기법과 연속형 강우-유출모형을 연계한 SURF 모형과Auto ROM을 결합한 실시간 댐 수문량 예측모형(DHVPM)을 개발하고 그 적용성을 평가하는데 있다. 대상유역은 충주댐 상류유역을 선정하였으며 2006~2009년 동안 연최대 유입량이 발생한 4개 사례를 선정하였다. 관측유량 자료동화 적용에 따른 선행시간 1시간 유입량에 대한 첨두유량 상대오차, 평균제곱근오차, 모형효율성계수를 산정한 결과, 2007년 첨두유량 상대오차 결과를 제외한 모든 사례에서 자료동화기법을 적용한 결과가 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 현시점으로 가정한 가상시점에서 예측 선행시간 10시간에 대해 유입량을 예측한 결과에서, 유역평균 강우량의 오차가 큰 경우에 대해 자료동화기법을 적용함으로써 예측 유입량의 오차가 줄어드는 것을 확인하였다. 이상의 결과로부터 실시간 예측유입량의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해서는 관측유입량의 실시간 활용이 가능한 환경에서 자료동화기법을 연계한 유입량 예측모형을 이용하는 것이 바람직할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국제4기학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.9-27
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• 2006

이 연구는 동아시아 (중국, 한국, 그리고 일본) 여름몬순과 그 변동성을 MME (multi-model ensemble)을 이용하여 IPCC AR4 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report) 실험의22개 접합 기후모델 결과 자료로 분석하였다. 결과자료들은 사용 가능한 모든 모델의 평균값을 이용하였다. 여름 몬순 기간 동안 최대 강수를 가지는 연주기는 모델에 의해 모의되었으나 장마(Meiyu-Changma-Baiu) 강수밴드의 이동(북쪽)과 연관되어 7월에 나타나는 최소값은 모의하지 못했다. MME 강수 패턴은 북태평양아열대 고기압과 장마전선대의 위치와 연관된 강수의 공간적 분포를 잘 나타내었다. 그러나 중국, 한반도, 그리고 일본의 동해와 인근 해역의 강수는 과소 예측되었다. 마지막으로 $CO_2$ 농도 배증시나리오의 복사 강제에 대한 미래예측을 분석하였다. MME는 $CO_2$ 농도가 배증될 때 동아시아지역에서 강수는 평균 7.8%로 나타났고, $5{\sim}10%$의 변화폭을 보였다. 그러나 이러한 강수의 증가는 통계적으로 한반도와 일본, 그리고 인근 북중국 지역에서만 중요한 의미를 가진다. 강수 예측에서 나타난 변화는 아열대 고기압의 강도 변화에 비례하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 봄에서 초가을까지 여름 몬순의 지속기간이 길어짐을 확인하였다.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.66-73
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• 2023

건설 프로젝트는 기획부터 완공까지 공사비 예측, 확인, 그리고 정산 단계로 이루어진다. 건설원자재 평균 가격은 변동성을 지닌다. 하지만 건설 프로젝트의 자재비 산정은 계획단계 시점의 시세를 반영하여 결정되기 때문에, 시공단계에서 자재가 투입될 시점의 시세 변동에 따라 예상한 가격과 차이가 날 수 있다. 건설 산업은 건설원자재 가격 변동으로 인한 수요예측 실패, 프로젝트 비용변경으로 인한 사용자 비용 증가, 예측 체계성 부족으로 인한 손실이 발생한다. 이에 따라 건설원자재 가격 예측의 정확도 개선이 필요하다. 본 연구는 Data Refactor 기법의 개선을 통해 건설원자재 가격 예측 및 적용성 검증을 목적으로 한다. 건설원자재의 가격 예측의 정확도를 높이기 위하여 기존의 데이터 리팩토 간의 저·고빈도의 분류 및 ARIMAX 활용법을 빈도 위주 및 ARIMA 기법 활용으로 개선하여 건설원자재 목재, 시멘트 등 6개 품목의 단기(미래 3개월), 중기(미래 6개월), 장기(미래 12개월) 가격을 예측하였다. 분석한 결과 개선된 Data Refactor 기법을 기반으로 한 예측값이 오차는 줄었고 변동성은 확장되었다. 따라서, 본 연구에서 제안된 Data Refactor 기법을 통해 건설원자재 가격을 더 정확하게 예측하여 예산을 효과적으로 관리할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.715-719
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• 2007

Recently, since there appear the quality improvement in both educational and cultural level at the college campus also, thus the lecture room is requiring by the students where the intimacy degree among the students can be raised, also a smoother interaction between the professor and the student is able to be generated. Particularly in case of College of Music, the Practical Technique Training Rooms such as Orchestral Music Room, Pipe Music Concert Room, Music-Part Practice Room are more important for the interaction between Professor and Student or Student attends at the lesson, than the lecture rooms of any other colleges. Likewise, while such music practice room should be designed with consideration of the acoustic characteristics, so as to obtain the feel as if hear it performs at a music hall, but since the most of music practice room was designed with consideration of the convenience of construction work and its economical efficiency only, it has been exposed with many acoustic defects after the completion of construction. Therefore in this thesis, it has grasped the physical acoustic characteristics on the object of the two orchestral music rooms, pipe music concert room and ensemble practice room, among the newly constructed practice rooms of the Music College, W University, and it is considered that it could be utilized as the fundamental data on the base of this material when designing of the college music practice room, for the future.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산유체공학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.193-196
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• 2008

The vortical structures in a turbulent boundary layer (TBL) developed over a flat plate have been investigated experimentally. The flow conditions tested in this study were Re$_{\theta}$ = 3700, Re$_{\delta}$ = 11${\times}$105 and the shape factor H = 1.3. Instantaneous velocity fields in the streamwise-wall-normal planes were measured by using a dynamic PIV system. A trip-wire and sandpapers were placed behind the leading edge to promote the turbulent transition. 1000 velocity fields were obtained consecutively with a time interval of 1 millisecond. Streamwise u-velocity components were temporally averaged in the measuring plane. In addition, 2000 velocity fields were obtained randomly and ensemble-averaged to get the fully-developed turbulent characteristics. Profiles of the normalized u-component, turbulent intensities and Reynolds shear stress were evaluated. The structures of spanwise vortices were extracted from the instantaneous velocity fields by determining the swirling strength, ${\lambda}_{ci}$. The wall-normalized locations of vortices were temporally averaged in the measuring plane with respect to their rotational direction. The correlations between the temporally averaged u and the temporally averaged $y^+$ of vortices were evaluated. For the case of positive vortices, the correlation is not significant. However, the negative vortices show a strong negative correlation. The y-location of negative vortices tends to increase, as the averaged u decreases and vice versa. These findings indicate that the number of negative vortices in the outer layer increases during the outward bursting events.

• 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국진공학회 2010년도 제39회 하계학술대회 초록집
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• pp.234-234
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• 2010

The PR transitions in asymmetric dot-in-double-quantum-well (DdWELL) photodetector is identified by bias-dependent spectral behaviors. Discrete n-i-n infrared photodetectors were fabricated on a 30-period asymmetric InAs-QD/[InGaAs/GaAs]/AlGaAs DdWELL wafer that was prepared by MBE technique. A 2.0-monolayer (ML) InAs QD ensemble was embedded in upper combined well of InGaAs/GaAs and each stack is separated by a 50-nm AlGaAs barrier. Each pixel has circular aperture of 300 um in diameter, and the mesa cell ($410{\times}410\;{\mu}m^2$) was defined by shallow etching. PR measurements were performed in the spectral range of $3{\sim}13\;{\mu}m$ (~ 100-400 meV) by using a Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer and a low-noise preamplifier. The asymmetric photodetector exhibits unique transition behaviors that near-/far-infrared (NIR/FIR) photoresponse (PR) bands are blue/red shifted by the electric field, contrasted to mid-infrared (MIR) with no dependence. In addition, the MIR-FIR dual-band spectra change into single-band feature by the polarity. A four-level energy band model is proposed for the transition scheme, and the field dependence of FIR bands numerically calculated by a simplified DdWELL structure is in good agreement with that of the PR spectra. The wavelength shift by the field strength and the spectral change by the polarity are discussed on the basis of four-level transition.

• 대한기계학회논문집B
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.713-721
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• 2001

Characteristics of the conical vortices on the roof corner of a rectangular prism have been investigated by using a PIV(Particle Image Velocimetry) technique. The Reynolds number based on the free stream velocity and the height of the model was 5.3$\times$10$^3$. The mean, instantaneous velocity vector fields, vorticity fields, and turbulent kinetic energy distribution were measured for two different angles of attack, 30$^{\circ}$and 45$^{\circ}$. The PIV measurements clearly observed not only the conical main vortex and the secondary vortex but also the tertiary vortex which is firstly reported in this paper. Asymmetric formation of the corner vortex for the case of 30$^{\circ}$angle of attack produces relatively the high magnitude of vorticity and turbulent kinetic energy around the bigger vortex which generates the peak suction pressure on the roof. Fairly symmetric features of the roof vortex are observed in the case of 45$^{\circ}$angle of attack, however, the dynamic characteristics are proved to be asymmetric due to the rectangular shape of the roof.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.13-28
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• 2006

Objectives: This study used the characteristics of the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to develop hypertension predictive model for hypertension management using the Korea National Health Insurance Corporation database(the insureds' screening and health care benefit data). Methods: This study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression, decision tree, and ensemble technique. On the basis of internal and external validation, it was found that the model performance of logistic regression method was the best among the above three techniques. Results: Major results of logistic regression analysis suggested that the probability of hypertension was: - lower for the female(compared with the male)(OR=0.834) - higher for the persons whose ages were 60 or above(compared with below 40)(OR=4.628) - higher for obese persons(compared with normal persons)(OR= 2.103) - higher for the persons with high level of glucose(compared with normal persons)(OR=1.086) - higher for the persons who had family history of hypertension(compared with the persons who had not)(OR=1.512) - higher for the persons who periodically drank alcohol(compared with the persons who did not)$(OR=1.037{\sim}1.291)$ Conclusions: This study produced several factors affecting the outbreak of hypertension using screening. It is considered to be a contributing factor towards the nation's building of a Hypertension Management System in the near future by bringing forth representative results on the rise and care of hypertension.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제48권10호
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• pp.817-830
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오의 미래 전망 불확실성 요소를 감안한 근 미래(2011~2040년) 극치 강수전망과 빈도분석을 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) 9개 GCMs (General Circulation Models)를 사용하여 수행하였다. 또한, 기후자료의 유역규모 비모수적 상세화 및 편이보정 기법을 적용하여, 다중 모델 앙상블(MME)을 통한 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과, RCP4.5와 RCP8.5 시나리오 모두 한반도 근 미래 극치 강수특성인자의 연간 변동성과 불확실성이 커지는 것으로 분석되었으며, 강우빈도해석 결과 2040년까지 50년과 100년 빈도 확률강수량이 최대 4.2~10.9% 증가할 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구 결과는 다중모델 앙상블 GCMs의 불확실성을 고려한 국가수자원 장기종합개발계획과 기후변화 적응대책 마련 등 기후변화 방재관련 정책결정 및 의사결정 지원 자료로 활용이 가능할 것이다.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제42권6호
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• pp.619-630
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• 2005

A two-frame PIV (Particle Image Velocimetry) technique is used to investigate the wake characteristics behind a marine propeller with 4 blades at high Reynolds number. For each of 9 different blade phases from $ 0^{\circ} $ to $ 80^{\circ} $, one hundred and fifty instantaneous velocity fields are measured. They are ensemble averaged to study the spatial evolution of the propeller wake in the region ranging from the trailing edge to one propeller diameter (D) downstream location. The phase-averaged mean velocity shows that the trailing vorticity is related to radial velocity jump, and the viscous wake is affected by boundary layers developed on the blade surfaces and centrifugal force. Both Galilean decomposition method and vortex identification method using swirling strength calculation are very useful for the study of vortex behaviors En the propeller wake legion. The slipstream contraction occurs in the near-wake region up to about X/D : 0.53 downstream. Thereafter, unstable oscillation occurs because of the reduction of interaction between the tip vortex and the wake sheet behind the maximum contraction point.