• Title/Summary/Keyword: Energy demand analysis

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An Electric Load Forecasting Scheme with High Time Resolution Based on Artificial Neural Network (인공 신경망 기반의 고시간 해상도를 갖는 전력수요 예측기법)

  • Park, Jinwoong;Moon, Jihoon;Hwang, Eenjun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.527-536
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    • 2017
  • With the recent development of smart grid industry, the necessity for efficient EMS(Energy Management System) has been increased. In particular, in order to reduce electric load and energy cost, sophisticated electric load forecasting and efficient smart grid operation strategy are required. In this paper, for more accurate electric load forecasting, we extend the data collected at demand time into high time resolution and construct an artificial neural network-based forecasting model appropriate for the high time resolution data. Furthermore, to improve the accuracy of electric load forecasting, time series data of sequence form are transformed into continuous data of two-dimensional space to solve that problem that machine learning methods cannot reflect the periodicity of time series data. In addition, to consider external factors such as temperature and humidity in accordance with the time resolution, we estimate their value at the time resolution using linear interpolation method. Finally, we apply the PCA(Principal Component Analysis) algorithm to the feature vector composed of external factors to remove data which have little correlation with the power data. Finally, we perform the evaluation of our model through 5-fold cross-validation. The results show that forecasting based on higher time resolution improve the accuracy and the best error rate of 3.71% was achieved at the 3-min resolution.

A Fundamental Study on Shearing/Bonding Characteristics of Interface Between Rock Mass and Backfills in Mine Openings (폐광산 채움재와 암반 경계부의 전단 및 접합특성에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Byung-Ryeol;Lee, Hyeon-woo;Kim, Young-Jin;Cho, Kye-Hong;Choi, Sung-Oong
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.623-646
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    • 2021
  • As the demand for electric power increases with acceleration of electrification at home and abroad, the needs for coal-fired electrical power plant are accordingly increased. However, these coal-fired electrical power plants induce also many environmental problems such as increase of air pollutants, increase of possibility of land contamination by reclamation of coal ash, even though these power plants have a good economical efficiency. In case of a by-product of coal-fired electrical power plants, only 70% of them are recycled and the remaining 30% of by-product are fully buried in surrounding ground. Consequently, this study deals with coal ash backfilling mechanism in abandoned mine openings for the purposes of increasing the coal ash recycling rate as well as securing the mine area stability. In order to analyze the backfill and ground reinforcement by interaction between rock mass and backfills, the copying samples of discontinuous surface with different roughnesses were produced for bond strength tests and direct shear tests. And statistical analysis was also conducted to decide the characteristics of bond and shear behavior with joint roughness and their curing day. Numerical simulations were also analyzed for examining the effect of interface behavior on ground stability.

A fundamental study on the ventilation analysis method for the network-type tunnel - focused on the none hardy-cross method (네트워크형 터널의 환기해석 방법에 대한 기초연구-비 Hardy-Cross 방법을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyo-Gyu;Choi, Pan-Gyu;Ryu, Ji-Oh;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2016
  • Recently, various forms of diverging sections in tunnels have been designed as the demand for underground passageway in urban areas increases. Therefore, the complexity of the ventilation system in tunnels with diverging sections requires a ventilation analysis method different from the conventional method for the straight tunnels. None of the domestic and foreign tunnel ventilation design standards specifies the method for the ventilation network analysis, and the numerical analysis methods have been most widely used. This paper aims at reviewing the ventilation network analytical method applicable as the design standard. The proposed method is based on the characteristic equations rather than the numerical analysis. Thanks to the advantages of easy application, the Hardy-Cross method has been widely applied in the fields of mine ventilation and tunnel ventilation. However, limitations with the cutting errors in the Taylor series expansion and the convergence problem mainly caused by the mesh selection algorithm have been reported. Therefore, this paper examines the applicability of the ventilation analysis method for network-type tunnels with the gradient method that can analyze flow rate and pressure simultaneously without the configuration of mesh. A simple ventilation analysis method for network-type tunnels is proposed.

Living Lab as Transition Arena: Case Analysis and Implication (시스템 전환 실험의 장으로서 리빙랩: 사례분석과 시사점)

  • Seong, Jieun;Park, Inyong
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2016
  • Current Korean innovation system is facing a new turning point while the growth-oriented and S&T provide-oriented development strategy. Accordingly, there are needs for not only system transition in various area, such as sustainable energy, agriculture, and rural area but also STI policy paradigm shift to create a new innovative pathway. Living lab is being discussed in European country as a new innovative model based on user participation and as a niche experiments for sustainable system transition. This study attempts to analyze the living lab cases which are for the purpose of energy transition, agriculture rural areas system transition, and STI policy paradigm shift. Based on this analysis, the implications were derived in Korea. European Suslab project, C@R project, and Taiwan living lab, promoted diverse transitional experiments successfully by collecting users' background and experiences from pre-planning stage and by maintaining the user-driven innovative actions within the whole development process. This result provides various suggestions to current Korean situation that central government and local governments are considering the introduction of living lab. Living lab can also be utilized as a strategic niche experiments for socio-technical system transition in region or country, as a mean of policy integration, and as a new regional innovation model. In addition, it can be an important platform to realize the policy integration reflecting the user and demand-side which are highlighted in recent innovative policy paradigm.

Carbon Footprint Analysis of Mineral Paper using LCA Method (전과정 평가기법을 활용한 미네랄 페이퍼의 탄소발자국 연구)

  • Kim, Byoung Jik;Kang, Seong Min;Lee, Jeongwoo;Sa, Jae Hwan;Kim, Ik;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, with the rising interest to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the demand for using environmentally friendly product with low greenhouse gas emission is increasing in the printing industry as well. In this study, the carbon footprint of environmentally friendly product mineral paper that uses less plastic and wood than normal printing paper materials was analyzed by utilizing the life cycle assessment (LCA) technique. An analysis utilizing the LCA technique was done per the Korea carbon footprint certification guidelines and, for scope of study, it included the premanufacturing stage and manufacturing stage except for the use and disposal stages. As a result of the study, the emission coefficient of the mineral paper was calculated to be $0.81kg\;CO_2eq/kg$ and the emission from electricity usage of the entire greenhouse gas emission was calculated to be 45.85% ($0.37kg\;CO_2eq/kg$). In order to reduce greenhouse gas emission, required are the efforts to reduce the environmental loads by using energies that have relatively lower environmental loads, such as improvement in electricity usage efficiency and renewable energy, by increasing product completion rates during the manufacturing process of mineral paper.

Analysis of the Bogus Routing Information Attacks in Sensor Networks (센서 네트워크에서 AODV 라우팅 정보 변조공격에 대한 분석)

  • Lee, Myung-Jin;Kim, Mi-Hui;Chae, Ki-Joon;Kim, Ho-Won
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.14C no.3 s.113
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2007
  • Sensor networks consist of many tiny sensor nodes that collaborate among themselves to collect, process, analyze, and disseminate data. In sensor networks, sensor nodes are typically powered by batteries, and have limited computing resources. Moreover, the redeployment of nodes by energy exhaustion or their movement makes network topology change dynamically. These features incur problems that do not appear in traditional, wired networks. Security in sensor networks is challenging problem due to the nature of wireless communication and the lack of resources. Several efforts are underway to provide security services in sensor networks, but most of them are preventive approaches based on cryptography. However, sensor nodes are extremely vulnerable to capture or key compromise. To ensure the security of the network, it is critical to develop suity mechanisms that can survive malicious attacks from "insiders" who have access to the keying materials or the full control of some nodes. In order to protect against insider attacks, it is necessary to understand how an insider can attack a sensor network. Several attacks have been discussed in the literature. However, insider attacks in general have not been thoroughly studied and verified. In this paper, we study the insider attacks against routing protocols in sensor networks using the Ad-hoc On-Demand Distance Vector (AODV) protocol. We identify the goals of attack, and then study how to achieve these goals by modifying of the routing messages. Finally, with the simulation we study how an attacker affects the sensor networks. After we understand the features of inside attacker, we propose a detect mechanism using hop count information.

Is Compact Urban Spatial Structure Effective for Public Transportation Mode? (컴팩트형 공간구조가 대중교통수단의 이용활성화에 보다 효과적인가?)

  • Lee, Jae-Yeong;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to find the characteristics of travel behavior and accessibility in terms of spatial structure. We analyzed travel behaviors and accessibility using a mode choice model and the Complementary Accessibility Index(CAI). The urban spatial structures that were compared were a compact city (CC) versus a sprawled city (SC), and high residential density districts (HD) versus low residential density districts (LD). First, CC and HDs residents had a shorter commuting distance than the CC and LDs residents. Second, behavior models showed that the use of Private cars for commuting in SCs was found to be greater than private car use in CCs, and that public transportation modes would be encouraged in CCs. Third, changes associated with the time and cost of commuting by private car generally affect the demand for public transportation modes in the CC. Also, analysis of cross elasticity suggests that changes of subway travel time affect the demand for buses very elastically. Fourth, the CAI of SC and LD were superior to the CC and HD even though the SC inefficient urban forms in terms of spatial structure. So, the spatial distribution of population density was also found to be an important factor affecting accessibility and energy savings.

A Modified EGEAS Model with Avoided Cost and the Optimization of Generation Expansion Plan (회피비용을 고려한 EGEAS 모형 개발과 전원개발계획의 최적화)

  • 이재관;홍성의
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.117-117
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    • 1992
  • Pubilc utility industries including the electric utility industry are facing a new stream of privatization com-petition with the private sector and deregulation. The necewssity to solve now and in the future power supply and demand problems has been increasing through the sophisticated generation expansion plan(GEP) approach con-sidering not only KEPCo's supply-side resources but also outside resources such as non-utility generation(NUG) demand-side management (DSM). Under the environmental situation in the current electric utility industry a new approach is needed to acquire multiple resources competitively. This study presents the development of a modified electric generation expansion analysis system(EGEAS) model with avoided cost based on the existing EGEAS model which is a dynamic program to develope an optimal generation expansion plan for the electric utility. We are trying to find optimal GEP in Korea's case using our modified model and observe the difference for the level of reliabilities such as the reserve margin(RM) loss of load probability(LOLP) and expected unserved energy percent(EUEP) between the existing EGEAS model and our model. In addition we are trying to calculate avoided cost for NUG resources which is a criterion to evaluate herem and test possibility of connection calculation of avoided cost with GEP implementation using our modified model. The results of our case study are as follows. First we were able to find that the generation expansion plan and reliability measures were largely influenced by capacity size and loading status of NUG resources, Second we were able to find that avoided cost which are criteria to evaluate NUG resources could be calculated by using our modified EGEAS model with avoided cost. We also note that avoided costs were calculated by our model in connection with generation expansion plans.

Correlation between Characteristics of SOD in Coastal Sewage and Predictive Factor (연안 저질 SOD의 특성과 유발 영향인자에 대한 상관관계)

  • Kim, Beom-Geun;Khirul, Md Akhte;Kwon, Sung-Hyun;Cho, Dae-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.596-604
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    • 2019
  • This study conducted a sediment culture experiment to investigate the effects of sediment oxygen demand (SOD) and environmental factors on sediment and water quality. We installed a leaching tank in the laboratory, cultured it for 20 days, and analyzed the relationship between P and Fe in the sediment. As a result, the dissolved oxygen of the water layer decreased with time, while the oxidation-reduction potential of the sediment progressed in the negative direction to form an anaerobic reducing environment. The SOD was measured to be 0.05 mg/g at the initial stage of cultivation and increased to 0.09 mg/g on the 20th day, indicating the tendency of increasing consumption of oxygen by the sediment. The change is likely to have caused by oxygen consumption from biological-SOD, which is the decomposition of organic matter accumulated on the sediment surface due to the increase of chl-a, and chemical-SOD consumed when the metal-reducing product produced by the reduction reaction is reoxidized. The correlation between SOD and causality for sediment-extracted sediments was positive for Ex-P and Org-P and negative for Fe-P. The analysis of the microbial community in the sediment on the 20th day showed that anaerobic iron-reducing bacteria (FeRB) were the dominant species. Therefore, when the phosphate bonded to the iron oxide is separated by the reduction reaction, the phosphate is eluted into the water to increase the primary productivity. The reduced substance is reoxidized and contributes to the oxygen consumption of the sediment. The results of this study would be useful as the reference information to improve oxygen resin.

Improvement Method for the Post-Management End System of a Landfill by Applying Total Pollutant Load Concept (오염총량 개념을 적용한 매립장 사후관리종료제도 개선 방안)

  • Chun, Seung-Kyu;Sim, Nak-Jong;Jeon, Eun-Jeong;Ryu, Don-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2021
  • A method of improving the post-management end system of a landfill that reflected total pollutant load was applied to the SUDOKWON 1st Landfill Site. Modeling results showed that the ratio of remaining methane, when compared to the total maximum potential of 2,521 × 106 Nm3, was estimated to be 8.8% in 2020, 7.0% in 2030, and 6.5% in 2040. If the average oxidation rate of 89.1% in 2005-2019 was applied, the ratio decreased by 1.01% in 2020, 0.76% in 2030, and 0.70% in 2040. This suggests that if the amount of methane generated is all emitted from the surface of the landfill after 2025, the real amount emitted to the atmosphere is less than that in 2019; therefore, the post-management end is possible. According to the results of trend analysis of the quality of leachate water, effluent criteria for Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD) can be satisfied in 2024, while those for Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) and Total Nitrogen (T-N) can be satisfied in 2047 and 2117, respectively. If the post-management end system changed based on total pollutant load, the post-management can be terminated BOD today and COD within a few years; however, the fact that T-N could be terminated only after 2041 shows the need to fundamentally change management methods.