• Title/Summary/Keyword: Energy Dynamics

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Predicting the Effectiveness of National Energy R&D Investment in Korea: Application of System Dynamics

  • Oh, YoungMin
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2014
  • Korea government established the energy technology development plan (2011-2020) and declared to be a leader of the green energy technologies. The plan aims for 10% market share in the green energy industry, 12% energy efficiency improvement, and 15% greenhouse gas reduction. In order to achieve these goals, the government has tried to calculate the whole scale of national energy R&D investment, annual budget and specific expenditures for new technologies by computer simulation. The simulation modules include the R&D investment model, GDP model, energy consumption and $CO_2$ emission model by System Dynamics. Based on these simulation modules, I tested various scenarios for effectiveness of energy R&D investments until 2020. The results show that Korea should increase national energy R&D investment to 2.3 billion U.S. dollars, and switch the investment from electricity and nuclear power to the renewable energy.

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Analysis of Global Food Market and Food-Energy Price Links: Based on System Dynamics Approach

  • Kim, Gyu-Rim
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.105-124
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    • 2009
  • The situation of the global food markets has been being rapidly restructured and entering on a new phase by new dynamic and driving forces. The factors such as economic growth and income increase, high energy price, globalization, urbanization, and global climate change are transforming patterns of food consumption, production, and markets. The prices and markets of world food and energy are getting increasingly linked each other. Food and fuel are the global dilemma issues associated with the risk of diverting farmland or of consuming cereals for biofuel production in detriment of the cereals supply to the global food markets. An estimated 100 million tons of grain per year are being redirected from food to fuel. Therefore, the objectives of this study are as follows: Firstly, the study examines situations of the world food and energy resources, analyzes the trends of prices of the crude oil and biofuel, and formulates the food-energy links mechanism. Secondly, the study builds a simulation model, based on system dynamics approach, for not only analyzing the global cereals market and energy market but also forecasting the global production, consumption, and stock of those markets by 2030 in the future. The model of this study consists of four sectors, i.e., world population dynamics sector, global food market dynamics sector, global energy market dynamics sector, scenario sector of world economic growth and oil price.

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A Dynamic Analysis of The Deployment of Korean Renewable Energy Market (신.재생에너지 시장 확장의 동태적 분석)

  • Yu, Jae-Kook;Kwak, Sang-Man
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the structure of renewable energy market in order to deploy more renewable energy in Korea on the basis of information asymmetry between suppliers and demanders. To attain this purpose we develop the model to analyze and simulate the renewable market using system dynamics. This model is developed not to forecast the accurate size of market but to learn more structure of market using our limited data, mental model and knowledge of market.

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System Dynamics Model for Analyzing and Forecasting the National Energy-Economy-Environment(3E) Changes under Levying of Carbon Tax (탄소세 부과에 따른 국내 에너지-경제-환경(3E) 변화 분석 및 예측을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Song, Jae-Ho;Jeong, Suk-Jae;Kim, Kyung-Sup;Park, Jin-Won
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.149-170
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an energy-economy-environment dynamic simulation model was developed to using system dynamics methodology. It describes current energy-economy-environment systems and forecasts changes caused by levying of carbon tax. The model is composed of three modules: an energy module, an economic module and an environmental module. Variables are interrelated in each module, and three modules are linked by several linkage variables. Setting up the linkage variables is an important factor for the composition of the model. The simulation result shows a change of the national GDP, usage of energy, and $CO_2$ emissions under levying and reinvestment of carbon tax considering various scenarios for the charging cost.

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Conformational Analysis and Molecular Dynamics Simulation of Lactose

  • 오재택;김양미;원영도
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.1153-1162
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    • 1995
  • The conformational details of β-lactose are investigated through molecular dynamics simulations in conjunction with the adiabatic potential energy map. The adiabatic energy map generated in vacuo contains five local minima. The lowest energy structure on the map does not correspond to the structure determined experimentally by NMR and the X-ray crystallography. When aqueous solvent effect is incorporated into the energy map calculation by increasing the dielectric constant, one of the local minima in the vacuum energy map becomes the global minimum in the resultant energy map. The lowest energy structure of the energy map generated in aquo is consistent with the one experimentally determined. Molecular dynamics simulations starting from those fivelocal minima on the vacuum energy map reveal that conformational transitions can take place among various conformations. Molecular dynamics simulations of the lactose and ricin B chain complex system in a stochastic boundary indicate that the most stable conformation in solution phase is bound to the binding site and that there are conformational changes in the exocyclic region of the lactose molecule upon binding.

Dynamics of Resonant Energy Transfer in OH Vibrations of Liquid Water

  • Yang, Mi-No
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.885-892
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    • 2012
  • Energy transfer dynamics of excited vibrational energy of OH stretching bonds in liquid water is theoretically studied. With time-dependent vibrational Hamiltonian obtained from a mixed quantum/classical calculation, we construct a master equation describing the energy transfer dynamics. Survival probability predicted by the master equation is compared with numerically exact one and we found that incoherent picture of energy transfer is reasonably valid for long-time population dynamics. Within the incoherent picture, we assess the validity of independent pair approximation (IPA) often introduced in the theoretical models utilized in the analysis of experimental data. Our results support that the IPA is almost perfectly valid as applied for the vibrational energy transfer in liquid water. However, proper incorporation of radial and orientational correlations between two OH bonds is found to be critical for a theory to be quantitatively valid. Consequently, it is suggested that the Forster model should be generalized by including the effects of the pair correlations in order to be applied for vibrational energy transfer in liquid water.

Free Energy Estimation in Dissipative Particle Dynamics

  • Bang, Subin;Noh, Chanwoo;Jung, YounJoon
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2016.03a
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    • pp.37-54
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    • 2016
  • The methods for estimating the change of free energy in dissipative particle dynamics (DPD) are discussed on the basis of fluctuation theorems. Fluctuation theorems are tactics to evaluate free energy changes from non-equilibrium work distributions and have several forms, as proposed by Jarzynski, Crooks, and Bennett. The validity of these methods however, has been shown merely with the molecular dynamics or Langevin dynamics. In this study, the appropriate forms of fluctuation theorems for dissipative particle dynamics, which has similar structure to that of Langevin dynamics, are suggested using Liouville's theorem, and they are proved equivalent to original fluctuation theorems. Work distribution functions, which are probability distribution functions of works exerted on the system within the systematic change, are the basics of fluctuation theorems and their shapes are turned out to be dependent on the phase space trajectory of the change of the system. The reliability of Jarzynski and Crooks methods is highly dependent on the number of simulations to measure works and the shapes of the work distribution functions. Bennett method, however, can evaluate free energy changes even when Jarzynski and Crooks methods fail to do so.

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Study on The Calculation of The Stored Energy due to Defects at High-Strain-Rate Deformation Using Molecular Dynamics (분자동역학을 이용한 고변형률하에서 결함으로 인한 저장에너지 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Han-Kyu;Choi, Deok-Kee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1139-1144
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    • 2003
  • This paper addresses a theoretical study to calculate the amount of the stored energy due to vacancies during high-strain-rate deformation. The study concerns the role of excess vacancies, which can play an important role to increase the amount of stored energy. Molecular dynamics simulation using a 3D model is carried out and the result clearly shows that the excess vacancies are credited to generation of the stored energy.

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Wind Turbine Simulation Program Development using an Aerodynamics Code and a Multi-Body Dynamics Code (풍력발전시스템의 유연체 다물체 동역학 시뮬레이션 프로그램 개발)

  • Song, Jin-Seop;Rim, Chae-Whan;Nam, Yong-Yun;Bae, Dae-Sung
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2011
  • A wind turbine simulation program for the coupled dynamics of aerodynamics, elasticity, multi-body dynamics and controls of turbine is newly developed by combining an aero-elastic code and a multi-body dynamics code. The aero-elastic code, based on the blade momentum theory and generalized dynamic wake theory, is developed by NREL(National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA). The multi-body dynamics code is commercial one which is capable of accounting for geometric nonlinearity and twist deflection. A turbulent wind load case is simulated for the NREL 5-MW baseline wind turbine model by the developed program and FAST. As a result, the two results agree well enough to verify the reliability of the developed program.

Strengthening the Sustainability of the Nuclear Energy Policy System in Korea (원자력행정체제의 지속가능성 강화방안)

  • Choi, Young-Chool
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.109-129
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    • 2009
  • This paper explores the ways by which the authority concerned with nuclear energy policy-making in Korea can strengthen its organisational sustainability from long-term perspective. In doing so, it applies the system dynamics approach to predict what would happen to the organisational sustainability of the nuclear energy authority in the future. In the process of analysis, it also draws causal loop map of components contained in the simulation model and constructs user-interface simulation model. It shows different predicted future values regarding organisational sustainability of the nuclear energy authority in Korea and puts forward some policy implications for practitioners and academics involved in nuclear energy policy.

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