• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.23-51
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• 2021

The persistence of the employment shock by COVID-19 has various policy implications during the pandemic and beyond it. After evaluating the impact of the health crisis at the individual level, this study decomposes employment losses into persistent and transitory components using the observed timing of the three major outbreaks and subsequent lulls. The estimation results show that while face-to-face services were undoubtedly hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis, the sectoral shock was less persistent for temporary jobs and self-employment. Permanent jobs in the hard-hit sector showed increasingly large persistent losses through the recurring crises, indicating gradual changes in employer responses. The persistent job losses were concentrated on young and older workers in career transitions, whose losses are likely to have long-term effects. These results suggest that targeted measures to mitigate the persistent effects of the employment shock should take priority during the recovery process.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.323-344
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• 2023

This study investigates the resilient structural characteristics of a region by assessing the impact of the financial crisis. Utilizing panel data at the prefecture level for metropolitan cities across pre-shock (2006-2008), shock (2009), and post-shock (2010-2019) periods, we calculated an employment resilience index by combining the resistance and recovery indices. The panel logit regression measures the influences of the region's industrial structure and external economic factors in response to the global financial crisis. The results revealed that the diversity index of industries contributed to the post-shock recovery bounce-back. Additionally, the presence of large firms and industrial clusters within the region positively contributed to economic resilience. The specialization and the proportion of manufacturing industries showed negative effects, suggesting that regions overly reliant on manufacturing-centered specialization might be vulnerable to external shocks. Furthermore, excessive capital outflows for market expansion were found to have a detrimental impact on regional economic recovery.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제41권4호
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• pp.31-62
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• 2018

본 연구는 '예상하지 못한 입원'으로 정의한 건강 충격이 40~55세 중장년층 전일제 임금근로자의 일자리와 소득 수준에 미치는 영향을 단기 효과와 이후 3년간의 중기 효과로 나누어 분석하였다. 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 건강 충격 발생 이후 직접비용인 의료비 지출의 증가는 단기적인 효과만 유의하게 나타난다. 그러나 간접비용인 노동시장 참여 및 근로소득의 변화는 건강 충격 발생 이후 3년까지 지속된다. 둘째, 간접비용의 변화는 건강 충격발생 이전의 사회경제적 지위와 일자리 특성에 따라 다르게 나타난다. 고소득층은 저소득층에 비해 건강 충격 발생 이전 일자리에서 이탈할 위험이 낮은 반면, 저소득층은 원래의 전일제 근로상태에서 이탈할 가능성이 높아진다. 또한, 건강 충격을 경험한 비정규직 근로자는 정규직 근로자에 비해 전일제 근로 일자리를 잃을 가능성이 크다. 그러나 동일한 비정규직이라도 사업체 규모에 따라 경험하는 위험 정도는 달라지는데, 대기업에서 근로하는 비정규직은 소규모 기업에서 근로하는 비정규직보다 노동시장에서 이탈할 위험이 낮은 것으로 나타난다.

• 기업가정신과 벤처연구
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.19-33
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• 2017

우리는 본 논문에서 자영업의 변화가 국민경제에 미치는 영향 분석을 통해 올바른 정책 방향을 제시하고자 한다. 즉, 자영업의 현황 및 자영업자 지원의 정책 방향을 제시하고자 한다. 우리는 변수들의 동태적 관계를 파악하기에 위해 VAR 모형을 사용하여 자영업 추이와 경시경제 변수 간의 상호 영향을 파악하였다. 분석 결과 자영업자 비중의 외생적 충격은 실질성장률에 대해 유의한 영향이 없으나, 고용 있는 자영업자와 고용 없는 자영업자로 구분하여 분석할 경우 고용 있는 자영업자의 비중의 증가는 실질성장에 긍정적 영향이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 향후 연구에서는 자영업자 비중 변화에 대한 거시경제 변수의 단기적 효과를 추정하기 위해 분기별 자료 등으로 추가 분석을 시도할 필요가 있다.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.274-290
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• 2019

본 연구는 2010년부터 2015년까지 시군구별 제조업 고용변화에 대한 자동화와 세계화의 영향을 추정하였다. 분석 결과, 후발산업국가로의 수입침투에 취약하게 노출된 업종구조를 가진 지역일수록 제조업 고용이 빠르게 감소하였다. 또 단순반복적인 루틴직무에 특화된 지역일수록 제조업 고용의 감소가 빠르게 진행되었는데, 이 같은 루틴직무의 소멸은 지역산업의 로봇규모가 증가할수록 더욱 가파르게 진행되었다. 이 같은 결과는 금융위기 이후 제조업 고용이 빠르게 증가했음에도, 국지적으로는 산업도시들의 고용위기가 심화되었던 국내 제조업 고용의 추이를 이해하는 데 실증적인 단서를 제공한다. 동시에, 세계화와 자동화의 맥락에서 향후 우리나라 산업도시들의 대응방향에 대한 정책적 함의를 담고 있다.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.281-298
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• 2022

코로나19 팬데믹은 지금까지 다른 어떤 감염병과 비교될 수 없는 큰 충격과 공포를 전 세계에 주었으며 지역경제는 그에 따른 심각한 경제적 위기를 경험하고 있다. 이 논문은 이러한 코로나19 팬데믹에 따른 경기침체와 회복력의 지역적 특성을 전국 85개 도시의 고용 변동 상황을 중심으로 분석하였다. 도시 고용의 전반적 추세는 전국적 고용 지표와 동조화 하고 있는지만 개별 도시의 충격 반응과 고용 회복에는 차별성이 존재한다. 충격 반응단계의 저항력보다 백신이 개발되고 그 실체가 점차 알려져 공포가 진정된 회복단계의 복구력에서 도시 간 차별성이 더 크게 나타난다. 복구력에서 수도권 도시들이 비수도권 도시들에 비해 상대적으로 양호한 특징은 보인다. 인구밀도가 높은 서울 등 대도시들의 복구력이 약한 것은 감염병이라는 코로나19 팬데믹의 효과라고 할 수 있다. 도시의 경제구조와 관련해서는 서비스·판매직 종사자 비율과 도소매 및 음식·숙박업 비율이 복구력의 설명변수로 유효한 것으로 분석된다.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.85-100
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• 2023

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to identify the factors of shocking events in the career aspect experienced by Korean workers in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic, and to find out whether these career shocks affect individual perceptions of the importance of subjective career success. Design/methodology/approach - In the survey of 146 respondents, the career shock events experienced in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic were largely divided into three categories; 'work change', 'employment anxiety', and 'life anxiety'. For the subjective career success, seven dimensions - 'financial security', 'financial achievement', 'entrepreneurship', 'positive relationship', 'positive impact', 'learning and development', 'work-life balance' - were used. Findings - As a result, there was no difference in the perception of subjective career success due to the experience of 'work change' during the Covid-19 period. However, the respondents who experienced 'employment anxiety' came to recognize that 'financial security' and 'financial achievement' were more increasing in terms of the degree of difference of importance. And respondents who experienced 'lifetime anxiety' perceived that the degree of difference of importance was increasing in the six dimensions except for 'social influence'. Particularly, the increase in the importance of 'work-life balance' and 'positive relationship' was found to be the greatest among the career success dimensions. Research implications or Originality - Finally, it was concluded that changes in the external environment such as Covid-19 pandemic influence as a career shock and affect the level of importance in subjective career success perception. Based on the results, the theoretical implication on current career study and some practical implications for organizational career management were suggested.

• 한국간호교육학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.156-166
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• 2022

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify factors that can affect transition shock in newly-graduated nurses. Methods: The first descriptive written survey was conducted on 450 graduate students from five nursing colleges. After their employment, the second survey was conducted on 316 participants who had responded to the first survey. A total of 158 respondents were used for the final analysis. Data were analyzed using an independent t-test, ANOVA, Tukey test, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and hierarchical multiple regression analysis with the SPSS Win 25.0 Program. Results: The average age of the participants was 24.25±4.47. Of the participants, 126 (79.8%) were satisfied that they had majored in nursing. The average score for transition shock was 2.61±0.55 points. Factors influencing the transition shock of newly-graduated nurses were the working department, working period, and working environment. The more positively the newly-graduated nurses perceived the nursing work environment, the less of a transition shock they experienced. Grade point average, clinical competence, confidence in performing core nursing skills, and nursing professionalism did not affect their transition shock. It could be confirmed that there is a gap between college nursing education and the clinical field. Conclusion: In order to reduce the transition shock of newly-graduated nurses, it is necessary to improve the nursing work environment and apply educational and emotional support strategies according to the characteristics of each work department and the period of work.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제69권
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• pp.721-740
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• 2016

Recently Korea has stepped into a stage of sluggish development, and the unemployment of young people has become a major issue. Especially in 1998 IMF economic shock was influential in formulating government policy and social economic structure on employment. Restructuring now becomes everyday words and further restructuring is already under way. Owing to the growing economic crisis and resultant unemployment and initial appointment shall be considered conditional. Young job seekers are grappling with mastering their native language and unnecessary experiences. These unnecessary experiences are needless waste of time and money. Educational system in university may be affected by environmental changes in population of students and business crisis. Sometimes the departments made a very low rate of employment may be abolished or merged in university. The government will demand us in the work of reform by doing NCS. The government is now ask to teach, train and employ students on the basis of NCS especially in high-school, job training center, and college and university. NCS has advantages and disadvantages. NCS may reduce waste of time and money to make unnecessary experiences, provide standard course to prepare educational system. It will be a big help to adapt properly and make better employment system. The most negative element of the program is application to humanities and social sciences by the same standard with technology and engineering department in the university. Standardization of each educational course will not react quickly to rapidly changing situations in the future.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.29-52
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• 2021

The purpose of this paper is to measure the impact of the recent Korea-Japan trade dispute on the Korean economy using supply-driven input-output analysis. In July 2019, Japan announced the decision to tighten the export control of three materials which are indispensable in the manufacturing of semiconductors and electronic display panels. Japan's decision directly affects production in Korea's semiconductor and display sectors and is hence not a demand shock. For this reason, a standard demand-driven input-output analysis is not valid despite the fact that it can still be applied. The impact of Japan's decision on Korea's aggregate and individual sectors' gross output, GDP and employment were computed using both methods.