• 한국인구학
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• 제34권3호
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• pp.109-138
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• 2011

우리나라에서 '동향'은 배우자의 선택에서 주요 요인의 하나이다. 본 연구는 1993년~2009년 기간의 통계청 혼인통계자료를 사용해 우리나라 동향결혼의 변동추세와 현황을 분석하고 이를 토대로 동향결혼 선택확률에 영향을 미친 각종 요인을 고찰하는 데에 목적이 있다. 본 연구의 분석결과에 따르면, 우리나라에서 동향결혼은 여전히 큰 부분을 차지하고 있지만 시간이 지나면서 점차 줄어들고 있다. 또한 동향결혼은 해당 지역에서의 인구이동 및 구성에 의해서도 영향을 받았다. 특히 수도권으로의 인구유입은 타향출신의 결혼 후보자를 접할 기회를 증가시켜 동향결혼비율의 감소를 가져왔다. 또한 자신과 비교해 결혼 상대자의 소득이 더 커질수록 동향결혼을 선택할 가능성은 감소했다. 이는 배우자의 선택에서 동향요인이 약화되고 있는 데에는 경제적 요인도 작동하고 있었음을 의미한다. 본 연구는 방대한 원시자료에 기초해 우리나라의 동향결혼 현상을 실증적 관점에서 규명한 최초의 연구라는 점에서 의의가 있다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제86권4호
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• pp.547-571
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• 2023

To deeply probe the actual earthquake level and fragility of typical reinforced concrete (RC) structures under multiple intensity grades, considering diachronic measurement building stock samples and actual observations of representative catastrophic earth shocks in China from 1990 to 2010, RC structures were divided into traditional RC structures (TRCs) and bottom reinforced concrete frame seismic wall masonry (BFM) structures, and the empirical damage characteristics and mechanisms were analysed. A great deal of statistics and induction were developed on the historical experience investigation data of 59 typical catastrophic earthquakes in 9 provinces of China. The database and fragility matrix prediction model were established with TRCs of 4,122.5284×104 m² and 5,844 buildings and BFMs of 5,872 buildings as empirical seismic damage samples. By employing the methods of structural damage probability and statistics, nonlinear prediction of seismic vulnerability, and numerical and applied functional analysis, the comparison matrix of actual fragility probability prediction of TRC and BFM in multiple intensity regions under the latest version of China's macrointensity standard was established. A novel nonlinear regression prediction model of seismic vulnerability was proposed, and prediction models considering the seismic damage ratio and transcendental probability parameters were constructed. The time-varying vulnerability comparative model of the sample database was developed according to the different periods of multiple earthquakes. The new calculation method of the average fragility prediction index (AFPI) matrix parameter model has been proposed to predict the seismic fragility of an areal RC structure.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제16권11호
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• pp.37-45
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• 2018

Purpose - Recently, large quantities of factors have affected the signing of the Free Trade Agreement between two countries. Due to this background, this paper selects South Korea as an example to explore the determinants of Free Trade Agreement from Asian countries. Research design, data, and methodology - A cross sectional data of 2016 will be employed and some variables such as real income and GDP will be used to run an empirical analysis under the linear probability model, probit model and logit model. Results - The findings show that the Asian countries' exchange rate regime, real income, GDP and so forth can increase the probability of signing the Free Trade Agreement with Asian countries. Conversely, the distance can lower the probability of signing the Free Trade Agreement with Asian countries. Meanwhile, although the Asian countries' import, consumer price index and population also can affect the probability of signing the Free Trade Agreement with Asian countries, the estimated coefficients are not statistically significant at 5% level. Conclusions - According to the empirical results, this paper provides a new scope for South Korea's government to sign the Free Trade Agreement with other Asian countries.

• 웰빙융합연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.21-31
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• 2020

As people's income rises dramatically, people's happiness seems not as high as expected. In fact, there are two different arguments about the relationship between income level and happiness. The focus of the debate is whether the correlation between income and probability of happiness is positive or negative. Therefore, we hypothesizes that the relationship between income and probability of happiness presents an inverted U-shaped curve. Then, this paper sets China as an example to explore the effect of income on happiness. The data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) in 2015 is employed to conduct empirical analyses under the Probit model and the Zero-Inflation-Passion model. The empirical findings indicate that the effect of income on happiness presents an inverted U-shaped curve and significantly in statistic. Meanwhile, spouse's income, educational level, marriage time and house property have a positive and significant effect on happiness. Conversely, age and local living standards have a negative and significant effect on happiness. Unfortunately, even though registered residence and children have a negative effect on happiness, they do not get through the significant test. In order to ensure the robustness of our empirical results, we test the robustness of the above empirical results by adjusting the sample size. The results of robustness test verify that our empirical results are robust. Moreover, this paper also makes a small contribution to the current literature with a sample from China.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.435-441
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• 1999

A 'convergence in probability' rate of the empirical distributions and quantiles of linear processes is obtained. As an application of the limit theorems, a trimmed mean for the location of the linear process is considered. It is shown that the trimmed mean is asymptotically normal. A consistent estimator for the asymptotic variance of the trimmed mean is provided.

• 천문학회보
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• 제38권2호
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• pp.33-33
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• 2013

We are developing empirical space weather (solar flare, solar proton event, and geomagnetic storm) forecast models based on solar data. In this talk we will review our main results and recent progress. First, we have examined solar flare (R) occurrence probability depending on sunspot McIntosh classification, its area, and its area change. We find that sunspot area and its increase (a proxy of flux emergence) greatly enhance solar flare occurrence rates for several sunspot classes. Second, a solar proton event (S) forecast model depending on flare parameters (flare strength, duration, and longitude) as well as CME parameters (speed and angular width) has been developed. We find that solar proton event probability strongly depends on these parameters and CME speed is well correlated with solar proton flux for disk events. Third, we have developed an empirical storm (G) forecast model to predict probability and strength of a storm using halo CME - Dst storm data. For this we use storm probability maps depending on CME parameters such as speed, location, and earthward direction. We are also looking for geoeffective CME parameters such as cone model parameters and magnetic field orientation. We find that all superstorms (less than -200 nT) occurred in the western hemisphere with southward field orientations. We have a plan to set up a storm forecast method with a three-stage approach, which will make a prediction within four hours after the solar coronagraph data become available. We expect that this study will enable us to forecast the onset and strength of a geomagnetic storm a few days in advance using only CME parameters and the WSA-ENLIL model. Finally, we discuss several ongoing works for space weather applications.

• 정보보호학회논문지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.477-489
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• 2019

본 논문에서는 마르코프 암호 가정 하에 구한 기대 차분 확률과 차분 확률의 분포를 실험적으로 검증한다. 첫 번째로, 마르코프 암호 가정 하에 구한 기대 차분 확률과 실험을 통해 구한 확률이 일치하는지를 경량 블록암호 PRESENT의 6라운드에 적용하여 타당함을 보인다. 두 번째로, 마르코프 암호 가정 하에 구한 기대 차분 확률에 통계적으로 근사하지만, 차분 확률의 알려진 분포를 따르지 않는 경우가 있음을 경량 블록암호 GIFT의 4라운드에 적용하여 실험적으로 보인다. 마지막으로 키 스케줄이 표본 추출 모델을 통한 고정키의 차분 확률의 분포에 영향을 미치는지를 분석하기 위해 GIFT의 라운드 키의 XOR 위치와 개수를 바꾸어 얻은 차분 확률들을 제시한다. 이 결과를 통해 표본 추출 가정에 키 스케줄만의 유일한 영향이 아님을 알 수 있다. 통계적 분석을 위한 데이터 수집은 GPGPU 기술을 활용하여 CPU만을 이용한 프로그램에 비해 약 157배 빠르게 수행할 수 있었다.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.523-526
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• 2003

This letter presents an approximation of the outage probability of the pilot channel that can be used for CDMA cell planning. The approximation can determine system parameters for soft handover in IS-95-based cellular CDMA downlink design. Computer simulations show that our analytical results agree with empirical results.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권7호
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• pp.2426-2426
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• 2021

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.291-297
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• 2001

For a stochastic regression model in which the errors are assumed to form a stationary linear process, we show that the difference between the empirical distribution functions of the errors and the estimates of those errors converges uniformly in probability to zero at the rate of $o_{p}$ ( $n^{-}$$\frac{1}{2}$) as the sample size n increases.