• Title/Summary/Keyword: Empirical Dynamic Model

Search Result 316, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Analytical solution for natural frequency of monopile supported wind turbine towers

  • Rong, Xue-Ning;Xu, Ri-Qing;Wang, Heng-Yu;Feng, Su-Yang
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.459-474
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study an analytical expression is derived for the natural frequency of the wind turbine towers supported on flexible foundation. The derivation is based on a Euler-Bernoulli beam model where the foundation is represented by a stiffness matrix. Previously the natural frequency of such a model is obtained from numerical or empirical method. The new expression is based on pure physical parameters and thus can be used for a quick assessment of the natural frequencies of both the real turbines and the small-scale models. Furthermore, a relationship between the diagonal and non-diagonal element in the stiffness matrix is introduced, so that the foundation stiffness can be obtained from either the p-y analysis or the loading test. The results of the proposed expression are compared with the measured frequencies of six real or model turbines reported in the literature. The comparison shows that the proposed analytical expression predicts the natural frequency with reasonable accuracy. For two of the model turbines, some errors were observed which might be attributed to the difference between the dynamic and static modulus of saturated soils. The proposed analytical solution is quite simple to use, and it is shown to be more reasonable than the analytical and the empirical formulas available in the literature.

Scaling Technique of Earthquake Record and its Application to Pile Load Test for Model Driven into Pressure Chamber (지진 기록의 확대(Scaling) 기법과 압력토오 말뚝모형실험에의 적용)

  • 최용규
    • Geotechnical Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.19-32
    • /
    • 1996
  • Based on Trifuilac's empirical model to transform earthquake acceleration time history in the time domain into Fourier amplitude spectrum in the frequency domail an earthquake scaling technique for simulating the earthquake record of certain magnitude as the required magnitude earthquake was suggested. Also, using the earthquake record of magni dude(M) 5.8, the simulated earthquake of magnitude(M) 8.0 was established and its application to dynamic testing system was proposed. The earthquake scaling technique could be considered by several terms : earthquake magnitude(M), earthquake intensity(MMI), epicentral distance, recording site conditions, component direction and confidence level required by the analysis. Albo, it had an application to the various earthquake records. The simulated earthquake in this study was established by two orthogonal horizontal components of earthquake acceleration-time history. The simulated earthquake shaking could be applied to the dynamic pile load test for the model tension pile and the model compressive open -ended piles driven into the pressure chamber. In the static pile load test, behavior of two piles was very different and after model tension pile experienced 2 or 3 successive slips of the pile relative to the soil, it was failed completely. During the simulated earthquake shaking, dynamic behavior and pile capacity degradation of two piles were very different.

  • PDF

Dynamic Structural Equation Models of Activity Participation and Travel Behavior using Puget Sound Transportation Panel (Puget Sound Transportation Panel을 이용한 활동참여와 통행행동의 Dynamic SEM)

  • 최연숙;정진혁
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.20 no.6
    • /
    • pp.129-140
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper develops a dynamic structural equation model, which captures relationships among socio-demographics, activity participation(i.e., time use) and travel behavior in consideration with time variation effects. The data used in developing the model are two waves(the year 1991 and 1992) from Puget Sound Transportation Panel (PSTP). which is surveyed in Puget Sound Region in United States. The PSTP is widely used in transportation behavior analysis and includes various information of traveler's socio-economic, travel patterns, and activity participation. In the model, we use 10 endogenous variables including activity participations and travel behaviors and 10 exogenous variables composed of time variant and invariant traveler's socio-demographic variables. The empirical model shows that strong relationships exist not only between socio-demographics and travel behavior, but between waves. We also confirm needs of panel data set to identify and understand time variation effects and travel behaviors.

Model Predictive Control of the Melt Index in High-Density Polyethylene(HDPE) Process (고밀도 폴리에틸렌 공정의 Melt Index 모델예측제어에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun Ho;Kim, Tae Young;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.46 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1043-1051
    • /
    • 2008
  • In polyolefin processes melt index (MI) is the most important controlled variable indicating product quality. Because of the difficulty in the on-line measurement of MI, a lot of MI estimation and correlation methods have been proposed. In this work a new dynamic MI estimation scheme is developed based on system identification techniques. The empirical MI estimation equation proposed in the present study is derived from the $1^{st}$-order dynamic models. Effectiveness of the present estimation scheme was illustrated by numerical simulations based on plant operation data including grade change operations in high density polyethylene (HDPE) processes. From the comparisons with other estimation methods it was found that the proposed estimation scheme showed better performance in MI predictions. Using the model predictive control method based on the present dynamic MI estimation model, MI values are estimated and compared with those of MI setpoints. From the numerical simulation of the proposed control system, it was found that significant reduction of transition time and the amount of off-spec during grade changes were achieved.

Can Big Data Help Predict Financial Market Dynamics?: Evidence from the Korean Stock Market

  • Pyo, Dong-Jin
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.147-165
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study quantifies the dynamic interrelationship between the KOSPI index return and search query data derived from the Naver DataLab. The empirical estimation using a bivariate GARCH model reveals that negative contemporaneous correlations between the stock return and the search frequency prevail during the sample period. Meanwhile, the search frequency has a negative association with the one-week- ahead stock return but not vice versa. In addition to identifying dynamic correlations, the paper also aims to serve as a test bed in which the existence of profitable trading strategies based on big data is explored. Specifically, the strategy interpreting the heightened investor attention as a negative signal for future returns appears to have been superior to the benchmark strategy in terms of the expected utility over wealth. This paper also demonstrates that the big data-based option trading strategy might be able to beat the market under certain conditions. These results highlight the possibility of big data as a potential source-which has been left largely untapped-for establishing profitable trading strategies as well as developing insights on stock market dynamics.

Development of Permanent Displacement Model for Seismic Mountain Slope (지진 시 산사면의 영구변위 추정식 개발)

  • Lee, Jong-Hoo;Park, Duhee;Ahn, Jae-Kwang;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.57-66
    • /
    • 2015
  • Empirical seismic displacement equations based on the Newmark sliding block method are widely used to develop seismic landslide hazard map. Most proposed equations have been developed for embankments and landfills, and do not consider the dynamic response of sliding block. Therefore, they cannot be applied to Korean mountain slopes composed of thin, uniform soil-layer underlain by an inclined bedrock parallel to the slope. In this paper, a series of two-dimensional dynamic nonlinear finite difference analyses were performed to estimate the permanent seismic slope displacement. The seismic displacement of mountain slopes was calculated using the Newmark method and the equivalent acceleration time history. The calculated seismic displacements of the mountain slopes were compared to a widely used empirical displacement model. We show that the displacement prediction is significantly enhanced if the slope is modeled as a flexible sliding mass and the amplification characteristics are accounted for. Regression equation, which uses PGA, PGV, Arias intensity of the ground motion and the fundamental period of soil layer, is shown to provide a reliable estimate of the sliding displacement. Furthermore, the empirical equation is shown to reliably predict the hazard category.

Influence of multi-component ground motions on seismic responses of long-span transmission tower-line system: An experimental study

  • Tian, Li;Ma, Ruisheng;Qiu, Canxing;Xin, Aiqiang;Pan, Haiyang;Guo, Wei
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.15 no.6
    • /
    • pp.583-593
    • /
    • 2018
  • Seismic performance is particularly important for life-line structures, especially for long-span transmission tower line system subjected to multi-component ground motions. However, the influence of multi-component seismic loads and the coupling effect between supporting towers and transmission lines are not taken into consideration in the current seismic design specifications. In this research, shake table tests are conducted to investigate the performance of long-span transmission tower-line system under multi-component seismic excitations. For reproducing the genuine structural responses, the reduced-scale experimental model of the prototype is designed and constructed based on the Buckingham's theorem. And three commonly used seismic records are selected as the input ground motions according to the site soil condition of supporting towers. In order to compare the experimental results, the dynamic responses of transmission tower-line system subjected to single-component and two-component ground motions are also studied using shake table tests. Furthermore, an empirical model is proposed to evaluate the acceleration and member stress responses of transmission tower-line system subjected to multi-component ground motions. The results demonstrate that the ground motions with multi-components can amplify the dynamic response of transmission tower-line system, and transmission lines have a significant influence on the structural response and should not be neglected in seismic analysis. The experimental results can provide a reference for the seismic design and analysis of long-span transmission tower-line system subjected to multi-component ground motions.

Model for Price Formation of Fish and Its Demand Structure (어류의 가격형성과 수요구조분석)

  • Park, Hoan-Jae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.40 no.1
    • /
    • pp.133-152
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to model price formation and analyze demand structures for fishes under the restriction of Korean fisheries regulations. This study suggests the model that the price of fish is formed by its quantity, expenditure, and habit persistence. In economic literature, such a fishery market demand is called the inverse demand with dynamic habit persistence. Based upon a static differential price formation model, the paper has generalized it dynamically incorporating habit persistence effects. The empirical results show that all the species have values less than one and (-) sign of price flexibilities, thus being price inflexible. The estimated habit adjustment coefficients are significant at the level of 1%. Especially, TAC species have the smaller values of them than those of other main fish species. The contribution and results are summarized as follows. First, the fishery market demand has a strong dynamic effects from habit persistence. Second, the fishery market demand structure could be analyzed in a way different from the ordinary demand analysis, which is based upon price flexibility, scale flexibility, and cross adjustment flexibility. Third, the limitation of this paper is that it ignores the increasing stock effects by catching restrictions, thus raising consumers' benefit in the future.

  • PDF

Runoff Analysis of a Linear Reservoir Model by the Geomorphologic Response Characteristics (지형학적 수문응답특성에 의한 선형저수지 모델 해석)

  • 조홍제
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-126
    • /
    • 1987
  • A Synthetic unit hydrograph method was suggested for the representation of a direct runoff hydrograph with empirical geomorphologic laws and geomorphologic parameters by applying geomorphologic instantaneous unit hydrograph theory and Rossois results of application of GIUH theory to the Nash Model which is a linear reservoir model. The shape parameter m and scale parameter k can be derived by the Horton's empirical geomorphologic laws $R_A,R_B,R_L$ when ordered according to Strahler's ordering Scheme, main stream length and using the maximum velocity for the dynamic characteristics of a river basin, The derived response function was tested on some observed flood datas and showed promising. For the determination of the shape parameter m, eq. (16) was showed applying and m showed a good regression with the size of basin area.

  • PDF

Performance Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC 모형에서 동태적 상관계수 추정법의 효율성 비교)

  • Lee, Jiho;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1013-1024
    • /
    • 2015
  • We compare the performance of two representative estimation methods for the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH model. The first method is the pairwise estimation which exploits partial information from the paired series, irrespective to the time series dimension. The second is the multi-dimensional estimation that uses full information of the time series. As a simulation for the comparison, we generate a multivariate time series similar to those observed in real markets and construct a DCC GARCH model. As an empirical example, we constitute various portfolios using real KOSPI 200 sector indices and estimate volatility and VaR of the portfolios. Through the estimated dynamic correlations from the simulation and the estimated volatility and value at risk (VaR) of the portfolios, we evaluate the performance of the estimations. We observe that the multi-dimensional estimation tends to be superior to pairwise estimation; in addition, relatively-uncorrelated series can improve the performance of the multi-dimensional estimation.