• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Growth

검색결과 4,159건 처리시간 0.028초

Energy Consumption - Economic Growth Nexus in Vietnam: An ARDL Approach with a Structural Break

  • NGUYEN, Ha Minh;NGOC, Bui Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2020
  • Energy and energy consumption play an important role in strategies for socio-economic development of the country. In 1995, Vietnam officially entered the 500 kV North-South transmission power line exploits, with a full length of 1,487 km. The purpose of this study is to investigate the breakpoint and the transition effect of energy consumption to economic growth in Vietnam during the period of 1980-1994, and 1995-2016. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach and the Bounds test are used to test for the presence of cointegration, whereas the Toda and Yamamoto procedure Granger causality test is used for the direction of causality. The result of the Bounds test validates the existence of cointegration among the included variables. The empirical results provide evidence that energy consumption has a positive impact on the economic growth of Vietnam in the long run. The causality test shows that there is bi-directional causality between energy consumption and economic growth, supported feedback hypothesis. There is a breakpoint in 1995 and the contribution of energy consumption in economic growth in the period of 1995-2016 is lower than the stage 1980-1994. This study suggests Government authorities explore new sources of energy to achieve sustainable economic development in the long run.

Eurasian Economic Union: Asymmetries of Growth Factors

  • Khusainov, Bulat D.;Kireyeva, Anel A.;Sultanov, Ruslan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2017
  • The aim of the study is to assess the asymmetry of influence of factors of economic growth of national economies, which are included in the integration. Unlike previous research, the scientific significance of the obtained results consists in the use of a new method of study - external demand as a factor of economic growth, disaggregated into two components. The first is net exports mutual trade in goods within integration associations. The second is net exports of foreign trade in goods outside the integration. By use of these methods we have evaluated the contribution of these factors on economic growth of the Customs Union and the Common Economic Space (CU/CES), as well as Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus. In the conducted analysis of scientific research was based on the fact that the economies of the member (CU/CES) are very different in scale, economic potential and volume of foreign trade. Based on this research we conclude: integration is developing successfully and efficiently only with the rise of the national economies of the member countries; to enhance economic growth and competitiveness of the countries of the Eurasian integration it is necessary to increase the volume of mutual trade of member countries of this integration.

The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth: Evidence from Agricultural Countries

  • SIREGAR, Abi Pratiwa;WIDJANARKO, Nadila Puspa Arum
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2022
  • The study investigates the effect of trade openness on the economic growth of agricultural countries. The information of export, import, gross domestic product (GDP), Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), and population of 72 agrarian nations generated by the World Bank from 2011 until 2020 is used for data examination. Then, before panel data analysis, a preferred model is chosen from among common-effects, fixed-effects, and random effects. The best model turns out to be a fixed-effect model. The result reports that from 2011 to 2020; 16 out of 72 nations have succeeded in experiencing positive economic growth, the value of GFCF was US$ 2,859.04 billion, and later grew by 19 percent to US$ 3,393.73 billion, the population tends to increase continuously year by year, and 2 out of 72 countries experienced export plus import exceed their GDP. Moreover, trade openness is positively associated with economic growth, with a coefficient of 3.81. Besides that, an increase in GFCF may boost economic growth by approximately 3.32 percent. On the contrary, one percent additional population significantly delivers around 25.46 percent negative economic growth. To sum up, the higher intensity of products or services sold and bought abroad may enhance the economic performance.

Relative Effectiveness of Various Development Finance Flows: A Comparative Study

  • LEE, KYE WOO;HONG, MINJI
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.91-115
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to identify the most effective mode of development finance flows for the economic growth of middle-income developing and least developed countries, separately. It also attempts to confirm whether governance has any significant role in the causal relationship between development finance flows and economic growth. Policymakers in each developing country should select the most effective modality of development finance inflows among the different modalities (such as Official Development Assistance (ODA) grants, Official Development Assistance (ODA) loans, FDI, and international personal remittances) and expand it for their economic growth. Dynamic panel regression models were used on 48 least developed countries and 89 middle-income developing countries, respectively, during the Millennium Development Era: 2000-2015. The empirical analysis results show that ODA grants and remittances were most effective in promoting economic growth for least developed countries, while FDI was most effective for middle-income developing countries. These findings were not affected by the status of governance of the individual country.

Technology Innovation, Human Capital and R&D Effects on Economic Growth

  • Lim, Woo-Ri;Yi, Chae-Deug
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.201-219
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzes the economic effects of the S&T Innovation, R&D, human resources and investment on the economic growth using 18 countries. We have obtained the somewhat mixed results on the existence of unit root roots in variables. While most of Pedroni cointegration tests show that there are no panel cointegration among the variables, Kao cointegration test shows that there is the panel cointegration among the variables such as GDP, human capital, R&D investment and patent. Kao cointegration test result shows that human capital, R&D investment, patent economic growth seem to have the panel cointegration or the long-run relationship among them as a whole. The estimation results of individual OLS and panel estimation show that the human capital, R&D investment and technology innovation or patent had positively significant effects on economic growth or GDP.

The Nexus among Globalization, ICT and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis

  • Liu, Ximei;Latif, Zahid;Xiong, Daoqi;Yang, Mengke;Latif, Shahid;Wara, Kaif Ul
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.1044-1056
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    • 2021
  • Globalization has integrated the world through interaction among countries and people with the help of information and telecommunication technology (ICT). The rapid mode of globalization has put a new life in ICT and economic sector. The key focus of this study is to examine the nexus among the globalization, ICT and economic growth. This study uses autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL), vector error correction model (VECM) and econometric method spanning from 1990 to 2015. The empirical result highlights that the globalization stimulates economic growth of a country. In addition, both the internet penetration and the mobile phone usage contribute to the economic growth. Lastly, this article contributes important policy lessons on strengthening the economy by utilizing ICT with the rapid globalization.

지역의 산업구조 다양성이 지역경제에 미치는 영향분석 (Regional Industrial Diversity and Economic Growth and Employment Instability in Korea)

  • 김강성;송영필
    • 지역연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.23-43
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    • 1999
  • The strategy of regional industrial specialization is empirically evaluated by examining the relationship between regional industrial structures and economic performances. The regional industrial structure is measured by three industrial diversity indices such as ogive approach, entropy maximizing approach, and economic growth and employment instability in 12 regions is analyzed. According to the time series analysis, we found that the region with more diversified industrial structure experiences more stable in employment. Otherwise, the growth rate of the region with more simplified industrial structure is higher. Therefore, the strategy of industrial specialization is implemented in order to pursuit a rapid economic growth in the short run.

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경제성장 구조변화에 따른 전력소비 변화요인 연구 (A Study on the Changing Factors of the Electricity Consuming Pattern in accordance with the change in the Economic Growth Structure)

  • 이상철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.151-155
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    • 2005
  • An electricity consumption is closely related to the economic growth structure. The change of economic growth structure affects the pattern of electricity consumption widely and severely. This paper gives that the primary changing factors of electricity growth are economic growth, change of industry structure(the change of electricity consumption ratio in case of residential sector), and the effect of electricity saying. It gives a model to analyze the influence of GDP to the change of electricity consumption patterns by sector through the period of pre and post 1998(IMF, financial crisis) to observe the contribution of each factor to the growth of electricity demand. It is anticipated that this study shows the feasible scheme of economic structure to become the developed country.

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환경정책, 재분배정책, 경제성장에 관한 정치경제학적 분석 (A Political Economic Analysis of Environmental Policy, Redistributive Policy, and Economic Growth)

  • 김재훈
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.145-175
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 경제적 불평등이 정치적 의사결정과정을 통하여 환경정책과 재분배 정책에 어떻게 영향을 미치는지를 분석하고 있다. 정치과정을 배제한 경제적 균형에서는 환경정책(배출세)의 도입이 미도입시와 비교하여 경제성장률의 상승을 가져올 수 있지만 그 효과에 불확실성이 존재함을 보이고 있다. 이와 달리 정치경제적 균형에서는 경제적 불평등도의 변화에 따라 환경정책과 재분배정책의 선택이 달라지는 것을 보이고, 그러한 정책 선택이 경제성장에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 있다. 보다 구체적으로 경제적 불평등도가 일정 수준으로 개선되어야 환경정책이 도입되고, 환경정책의 도입은 보다 강화된 재분배정책의 요구로 이어져 단기적으로 경제성장에 부정적인 영향을 줄 수 있음을 보이고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 정치경제적 분석을 기초로 정책적 함의를 논의하고 있다.

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외국인 직접투자와 경제성장에 대한 다국가 분석 (Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Analysis)

  • 정동원;정경호
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제18권10호
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    • pp.588-596
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    • 2017
  • 외국인 직접투자가 개발도상국가들의 경제성장에 매우 중요하다고 많은 정책입안자들과 학자들이 주장하고 있음에도 불구하고 외국인 직접투자 유입과 경제 성장 간의 긍정적인 관계에 대해서는 보편적인 합의가 이루어지지 않고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 많은 개발도상국들이 자국의 경제성장을 위하여 적극적으로 외국인 직접투자를 유치하고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 1995년부터 2009년까지의 88개 개발도상국가들의 자료를 활용하여 외국인 직접투자와 경제성장 간의 관계를 실증분석 한다. 분석에 사용된 국가들은 소득수준이 높은 선진국, 석유 생산국가 그리고 가용 가능한 자료가 부족한 국가들을 제외하였다. 분석에 적용된 모형은 솔로우 모형으로 본 모형은 외국인 직접투자뿐만 아니라 실물자본, 인구증가, 인적자본을 동시에 고려하였다. 분석 결과, 외국인직접투자는 개발도상국의 경제성장에 긍정적인 역할을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 뿐만 아니라 실물자본, 인적자본 모두 개발도상국가들의 경제에 긍정적인 영향을 미치고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 개발도상국들은 외국인 직접투자를 통해 효율적으로 경제성장을 위하여 도로, 철도, 전력, 병원과 같은 사회간접자본에 대한 투자와 인적자본에 대한 투자가 필요한 것으로 보인다.