• Title/Summary/Keyword: Early warning

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A Study on Early Warning Model in the Dry Bulk Shipping Industry by Signal Approach (신호접근법을 이용한 건화물시장 해운조기경보모형에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-No;KIm, Ga-Hyun;Ryoo, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2018
  • Maritime industry is affected by outside factors significantly due to its derivative demand characteristics. However, the supply side can not react to these changes immediately and due to this uniqueness, maritime industry repeats the boom-bust cycle. Therefore the government itself needs to operate early warning system in order to monitor the market and notice the upcoming risks by setting up a system to prepare for the situations. In this research, signal approach is used to establish early warning system. Overall leading index is composed of crisis index that is based on BDI(Baltic Dry Index) and various leading indexes such as finance, economy, shipping and the others. As a result of computing overall leading index which is early warning system in maritime through signal approach, the index showed a high correlation coefficient with actual maritime risk index by difference of 4 months. Also, the result was highly accurate with overall leading index's QPS(Quadratic Probability Score) at 0.37.

Improvements of Unit System for nationwide expansion of Early Warning Service for Agrometeorological Disaster (농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 전국 확대를 위한 단위 시스템의 개선)

  • Park, Joo Hueon;Shin, Yong Soon;Shim, Kyo-Moon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.356-365
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    • 2021
  • The nationwide expansion of the agricultural early warning service for agrometeorological disaster would require assessment of geographical and agricultural environmental characteristics by individual region. The development of an efficient computing environment would facilitate such services for the area of study region to deal with various crops and varieties for many farms. In particular, the design of the computing environment would have a considerable impact on the service quality of agriculture meteorology when the scale of computing environments increases for extended service areas. The objectives of this study were to derive the issues on the current computing environment under which services are provided by each region and to seek the solutions to these problems. The self-evaluation through experimental operation for about a year indicated that integration of the early warning service system distributed over different regions would reduce redundant computing procedures and ensure efficient storage and comprehensive management of data. This suggested that the early warning service for agrometeorological disaster would become more stable even when the service areas are to be expanded to the national scale. This would contribute to higher quality services for individual farmers.

Design and Implementation of Early Warning Monitoring System for Cross-border Mining in Open-pit Mines (노천광산의 월경 채굴 조기경보 모니터링시스템의 설계 및 구현)

  • Li Ke;Byung-Won Min
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2024
  • For the scenario of open pit mining, at present, manual periodic verification is mainly carried out in China with the help of video surveillance, which requires continuous investment in labor cost and has poor timeliness. In order to solve this difficult problem of early warning and monitoring, this paper researches a spatialized algorithmic model and designs an early warning system for open-pit mine transboundary mining, which is realized by calculating the coordinate information of the mining and extracting equipments and comparing it with the layer coordinates of the approval range of the mines in real time, so as to realize the determination of the transboundary mining behavior of the mines. By taking the Pingxiang area of Jiangxi Province as the research object, after the field experiment, it shows that the system runs stably and reliably, and verifies that the target tracking accuracy of the system is high, which can effectively improve the early warning capability of the open-pit mines' overstepping the boundary, improve the timeliness and accuracy of mine supervision, and reduce the supervision cost.

Rapid Earthquake Location for Earthquake Early Warning (지진조기경보를 위한 신속 진앙위치 결정)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Rydelek, Paul A.;Suk, Bong-Chool
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2008
  • Economic growth, industrialization and urbanization have made society more vulnerable than ever to seismic hazard in Korea. Although Korea has not experienced severe damage due to earthquakes during the last few decades, there is little doubt of the potential for large earthquakes in Korea as documented in the historical literature. As we see no immediate promise of short-term earthquake prediction with current science and technology, earthquake early warning systems attract more and more attention as a practical measure to mitigate damage from earthquakes. Earthquake early warning systems provide a few seconds to tens of seconds of warning time before the onset of strong ground shaking. To achieve rapid earthquake location, we propose to take full advantage of information from existing seismic networks; by using P wave arrival times at two nearest stations from the earthquake hypocenter and also information that P waves have not yet arrived at other stations. Ten earthquakes in the Korean peninsula and its vicinity are selected for the feasibility study. We observed that location results are not reliable when earthquakes occur outside of the seismic network. Earthquakes inside the seismic network, however, can be located very rapidly for the purpose of earthquake early warning. Seoul metropolitan area may secure $10{\sim}50$ seconds of warning time before any strong shaking starts for certain events. Carefully orchestrated actions during the given warning time should be able to reduce hazard and mitigate damages due to potentially disastrous earthquakes.

A study on the Design and the Performance Analysis of Radar Data Integrating Systems for a Early Warning System (조기경보 체제를 위한 통합 레이다 정보처리 시스템의 설계 및 성능분석에 관한 연구)

  • 이상웅;라극환;조동래
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.29A no.11
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 1992
  • Due to the data processing development by the computer, the early warning system recently has made a remarkable evolution in its functions and performance as a component of the communication and control system which is also supported by the computer communication and intelligence system. In this paper it is presented that a integrated data processing system is designed to integrate the information sent from the various radar systems which constitute an early warning system. The suggested system model of this paper is devided into two types of structures, the centralized model and the distributed model, according to the data processing algorithm. We apply the queueing theory to analyse the performance of the designed models and the OPNET system kernel to make the analysing program with C language. From the analysis of the queueing components by applying the analysis programs to the designed systems, we got the tendancies and characteristics of both models, that is, a fast data processing performance of the distributed model and a stable data processing capability of the centralized model.

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Establishment of Early Warning System of Steep Slope Failure Using Real-time Rainfall Data Analysis (실시간 강우자료분석을 활용한 산사태 경보시스템 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Wook;Choi, Eun-Kyoung;Park, Dug-Keun;Park, Jung-Hoon;Son, Sung-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.09a
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2010
  • In this study, localized heavy rainfall occurred during the collapse of steep slopes adjacent to the construction site and to ensure the safety of residents to build an early warning system was performed. Forecast/Alert range was estimated based on vulnerability landslide map and past disaster history. And established a critical line in consideration of the characteristics of local rainfall and operating a snake line, the study calculated causing and non-causing points. Also, be measured in real-time analysis of rainfall data in conjunction with the system before the steep slope failure occurred forecast/Alert System is presented.

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Study on Development of Insulation Degradation Diagnosis System for Electrical Transformer (변압기 절연열화진단 시스템개발에 관한 고찰)

  • 김이곤;유권종;김서영;조용섭;박봉서;최시영;심상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 2001
  • Insulation aging diagnosis system provides early warning regarding electrical equipment defect. Early warning is very important in that it can avoid great losses resulting from unexpected shutdown of the production line. Since relations of insulation aging and partial discharge dynamics are non-linear, it is very difficult to provide early warning in an electrical equipment. In this paper, we propose the design method of insulation aging diagnosis system that use a magnetic wave and acoustic signal to diagnoses an electrical equipment. Proposed system measures the partial discharge on-line from DAS(Data Acquisition System) and acquires 2D patterns from analyzing it. For filtering the noise contained in sensor signals we used ICA algorithms. Using this data, design of the neuro-fuzzy model that diagnoses an electrical equipment is investigated. Validity of the new method is asserted by numerical simulation.

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Development of an Early Warning System based on Artificial Intelligence (인공지능기법을 이용한 외환위기 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Kwon, Byeung-Chun;Cho, Nam-Wook
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2012
  • To effectively predict financial crisis, this paper presents an early warning system based on artificial intelligence technologies. Both Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks are utilized for the proposed system. First, a genetic algorithm has been developed for the effective selection of economic indices, which are used for monitoring financial crisis. Then, an optimum weight of the selected indices has been determined by a neural network method. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed system, a series of experiments has been conducted by using the Korean economic indices from 2005 to 2008.

Development of Insulation Degradation Diagnosis System for Electrical Plant

  • Kim, Yi-Gon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2002
  • Insulation aging diagnosis system provides early warning regarding electrical equipment defects. Early warning is very important in that it can avoid great losses resulting from unexpected shutdown of the production line. Since relations of insulation aging and partial discharge dynamics are non-linear. it is very difficult to provide early warning in an electrical equipment. In this paper, we propose the design method of insulation aging diagnosis system that use a electromagnetic wave and acoustic signal to diagnose an electrical equipment. Proposed system measures the partial discharge on-line from DAS(Data Acquisition System and acquires 2D patterns from analyzing it. For filtering the noise contained in sensor signals we used ICA algorithms. Using this data, we design of the neuro-fuzzy model that diagnoses an electrical equipment and is investigated in this paper. Validity of the new method is asserted by numerical simulation.

An Early Warning Model for Student Status Based on Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Radial Basis Kernel Support Vector Machine

  • Hui Li;Qixuan Huang;Chao Wang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2024
  • A model based on genetic algorithm optimization, GA-SVM, is proposed to warn university students of their status. This model improves the predictive effect of support vector machines. The genetic optimization algorithm is used to train the hyperparameters and adjust the kernel parameters, kernel penalty factor C, and gamma to optimize the support vector machine model, which can rapidly achieve convergence to obtain the optimal solution. The experimental model was trained on open-source datasets and validated through comparisons with random forest, backpropagation neural network, and GA-SVM models. The test results show that the genetic algorithm-optimized radial basis kernel support vector machine model GA-SVM can obtain higher accuracy rates when used for early warning in university learning.