• Title/Summary/Keyword: EPDO Accident Rate

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Development of the U-turn Accident Model at 4-Legged Signalized Intersections in Urban Areas (도시부 4지 신호교차로 유턴 사고모형 개발)

  • Kang, JongHo;Kim, KyungWhan;Ha, ManBok;Kim, SeongMun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop the U-turn accident model at 4-legged signalized intersections in urban areas. METHODS : In order to analyze the characteristics of the accidents which are associated with U-turn operation at 4-legged signalized intersections in urban areas and develop an U-turn accident model by regression analysis, the tests of overdispersion and zero-inflation are conducted about the dependent variables of number of accidents and EPDO (Equivalent Property Damage Only). RESULTS : As their results, the Poisson model fits best for number of accident and the ZIP (Zero Inflated Poisson) fits best for EPOD, the variables of conflict traffic, width of opposing road, traffic passing speed are adopted as independent variable for both models. The variables of number of bus berths and rate of U-turn signal time at which the U-turn is permitted are adopted as independent variable only for EPDO. CONCLUSIONS : These study results suggest that U-turn would be permitted at the intersection where the width of opposing road is wider than 11.9 meters, the passing vehicle speed is not high and U-turn operation is not hindered by the buses stopping at bus stops.

Correlation Analysis and Estimation Modeling Between Road Environmental Factors and Traffic Accidents (The Case of a 4-legged Signalized Intersections in Cheongju) (도로환경요인과 교통사고의 상관분석 및 사고추정모형 개발 (청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로))

  • Park, Jeong-Sun;Kim, Tae-Yeong;Yu, Du-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.2 s.95
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a traffic characteristic analysis, a correlation analysis with the variables of traffic characteristics, and accident estimation models while recognizing the seriousness of the traffic accidents. The analyses deal with the 181 4-legged signalized intersections that accounted for 1,183 out of 3,115 accidents in Cheongju in 2004. After measuring ADT, intersection area, average lane width, elevation, and other items as independent variables and the number of traffic accidents, the traffic accident rate (accidents per million entering vehicles) and equivalent property damage only (EPDO) figures as dependent variables which are estimated as influencing signalized intersection accidents, the estimation models are developed using correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis. In the analysis of the number of traffic accidents, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.612, and five independent variables are taken as significant factors. In the analysis of traffic accident rates, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.304 and five significant factors, including intersection area and ADT. Also, for the analysis or the EPDO numbers, which coincides with understanding the seriousness of the traffic accidents and the traffic characteristic analysis, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.559, and four independent variables (ADT, main street average lane width, elevation, and speed limit) as significant factors.

Level of Service of Signalized Intersections Considering both Delay and Accidents (지체와 사고를 고려한 신호교차로 서비스수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je-Jin;Park, Seong-Yong;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2008
  • Level of Service (LOS) is one of ways to evaluate operational conditions. It is very important factor in evaluation especially for the facility of highways. However, some studies proved that ${\upsilon}/c$ ratio and accident rate is appeared like a second function which has a U-form. It means there is a gap between LOS and safety of highway facilities. Therefore, this study presents a method for evaluation of a signalized intersection which is considered both smooth traffic operation (delay) and traffic safety (accident). Firstly, as a result of our research, accident rates and EPDO are decreased when it has a big delay. In that reason, it is necessary to make a new Level of Service included traffic safety. Secondly, this study has developed a negative binominal regression model which is based on the relation between accident patterns and stream. Thirdly, standards of LOS are presented which is originated from calculation between annual delay costs and annual accident cost at each intersection. Lastly, worksheet form is presented as an expression to an estimation step of a signalized intersection with traffic accident prediction model and new LOS.

Traffic Accident Models of 3-Legged Signalized Intersections in the Case of Cheongju (3지 신호교차로의 교통사고 발생모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Uk;Kim, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents at the 3-legged signalized intersections in Cheongu. The goals are to analyze the geometric, traffic and operational conditions of intersections and to develop a various functional forms that predict the accidents. The models are developed through the correlation analysis, the multiple linear, the multiple nonlinear, Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. In this study, two multiple linear, two multiple nonlinear and two negative binomial regression models were calibrated. These models were all analyzed to be statistically significant. All the models include 2 common variables(traffic volume and lane width) and model-specific variables. These variables are, therefore, evaluated to be critical to the accident reduction of Cheongju.

A Study of the Analysis on the Accident Reduction Effect of the Median (중앙분리대의 사고감소효과 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 김경석;강승림
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2003
  • A median is a safety feature most commonly used to separate opposing traffic on a divided highway. In designing highways, the selection and installation of a median can be a critical part from a safety viewpoint because road crossing accidents are definitely more serious than other accidents. In regard to the important function of the median. the proper countermeasure ought to have been provided and thorough study should have been carried out. In this paper, traffic accident data are analyzed to examine the accident reduction effect of the median, which are gathered from all over 4-lane national roads in Korea. The traffic accident data were categorized into two groups by the existence of a median. For more effective analysis, the data have been classified by accident type, severity. and occurrence time. To compare the effectiveness of median installation, not only the accident frequency but also the accident severity, EPDO. and the occupancy rate of specific accidents have been used as a mode of effectiveness. The analysis of the effectiveness of medians shows that both the accident frequency and the accident severity could decrease by providing a median. Also the section where a median was supplied showed the improvement of overall safety through fewer serious and fatal crashes as well as fewer head-on crashes. Therefore, conclusions can be drawn from results of this study that the median installation is an important means to increase the safety of over 4-lane national roads. This study is expected to provide the reasonability of the median installation by identifying the reduction of traffic accident after the median installation and to play a major role in selecting sections where the median is to be offered.

Simultaneous Equation Models for Evaluating Roundabout Accidents According to Different Driving Types (연립방정식을 이용한 운전유형별 회전교차로 사고모형)

  • Kim, Kyung Hwan;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2012
  • This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within roundabouts. The objective was to develop roundabout accident models for different driving types by using simultaneous equations. In pursuing the above, this study used a statistical program SPSS 17.0 to accommodate data from 148 accidents occurred within 39 roundabouts of Korea. In addition, the 2SLS(2 stage least square) estimation method was adopted to calibrate the models. The main results are as follows. First, both the number of accidents and the EPDO were evaluated to have bilateral relationships. Second, all 6 different simultaneous equation models according to driving types were found to be statistically significant. Third, the developed models were compared to each other with respect to either common or specific variables. Finally, variables such as ADT, conflicting rate, heavy vehicle ratio, circulatory roadway width, number of circulatory roadway lane, approach lane width, average approach lanes, parking places, and bus stops were selected as independent variables for the models.

Analysis of Traffic Accidents at Unsignalized Intersections in case of Cheongju (비신호교차로의 교통사고 분석 (청주시를 사례로))

  • Park, Byeong-Ho;Kim, Hui-Sik;Im, Min-Hui;Park, Sang-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2007
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents at the unsignalized intersections in Cheongju. The purpose is to analyze the characters and the relations between road environmental factors and traffic accidents. The correlation analyses among the above factors show that the accidents are strongly related to traffic volumes and sight distances in 3-legged, and the cross angles, maximum vertical grades and sight distances in 4-legged unsignalized intersections. Also the multiple linear and nonlinear regression analyses represent that the accidents in the 3-legged increase as the traffic volume and the number of double stop-lines increase, and that the accidents in the 4-legged increase as the cross angle approaches to the 90 degree and decrease as the maximum vertical grade increases. It could be expected that this results give the good implications to the future intersection improvement projects in Cheongju.

A Study of Main-Road Analysis for Efficient Road Management : Focusing on the Chungcheong Area (효율적 도로관리를 위한 핵심도로망 분석에 관한 연구 : 충청권을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Min-Joon;Oh, Ju Taek;Park, Joon Seok
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.132-145
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes the main road network for road users to manage roads efficiently and derives problematic road sections to be improved. Traditional road management has been operated by manager-oriented view and a diversified road management system based on congestion. Therefore, in this research, the mail road Network was selected from the viewpoint of passenger-oriented, logistics-oriented and tourism-oriented, and the problematic road sections were derived through Level Of Service (LOS) analysis, safety analysis using EPDO accident rate, and network service analysis. This study emphasizes the efficient user-oriented road construction and management system and the need of constructing a mail road network, and it suggests the improvement strategies.