• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic accuracy estimation

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A Fuzzy Logic Based Software Development Cost Estimation Model with improved Accuracy

  • Shrabani Mallick;Dharmender Singh Kushwaha
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2024
  • Software cost and schedule estimation is usually based on the estimated size of the software. Advanced estimation techniques also make use of the diverse factors viz, nature of the project, staff skills available, time constraints, performance constraints, technology required and so on. Usually, estimation is based on an estimation model prepared with the help of experienced project managers. Estimation of software cost is predominantly a crucial activity as it incurs huge economic and strategic investment. However accurate estimation still remains a challenge as the algorithmic models used for Software Project planning and Estimation doesn't address the true dynamic nature of Software Development. This paper presents an efficient approach using the contemporary Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) augmented with the desirable feature of fuzzy logic to address the uncertainty and flexibility associated with the cost drivers (Effort Multiplier Factor). The approach has been validated and interpreted by project experts and shows convincing results as compared to simple algorithmic models.

An effective online delay estimation method based on a simplified physical system model for real-time hybrid simulation

  • Wang, Zhen;Wu, Bin;Bursi, Oreste S.;Xu, Guoshan;Ding, Yong
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1247-1267
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    • 2014
  • Real-Time Hybrid Simulation (RTHS) is a novel approach conceived to evaluate dynamic responses of structures with parts of a structure physically tested and the remainder parts numerically modelled. In RTHS, delay estimation is often a precondition of compensation; nonetheless, system delay may vary during testing. Consequently, it is sometimes necessary to measure delay online. Along these lines, this paper proposes an online delay estimation method using least-squares algorithm based on a simplified physical system model, i.e., a pure delay multiplied by a gain reflecting amplitude errors of physical system control. Advantages and disadvantages of different delay estimation methods based on this simplified model are firstly discussed. Subsequently, it introduces the least-squares algorithm in order to render the estimator based on Taylor series more practical yet effective. As a result, relevant parameter choice results to be quite easy. Finally in order to verify performance of the proposed method, numerical simulations and RTHS with a buckling-restrained brace specimen are carried out. Relevant results show that the proposed technique is endowed with good convergence speed and accuracy, even when measurement noises and amplitude errors of actuator control are present.

Dynamic Determination of IMM Mode Transition Probability for Multi-Radar Tracking (다중 레이더 추적을 위한 IMM 모드 천이 확률의 동적 결정)

  • Jeon, Dae-Keun;Eun, Yeon-Ju;Ko, Hyun;Yeom, Chan-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2010
  • A method is presented of dynamic determination of mode transition probability for IMM in order to improve the accuracy performance of maneuvering target tracking for air traffic control surveillance processing system under multiple radar environment. It is shown that dynamic determination of mode transition probability based on the time intervals between the data input from multiple radars gives the optimized performance in terms of position estimation accuracy.

LiPB Battery SOC Estimation Using Extended Kalman Filter Improved with Variation of Single Dominant Parameter

  • Windarko, Novie Ayub;Choi, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes the State-of-charge (SOC) estimator of a LiPB Battery using the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). EKF can work properly only with an accurate model. Therefore, the high accuracy electrical battery model for EKF state is discussed in this paper, which is focused on high-capacity LiPB batteries. The battery model is extracted from a single cell of LiPB 40Ah, 3.7V. The dynamic behavior of single cell battery is modeled using a bulk capacitance, two series RC networks, and a series resistance. The bulk capacitance voltage represents the Open Circuit Voltage (OCV) of battery and other components represent the transient response of battery voltage. The experimental results show the strong relationship between OCV and SOC without any dependency on the current rates. Therefore, EKF is proposed to work by estimating OCV, and then is converted it to SOC. EKF is tested with the experimental data. To increase the estimation accuracy, EKF is improved with a single dominant varying parameter of bulk capacitance which follows the SOC value. Full region of SOC test is done to verify the effectiveness of EKF algorithm. The test results show the error of estimation can be reduced up to max 5%SOC.

FFT-Based Position Estimation in Switched Reluctance Motor Drives

  • Ha, Keunsoo;Kim, Jaehyuck;Choi, Jang Young
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.90-100
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    • 2014
  • Position estimation that uses only active phase voltage and current is presented, to perform high accuracy position sensorless control of a SRM drive. By extracting the amplitude of the first switching harmonic terms of phase voltage and current for a PWM period through Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), the flux-linkage and position are estimated without external hardware circuitry, such as a modulator and demodulator, which result in increased cost, as well as large position estimation error, produced when the motional back EMF is ignored near zero speed. A two-phase SRM drive system, consisting of an asymmetrical converter and a conventional closed-loop PI current controller, is utilized to validate the performance of the proposed position estimation scheme in comprehensive operating conditions. It is shown that the estimated values very closely track the actual values, in dynamic simulations and experiments.

AN INVERSTIGATION OF THE DYNAMIC ERRORS OF THE REMOTE-INSTANTANEOUS FLOWRATE MEASUREMENT DUE TO PARAMETER CHANGES

  • Kim, Do-Tae;Yokota, Shinichi;Nakano, Kazuo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10b
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    • pp.1712-1717
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    • 1991
  • The paper describes estimation errors of unsteady flowrate measurements due to parameter changes in a quasi-remote instantaneous flowrate measurement method (abbreviate as QIFM) and an instantaneous flowrate measurement method using two points pressure measurements (abbreviate as TPFM). By introducing error performance index, the influence of parameter changes on the accuracy, and dynamic response of the estimated unsteady flowrate are evaluated. Of four parameters, the variation of the length of the pipeline and speed of sound produce large errors in the estimated unsteady flowrate during transient periods. The effect of kinematic viscosity of the working fluid(oil) is relatively insensitive in unsteady flowrate estimation.

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An Evaluation Method of Taekwondo Poomsae Performance

  • Thi Thuy Hoang;Heejune Ahn
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we formulated a method that evaluates Taekwondo Poomsae performance using a series of choreographed training movements. Despite recent achievements in 3D human pose estimation (HPE) performance, the analysis of human actions remains challenging. In particular, Taekwondo Poomsae action analysis is challenging owing to the absence of time synchronization data and necessity to compare postures, rather than directly relying on joint locations owing to differences in human shapes. To address these challenges, we first decomposed human joint representation into joint rotation (posture) and limb length (body shape), then synchronized a comparison between test and reference pose sequences using DTW (dynamic time warping), and finally compared pose angles for each joint. Experimental results demonstrate that our method successfully synchronizes test action sequences with the reference sequence and reflects a considerable gap in performance between practitioners and professionals. Thus, our method can detect incorrect poses and help practitioners improve accuracy, balance, and speed of movement.

Identification of ARMAX Model and Linear Estimation Algorithm for Structural Dynamic Characteristics Analysis (구조동특성해석을 위한 ARMAX 모형의 식별과 선형추정 알고리즘)

  • Choe, Eui-Jung;Lee, Sang-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.178-187
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    • 1999
  • In order to identify a transfer function model with noise, penalty function method has been widely used. In this method, estimation process for possible model parameters from low to higher order proceeds the model identification process. In this study, based on linear estimation method, a new approach unifying the estimation and the identification of ARMAX model is proposed. For the parameter estimation of a transfer function model with noise, linear estimation method by noise separation is suggested instead of nonlinear estimation method. The feasibility of the proposed model identification and estimation method is verified through simulations, namely by applying the method to time series model. In the case of time series model with noise, the proposed method successfully identifies the transfer function model with noise without going through model parameter identification process in advance. A new algorithm effectively achieving model identification and parameter estimation in unified frame has been proposed. This approach is different from the conventional method used for identification of ARMAX model which needs separate parameter estimation and model identification processes. The consistency and the accuracy of the proposed method has been verified through simulations.

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A stochastic finite element method for dynamic analysis of bridge structures under moving loads

  • Liu, Xiang;Jiang, Lizhong;Xiang, Ping;Lai, Zhipeng;Zhang, Yuntai;Liu, Lili
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.82 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2022
  • In structural engineering, the material properties of the structures such as elastic modulus, shear modulus, density, and size may not be deterministic and may vary at different locations. The dynamic response analysis of such structures may need to consider these properties as stochastic. This paper introduces a stochastic finite element method (SFEM) approach to analyze moving loads problems. Firstly, Karhunen-Loéve expansion (KLE) is applied for expressing the stochastic field of material properties. Then the mathematical expression of the random field is substituted into the finite element model to formulate the corresponding random matrix. Finally, the statistical moment of the dynamic response is calculated by the point estimation method (PEM). The accuracy and efficiency of the dynamic response obtained from the KLE-PEM are demonstrated by the example of a moving load passing through a simply supported Euler-Bernoulli beam, in which the material properties (including elastic modulus and density) are considered as random fields. The results from the KLE-PEM are compared with those from the Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the proposed method of KLE-PEM has high accuracy and efficiency. By using the proposed SFEM, the random vertical deflection of a high-speed railway (HSR) bridge is analyzed by considering the random fields of material properties under the moving load of a train.

Across-wind dynamic loads on L-shaped tall buildings

  • Li, Yi;Li, Qiu-Sheng
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.385-403
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    • 2016
  • The across-wind dynamic loads on L-shaped tall buildings with various geometric dimensions were investigated through a series of wind tunnel testing. The lift coefficients, power spectral densities and vertical correlation coefficients of the across-wind loads were analyzed and discussed in details. Taking the side ratio and terrain category as key variables, empirical formulas for estimating the across-wind dynamic loads on L-shaped tall buildings were proposed on the basis of the wind tunnel testing results. Comparisons between the predictions by the empirical formulas and the wind tunnel test results were made to verify the accuracy and applicability of the proposed formulas. Moreover, a simplified procedure to evaluate the across-wind dynamic loads on L-shaped tall buildings was derived from the proposed formulas. This study aims to provide a simple and reliable way for the estimation of across-wind dynamic loads on L-shaped tall buildings.