• Title/Summary/Keyword: Duration Estimation

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Regional Drought Frequency Analysis of Monthly Precipitation with L-Moments Method in Nakdong River Basin (L-Moments법에 의한 낙동강유역 월강우량의 지역가뭄빈도해석)

  • 김성원
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.431-441
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the regional frequency analysis is used to determine each subbasin drought frequency with reliable monthly precipitation and the L-Moments method which is almost unbiased and has very nearly a normal distribution is used for the parameter estimation of monthly precipitation time series in Nakdong river basin. As the result of this study, the duration of '93-'94 is most severe drought year than any other water year and the drought frequency is established as compared the regional frequency analysis result of cumulative precipitation of 12th duration months in each subbasin with that of 12th duration months in the major drought duration. The Linear regression equation is induced according to linear regression analysis of drought frequency between Nakdong total basin and each subbasin of the same drought duration. Therefore, as the foundation of this study, it can be applied proposed method and procedure of this study to the water budget analysis considering safety standards for the design of impounding facilities large-scale river basin and for this purpose, above all, it is considered that expansion of reliable preciptation data is needed in watershed rainfall station.

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Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation in Thailand Using Geographic Information System

  • Kingpaiboon, Sununtha;Netwong, Titiya
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.804-806
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    • 2003
  • Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is essential in the design of hydraulic structures such as dams, weirs and flood control structures. Up to the present, PMP has been derived from any proper single storm which can have a large error. PMP values should be evaluated from many historic heavy storm events from all over the country. Since this can be done at the spots of storm occurring and the calculated PMP from all spots in the country can be correlated. The objectives of this study are therefore to evaluate PMP from historic heavy storm data from 1972 to 2000 by using meteorological method, then to correlate and to present the results using GIS. The maximized rainfall depths can be calculate from depth of heavy rainfall and dew point temperature, and then can be analyzed for each rainfall duration to obtain spatial rainfall distribution by using GIS. The depth-area-duration relationship of maximized rainfall can be obtained and this helps to develop enveloped curves . The results from this study are a set of contour maps of PMP for each rainfall duration for all over the country and the depth-area-duration relationships for the area of 100 to 50,000 km.$^{2}$ at duration of 1, 2 and 3 days.

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Flood Estimation Using Critical Storm Duration (임계지속시간을 고려한 설계홍수량 추정)

  • Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Seung-Woo;Koo, Jee-Hee;Her, Young-Ku
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.300-305
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    • 2001
  • The objectives of the thesis are to estimate flood using critical storm duration. The hydrological models were tested with field data from two small watersheds. The hydrological parameters were defined using the GIS system. And the results from different peak runoff equations and hydrologic models were found to simulate runoff hydrographs that are comparative to the observed.

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On the influence of strong-ground motion duration on residual displacement demands

  • Ruiz-Garcia, Jorge
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.327-344
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    • 2010
  • This paper summarizes results of a comprehensive analytical study aimed at evaluating the influence of strong ground motion duration on residual displacement demands of single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) and multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems. For that purpose, two sets of 20 earthquake ground motions representative of short-duration and long-duration records were considered in this investigation. While the influence of strong ground motion duration was evaluated through constant-strength residual displacement ratios, $C_r$, computed from the nonlinear response of elastoplastic SDOF systems, its effect on the amplitude and height-wise distribution of residual drift demands in MDOF systems was studied from the response of three one-bay two-dimensional generic frame models. In this investigation, an inelastic ground motion intensity measure was employed to scale each record, which allowed reducing the record-to-record variability in the estimation of residual drift demands. From the results obtained in this study, it was found that long strong-motion duration records might trigger larger median $C_r$ ratios for SDOF systems having short-to-medium period of vibration than short strong-motion duration records. However, taking into account the large record-to-record variability of $C_r$, it was found that strong motion duration might not be statistically significant for most of the combinations of period of vibration and levels of lateral strength considered in this study. In addition, strong motion duration does not have a significant influence on the amplitude of peak residual drift demands in MDOF systems, but records having long strong-motion duration tend to increase residual drift demands in the upper stories of long-period generic frames.

Recommendation of I-D Criterion for Steep-Slope Failure Estimation Considering Rainfall Infiltration Mechanism (강우침투 메커니즘을 이용한 급경사지 붕괴예측 I-D 기준식 제안)

  • Song, Young-Karb;Kim, Young-Uk;Kim, Dong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2013
  • The natural disaster occurrences and the loss of lives caused by the steep-slope failures in Korea were investigated in this study. The investigation includes the frequency rate of the steep-slope failures with respect to the characteristics of precipitation, underlying bedrock, and weathered soils. Analysis on the problems in the existing estimation methods of steep-slope failure was also undertaken, and a new model using unsaturated infinite slope stability was developed for the better slope failure estimation. The slope analyses by the newly developed model were performed considering unsaturated infinite slope, the gradient of slope, and hydro/mechanical properties of soils. Steep-slope failure estimation criterion is proposed based on the analysis results. In addition, the precipitation amount corresponding to warning stages against steep-slope failure is provided as an equation of Intensity-Duration criterion.

Development of Long Term Flow Duration Curves for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Loads - in the Nakdong River Basin - (수질오염총량관리 단위유역 장기유황곡선 구축 -낙동강수계를 대상으로-)

  • Kim, Gyeong hoon;Kwon, Heon gak;Ahn, Jung min;Kim, Sanghun;Im, Tae hyo;Shin, Dong seok;Jung, Kang-Young
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.8
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    • pp.939-953
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    • 2017
  • For the development of flow duration curves for the management of 41 Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) units of the Nakdong River basin, first, an equation for estimating daily flow rates as well as the level of correlation (correlation and determination coefficients) was extrapolated through regression analysis of discrete (Ministry of Environment) and continuous (Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transportation) measurement data. The equation derived from the analysis was used to estimate daily flow rates in order to develop flow duration curves for each TMDL unit. By using the equation, the annual flow duration curves and flow curves, for the entire period and for each TMDL unit of the basin, were developed to be demonstrated in this research. Standard flow rates (abundant-, ordinary-, low- and drought flows) for major flow duration periods were calculated based on the annual flow duration curves. Then, the flow rates, based on percentile ranks of exceedance probabilities (5, 25, 50, 75, and 95%), were calculated according to the flow duration curves for the entire period and are suggested in this research. These results can be used for feasibility assessment of the set values of primary and secondary standard flow rates for each river system, which are derived from complicated models. In addition, they will also be useful for the process of implementing TMDL management, including evaluation of the target level of water purity based on load duration curves.

Statistical Estimation of Typhoon-Induced Rainfall around Korean Peninsular (한반도의 태풍 동반 강우의 통계적 예측)

  • Ku, Hye-Yun;Lee, Sung-Su;Lee, Young-Kyu
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.93-96
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    • 2008
  • Considering the loss due to typhoon is increasing, estimation and analysis of a typhoon's influence has become more important. On this basis, the statistical models were presented in this paper by two principal elements. Comparisons between the estimated rainfall rate of these models and the observed value in the duration of Typhoon NARI(2007) were analyzed to confirm the availability of these models.

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Analysis of Relationship Between Meteorological Parameters and Solar Radiation at Cheongju (청주지역의 기상요소와 일사량과의 상관관계 분석)

  • Baek, Shin Chul;Shin, Hyoung Sub;Park, Jong Hwa
    • KCID journal
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2012
  • Information of local solar radiation is essential for many field, including water resources management, crop yield estimation, crop growth model, solar energy systems and irrigation and drainage design. Unfortunately, solar radiation measurements are not easily available due to the cost and maintenance and calibration requirements of the measuring equipment and station. Therefore, it is important to elaborate methods to estimate the solar radiation based on readily available meteorological data. In this study, two empirical equations are employed to estimate daily solar radiation using Cheongju Regional Meteorological Office data. Two scenarios are considered: (a) sunshine duration data are available for a given location, or (b) only daily cloudiness index records exist. Simple linear regression with daily sunshine duration and cloudiness index as the dependent variable accounted for 91% and 80%, respectively of the variation of solar radiation(H) at 2011. Daily global solar radiation is highly correlated with sunshine duration. In order to indicate the performance of the models, the statistical test methods of the mean bias error(MBE), root mean square error(RMSE) and correlation coefficient(r) are used. Sunshine duration and cloudiness index can be easily and reliably measured and data are widely available.

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Model of Simultaneous Travel time and Activity Duration for worker with Transportation Panel Data

  • Kim Soon-Gwan
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 1998
  • Recent world-wide interest in activity-based travel behavior modeling has generated an entirely new perspective on how the profession views the travel demand process. This paper seeks to further promote the case of activity-based travel behavior models by providing some empirical evidence of relationship between travel time and activity duration decision for worker with transportation panel data. The travel time from home to work and from work to home, without activity involvement, is estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. And, the travel time to and from the selected activity and the activity duration are modeled simultaneously by the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method due to the endogenous relationship between travel time and activity duration. Two kinds of models, OLS and 3SLS, include selectivity bias corrections in a discrete/continuous framework, because of the inter-relationship between the choice of activity type/travel mode (discrete) and the travel time/activity duration (continuous). Estimation is undertaken using a sample of over 1300 household two-day trip diaries collected from the same travelers in the Seattle area in 1989. The behavioral consequences of these models provide interesting and provocative findings that should be of value to transportation policy formulation and analysis.

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A Study on Estimation of the Delivery Ratio by Flow Duration in a Small-Scale Test Bed for Managing TMDL in Nakdong River (낙동강수계 수질오염총량관리를 위한 시범소유역 유황별 유달율 산정방법 연구)

  • Shon, Tae-Seok;Park, Jae-Bum;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.792-802
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to construct the watershed management system with link of the non-point sources model and to estimate delivery ratio duration curves for various pollutants. For the total water pollution load management system, non-point source model should be performed with the study of the characteristic about non-point sources and loadings of non-point source and the allotment of pollutant in each area. In this study, daily flow rates and delivered pollutant loads of Nakdong river basin are simulated with modified TANK model and minimum variance unbiased estimator and SWAT model. Based on the simulation results, flow duration curves, load duration curves, and delivery ratio duration curves have been established. Then GIS analysis is performed to obtain several hydrological geomorphic characteristics such as watershed area, stream length, watershed slope and runoff curve number. As a result, the SWAT simulation results show good agreements in terms of discharge, BOD, TN, TP but for more exact simulation should be kept studying about variables and parameters which are needed for simulation. And as a result of the characteristic discharges, pollutants loading with the runoff and delivery ratios, non-point sources effects were higher than point sources effects in the small-scale test bed of Nakdong river basin.