• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.383-394
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• 2008

코로나질량방출(CMEs)의 지구영향도를 효율적으로 예측하기 위해 속도가 빠른 CMEs의 방향지시 매개인수(parameter)를 조사하여 Dst 지수 최소값과의 상관관계를 비교하였다. 그리고 이 매개인수 중 어떤 매개인수가 예측 효율성이 높은지 알아보았다. 이를 위해 SOHO/LASCO 목록에서 CMEs의 속도가 1000km/s 이상, CMEs발생 위치가 태양 중심에서 ${\pm}30^{\circ}$ 이내에 위치한 혜일로(halo) CMEs를 사용하였다. 이 CMEs가 태양에서 발생하여 지구에 도착하는 시각을 모델을 이용하여 예측한 뒤 이 시각에 가장 가까운(24시간 이내) Dst 지수 최소값을 구하였다. 이를 통해 CMEs의 지구 영향도를 판별하였다. 전체 30개의 사건 중 22개(73%)가 지자기 폭풍을 일으켰다. 우리는 CMEs의 지구 영향도를 예측하기 위해 기존의 방향 매개인수와 이번 연구에서 새롭게 제안한 이심을, 이동거리, 중심각 매개인수를 사용하였다. 이들 매개인수와 Dst 지수 최소값의 상관관계 분석을 통해 상관계수 값을 알아보고 그 결과를 통해 어떤 매개인수가 CMEs의 지구 영향도 예측 효율이 높은지 비교하였다. 그 결과 이심율 매개인수가 가장 좋은 상관관계를 보였고, 방향 매개인수는 비교적 좋은 상관관계를 보였다. 이동거리와 중심각 매개인수는 이심율과 방향 매개인수보다 낮은 상관관계를 보였다. 하지만 이들 역시 강한 지자기 폭풍(Dst 지수 ${\leq}$-200nT)의 경우에는 좋은 상관관계를 보였다. 방향 매개인수 값이 0.6 이상이고 이심율 매개인수 값이 0.4 이하이며 이동거리, 중심각 매개인수 값이 0.2 이하인 경우에는 강한 지자기 폭풍(Dst 지수 ${\leq}$-200nT)이 일어날 확률이 아주 높음을 알 수 있었다. CMEs의 방향을 지시하는 매개인수는 CMEs의 지구 영향도를 판별하는데 유용하고 이를 복합적으로 고려한다면 예측의 효율성을 높일 수 있다.

• 천문학회지
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• 제36권spc1호
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• pp.93-99
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• 2003

Various attempts have been made to explain the: pronounced seasonal and universal time (UT) variations of geomagnetic indices. As one of such attempts, we analyze the hourly-averaged auroral electroject indices obtained during the past 20 years. The AU and AL indices maximize during summer and equinoctial months, respectively. By normalizing the contribution of the solar conductivity enhancement to the AU index, or to the eastward electrojet, it is found that the AU also follows the same semiannual variation pattern of the AL index, suggesting that the electric field is the main modulator of the semiannual magnetic variation. The fact that the variation pattern of the yearly-mean AU index follows the mirror image of the AL index provides another indication that the electric field is the main modulator of magnetic disturbance. The pronounced UT variations of the auroral electrojet indices are also noted. To determine the magnetic activity dependence, the probability of recording a given activity level of AU and AL during each UT is examined. The UT variation of the AL index, thus obtained, shows a maximum at around 1200-1800 UT and a minimum around 0000-0800 UT particularly during winter. It is closely associated with the rotation of the geomagnetic pole around the rotational axis, which results in the change of the solar-originated ionospheric conductivity distribution over the polar region. On the other hand the UT variation is prominent during disturbed periods, indicating that the latitudinal mismatch between the AE stations and the auroral electrojet belt is responsible for it. Although not as prominent as the AL index, the probability distribution of the AU also shows two UT peaks. We confirm that the Dst index shows more prominent seasonal variation than the AE indices. However, the UT variation of the Dst index is only noticeable during the main phase of a magnetic storm. It is a combined result of the uneven distribution of the Dst stations and frequent developments of the partial ring current and substorm wedge current preferentially during the main phase.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.101-108
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• 2003

This study reports one approach for the classification of magnetic storms into recurrent patterns. A storm event is defined as a local minimum of Dst index. The analysis of Dst index for the period of year 1957 through year 2000 has demonstrated that a large portion of the storm events can be classified into a set of recurrent patterns. In our approach, the classification is performed by seeking a categorization that minimizes thermodynamic free energy which is defined as the sum of classification errors and entropy. The error is calculated as the squared sum of the value differences between events. The classification depends on the noise parameter T that represents the strength of the intrinsic error in the observation and classification process. The classification results would be applicable in space weather forecasting.

• 천문학회보
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• 제37권1호
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• pp.95.2-95.2
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• 2012

We have compared the geoeffective parameters of halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) to predict geomagnetic storms. For this we consider 50 front-side full halo CMEs whose asymmetric cone model parameters and earthward direction parameter were available. For each CME we use its projected velocity (Vp), radial velocity (Vr), angle between cone axis and sky plane (${\gamma}$) from the cone model, earthward direction parameter (D), source longitude (L), and magnetic field orientation (M) of the CME source region. We make a simple and multiple linear regression analysis to find out the relationship between CME parameters and Dst index. Major results are as follows. (1) $Vr{\times}{\gamma}$ has a higher correlation coefficient (cc = 0.70) with the Dst index than the others. When we make a multiple regression of Dst and two parameters ($Vr{\times}{\gamma}$, D), the correlation coefficient increases from 0.70 to 0.77. (2) Correlation coefficients between Dst index and $Vr{\times}{\gamma}$ have different values depending on M and L. (3) Super geomagnetic storms (Dst ${\leq}$ -200 nT) only appear in the western and southward events. Our results demonstrate that not only the cone model parameters together with the earthward direction parameter improve the relationship between CME parameters and Dst index but also the source longitude and its magnetic field orientation play a significant role in predicting geomagnetic storms.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.129-138
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• 2008

This study attempts to show how the geomagnetic indices, AU, AL and Dst, respond to the interplanetary parameters, more specifically, the solar wind electric field VBz during southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) period. The AU index does not seem to respond linearly to the variation of southward IMF. Only a noticeable correlation between the AU and VBz is shown during summer, when the ionospheric conductivity associated with the solar EUV radiation is high. It is highly likely that the effect of electric field on the eastward electrojet intensification is only noticeable whenever the ionospheric conductivity is significantly enhanced during summer. Thus, one should be very cautious in employing the AU as a convection index during other seasons. The AL index shows a significantly high correlation with VBz regardless of season. Considering that the auroral electrojet is the combined result of electric field and ionospheric conductivity, the intensification of these two quantities seems to occur concurrently during southward IMF period. This suggests that the AL index behaves more like a convection index rather than a substorm index as far as hourly mean AL index is concerned. Contrary to the AU index, the AL index does not register the maximum value during summer for a given level of VBz. It has something to do with the findings that discrete auroras are suppressed in sunlight hemisphere (Newell et al. 1996), thus reducing the ionospheric conductivity during summer. As expected, the Dst index tends to become more negative as VBz gets intensified. However, the Dst index (nT) is less than or equal to 15VBz(mV/m) + 50(Bz < 0). It indicates that VBz determines the lower limit of the storm size, while another factor(s), possibly substorm, seems to get further involved in intensifying storms. Although it has not been examined in this study, the duration of southward IMF would also be a factor to be considered in determining the size of a storm.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2012

Polar cap potential has long been considered as an indicator for the amount of energy flowing in the magnetosphere-ionosphere system. Thus, the estimation of polar cap potential is important to understand the physical process of the magnetosphere. To estimate the polar cap potential in the Northern Hemisphere, merging electric field by Kan & Lee (1979) is adopted. Relationships between the PC index and calculated merging electric field ($E^*$) are examined during full-time and storm-time periods separately. For this purpose Dst, AL, and PC indices and solar wind data are utilized during the period from 1996-2003. From this linear relationship, polar cap potential (${\Phi}^*$) is estimated using the formula by Doyle & Burke (1983). The values are represented as $58.1{\pm}26.9$ kV for the full-time period and $123.7{\pm}84.1$ kV for a storm-time period separately. Considering that the average value of polar cap potential of Doyle & Burke (1983) is about 47 kV during moderately quiet intervals with the S3-2 measurements, these results are similar to such. The monthly averaged variation of Dst, AL, and PC indices are then compared. The Dst and AL indices show distinct characteristics with peaks during equinoctial season whereas the average PC index according to the month shows higher values in autumn than in spring. The monthly variations of the linear correlation coefficients between solar wind parameters and geomagnetic indices are also examined. The PC-AL linear correlation coefficient is highest, being 0.82 with peaks during the equinoctial season. As with the AL index, the PC index may also prove useful for predicting the intensity of an auroral substorm. Generally, the linear correlation coefficients are shown low in summer due to conductance differences and other factors. To assess the role of the PC index during the recovery phase of a storm, the relation between the cumulative PC index and the duration is examined. Although the correlation coefficient lowers with the storm size, it is clear that the average correlation coefficient is high. There is a tendency that duration of the recovery phase is longer as the PC index increases.

• 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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• 한국우주과학회 2010년도 한국우주과학회보 제19권1호
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• pp.39.1-39.1
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• 2010

We have investigated interplanetary (IP) structures of 82 intense geomagnetic storms (Dst $\leq$ -100 nT) that occurred from 1998 to 2006. According to their interplanetary origins, we classified them as four groups: 20 sMC events (IP shock and MC), 19 SH events (sheath field), 12 SH+MC events (Sheath field and MC), and 8 nonMC events (non-MC type ICME). For each group, we examined the relationships between Dst index and solar/IP parameters, namely, direction parameter (DP), CME speed ($V_{CME}$), solar wind speed ($V_{SW}$), minimum of IMF $B_z$ component($Bz_{min}$), and maximum of $E_y$ component ($Ey_{max}$).We found that the relationships strongly depend on their IP source. Our main results can be summarized as follows: 1) The correlation between Dst and DP is the best for the SH+MC events (r = -0.61). 2) The relationship between Dst and $V_{CME}$ gives the best correlation for the sMC events (r = -0.56). 3) There is the best correlation between Dst and $V_{SW}$ for the sMC events (r = -0.61), while there is a very weak correlation (r=-0.17) for the SH events. 4) The relationship between Dst and $Bz_{min}$ gives the best correlation (r = -0.87) for the SH+MC events. 5) The correlation between Dst and $Ey_{max}$ is the best for the SH+MC events (r = -0.87). Summing up, the sMC and SH+MC events give us good correlations, but the SH events, weak correlations. From this study, we suggest that this tendency should be caused by the characteristics of IMF southward components, e.g., smooth field rotations for the MC events and highly IMF fluctuations for the SH events.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.425-438
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• 2009

ACE 위성에서 제공되는 1998년에서 2006년까지 9년간 관측된 양질의 1시간 평균 태양풍 매개변수를 이용하여 Burton et al.(1975)의 Dst 예측식을 재검토했다. 이 기간 동안 60개의 단순 발달형 자기폭풍을 골랐다. Burton et al.(1975)의 Dst 예측식의 에너지 공급항(Q)과 소멸 시간 ($\tau$)을 추정하기 위해 상기 자기폭풍 기간 동안 $Dst^*$와 $VS_s$, ${\Delta}Dst^*$와 $VS_s$ 그리고 ${\Delta}Dst^*$와 $Dst^*$의 상관관계를 구했다. 이 때 ACE 위성으로부터 지구까지 전파 시간(1시간)과 태양풍과 지구 자기권 사이의 지연 시간(0.5시간) 고려했다. 그 결과 $VB_s$ > 0.5mV/m일 때 $Q(nT/h)=-3.56VB_s$이였고, $VB_s\;{\leq}\;0.5mV/m$일 때는 Q(nT/h)=0으로 두었다(Burton et al., 1975) 그리고 $Dst^*$가 -175nT보다 작은 음의 값을 가질 때 $\tau(h)\;=\;0.060Dst^*\;+\;16.65$이고, $Dst^*$가 -175nT보다 큰 음의 값을 가질 때 $\tau(h)\;=\;6.15$로 추정됐다. 이 연구에서 얻은 Q와 $\tau$를 Burton et al.(1975)의 Dst 예측식에 대입하고 이를 이용하여 상기 60개 자기폭풍을 예측한 결과, 관측된 $Dst^*$와 예측된 $Dst^*$의 상관계수는 0.88이였다. 이를 다른 연구 결과와 비교하기 위해 Burton et al.(1975)과 O'Brien & McPherron(2000a)의 $Dst^*$ 예측 방법을 같은 자기폭풍에 적용한 결과, 관측된 $Dst^*$와 예측된 $Dst^*$의 상관계수는 각각 0.85였다. 이 연구는 기존 연구보다 다소 개선된 결과를 나타냈으며, 특히 $Dst^*\;{< \atop \sim}\;-200nT$의 강한 자기폭풍의 예측에 효과적이었다.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.409-418
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• 2005

자기폭풍 기간 중에는 서브스톰이 빈번히 발생한다. 그리고 서브스톰이 진행될 때 극지방에는 오로라 제트 전류가 발생하며, 이는 AU 및 AL 지수로 그 강도를 규정할 수 있다. 따라서 AU 및 AL 지수와 자기폭풍의 정도를 나타내는 Dst 지수와의 상관관계를 구해봄으로써 서브스톰이 자기폭풍의 형성에 어떻게 기여하는지 조사할 수 있다. 이를 위하여 월별 누적 AU 지수, 월별 누적 $\mid{AL}\mid$ 지수 값을 구한 뒤, 월별 누적 $\mid{Dst}\mid$ 지수와의 상관관계를 구하였다. 그 결과 월별 누적 $\mid{AL}\mid$ 지수와 월별 누적 $\mid{Dst}\mid$ 지수의 상관관계는 0.60으로 월별 누적 AU 지수와 월별 누적 $\mid{Dst}\mid$ 지수의 상관관계 0.28보다 비교적 높게 나타났다. 이는 서브스톰이 자기폭풍의 발달에 기여하고 있음을 의미한다. 한편 IMF가 남쪽을 향할 때 자기권에는 강력한 대류가 형성되어 하전입자를 내부 자기권으로 가속시키므로 자기폭풍을 야기한다는 견해가 있다. 대류를 야기하는 행성간 전기장은 $\bar{E}=-\var{V}$(태양풍 속도) $\times\bar{B}_Z$(GSM에서 IMF의 Z축 성분)으로 주어지며, 이로부터 월별 누적 행성간 전기장과 월별 누적 Dst 지수 값을 비교해 봄으로써 행성간 전기장의 강화로 인한 자기권 대류가 자기폭풍 형성에 어느 정도 기여하는지를 조사할 수 있다. 여기서 Dst 지수는 태양풍에 의한 동압을 고려한 값이며, 월별 누적 행성간 전기장은 행성간 전기장이 양일 때와 음일때를 구분한 뒤 월별 누적 Dst 지수와의 상관관계를 알아보았다. 그 결과 행성간 전기장이 음의 값을 나타낼 때 구한 월별 누적 행성간 전기장과 월별 누적 Dst 지수와의 상관관계는 0.83이고, 양일 때 월별 누적 행성간 전기장과 월별 누적 Dst 지수와의 상관관계는 0.39로 나타났다. 이것은 IMF가 남쪽으로 향할 때 발생하는 자기권 대류의 강화 역시 자기폭풍의 발달에 중요한 역할을 하고 있음을 보여 준다.

• 한방재활의학과학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.63-85
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• 2011

Objectives : This study was carried out to know the effects of Danggwisayeokgaohsuyusaenggang-tang(hereinafter referred to DST) on arthritis induced by collagen on DBA/1 OlaHsd mice. Methods : For this purpose, DST was orally administered to mouse with arthritis induced by collagen II. Cytotoxicity, high performance liquid chromatograph(HPLC) analysis, arthritis index, value of immunocyte in draining lymph node and paw joint, cytokine were measured in vivo. Results : 1. The cytotoxicity against human fibroblast cells(hFCs) was not measured in any concentration. 2. In HPLC analysis, There are high peak patterns at 8 minute(min), 12 min, 35 min, 45 min. 3. The arthritis index was decreased significantly. 4. The degree of arthritis induced damage of joint of DST group is slight compared with control group in histopathologic observation(Hematoxylin and eosin stain(H&E), Masson's trichrome(M-T) staining). 5. In total cell counts of draining lymph node(DLN) and paw joint, the cells in DLN decreased significantly on DST 200 mg/kg and the cells in paw joint decreased significantly on 200 mg/kg and 50 mg/kg. 6. In DLN, $CD4^+/CD25^+$, $CD3^+/CD69^+$, major histocompatibility complex(MHC), class-II/$CD11c^+$ cells decreased significantly on DST 200 mg/kg and 50 mg/kg $CD3^+/CD8^+$ cells decreased significantly on DST 200 200 mg/kg, $CD4^+$, $CD3^+/CD44^+$ cells decreased. 7. In paw joints, $CD4^+$, $CD11b^+/Gr-1^+$ cells decreased significantly on DST 200 mg/kg and 50 mg/kg. 8. In joints, levels of $IL-1{\beta}$, IL-6, $TNF-{\alpha}$, cyclo-oxygenase-2(COX-2), NOS-II were decreased on DST 200 mg/kg and DST 50 mg/kg. 9. In analysing of cytokine in CD3/CD28 activated spleen, IL-17 was decreased significantly, IL-4 was increased significantly $INF-{\gamma}$ was decreased on DST 200 mg/kg. 10. In analysing of cytokine in collagen activated spleen, IL-17 were decreased significantly, IL-4 was increased significantly. Conclusions : This results demonstrated that DST suppressed the inflammatory progression of collagen-induced arthritis(CIA) mice and supported further studies are required to survey continuously in looking for the effective substance and mechanism in the future.