• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought periods

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Quantitative Characterization of Historical Drought Events in Korea - Focusing on Drought Frequency Analysis in the Five Major Basins - (우리나라 과거 가뭄사상의 정량적 특성 분석 -5대강 유역의 가뭄빈도분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Jang, Ho-Won;Kim, Jong-Suk;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1011-1021
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to investigate droughts from the magnitude perspective based on the SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) and the theory of runs applicable to quantitative analysis of drought in South Korea. In addition, the dry spell analysis was conducted on the drought history in the five major river basins of South Korea to obtain the magnitude, duration and severity of drought, and the quantitative evaluation has been made on historical droughts by estimating the return period using the SDF (Severity-Duration-Frequency) curve gained through drought frequency analysis. The analysis results showed that the return periods for droughts at the regional and major river basin scales were clearly identified. The return periods of severe drought that occurred around the major river basins in South Korea turn out to be mostly 30 to 50 years with the years of the worst drought in terms of severity being 1988 and 1994. In particular, South Korea experienced extremely severe droughts for two consecutive years during the period between 1994 and 1995. Drought in 2014 occurred in the Han River basin and was evaluated as the worst one in terms of severity and magnitude.

Evaluation of Future Hydrologic Risk of Drought in Nakdong River Basin Using Bayesian Classification-Based Composite Drought Index (베이지안 분류 기반 통합가뭄지수를 활용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 가뭄에 대한 수문학적 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Hyeok;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Jiyoung;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of meteorological disasters have increased due to climate change. In South Korea, there are regional differences in vulnerability and response capability to cope with climate change because of regional climate characteristics. In particular, drought results from various factors and is linked to extensive meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural impacts. Therefore, in order to effectively cope with drought, it is necessary to use a composite drought index that can take into account various factors, and to evaluate future droughts comprehensively considering climate change. This study evaluated hydrologic risk(${\bar{R}}$) of future drought in the Nakdong River basin based on the Dynamic Naive Bayesian Classification (DNBC)-based composite drought index, which was calculated by applying Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Evaporate Stress Index (ESI) and Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) to the DNBC. The indices used in the DNBC were calculated using observation data and climate scenario data. A bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the severity and duration of the composite drought. Then using the estimated bivariate return periods, hydrologic risks of drought were calculated for observation and future periods. The overall results indicated that there were the highest risks during the future period (2021-2040) (${\bar{R}}$=0.572), and Miryang River (#2021) had the highest risk (${\bar{R}}$=0.940) on average. The hydrologic risk of the Nakdong River basin will increase highly in the near future (2021-2040). During the far future (2041-2099), the hydrologic risk decreased in the northern basins, and increased in the southern basins.

Proposal and Application of Water Deficit-Duration-Frequency Curve using Threshold Level Method (임계수준 방법을 이용한 물 부족량-지속기간-빈도 곡선의 제안 및 적용)

  • Sung, Jang Hyun;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.11
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    • pp.997-1005
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated hydrological drought the using the annual minimum flow and the annual maximum deficit method and proposed the new concept of water deficit-duration-frequency curves similar to rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves. The analysis results of the annual minimum flow, the return periods of hydrological drought in the most duration of 1989 and 1996yr were the longest. The analysis results of the annual maximum deficit, the return periods of 60-days and 90-day deficit which are relatively short duration were the longest in 1995yr, about 35-year, Hydrological drought lasted longer was in 1995, the return period was about 20-year. Though duration as well as magnitude is a key variable in drought analysis, it was found that the method using the annual minimum flow duration not distinguish duration.

Drought Frequency Analysis Using Hidden Markov Chain Model and Bivariate Copula Function (Hidden Markov Chain 모형과 이변량 코플라함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도분석)

  • Chun, Si-Young;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.969-979
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    • 2015
  • This study applied a probabilistic-based hidden Markov model (HMM) to better characterize drought patterns. In addition, a copula-based bivariate drought frequency analysis was employed to further investigate return periods of the current drought condition in year 2015. The obtained results revealed that western Kangwon area was generally more vulnerable to drought risk than eastern Kangwon area using the 40-year data. Imjin-river watershed including Cheorwon area was the most vulnerable area in terms of severe drought events. Four stations in Han-river watershed showed a joint return period exceeding 1,000 years associated with the drought duration and severity in 2014-2015. Especially, current drought status in Northern Han-river and Imjin-river watershed is most severe drought exceeding 100-year return period.

Estimation and Spatial Distribution of Monthly FDSI Using AMSR2 Satellite Image-based Soil Moisture in South Korea (AMSR2 위성영상 기반 토양수분을 이용한 우리나라 월별 FDSI 산정 및 공간 분포 특성 분석)

  • Chun, Beomseok;Lee, Taehwa;Jeong, Kwangjune;Shin, Yongchul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we estimated the monthly FDSI (Flash Drought Stress Index) for assessing flash drought on South Korea using AMSR2(Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2) satellite-based soil moisture footprints. We collected the AMSR2 soil moisture and climate-land surface data from April to November 2018 for analyzing the monthly FDSI values. We confirmed that the FDSI values were high at the regions with the high temperature/evapotranspiration while the precipitation is relatively low. Especially, the regions which satisfied an onset of flash drought (FDSI≧0.71) were increased from June. Then, the most of regions suffered by flash drought during the periods (July to August) with the high temperature and evapotranspiration. Additionally, the impacts of landuse and slope degree were evaluated on the monthly FDSI changes. The forest regions that have the steep slope degree showed the relatively higher FDSI values than the others. Thus, our results indicated that the the slope degree has the relatively higher impact on the onset and increasing of flash drought compared to the others.

Changes in Water Level and Fish Communities in Juam Reservoir According to Drought Conditions (가뭄에 의한 주암호의 수위 및 어류 군집 변동)

  • Gun Hee Oh;Tae-Sik Yu;Chang Woo Ji;Young-Seuk Park;Ihn-Sil Kwak
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.899-908
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    • 2023
  • Droughts can alter the dynamics of aquatic ecosystems, including fish communities. This study compared the variations in fish communities in Juam reservoir before and after drought events. Fish sampling was conducted five times from April 2021 to April 2023 using three different sampling methods (kick net, cast net, and gill net). The water level in the reservoir reached its peak (103.73 EL.m, 62.2% capacity) in September 2021, before the drought, and dropped to its lowest point (88.84 EL.m, 17.6% capacity) in April 2023. The dissolved oxygen content in the reservoir decreased from 27 to 6.3 mg/L between the period with the lowest water level (April 2023) and the period with the highest water level (September 2021). In September 2021, 466 fish were collected, but after one year of drought, the number of individuals decreased to 105. Further, the number of fish collected and water levels were positively correlated. Dominant species exhibited a population decline of over 60% with decreasing water levels. These findings highlight the importance of fishery resource management during drought periods.

Cost analysis of water supply and development of desalination vessel as a drought response (가뭄 시 광역자치단체 별 물 비용 분석 및 해상 이동형 담수화 플랜트 이용 대응 방안 연구)

  • Yang, Hayeon;Koo, Jaewuk;Hwang, Taemun;Jeong, Seongpil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2020
  • Due to global climate change, Korea is experiencing flooding and drought severely. It is hard to manage water resources because intensive precipitation during short periods and drought are commonly occurred in Korea, recently. Severe drought occurred in 2015 and 2017 in the islands, and coastal and inland areas in Korea, and the citizens experienced decreased water supply and emergency water service by using bottled water. Therefore, the Korean government provided additional governmental funds such as the grant of drought disaster. In this study, we tried to calculate the cost of water for drought response based on the cost of tap water for the regional local governments in Korea and the grant of drought disaster by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety in Korea, etc. The estimated costs of water for drought responses in coastal and inland areas which have a chance to apply alternative water sources such as brackish or seawater desalination and water reuse in Korea were higher than in other areas in Korea. Additionally, as the novel approach of drought response, the 300 ㎥/day-scale desalination vessel was suggested to provide desalinated water for the islands in Korea. The estimated expenses of water supply for the target island areas (Sinan-gun and Jindo-gun) by the desalination vessel was lower than those by emergency water service by using bottled water.

Comparison of physiological responses soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merill] of different irrigation Periods

  • Kim, Eun Hye;Chung, Ill Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2017.06a
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    • pp.195-195
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    • 2017
  • The water in the crop cultivation shows difference according to the variety of crop, cultivations period and climatic condition. The growth and development, quantity and fruit enlargements are affected by soil water conditions. In previous study, leaf area and photosynthesis are decreased by lower soil moisture. Other research reported that excess moisture condition at vegetative and reproductive growth period in cultivation of soybean caused highest reduction in crop growth rate (CGR) and dry weights of plant parts. In particular, the damage was bigger during vegetative growth stage than reproductive growth period. Soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merill) is useful and popular crop throughout the world. It is very popular crop in Korea, China, Japan and other Asian countries. Soybeans used in various way including soybean sprouts, paste, soymilk, oil and tofu. Two soybean cultivars grown in four different irrigation conditions were determined for physiological responses. In this study, we examined leaf area (LA), leaf dry weight (LDW), specific leaf area (SLA), root dry weight (RDW) and shoot height (SH) in different water conditions. 50mL/9day irrigation periods showed the lowest contents in LA, LDW, RDW, SH. Water deficit caused increase of leaf Water saturation deficits (WSD), Cheongjakong 3 and Taekwangkong showed increase of leaf water saturation deficits (WSD) in drought conditions and leaf water potential and stomatal conductance were decreased. Photochemical efficiency was decreased in 50mL/1day irrigation condition while, there was decrease of growth and development in 50mL/9day with drought.

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Development of Water Supply Capacity Index to Monitor Droughts in a Reservoir (저수지 가뭄감시를 위한 물공급능력지수의 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Moon, Jang-Won;Lee, Dae-Hee;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.3 s.164
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    • pp.199-214
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    • 2006
  • The efficient management strategies of reservoirs in periods of drought event are an essential element for drought planning. A Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) has been developed for the evaluation and effective monitoring of the supply capacity of a reservoir during a drought event. The WSCI is a measure of the duration that a reservoir can supply a required demand under the worst drought condition. The WSCI is not only a useful standard to refer to when making decisions on reservoir operations in a period of drought, but it can be also applied for setting the drought trigger in water demand sites supplied from the reservoir. The correlation between the standardized WSCI and existing drought indices such as PDSI, SPI and SWSI has been analyzed to the applicability of WSCI.

Drought impact on water quality environment through linkage analysis with meteorological data in Gamcheon mid-basin (기상자료와의 연계분석을 통한 수질환경에 대한 가뭄영향 연구 - 감천중권역을 대상으로)

  • Jo, Bugeon;Lee, Sangung;Kim, Young Do;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.823-835
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    • 2023
  • Recently, due to the increase in abnormal climate, rainfall intensity is increasing and drought periods are continuing. These environmental changes lead to prolonged drought conditions and difficulties in real-time recognition. In general, drought can be judged by the amount of precipitation and the number of days without rainfall. In determining the impact of drought, it is divided into meteorological drought, agricultural drought, and hydrological drought and evaluation is made using the drought index, but environmental drought evaluation is insufficient. The river water quality managed through the total water pollution cap system is vulnerable to the effects of such drought. In this study, we aim to determine the drought impact on river water quality and quantify the impact of prolonged drought on water quality. The impact of rain-free days and accumulated precipitation on river water quality was quantitatively evaluated. The Load Duration Curve (LDC), which is used to evaluate the water quality of rivers, was used to evaluate water pollution occurring at specific times. It has been observed that when the number of consecutive rainless days exceeds 14 days, the target water quality in the mid-basin is exceeded in over 60% of cases. The cumulative rainfall is set at 28 days as the criteria, with an annual average rainfall of 3%, which is 32.1 mm or less. It has been noted that changes in water quality in rivers occur when there are 14 or more rainless days and the cumulative rainfall over 28 days is 32.1 mm or less in the Gamcheon Mid-basin. Based on the results of this study, it aims to quantify the drought impact and contribute to the development of a drought water quality index for future environmental droughts.