• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
• /
• v.14 no.1
• /
• pp.61-72
• /
• 2021

There is an increasing need for water supply plan using sustainable groundwater to resolve water shortage problem caused by drought due to climate change and artificial aquifer recharge has recently emerged as an alternative. This study deals with recharge potential assessment for artificial recharge system and quantitative assessment for securing stable water and efficient agricultural water supply adapt to drought finding optimal operating condition by numerical modeling to reflect recharge scenarios considering climate condition, target water intake, injection rate, and injection duration. In order to assess recharge potential of injection well, numerical simulation was performed to predict groundwater level changes in injection and observation well respect to injection scenarios (Case 1~4) for a given total injection rate (10,000 m³). The results indicate that groundwater levels for each case are maintained for 25~42 days and optimal injection rate is 50 m³/day for Case 3 resulted in groundwater level rise less than 1 m below surface. The results also show that influential area of groundwater level rise due to injection was estimated at 113.5 m and groundwater storage and elapsed time were respectively increased by 6 times and 4 times after installation of low permeable barrier. The proposed assessment method can be contributed to sustainable agricultural water supply and stable water security for drought adaptation.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.57 no.5
• /
• pp.311-320
• /
• 2024

Climate change has been intensifying drought frequency and severity. Such prolonged droughts reduce reservoir levels, thereby exacerbating drought impacts. While previous studies have focused on optimizing reservoir operations using historical data to mitigate these impacts, their scope is limited to analyzing past events, highlighting the need for predictive methods for future droughts. This research introduces a novel approach for predicting minimum inflow at the Seomjingang dam which has experienced significant droughts. This study utilized the Stochastic Analysis Modeling and Simulation (SAMS) 2007 to generate inflow sequences for the same period of observed inflow. Then we simulate reservoir operations to assess firm yield and predict minimum inflow through synthetic inflow analysis. Minimum inflow is defined as the inflow where firm yield is less than 95% of the synthetic inflow in many sequences during periods matching observed inflow. The results for each case indicated the firm yield for the minimum inflow is on average 9.44 m³/s, approximately 1.07 m³/s lower than the observed inflow's firm yield of 10.51 m³/s. The minimum inflow estimation can inform reservoir operation standards, facilitate multi-reservoir system reviews, and assess supplementary capabilities. Estimating minimum inflow emerges as an effective strategy for enhancing water supply reliability and mitigating shortages.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
• /
• v.27 no.5
• /
• pp.710-718
• /
• 2011

An integrated water quality management of reservoir and river would be required when the quality of downstream river water is affected by the discharge of upstream dam. In particular, for the control of downstream turbidity during flood events, the integrated modeling of reservoir and river is effective approach. This work was aimed to develop a laterally-averaged two-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2), by which water quality can be predicted in the downstream of Yongdam dam in conjunction with the reservoir model, and to validate the model under two different hydrological conditions; wet year (2005) and drought year (2010). The model results clearly showed that the simulated data regarding water elevation and suspended solid (SS) concentration are well corresponded with the measured data. In addition, the variation of SS concentration as a function of time was effectively simulated along the river stations with the developed model. Consequently, the developed model can be effectively applied for the integrated water quality management of Yongdam dam and downstream river.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
• /
• v.23 no.1
• /
• pp.52-63
• /
• 2007

The objectives of this study were to setup a laterally-averaged two-dimensional eutrophication model in Daecheong Reservoir, and to validate the model under two different hydrological conditions; drought year (2001) and wet year (2004). The suggested modeling approach was found to be very effective to simulate the dynamic variations of water temperature, nutrients, dissolved oxygen, and algae in the reservoir. The model satisfactorily replicated the algal bloom that happened between Janggae (Sta.4) and Haenam (Sta.5) during summer of 2001, although the peak concentration was slightly underestimated due to the laterally averaged assumption. The allochthonous phosphorus and algae induced from upstream and So-oak stream during several rainfall events were found to be most significant sources of algal bloom in 2001. In contrast to draught year, the flood events happened during summer months of 2004 tended to remove the hypolimnetic anaerobic conditions and dilute the dissolved phosphorus in the upper reach of the reservoir, and in turn mitigated algal bloom. It implies that the impact of hydrological and hydrodynamic conditions on the reservoir water quality is highly significant, and a drought year may be more vulnerable to algal bloom in the reservoir.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2015.05a
• /
• pp.24-24
• /
• 2015

최근 원격탐사기법을 이용한 많은 가뭄평가기법들이 개발되었으나 산림과 함께 산악지형이 우세한 우리나라의 경우 지형특성으로 인하여 가뭄평가시 불확실성이 증가하게 된다. 특히, 농업가뭄은 기후와 지표특성에 큰 영향을 받기 때문에 기후특성만을 고려한 가뭄지수는 실제 필요한 농업가뭄의 특성을 반영하는데 있어서 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후와 지표특성을 함께 고려할 수 있는 토양수분을 이용한 가뭄평가기법(Drought Assessment Scheme)을 개발하였다. 가뭄평가기법을 위하여 역추적기법(Inverse Modeling-IM) 기반의 자료동화기법(Data Assimilation, DA)을 이용하였다. 자료동화기법은 1-Dimensional (1-D) 기반의 토양의 물리적 특성을 고려하는 SWMI_ST 모형과 최적화 알고리즘(유전자 알고리즘, Genetic Algorithm-GA)을 연계하여 실측 및 위성기반의 토양수분자료로부터 토양의 수리학적 매개변수(${\alpha}$, n, ${\Theta}_{res}$, ${\Theta}_{sat}$, $K_{sat}$)를 추출한다. 본 연구에서는 LANDSAT(30 m X 30 m) 및 MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS, 500 m X 500 m) 이미지자료를 이용하여 시 공간적으로 분포되어 있는 토양수분을 산정하였으며, 이후 자료동화기법을 이용하여 LANDSAT/MODIS 토양수분자료로 부터 공간적으로 분포되어 있는 토양의 매개변수를 추출하였다. 추출된 매개변수, GIS 기반의 지표피복 및 기상자료를 이용하여 장기간의 토양수분을 산정 및 예측 할 수 있다. 고해상도의 이미지 자료를 사용하는 가뭄평가기법은 필지~시 군 단위까지 실제 우리나라 지형특성을 고려하여 효율적으로 가뭄을 모니터링 및 예측 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.54 no.3
• /
• pp.145-156
• /
• 2021

Forest fires have frequently occurred around the world, and the damages are increasing. In Korea, most forest fires are initiated by human activities, but climate factors such as temperature, humidity, and wind speed have a great impact on combustion environment of forest fires. In this study, therefore, based on statistics of forest fires in Gyeonggi-do over the past five years, meteorological and hydrological factors (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation, and drought) were selected in order to quantitatively investigate causal relationships with forest fire. We applied a partial least squares structural equation model (PLS-SEM), which is suitable for analyzing causality and predicting latent variables. The overall results indicated that the measurement and structural models of the PLS-SEM were statistically significant for all evaluation criteria, and meteorological factors such as humidity, temperature, and wind speed affected by amount of -0.42, 0.23 and 0.15 of standardized path coefficient, respectively, on forest fires, whereas hydrological factor such as drought had an effect of 0.23 on forest fires. Therefore, as a practical method, the suggested model can be used for analyzing and evaluating influencing factors of forest fire and also for planning response and preparation of forest fire disasters.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.18 no.4
• /
• pp.242-252
• /
• 2016

A process-based ecosystem model, BIOME-BGC, was applied to simulate seasonal and inter-annual dynamics of carbon and water processes for potential evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF) biome in Korea. Two simulation sites, Milyang and Unljin, were selected to reflect warm-and-dry and cool-and-wet climate regimes, where massive diebacks of pines including Pinus densiflora, P. koraiensis and P thunbergii, were observed in 2009 and 2014, respectively. Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) showed periodic drought occurrence at every 5 years or so for both sites. Since mid-2000s, droughts occurred with hotter climate condition. Among many model variables, Cpool (i.e., a temporary carbon pool reserving photosynthetic compounds before allocations for new tissue production) was identified as a useful proxy variable of tree carbon starvation caused by reduction of gross primary production (GPP) and/or increase of maintenance respiration (Rm). Temporal Cpool variation agreed well with timings of pine tree diebacks for both sites. Though water stress was important, winter- and spring-time warmer temperature also played critical roles in reduction of Cpool, especially for the cool-and-wet Uljin. Shallow soil depth intensified the drought effect, which was, however, marginal for soil depth shallower than 0.5 m. Our modeling analysis implicates seasonal drought and warmer climate can intensify vulnerability of ENF dieback in Korea, especially for shallower soils, in which multi-year continued stress is of concern more than short-term episodic stress.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
• /
• v.18 no.3
• /
• pp.11-22
• /
• 2013

SEAWAT, a linked modeling program of Visual MODFLOW was used to analyze the change in groundwater levels and salinity related groundwater dam construction in Cheongsan island, Wando-Gun, Jeollanam-Do. The steady-state model results show the groundwater flow and salinity distribution of the studied area. The groundwater flows from north-west and south-east highlands into the river, located in the middle part of the basin, and is eventually discharged to the ocean. Part of the sea water infiltrates into the river; and through the estuary's alluvium aquifer, the sea water intrusion takes place spreading to about 830 m from the ocean. The transient model results show that after the groundwater dam construction, groundwater levels will rise to a maximum of 2.0 m upstream, and the groundwater storage will increase 21,000 after 10 years. Meanwhile 31% of the total area affected by sea water intrusion will decrease. To conclude, the groundwater dam is a very useful method for a secure water resource in preparation for drought and water shortages in the island regions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.145-145
• /
• 2019

Groundwater and rainwater are the only sources of freshwater in small islands as many islands lack surface water sources. Groundwater occurring in the form of freshwater lens floating on denser seawater is highly dependent on natural recharge from rainfall. A sharp interface numerical model for regional and well scale modeling is selected to assess the sustainability of freshwater lens in the island of Tongatapu. In this study, 29 downscaled General Circulation Model(GCM) predictions are input to the recharge model based on water balance modelling. Three GCM predictions which represent wet, dry and medium conditions are selected for use in the groundwater flow model. Total freshwater volume and number of saltwater intruded wells are simulated under various climate scenarios with GCM predicted rainfall pattern, sea level rise and pumping. Simulations indicate that the sustainability of the freshwater lens is threatened by the frequent droughts which are predicted under all scenarios of recharge. The natural depletion of the lens during droughts and increase in water demands, leads to saltwater upconing under the pumping wells. Implementation of drought management measures is of utmost importance to ensure sustainability of freshwater lens in future.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
• /
• v.10
• /
• pp.35-46
• /
• 1999

An integrated system of GIS and water quality model was suggested including the pollutant loads from the watershed. The developed system consits of two parts. First part is the information on landuse and several surface factors concerning the overland flow processes of water and pollutants. Second part is the modeling modules which include storm event pollutant load model(SEPLM), non-storm event pollutant load model(NSPLM), and river water quality simulation model(RWQSM). Models can calculate the pollutant load from the study area. The databases and models are linked through the interface modules resided in the overall system, which incorporate the graphical display modules and the operating scheme for the optimal use of the system. The developed system was applied to the Chungju multi-purpose reservoir to estimate the pollutant load during the four selected rainfall events between 1991 and 1993, based upon monthly basis and seasonal basis in drought flow, low flow, normal flow and wet flow.