• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drought evaluation

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Evaluation of hydropower dam water supply capacity (II): estimation of water supply yield range of hydropower dams considering probabilistic inflow (발전용댐 이수능력 평가 연구(II): 확률론적 유입량을 고려한 발전용댐 용수공급능력 범위 산정)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh;Kim, Taesoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.515-529
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    • 2022
  • Identifying the available water resources amount is an essential process in establishing a sustainable water resources management plan. Dam facility is a major infrastructure storing and supplying water during the dry season, and the water supply yield of the dam varies depending on dam inflow conditions or operation rule. In South Korea, water supply yield of dam is calculated by reservoir simulation based on observed historical dam inflow data. However, the water supply capacity of a dam can be underestimated or overestimated depending on the existence of historical drought events during the simulation period. In this study, probabilistic inflow data was generated and used to estimate the appropriate range of the water supply yield of hydropower dams. That is, a method for estimating the probabilistic dam inflow that fluctuates according to climatic and socio-economic conditions and the range of water supply yield for hydropower dams was presented, and applied to hydropower dams located in the Han river in South Korea. It is expected that the understanding water supply yield of the hydropower dams will become more important to respond to climate change in the future, and this study will contribute to national water resources management planning by providing potential range of water supply yield of hydropower dams.

Evaluation and comparison of water balance and budget forecasts considering the domestic and industrial water usage pattern (생활 및 공업용수 물이용 패턴을 고려한 물수급 전망 비교 및 고찰)

  • Oh, Ji Hwan;Lim, Dong Jin;Kim, In Kyu;Shin, Jung Bum;Ryu, Ji Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.11
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    • pp.941-953
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    • 2022
  • In this study, monthly water use data were collected for 5 years from the 65 local governments included in the Han-river basin and a typical water usage ratios and patterns were calculated. The difference in water shortage was compared by considering the water usage patterns using the water balance and budget analysis model (MODSIM) and data base. As a result, it was confirmed that the change occurred in the range of -3.120% to +4.322% compared to the monthly constant ratio by period. In addition, when applying the patterns in the water balance model, 17 of the 28 middle watershed showed changes in the quantity of water shortage and the domestic and industrial water shortage would decrease about 8.0% during the maximum drought period. If it is applied in conjunction with predictive research on water usage patterns reflecting climate change, social and regional characteristics in the future, it will be possible to establish a more realistic water supply forecasts and a reliable national water resources plan.

Evaluation of Drought Stress in Native Kimchi Cabbage from Korea (국내 재래종 배추 유전자원의 내건성 평가)

  • Si-Hong Kim;Soo-Yong Choi;Eui-Sub Lee;Young-Hyun Woo;Jae-Yun Heo
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2020.08a
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    • pp.69-69
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    • 2020
  • 식물체가 건조 스트레스를 받으면 각 기관 물질 생산의 변이, 분화 및 발달 억제를 통해서 식물의 생산활동을 현저히 저하시켜, 식물의 생장, 형태, 개체발생 및 대사생리에 영향을 미치는 것으로 연구되어 왔다. 최근 기후 온난화로 인해 온도가 점진적으로 상승하고 가뭄과 같은 이상기상이 빈번하게 발생함에 따라 많은 노지 작물의 농업 생산성이 약화되고 있다. 배추는 우리나라의 대표적인 식품 중 하나인 김치의 주재료로 연중 안정적인 생산과 공급이 필요시 되지만, 배추의 경우 건조 조건에서 엽육조직의 붕괴와 같은 생리장해가 발생되기 때문에 최근 발생되고 있는 이상 기후의 영향으로 안정적인 생산이 어려워지고 있는 실정이다. 하지만, 배추에서는 이상 기후에 대응이 가능한 내건성 품종의 육성을 위한 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 내건성이 높은 배추 개발을 위한 기초소재를 찾는 것을 목적으로 농촌진흥청 유전자원센터에서 보존하고 있는 재래종 배추 30계통을 분양받아 강릉원주대학교 생명과학대학 내의 조직배양실을 이용하여 연구를 수행하였다. 배지는 Tissue Culture Square Dish(125×125×20mm)에 Agar를 녹여 40ml씩 분주하여 고체배지를 조성한 후, 건조 처리구 Polyrthylene glycol 6000(PEG) 0%(Control), 20%(Mild Stress), 30%(Severe Stress)를 설정하여 60ml씩 추가 분주하여 배양기 28℃에서 15시간 처리를 하였다. 분양받은 각 계통의 종자는 1% 차아염소산 나트륨으로 10분간 종자표면을 살균한 후, 5번 정도 멸균수로 헹군 후, 표면 살균한 재래종 종자를 고체배지 시험관에 6립씩 치상하였다. 식물체 생육은 각 처리구별 3반복으로 하였으며 주간 12시간 주기, 광도 2,400Lux, 온도 20℃의 조직배양실에서 치상 후 7일간 생육하였다. 치상 후 7일간 생육시킨 식물체를 채취하여 지상부생체중, 지하부 생체중, 뿌리 길이를 측정하였으며, 지상부와 지하부로 나누어 50℃에서 72시간 건조시킨 후, 건물 생산량을 조사하였다. 본 실험 결과 건조 처리(PEG-6000)는 배추의 생장을 저해하였지만, 생육 저해 정도는 계통간의 차이가 있는 것을 관찰할 수 있었으며 무처리구와 스트레스 처리구간의 생장량 변화 정도를 기반으로 군집분석을 수행한 결과 'IT110483'과 'IT104903' 계통이 실험에 공시된 계통들 중 상대적으로 강한 건조 내성을 가진 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서, 재래종 배추 계통 중 일부는 건조내성이 강한 새로운 배추 품종을 육성하는데 있어 유용하게 이용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Development of a Kit for Diagnosing AtCYP78A7 Protein in Abiotic-tolerant Transgenic Rice Overexpressing AtCYP78A7 (AtCYP78A7 과발현 환경스트레스 내성 형질전환 벼의 단백질 진단 키트 개발)

  • Nam, Kyong-Hee;Park, Jung-Ho;Pack, In-Soon;Kim, Ho Bang;Kim, Chang-Gi
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.835-840
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    • 2018
  • Quantitative determination of the protein expression levels is one of the most important parts in assessment of the safety of foods derived from genetically modified (GM) crops. Overexpression of AtCYP78A7, a gene encoding cytochrome P450 protein, has been reported to improve tolerance to abiotic stress, such as drought and salt stress, in transgenic rice (Oryza sativa L.). In the present study, an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kit for diagnosing AtCYP78A7 protein including AtCYP78A7-specific monoclonal antibody was developed. GST-AtCYP78A7 recombinant protein was induced and purified by affinity column. Four monoclonal antibodies (mAb 6A7, mAb 4C2, mAb 11H6, and mAb 7E8) against recombinant protein were also produced and biotinylated with avidin-HRP. After pairing test using GST-AtCYP78A7 protein and lysate of rice samples, mAb 4C2 and mAb 7E8 were selected as a capture antibody and a detecting antibody, respectively, for ELISA kit. Product test using rice samples indicated that percentages of detected protein in total protein were greater than 0.1% in AtCYP78A7-overexpressing transgenic rice (Line 10B-5 and 18A-4), whereas those in negative control non-transgenic rice (Ilpum and Hwayoung) were less than 0.1%. The ELISA kit developed in this study can be useful for the rapid detection and safety assessment of transgenic rice overexpressing AtCYP78A7.

Evaluation on Climate Change Vulnerability of Korea National Parks (국립공원의 기후변화 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Chong-Chun;Kim, Tae-Geun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to set the direction to manage national parks to cope with climate change, and offer basic data to establish the relevant policies. Towards this end, this study analyzed the current and future climate change vulnerability of national parks using the 24 proxy variables of vulnerability in the LCCGIS program, a tool to evaluate climate change vulnerability developed by the National Institute of Environmental Research. To analyze and evaluate the current status of and future prospect on climate change vulnerability of national parks, the proxy variable value of climate exposure was calculated by making a GIS spatial thematic map with $1km{\times}1km$ grid unit through the application of climate change scenario (RCP8.5). The values of proxy variables of sensitivity and adaptation capability were calculated using the basic statistics of national parks. The values of three vulnerability evaluation items were calculated regarding the present (2010s) and future (2050s). The current values were applied to the future equally under the assumption that the current state of the proxy variables related to sensitivity and adaptation capability without a future prediction scenario continues. Seoraksan, Odaesan, Jirisan and Chiaksan National Parks are relatively bigger in terms of the current (2010s) climate exposure. The national park, where the variation of heat wave is the biggest is Wolchulsan National Park. The biggest variation of drought occurs to Gyeryongsan National Park, and Woraksan National Park has the biggest variation of heavy rain. Concerning the climate change sensitivity of national parks, Jirisan National Park is the most sensitive, and adaptation capability is evaluated to be the highest. Gayasan National Park's sensitivity is the lowest, and Chiaksan National Park is the lowest in adaptation capability. As for climate change vulnerability, Seoraksan, Odaesan, Chiaksan and Deogyusan National Parks and Hallyeohaesang National Park are evaluated as high at the current period. The national parks, where future vulnerability change is projected to be the biggest, are Jirisan, Woraksan, Chiaksan and Sobaeksan National Parks in the order. Because such items evaluating the climate change vulnerability of national parks as climate exposure, sensitivity and adaptation capability show relative differences according to national parks' local climate environment, it will be necessary to devise the adaptation measures reflecting the local climate environmental characteristics of national parks, rather than establishing uniform adaptation measures targeting all national parks. The results of this study that evaluated climate change vulnerability using climate exposure, sensitivity and adaptation capability targeting Korea's national parks are expected to be used as basic data for the establishment of measures to adapt to climate change in consideration of national parks' local climate environmental characteristics. However, this study analyzed using only the proxy variables presented by LCCGIS program under the situation that few studies on the evaluation of climate change vulnerability of national parks are found, and therefore this study may not reflect overall national parks' environment properly. A further study on setting weights together with an objective review on more proper proxy variables needs to be carried out in order to evaluate the climate change vulnerability of national parks.

Evaluation of Factors Related to Productivity and Yield Estimation Based on Growth Characteristics and Growing Degree Days in Highland Kimchi Cabbage (고랭지배추 생산성 관련요인 평가 및 생육량과 생육도일에 의한 수량예측)

  • Kim, Ki-Deog;Suh, Jong-Taek;Lee, Jong-Nam;Yoo, Dong-Lim;Kwon, Min;Hong, Soon-Choon
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.911-922
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    • 2015
  • This study was carried out to evaluate growth characteristics of Kimchi cabbage cultivated in various highland areas, and to create a predicting model for the production of highland Kimchi cabbage based on the growth parameters and climatic elements. Regression model for the estimation of head weight was designed with non-destructive measured growth variables (NDGV) such as leaf length (LL), leaf width (LW), head height (HH), head width (HW), and growing degree days (GDD), which was $y=6897.5-3.57{\times}GDD-136{\times}LW+116{\times}PH+155{\times}HH-423{\times}HW+0.28{\times}HH{\times}HW{\times}HW$, ($r^2=0.989$), and was improved by using compensation terms such as the ratio (LW estimated with GDD/measured LW ), leaf growth rate by soil moisture, and relative growth rate of leaf during drought period. In addition, we proposed Excel spreadsheet model for simulation of yield prediction of highland Kimchi cabbage. This Excel spreadsheet was composed four different sheets; growth data sheet measured at famer's field, daily average temperature data sheet for calculating GDD, soil moisture content data sheet for evaluating the soil water effect on leaf growth, and equation sheet for simulating the estimation of production. This Excel spreadsheet model can be practically used for predicting the production of highland Kimchi cabbage, which was calculated by (acreage of cultivation) ${\times}$ (number of plants) ${\times}$ (head weight estimated with growth variables and GDD) ${\times}$ (compensation terms derived relationship of GDD and growth by soil moisture) ${\times}$ (marketable head rate).

Estimation and evaluation of irrigation water need using net water consumption concept in Jeju Island (순물소모량 개념에 의한 제주도 농업용수 수요량 산정 및 평가)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Kim, Nam Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.503-511
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    • 2017
  • In order to estimate the demand for water resources planning and operation, methodology for determining the size of water supply facilities has been mainly applied to agricultural water, unlike living and industrial water, which reflects actual usage trends. This inevitably leads to an overestimation of agricultural water and can lead to an imbalance in the supply and demand of each use in terms of the total water resources plan. In this study, the difference of approaches of concept of net consumption was examined in comparison with the existing methodology and the characteristics of agricultural water demand were analyzed by applying it to whole Jeju Island. SWAT model was applied to estimate the amount of evapotranspiration, which is a key factor in estimating demand, and watershed modeling was performed to reflect geographical features, weather, runoff and water use characteristics of Jeju Island. For the past period (1992~2013), demand of Jeju Island as a whole was analyzed as 427 mm per year, and it showed a relatively high demand around the eastern and western coastal regions. Annual demand and seasonal variation characteristics of 10 river basins with watershed area of $30km^2$ or more were also analyzed. In addition, by applying the cultivated area of each crop in 2020 in the future, it is estimated that the demand corresponding to the 10-year frequency drought is 54% of the amount demanded in the previous research. This is due to the difference in approach depending on the purpose of the demand calculation. From the viewpoint of water resource management and operation, additional demand is expected as much as the net consumption. However, from the actual supply perspective, it can be judged that a facility plan that meets the existing demand amount is necessary. In order to utilize the methodologies and results presented in this study in practice, it is necessary to make a reasonable discussion in terms of policy and institutional as well as engineering verification.

Evaluation of Water Stress Using Canopy Temperature and Crop Water Stress Index (CWSI) in Peach Trees (복숭아나무의 엽온 및 작물수분스트레스 지수를 이용한 수분스트레스 평가)

  • Yun, Seok Kyu;Kim, Sung Jong;Nam, Eun Young;Kwon, Jung Hyun;Do, Yun Soo;Song, Seung-Yeob;Kim, Minyoung;Choi, Yonghun;Kim, Ghiseok;Shin, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2020
  • The study was performed to calculate canopy temperatures and crop water stress index (CWSI) of 2-year-old 'Yumi' peach trees using thermal infrared imaging under different soil water conditions, and to evaluate availability for water stress determination. Canopy temperatures showed similar daily variations to air temperatures and they were higher during the daytime than air temperatures. Canopy temperatures for 24 h were correlated highly to air temperatures (r2 =0.95), solar radiations (r2 =0.74), and relative humidity (r2 =-0.88). In addition, soil water potential showed a highly negative correlation to canopy temperatures (r2 =-0.57), temperature differences between leaf and air (TD) (r2 =-0.71), and CWSI (r2 =-0.72) during the daytime (11 to 16 h). CWSI for 24 h was highly related to canopy temperatures (r2 =0.90) and TD (r2 =0.92), whereas CWSI was not correlated to soil water potential (r2 =-0.27) for 24 h but related highly to water potential (r2 =-0.72) during the daytime (11 to 16 h). Correlation coefficients between CWSI (y) and soil water potential (x) were highest from 11 to 12 h and a regression equation was deduced as y = -0.0087x + 0.14. CWSI was calculated as 0.575 at -50 kPa, which soil water stress generally occurs. Thus our result suggests that this regression equation using thermal infrared imaging is useful to evaluate soil water stress of peach trees.

Evaluation of the Water Quality Changes in Agricultural Reservoir Covered with Floating Photovoltaic Solar-Tracking Systems (수상 회전식 태양광 발전시설 설치에 따른 농업용 저수지의 수질변화 평가)

  • Lee, Inju;Joo, Jin Chul;Lee, Chang Sin;Kim, Ga Yeong;Woo, Do Young;Kim, Jae Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2017
  • To evaluate the water quality changes in agricultural reservoir covered with floating photovoltaic solar-tracking systems, the water quality variations with time and depth were monitored on both six sites for light blocking zones and four sites for light penetration zones after the installation of floating photovoltaic solar-tracking systems in Geumgwang reservoir at Anseong-si, Kyeonggi province. For one year with 16 monitoring events, water quality parameters [i.e., water temperature, pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), and blue-green algae (BGA)] were monitored at depths of 0.3 m, 1 m, 3 m, and 5 m, while chemical oxygen demand (COD), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) were monitored at depths of 0.3 m. Statistically, the difference in all water quality parameters was not significantly different (p > 0.05) at the level of significance of 0.05. Based on these results, the water quality data from light blocking zones (site 1~6) and light penetration zones (site 7~10) were clustered, and were compared with time and depth. As a result, the difference in water temperature, pH, DO, COD, TN, TP, Chl-a, and BGA between light blocking zones and light penetration zones was not significant (p > 0.05) with different time and depth. For Chl-a and BGA, some data from light blocking zones greater than light penetration zones were temporary observed due to the severe drought, low water storage rate, and over growth of periphyton. However, this temporal phenomenon did not impact the water quality. Considering the small water surface area (${\leq}0.5%$) covered by floating photovoltaic solar-tracking systems, the mixing effect of whole Geumgwang reservoir caused by Ekman current and continuous discharge were more dominant than the effect of reduced solar irradiance. Further study is warranted to monitor the changes in water quality and aquatic ecosystems with greater water surface area covered by floating photovoltaic solar-tracking systems for a long time.

Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Storage Behavior of Chungju and the Regulation Dams Using SWAT Model (SWAT을 이용한 기후변화가 충주댐 및 조정지댐 저수량에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Jeong, Hyeon Gyo;Kim, Seong-Joon;Ha, Rim
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.12
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    • pp.1235-1247
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    • 2013
  • This study is to evaluate the climate change impact on future storage behavior of Chungju dam($2,750{\times}10^6m^3$) and the regulation dam($30{\times}10^6m^3$) using SWAT(Soil Water Assessment Tool) model. Using 9 years data (2002~2010), the SWAT was calibrated and validated for streamflow at three locations with 0.73 average Nash-Sutcliffe model Efficiency (NSE) and for two reservoir water levels with 0.86 NSE respectively. For future evaluation, the HadCM3 of GCMs (General Circulation Models) data by scenarios of SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) A2 and B1 of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) were adopted. The monthly temperature and precipitation data (2007~2099) were spatially corrected using 30 years (1977~2006, baseline period) of ground measured data through bias-correction, and temporally downscaled by Change Factor (CF) statistical method. For two periods; 2040s (2031~2050), 2080s (2071~2099), the future annual temperature were predicted to change $+0.9^{\circ}C$ in 2040s and $+4.0^{\circ}C$ in 2080s, and annual precipitation increased 9.6% in 2040s and 20.7% in 2080s respectively. The future watershed evapotranspiration increased up to 15.3% and the soil moisture decreased maximum 2.8% compared to baseline (2002~2010) condition. Under the future dam release condition of 9 years average (2002~2010) for each dam, the yearly dam inflow increased maximum 21.1% for most period except autumn. By the decrease of dam inflow in future autumn, the future dam storage could not recover to the full water level at the end of the year by the present dam release pattern. For the future flood and drought years, the temporal variation of dam storage became more unstable as it needs careful downward and upward management of dam storage respectively. Thus it is necessary to adjust the dam release pattern for climate change adaptation.