• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.3
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• pp.225-236
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• 2024

To prepare for the impending climate crisis, it is necessary to establish policies and strategies based on scientific predictions and analyses of climate change impacts. For this, climate change should be considered, however, in conventional scenario-led approach, researchers select and utilize representative climate change scenarios. Using the representative climate change scenarios makes prediction results high uncertain and low reliable, which leads to have limitations in applying them to relevant policies and design standards. Therefore, it is necessary to utilize scenario-neutral approach considering possible change ranges due to climate change. In this study, hydrologic risk was estimated for Boryeong after generating 343 time series of climate stress and calculating drought return period from bivariate drought frequency analysis. Considering 18 scenarios of SSP1-2.6 and 18 scenarios of SSP5-8.5, the results indicated that the hydrologic risks of drought occurrence with maximum return period ranged 0.15±0.025 within 20 years and 0.3125±0.0625 within 50 years, respectively. Therefore, it is necessary to establish drought policies and countermeasures in consideration of the corresponding hydrologic risks in Boryeong.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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• v.45 no.2
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• pp.51-59
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• 2017

This study evaluated the drought tolerance of Liriope platyphylla F.T.Wang & T.Tang, Dendranthema zawadskii var. lucidum (Nakai) J.H.Park, Hosta longipes (Franch. & Sav.) Matsum., Sedum sarmentosum Bunge and Zoysia japonica Steud. for an extensive green roof. In order to assess drought tolerance of green roof plants, several criteria were measured such as volumetric water content, leaf and soil moisture potential, chlorophyll a and b, chlorophyll fluorescence, photosynthesis, stomatal conductance, transpiration rate and antioxidants. The results of the drought tolerance measurement of green roof plants focused on the gradually withering of plants from lack of volumetric water content. D. zawadskii was the first to show an initial wilting point, followed by Z. japonica, H. longipes and L. platyphylla in order while S. sarmentosum showed no withering. It was concluded that H. longipes, L. platyphylla and S. sarmentosum were highly drought tolerant plants able to survive over three weeks. Furthermore, chlorophyll a and b were divided into two types: Type I, which kept regular content from the beginning to the middle of the period and suddenly declined, like H. longipes and Z. japonica; and Type II, which showed low content at the beginning, sharply increased at the middle stage and decreased, like D. zawadskii, L. platyphylla and S. sarmentosum. Volumetric water content and the amount of evapotranspiration consistently declined in all plant species. The analysis of chlorophyll fluorescence results that S. sarmentosum, which had relatively high drought tolerance, was the last to decline, while Z. japonica and S. sarmentosum withered after rapid reduction. At first, photosynthesis, stomatal conductance and transpiration rate showed high activity, but they lowered as the plant body closed stomata owing to the decrease in volumetric water content. Measuring antioxidants showed that when drought stress increased, the amount of antioxidants grew as well. However, when high moisture stress was maintained, this compound was continuously consumed. Therefore, the variation of antioxidants was considered possible for use as one of the indicators of drought tolerance evaluation.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.62 no.1
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• pp.83-93
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• 2020

East Asia, which includes China, Japan, Korea, and Mongolia, is highly impacted by hydroclimate extremes such drought, flood, and typhoon recent year. In 2017, more than 18.5 million hectares of crops have been damaged in China, and Korea has suffered economic losses as a result of severe drought. Satellite-derived rainfall products are becoming more accurate as space and time resolution become increasingly higher, and provide an alternative means of estimating ground-based rainfall. In this study, we verified the availability of rainfall products by comparing widely used satellite images such as Climate Hazards Groups InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC), and Precipitation Estimation From Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) with ground stations in East Asia. Also, the satellite-based rainfall products were used to calculate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The temporal resolution is based on monthly images and compared with the past 30 years data from 1989 to 2018. The comparison between rainfall data based on each satellite image products and the data from weather station-based weather data was shown by the coefficient of determination and showed more than 0.9. Each satellite-based rainfall data was used for each grid and applied to East Asia and South Korea. As a result of SPI analysis, the RMSE values of CHIRPS were 0.57, 0.53 and 0.47, and the MAE values of 0.46, 0.43 and 0.37 were better than other satellite products. This satellite-derived rainfall estimates offers important advantages in terms of spatial coverage, timeliness and cost efficiency compared to analysis for drought assessment with ground stations.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.4
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• pp.301-310
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• 2024

The spatial and temporal non-uniform distribution of precipitation makes water management difficult. Due to climate change, nonuniform distribution of precipitation is worsening, and droughts and floods are occurring frequently. Additionally, the intensity of droughts and floods is intensifying, making existing water management systems difficult. From June 2022 to June 2023, most of the water storage rates of major dams in the Yeongsan river and Seomjin river basin were below 30%. In the case of Juam dam, which is the most dependent on water use in the basin, the water storage rate fell to 20.3%, the lowest ever. Pyeongnim dam recorded the lowest water storage rate of 27.3% on May 4, 2023. Due to a lack of precipitation starting in the spring of 2022, Pyeongnim dam was placed at a drought concern level on June 19, 2022, and entered the severe drought level on August 21. Pyeongrim dam and Suyangje(dam) have different operating institutions. Nevertheless, the low water level was not reached at Pyeongnim dam through organic linkage operation in a drought situation. Pyeongnim dam was able to stably supply water to 63,000 people in three counties. In order to maximize the use of limited water resources, we must review ways to move water smoothly between basins and water sources, and prepare for water shortages caused by climate change by establishing a consumer-centered water supply system.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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• 2006.04a
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• pp.344-345
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• 2006

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.7
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• pp.581-587
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• 2004

An experimental watershed was selected and sustainable yield was evaluated. The study area(3.89$\textrm{km}^2$) was located in Kyungpook Sangju Yangchon-dong. The visual MODFLOW was verified by comparing the observed and estimated groundwater table. The analysis of the observed and estimated groundwater table from 19 March 2003 to 18 March 2004 showed that the average error was 0.0009m, the error sum of squares 7.245$m^2$, absolute mean error 0.094 m, root mean square error 0.141m, and the model efficiency was 92%. The normal, 10- and 30- year drought frequency years were selected and sustainable yield was evaluated in these periods. Ratios of sustainable yield to the annual infiltration were 14.5% for the normal year(1992), 15.1% for the 10-year(1994), and 15.2% for the 30-year drought frequency year(1982). The results of this study can be used as a basic information for groundwater development and management planning considering regional characteristics.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.352-356
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• 2008

가뭄관리에서 가장 중요한 요소는 1) 강수량, 지표수, 지하수, 댐수, 토양수분 등 물 공급량의 시 공간적 모니터링과 2) 이용가능한 물 공급량 약화 정도에 따라 적시적소에 물 이용자가 취해야할 행동요령을 제시하는 것이다. 가뭄지수는 가뭄관리에서 종합적인 물 공급량 정보를 하나의 수치로 정량화하여 가용 수자원의 악화정도를 나타내어 가뭄경보의 기준으로 활용된다. 현재까지 개발된 대표적인 가뭄지수들은 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index), SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), SWSI(Surface Water Supply Index) 등이 있다. PDSI는 여러 가지 제한점을 가지고 있지만 가뭄지수 개발의 시발점이 되었다는 점에서 전세계적으로 이용하고 있고 국내에서도 기상청의 공식적인 가뭄지수로 발표되고 있다. PDSI는 복잡한 물수지 모형에 의해 산정되며, 이용되는 매개변수는 지역의 기후상황, 보정자료기간 등에 민감하게 작용하고 있으나 이들에 대한 국내기후 환경에서의 평가가 선행되어 있지 않고 있다. PDSI는 가뭄과 습윤 기간의 시작과 종료 시점을 확률적으로 산정하여 이를 기반으로 가뭄경보에 활용하고 있다. 또한, 이들 확률은 기상학적 가뭄상황을 나타내는 PDSI에 후행하는 하천유출, 저수지 수위, 지하수 등의 수문학적 가뭄을 표현하는 PHDI(Palmer Hydrological Drought Index)를 산정하는 데 이용된다. Z-지수 역시 PDSI에서 얻을 수 있는 가뭄지수로 단기간의 가뭄특성에 의한 농업가뭄을 표현하는 데 적합한 지수로 알려져 있다. 본 연구에서는 PDSI의 제한점들을 살펴보고 우리나라의 기후상황, 자료보정기간 등에 따른 PDSI의 제매개변수들을 재산정하여 계산된 PDSI의 변동성을 검토한 후 이를 Palmer(1965)가 제시한 PDSI 산정식과 비교 평가하였다. 또한 가뭄의 시작과 종료 확률 개념에 의하여 산정된 PDSI를 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 PDSI와 비교 분석하여 개선점을 도출하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.123-123
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• 2011

가뭄은 다른 기상재해들과 달리 특정한 기후현상에 의해 발생하는 사건이 아닌 장기간의 강우 부족으로 인한 물 부족으로부터 기인하며, 가뭄의 특성상 가뭄의 시작과 끝을 명확히 구분하기 힘들며, 심도를 결정짓는 것 또한 어려움이 있다. 이러한 가뭄의 특성을 파악하기 위한 연구는 계속되고 있으며, SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index), SWSI(Surface Water Supply Index), EDI(Effective Drought Index), CMI(Crop Moisture Index)등과 같은 가뭄의 특성을 잘 반영한 가뭄지수의 개발 또한 끊임없이 이어지고 있다. 하지만 이러한 가뭄지수들은 기상학적, 기후학적, 농업적, 수문학적등과 같은 분류에 의해 가뭄의 표현이 상이한 결과를 보여주며, 동일한 방법으로 산정된 가뭄평가지수라 하더라도 지역적인 적합성 정도에서 또한 차이를 보인다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 실제 가뭄의 발생사례를 바탕으로 각종 가뭄지수들의 적합도와 가뭄의 변동특성을 파악하고자 한다. 우리나라의 가뭄특성을 확인하기 위하여 보고서 등 각종 문헌과 신문기사를 통해 1973년부터 2009년까지 실제 가뭄발생 기록을 정량화하고 행정구역단위의 우리나라 전역에 공간분포로 표현하였다. 69개 기상관측소의 강수 및 기온 자료를 통해 기상청과(SPI, PDSI, PN, 강수량십분위) 동일한 방법으로 가뭄지수를 산정 후 마찬가지로 행정구역단위의 우리나라 전역에 확장하였으며, 이렇게 생성된 각종 가뭄지수 및 기후변수의 공간분포와 실제 가뭄발생사례의 공간분포를 비교 분석함으로서 각 가뭄지수 및 기후변수의 적합성을 평가하였다. 각 가뭄지수 및 기후변수의 적합성을 평가하기 위하여 ROC space 상의 검정통계량을 이용하였다. 분석결과 PN(Percent of Normal)이 실제 가뭄의 현상을 가장 잘 표현했으며, 강수량, SPI 3, 강수량 십분위 등이 높은 상관성을 보였다. 또한 SPI12, PDSI, PN, 강수량십분위 등이 행정구역에 따른 산포정도가 비교적 낮게 나타났다. 본 연구를 통해 우리나라 전 지역 가뭄의 시 공간적인 가뭄변동특성을 파악하고, 기존에 사용되고 있는 가뭄지수의 적합도 평가를 통해 우리나라 가뭄특성을 가장 잘 반영한 가뭄지수의 선정과 각종 기후특성을 잘 반영하는 좀 더 향상된 가뭄지수 개발에 도움을 줄 수 있으며, 가뭄의 시 공간적인 예측에 대해 적합한 가뭄지수 선택에 도움을 줄 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.61 no.5
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• pp.1-10
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• 2019

Due to the climate change the drought had been occurring more frequently in recent two decades as compared to the previous years. The change in the pattern and frequency of the rainfall have a direct effect on the farming sector; therefore, the quantitative estimation of water supply is necessary for efficient agricultural water reservoir management. In past researches, there had been several studies conducted in estimation and evaluation of water supply based on the irrigational water requirement. However, some researches had shown significant differences between the theoretical and observed data based on this requirement. Thus, this study aims to propose an approach in estimating reservoir rate based on empirical method that utilized observed reservoir rate data. The result of these two methods in comparison with the previous one is seen to be more fitted for both R2 and RMSE with the observed reservoir rate. Among these procedures, the method that considers the drought year data shows more fitted outcomes. In addition, this new method was verified using 15-year (2002 to 2006) linear regression equation and then compare the preceeding 3-year (1999 to 2001) data to the theoretical method. The result using linear regression equation is also perceived to be more closely fitted to the observed reservoir rate data than the one based on theoretical irrigation water requirement. The new method developed in this research can therefore be used to provide more suitable supply data, and can contribute to effectively managing the reservoir operation in the country.

• Research in Plant Disease
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.62-70
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• 2019

The global warming by increased $CO_2$ will effect of plant pathogenic microorganisms and resistance of host plants, and it is expected to affect host-pathogen interactions. This study used Capsicum annuum L. and Xanthomonas euvesicatoria, a pathogenic bacteria of pepper, to investigate interactions between hosts and pathogens in a complex environment with increasedcultivation temperature and drought stress. As a result, the bacterial spot disease of C. annuum L. caused by X. euvesicatoria was $35^{\circ}C$ higher than $25^{\circ}C$. In addition, the effect on water potential on bacterial spot disease was much greater water potential -150 kPa than -30 kPa. The disease progress and severity higher than water potential -30 kPa. This result will useful for understanding interaction with red pepper and X. euvesicatoria under the complex environment with increased cultivation temperature and in water potential -150 kPa drought stress in the future.