• Title/Summary/Keyword: Drop analysis

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Port Volume Anomaly Detection Using Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석 기반 신뢰구간 추정을 활용한 항만 물동량 이상감지 방안)

  • Ha, Jun-Su;Na, Joon-Ho;Cho, Kwang-Hee;Ha, Hun-Koo
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.179-196
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    • 2021
  • Port congestion rate at Busan Port has increased for three years. Port congestion causes container reconditioning, which increases the dockyard labor's work intensity and ship owner's waiting time. If congestion is prolonged, it can cause a drop in port service levels. Therefore, this study proposed an anomaly detection method using ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model with the daily volume data from 2013 to 2020. Most of the research that predicts port volume is mainly focusing on long-term forecasting. Furthermore, studies suggesting methods to utilize demand forecasting in terms of port operations are hard to find. Therefore, this study proposes a way to use daily demand forecasting for port anomaly detection to solve the congestion problem at Busan port.

In Vitro and In Vivo Inhibitory Effects of Gaseous Chlorine Dioxide against Fusarium oxysporum f. sp. batatas Isolated from Stored Sweetpotato: Study II

  • Lee, Ye Ji;Jeong, Jin-Ju;Jin, Hyunjung;Kim, Wook;Jeun, Young Chull;Yu, Gyeong-Dan;Kim, Ki Deok
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2019
  • Chlorine dioxide ($ClO_2$) has been widely used as an effective disinfectant to control fungal contamination during postharvest crop storage. In this study, Fusarium oxysporum f. sp. batatas SP-f6 from the black rot symptom of sweetpotato was isolated and identified using phylogenetic analysis of elongation factor 1-${\alpha}$ gene; we further examined the in vitro and in vivo inhibitory activities of $ClO_2$ gas against the fungus. In the in vitro medium tests, fungal population was significantly inhibited upon increasing the concentration and exposure time. In in vivo tests, spore suspensions were drop-inoculated onto sweetpotato slices, followed by treatment using various $ClO_2$ concentrations and treatment times to assess fungus-induced disease development in the slices. Lesion diameters decreased at the tested $ClO_2$ concentrations over time. When sweetpotato roots were dip-inoculated in spore suspensions prior to treatment with 20 and 40 ppm of $ClO_2$ for 0-60 min, fungal populations significantly decreased at the tested concentrations for 30-60 min. Taken together, these results showed that $ClO_2$ gas can effectively inhibit fungal growth and disease development caused by F. oxysporum f. sp. batatas on sweetpotato. Therefore, $ClO_2$ gas may be used as a sanitizer to control this fungus during postharvest storage of sweetpotato.

Influence of Thru Holes Near Leading Edge of a Model Propeller on Cavitation Behavior (균일류에서 프로펠러 앞날 근처 관통구가 모형 프로펠러 캐비테이션에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Jong-Woo;Park, Il-Ryong;Park, Young-Ha;Kim, Je-In;Seol, Han-Shin;Kim, Ki-Sup
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.281-289
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    • 2019
  • In order to investigate the influence of thru holes near leading edge of model propeller on cavitation behavior, a model propeller with thru holes was manufactured and tested at Large Cavitation Tunnel (LCT). The pressure distribution around the thru hole on propeller blade was numerically calculated to help understand the local flow characteristics related to cavitation behavior. The model propeller is a five bladed propeller which has 2 blades with thru holes and 3 blades with smooth surface. The cavitation observation tests were conducted at angles of $0^{\circ}$ & $6^{\circ}$ using an inclined-shaft dynamometer in LCT. There are big difference on the suction side cavitation behavior each other due to the existence of thru hole. While the blades with thou holes start generation of the sheet cavitation from the leading edge on the suction side, the blades with smooth surface generate the cloud cavitation from the mid-chord. Cavitation on the blades with thru holes shows more similar behavior to those of the full-scale propeller of which the pipe line for air injection is closed. The numerical analysis result shows that the sharp pressure drop occurs around thru holes on the blade. Consequently, the thru hole around leading edge stimulates the cavitation occurrence and stabilizes the cavitation behavior. Based on these results, the effect of thru holes on propeller cavitation behavior behind a model ship should be studied in the future.

An Empirical Analysis of Sino-Russia Foreign Trade Turnover Time Series: Based on EMD-LSTM Model

  • GUO, Jian;WU, Kai Kun;YE, Lyu;CHENG, Shi Chao;LIU, Wen Jing;YANG, Jing Ying
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2022
  • The time series of foreign trade turnover is complex and variable and contains linear and nonlinear information. This paper proposes preprocessing the dataset by the EMD algorithm and combining the linear prediction advantage of the SARIMA model with the nonlinear prediction advantage of the EMD-LSTM model to construct the SARIMA-EMD-LSTM hybrid model by the weight assignment method. The forecast performance of the single models is compared with that of the hybrid models by using MAPE and RMSE metrics. Furthermore, it is confirmed that the weight assignment approach can benefit from the hybrid models. The results show that the SARIMA model can capture the fluctuation pattern of the time series, but it cannot effectively predict the sudden drop in foreign trade turnover caused by special reasons and has the lowest accuracy in long-term forecasting. The EMD-LSTM model successfully resolves the hysteresis phenomenon and has the highest forecast accuracy of all models, with a MAPE of 7.4304%. Therefore, it can be effectively used to forecast the Sino-Russia foreign trade turnover time series post-epidemic. Hybrid models cannot take advantage of SARIMA linear and LSTM nonlinear forecasting, so weight assignment is not the best method to construct hybrid models.

Effects of Bed Insert Geometry and Shape of WGS Catalysts on CO Conversion in a Fluidized Bed Reactor for SEWGS Process (SEWGS 공정을 위한 유동층 반응기에서 내부 삽입물의 모양 및 WGS 촉매의 형상이 CO 전환율에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu, Hojung;Kim, Hana;Lee, Dongho;Bae, Dalhee;Hwang, Taeksung
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.150-159
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    • 2013
  • To enhance the performance of SEWGS system by holding the WGS catalyst in a SEWGS reactor using bed inserts, effects of insert geometry and shape of WGS catalysts on CO conversion were measured and investigated. Small scale fluidized bed reactor was used as experimental apparatus and WGS catalyst (particle and tablet) and sand were used as bed materials. The parallel wall type and cross type bed inserts were used to hold the WGS catalysts. The CO conversion with steam/CO ratio was determined based on the exit gas analysis. The measured CO conversion using the bed inserts showed high value comparable to physical mixing cases. Moreover, gas flow direction was confirmed by bed pressure drop measurement for each case. Most of input gas flowed through the catalyst side when we charged tablet type catalyst into the bed insert and this can cause low $CO_2$ capture efficiency because the possibility of contact between input gas and $CO_2$ absorbent is low in this case. New bed insert geometry was proposed based on the results from this study to enhance contact between input gas and WGS catalyst and $CO_2$ absorbent.

A Study on Factors of Increasing Satisfaction with College Education for Freshmen in College (전문대학 신입생의 대학 교육서비스 만족도 상승 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Ha;Han, Sung-il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.390-399
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    • 2021
  • This study analyze the factors that can improve the satisfaction level of college students stable adaptation to college life and education service. It was analyzed whether students' personal characteristics, college life-related characteristics, and changes in college life Adaptation increase the satisfaction of college education service. As a result of analyzing CAT(college adatiation test) differences of 1st survey and 2nd survey in the results of the total 368 students, the graduates of the academic high school showed high academic integration and social integration and the social integration was high in the types of regular admission. As a result of multiple regression analysis with the increase in college education service satisfaction as a dependent variable, the lower the language score, the more positive changes in academic integrity, career identity, college satisfaction, relationship with professors, economic stability, and study keeping stability. Based on these results, various student support programs were proposed to increase the college education service satisfaction of college students.

Analysis of Elastic Wave Based Leakage Detection Technology Using Accelerometers (가속도계를 이용한 탄성파 기반 누수탐지 기술 분석)

  • Choi, Kwangmook;Lee, Hohyun;Shin, Gangwook;Hong, Sungtaek
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.1231-1240
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    • 2020
  • Water pipes are laid on the ground, making it impossible to visually detect leaks due to aging of pipes, and technology to detect leaks in pipes is mainly used to detect leaks in pipes by detecting leaks. In this paper, two accelerometers were attached to both ends of the constant water piping to calculate the time difference between the acquired data to detect leakage points. The leak test of piping was performed by installing valves at 4.3m, 8.6m, and 12.9m points on piping 17.2m, and changing the development rate of valves to 30% and 70%. Leakage can be detected for pressure drop in piping, which is 30% and 70% open valve. It is very important to detect leakage in the early stage, and it is judged that detection of the initial leak point from the algorithm applied in this paper will be possible.

A Comparative Analysis on the Pollination Potential Environment of Apis millifera and Bombus ignitus Using the Maxent Model - Focused on Seoul - (Maxent 모델을 이용한 호박벌과 양봉꿀벌의 수분 잠재환경 비교 분석 - 서울시를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Yoon-Ho;Cho, Yong-Hyeon;Bae, Yang-Seop;Kim, Tae-Jong;Son, In-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • The honey bee has a crucial ecological status for maintaining the natural ecology system. Pollination mediations by honey bees are recognized as an efficient way to enhance the quality of biological diversity and green areas in the nature and the urban ecological system. However, the population of bee around the world is decreasing and we do not know exactly how bees react to the physical environment in the urban area. This study is a basic research for the improvement of pollination services in the Korean urban ecological system. It aims to induce and review environmental variables which have high relations with the activities of pollination mediation insects in the urban area. The study established a Maxent model using five urban environmental variables that reflect the ecology of Bombus ignitus and the place information where Bombus ignitus appears in 18 spots of Seoul city, and compared with previous research results on Apis millifera. Bombus ignitus preferred places with more natural environments such as mountain forest areas and vicinities of streams. They preferred Stratified Tree Area the most among the vegetation types existing in the urban area. Comparing chicken models, both species saw their response value drop as the building coverage rose. In the case of Apis millifera and Bombus ignitus variables, the response value of both species was high in 10 out of 20 types. The result of this study is expected to provide basic information for improving the pollination services in the Korean urban area and to be utilized as the basic materials for the future urban planning.

A Study on the Effect of Low-Temperature Activity on Vanadium Catalysts (Vanadium계 촉매의 NH3-SCR 저온 활성 영향 연구)

  • Yeo, Jonghyeon;Hong, Sungchang
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.321-328
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    • 2020
  • This experiment compared V/W/TiO2 and V/Mo/TiO2 catalysts that were used for commercial catalysts. The effects of SCR reactions on low-temperature activity were studied. NH3-TPD, DRIFT, and H2-TPR analysis, alongside O2-on/off experiments, were conducted to identify the effects of NH3 acid sites and oxygen participating in the SCR reaction, which had a significant impact on the NH3-SCR reaction. The effect on activity was analyzed at 250 ℃, a high temperature of reaction activity, and 180 ℃, which showed significant activity degradation. In NH3 involved in the SCR reaction at 250 ℃, B and L acid sites contributed to the reaction. In particular, the B acid site was found to have significantly participated in the reaction and affected the NH3-SCR activity, which was reduced at 180 ℃ to affect the activity degradation. Also, atmospheric oxygen contributed to the SCR reaction, causing the active property to facilitate reaction activity at 250 ℃. However, oxygen did not comprise the reaction at 180 ℃, indicating a drop inactivity. Therefore, the B acid site was reduced, and the activity was judged to be degraded due to failure to share in the reaction and low effects by atmospheric oxygen.

Assessment of Historical Earthquake Magnitudes and Epicenters Using Ground Motion Simulations (지진동 모사를 통한 역사지진 규모와 진앙 평가)

  • Kim, Seongryong;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2021
  • Historical records of earthquakes are generally used as a basis to extrapolate the instrumental earthquake catalog in time and space during the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). However, the historical catalogs' input parameters determined through historical descriptions rather than any quantitative measurements are accompanied by considerable uncertainty in PSHA. Therefore, quantitative assessment to verify the historical earthquake parameters is essential for refining the reliability of PSHA. This study presents an approach and its application to constrain reliable ranges of the magnitude and corresponding epicenter of historical earthquakes. First, ranges rather than specific values of ground motion intensities are estimated at multiple locations with distances between each other for selected historical earthquakes by reviewing observed co-seismic natural phenomena, structural damage levels, or felt areas described in their historical records. Based on specific objective criteria, this study selects only one earthquake (July 24, 1643), which is potentially one of the largest historical earthquakes. Then, ground motion simulations are performed for sufficiently broadly distributed epicenters, with a regular grid to prevent one from relying on strong assumptions. Calculated peak ground accelerations and velocities in areas with the historical descriptions on corresponding earthquakes are converted to intensities with an empirical ground motion-intensity conversion equation to compare them with historical descriptions. For the ground motion simulation, ground motion prediction equations and a frequency-wavenumber method are used to consider the effects of possible source mechanisms and stress drop. From these quantitative calculations, reliable ranges of epicenters and magnitudes and the trade-off between them are inferred for the earthquake that can conservatively match the upper and lower boundaries of intensity values from historical descriptions.