• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution of Risk Information

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The working experience of internal control personnel and crash risk

  • RYU, Hae-Young;CHAE, Soo-Joon
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • Purpose : This study examines The impact of human resource investment in internal control on stock price crash risk. Effective internal control ensures that information provided is complete and accurate, financial statements are reliable. By overseeing management, internal control systems can reduce agency costs between management and outside parties. In Korea, firms have to disclose information about internal control systems. The working experience of human resources in internal control systems is also provided for interested parties. If a firm hires more experienced internal control personnel, it can better facilitate the disclosure of information. Prior studies reported that information asymmetry between managers and investors increases future stock price crash risk. Therefore, the longer working experience internal control personnel have, the lower probability stock crashes have. Research design, data and methodology : This study analyzed the association between the working experience of internal control personnel and crash risk using regression analysis on KOSPI listed companies for fiscal years 2016 through 2017. The sample consists of 1,034 firm-years of non-financial firms whose fiscal year end on December 31. Career spanning data of internal control personnel was collected from internal control reports. The professionalism(IC_EXP) was measured as the logarithm of the average working experience of internal control personnel in months. Negative conditional skewness(NSKEW) and down-to-up volatility (DUVOL) are used to measure firm-specific crash risk. Both measures are based on firm-specific weekly returns derived from the expanded market model. Results : We find that work experience in internal control environment is negatively related to stock price crashes. Specifically, skewness(NSKEW) and volatility (DUVOL) are reduced when firms have longer tenure of human resources in internal control division. The results imply that firms with experienced internal control personnel are less likely to experience stock price crashes. Conclusions : Stock price crashes occur when investors realize that stock prices have been inflated due to information asymmetry. There is a learning effect when internal control processes are done repetitively. Thus, firms with more experienced internal control personnel could manage their internal control more effectively. The results of this study suggest that firms could decrease information asymmetry by investing in human resources for their internal control system.

Multivariate CTE for copula distributions

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Kim, Jae Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 2017
  • The CTE (conditional tail expectation) is a useful risk management measure for a diversified investment portfolio that can be generally estimated by using a transformed univariate distribution. Hong et al. (2016) proposed a multivariate CTE based on multivariate quantile vectors, and explored its characteristics for multivariate normal distributions. Since most real financial data is not distributed symmetrically, it is problematic to apply the CTE to normal distributions. In order to obtain a multivariate CTE for various kinds of joint distributions, distribution fitting methods using copula functions are proposed in this work. Among the many copula functions, the Clayton, Frank, and Gumbel functions are considered, and the multivariate CTEs are obtained by using their generator functions and parameters. These CTEs are compared with CTEs obtained using other distribution functions. The characteristics of the multivariate CTEs are discussed, as are the properties of the distribution functions and their corresponding accuracy. Finally, conclusions are derived and presented with illustrative examples.

A Study on Analysing Framework of Information Security Management Systems for Managing Business Risk (비즈니스 위험관리를 위한 정보보호제도 분석 프레임웍에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Sun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.703-708
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    • 2010
  • Various information sources and the increasing vulnerabilities of information systems could increase the risks of a business. The successful management of business risks depends on appropriate level of risks in business. Business risk management would be conducted in terms of financial risk management and information security management. The financial management and the information security management could not achieve an integrated business risk management. For developing the integrated business risk management, this study analyzes the various information security management systems such as ISMS, EA, ISO27001, COBIT, SPICE, Auditing. This study analyzes information security systems, which could be utilized in developing business risk management.

Fuzzy histogram in estimating loss distributions for operational risk (운영 위험 관련 손실 분포 - 퍼지 히스토그램의 효과)

  • Pak, Ro-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.705-712
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    • 2009
  • Histogram is the oldest and most widely used density estimator for presentation and exploration of observed univariate data. The structure of a histogram really depends on the number of bins and the width of the bins, so that slight changes on bins can produce totally different shape of a histogram. In order to solve this problem the fuzzy histogram was introduced and the result was good enough (Loquin and Strauss, 2008). In particular, when estimating loss distribution related with operational risk a histogram has been widely used. In this article, instead of an ordinary histogram we try to use a fuzzy histogram for estimating loss distribution and show that a fuzzy histogram provide more stable results.

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Regional Analysis of Particulate Matter Concentration Risk in South Korea (국내 지역별 미세먼지 농도 리스크 분석)

  • Oh, Jang Wook;Lim, Tea Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2017
  • Millions of People die every year from diseases caused by exposure to outdoor air pollution. Especially, one of the most severe types of air pollution is fine particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5). South Korea also has been suffered from severe PM. This paper analyzes regional risks induced by PM10 and PM2.5 that have affected domestic area of Korea during 2014~2016.3Q. We investigated daily maxima of PM10 and PM2.5 data observed on 284 stations in South Korea, and found extremely high outlier. We employed extreme value distributions to fit the PM10 and PM2.5 data, but a single distribution did not fit the data well. For theses reasons, we implemented extreme mixture models such as the generalized Pareto distribution(GPD) with the normal, the gamma, the Weibull and the log-normal, respectively. Next, we divided the whole area into 16 regions and analyzed characteristics of PM risks by developing the FN-curves. Finally, we estimated 1-month, 1-quater, half year, 1-year and 3-years period return levels, respectively. The severity rankings of PM10 and PM2.5 concentration turned out to be different from region to region. The capital area revealed the worst PM risk in all seasons. The reason for high PM risk even in the yellow dust free season (Jun. ~ Sep.) can be inferred from the concentration of factories in this area. Gwangju showed the highest return level of PM2.5, even if the return level of PM10 was relatively low. This phenomenon implies that we should investigate chemical mechanisms for making PM2.5 in the vicinity of Gwangju area. On the other hand, Gyeongbuk and Ulsan exposed relatively high PM10 risk and low PM2.5 risk. This indicates that the management policy of PM risk in the west side should be different from that in the east side. The results of this research may provide insights for managing regional risks induced by PM10 and PM2.5 in South Korea.

The Effect of Global Marketing Capabilities on Export Outcomes of Korean Startup Firms (스타트업 기업의 국제마케팅역량이 수출성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Soo Kyung;Kim, Mun Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.66 no.8
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2016
  • This study is to explore the ways to increase the export performance of start-up companies, as opportunities are rising along with more companies entering the global market. Thus the study analyzed the factors affecting export performance of the start-up company by mainly looking at the international marketing capabilities of enterprises type of marketing strategy and internal environmental capabilities. The following were derived as factors for marketing 4P strategy: innovation of product, flexibility of export price, differentiation of distribution channels, diversity of promotional activities, and positive-ness of promotion. For internal capabilities of enterprises, innovation of CEO, initiative of CEO, risk susceptibility of CEO, information power of export market, and information power of competitor were derived as factors. Two types of performances were considered for export performance, financial and non-financial. Among innovation of product and risk susceptibility of CEO the non-financial performance of export performance, and only differentiation of distribution channels of marketing 4p strategy the financial performance. It showed that since performance was different depending on the entrepreneurship of the CEO, only innovative products differentiated from small and medium enterprises. risk susceptibility of CEO increased export outlook by corporate acknowledgment and image, creation of potential customers, and financial performance affected only differentiation in distribution channel rather than entrepreneurial spirit, information power, or organizational flexibility because of short business career and insufficient period enough to gain trust. Therefore, start-up companies need to improve their non-financial export performance by increasing innovation of product and risk susceptibility of the CEO. The companies need to widen the differentiation of distribution channels in the financial export performance.

A Study on Risk Classification System in Supply Chain (공급사슬망에서의 리스크 분류체계 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Soo;Song, Byung-Jun;Lee, Jong-Yun
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.19D no.3
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study is to present the importance of Risk Management and Risk Classification System in Supply Chain to cope with the rapidly changing distribution environment flexibly through the cooperation between a shipper and a distribution company. First of all, we considered existing studies related to the risks of Supply Chain Risk and analyzed 47 different risk factors by 18 kinds of risk causing factors. Second, we collected opinions of corporation specialist group based on the analyzed risk factors and then classified the risk factors into three categories and ten sub-categories. Third, we conducted a survey targeting shipping companies and distribution companies about classified risk and then verified the validity of Supply Chain Risk Classification using verification techniques such as Confirmatory Factor Analysis, Concentration Validity and Distinction Validity. Finally, we suggest some implications based on the verification results.

GIS-Based Spatial Statistical Analysis of Risk Areas for Liver Flukes in Surin Province of Thailand

  • Rujirakul, Ratana;Ueng-arporn, Naporn;Kaewpitoon, Soraya;Loyd, Ryan J;Kaewthani, Sarochinee;Kaewpitoon, Natthawut
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.2323-2326
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    • 2015
  • It is urgently necessary to be aware of the distribution and risk areas of liver fluke, Opisthorchis viverrini, for proper allocation of prevention and control measures. This study aimed to investigate the human behavior, and environmental factors influencing the distribution in Surin Province of Thailand, and to build a model using stepwise multiple regression analysis with a geographic information system (GIS) on environment and climate data. The relationship between the human behavior, attitudes (<50%; $X_{111}$), environmental factors like population density ($148-169pop/km^2$; $X_{73}$), and land use as wetland ($X_{64}$), were correlated with the liver fluke disease distribution at 0.000, 0.034, and 0.006 levels, respectively. Multiple regression analysis, by equations OV= -0.599 + 0.005(population density ($148-169pop/km^2$); $X_{73}$) + 0.040 (human attitude (<50%); $X_{111}$) +0.022 (land used (wetland; X64), was used to predict the distribution of liver fluke. OV is the patients of liver fluke infection, R Square= 0.878, and, Adjust R Square= 0.849. By GIS analysis, we found Si Narong, Sangkha, Phanom Dong Rak, Mueang Surin, Non Narai, Samrong Thap, Chumphon Buri, and Rattanaburi to have the highest distributions in Surin province. In conclusion, the combination of GIS and statistical analysis can help simulate the spatial distribution and risk areas of liver fluke, and thus may be an important tool for future planning of prevention and control measures.

Comparison of Rating Methods by Disaster Indicators (사회재난 지표별 등급화 기법 비교: 가축질병을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyo Jin;Yun, Hong Sic;Han, Hak
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Recently, a large social disaster has called for the need to diagnose social disaster safety, and the Ministry of Public Administration and Security calculates and publishes regional safety ratings such as regional safety index and national safety diagnosis every year. The existing safety diagnosis system uses equal intervals or normal distribution to grade risk maps in a uniform manner. Method: However, the equidistant technique can objectively analyze risk ratings, but there is a limit to classifying risk ratings when the distribution is skewed to one side, and the z-score technique has a problem of losing credibility if the population does not follow a normal distribution. Because the distribution of statistical data varies from indicator to indicator, the most appropriate rating should be applied for each data distribution. Result: Therefore, in this paper, we analyze the data of disaster indicators and present a comparison and suitable method for traditional equidistant and natural brake techniques to proceed with optimized grading for each indicator. Conclusion: As a result, three of the six new indicators were applied differently from conventional grading techniques

Management of KQMS for Efficient Information Distribution (효율적인 정보유통을 위한 KQMS 운영 사례)

  • Kim, sang-kuk;Choi, byeong-seon;Choi, seon-heui;Choi, myung-seok;Kang, mu-yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.607-610
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    • 2008
  • It is required to processing hierarchically of the quality management which can enhancing organizational competitiveness through a improvement continuously of quality and production of service is give a satisfaction to customer's needs for quality. So, KISTI was the first to certificated for ISO 9001 quality system in information distribution. As a result, business of contents distribution(collection - analysis - processing - loading - establishment - service) is define definitely, through an establishment of standard format to standardization of business process. And it can be managed to risk through a analysis and derive a risk factor during business processing.

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