• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distributed Hydrologic Model

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An Extended Model Evaluation Method under Uncertainty in Hydrologic Modeling

  • Lee, Giha;Youn, Sangkuk;Kim, Yeonsu
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model for the Prediction of Long-Term Runoff from a Small Watershed

  • 고덕구;권순국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.32 no.E
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 1990
  • Abstract Over 700/0 of the rural land area in Korea is mountainous and small watersheds provide most of the water resources for agricutural use. To provide an appropriate tool for the agricultural water resource development project, SNUA2, a mathematical model for simulating the physical processes governing the precipitation-runoff relationships and predicting the storm and long-term runoff quantities from the small mountainous watersheds was developed. The hydrological characteristics of small mountainous watersheds were reviewed to select appropriate theories for the simulation of the runoff processes, and a deterministic and distributed model was developed. In this, subsurface flows are routed by solving Richard's two dimensional equation, the dynamics of soil moisture contents are simulated by the consideration of phenological factors of canopy plants and surface flows are routed by solving the kinematic wave theory by numerical analysis. As a result of an application test of the model to the Sanglim watershed, peak flow rates of storm runoff were over-estimated by up to 184.2%. The occurence time of peak flow and total runoff volume of storm runoffs simulated were consistent with observed values and the annual runoff volumes were simulated in the error range of less than 5.8%.

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Prediction of Reservoir Water Level using CAT (CAT을 이용한 저수지 수위 예측)

  • Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Kim, Jin-Taek
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2012
  • This study is to analyse the hydrological behavior of agricultural reservoir using CAT (Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool). The CAT is a water cycle analysis model in order to quantitatively assess the characteristics of the short/long-term changes in watershed. It supports the effective design of water cycle improvement facilities by supplementing the strengths and weaknesses of existing conceptual parameter-based lumped hydrologic models and physical parameter-based distributed hydrologic models. The CAT especially supports the analysis of runoff processes in paddy fields and reservoirs. To evaluate the impact of agricultural reservoir operation and irrigation water supply on long-term rainfall-runoff process, the CAT was applied to Idong experimental catchment, operated for research on the rural catchment characteristics and accumulated long term data by hydrological observation equipments since 2000. From the results of the main control points, Idong, Yongdeok and Misan reservoirs, the daily water levels of those points are consistent well with observed water levels, and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies were 0.32~0.89 (2001~2007) and correlation coefficients were 0.73~0.98.

An Optimization of distributed Hydrologic Model using Multi-Objective Optimization Method (다중최적화기법을 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 최적화)

  • Kim, Jungho;Kim, Taegyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the multi-objective optimization method is attemped to optimize the hydrological model to estimate the runoff through two hydrological processes. HL-RDHM, a distributed hydrological model that can simultaneously estimate the amount of snowfall and runoff, was used as the distributed hydrological model. The Durango River basin in Colorado, USA, was selected as the watershed. MOSCEM was used as a multi-objective optimization method and parameter calibration and hydrologic model optimization were tried by selecting 5 parameters related to snow melting and 13 parameters related to runoff. Data from 2004 to 2005 were used to optimize the model and verified using data from 2001 to 2004. By optimizing both the amount of snow and the amount of runoff, the RMSE error can be reduced from 7% to 40% of the simulation value based on the initial solution at three SNOTEL points based on the RMSE. The USGS observation point of the outflow is improved about 40%.

Development of Semi-Distributed TOPMODEL (준분포형 TOPMODEL 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Kim, Jin-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.10 s.159
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    • pp.895-906
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    • 2005
  • The diversity of observed hydrologic data and the development of geographic information system leads significant progress for developing distributed runoff models in the world. One of the typical examples is TOPMODEL, but the spatial coverage of its application Is limited on small headwater basins. The purpose of this study attempts to overcome its limitation and consequently develops a semi-distributed TOPMODEL. The developed model is composed of two components: a watershed runoff component for a lumped representation of hydrologic runoff process on the catchment scale and a kinematic wave type hydraulic channel routing component lot routing the catchment outflows. The application basin is the $2,703km^2$ upper Soyang dam site and several daily and hourly events are selected for model calibrations and verifications. The model parameters are estimated on 1990 daily event. The model performance on correlation coefficient between observed and computed flows are above 0.90 for the verification events. It is concluded that the developed model in this study can be used for flood analysis in large drainage basins.

Parameter Estimation of a Distributed Hydrologic Model using Parallel PEST: Comparison of Impacts by Radar and Ground Rainfall Estimates (병렬 PEST를 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 매개변수 추정: 레이더 및 지상 강우 자료 영향 비교)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Yun-Seok;Choi, Cheon-Kyu;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.11
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    • pp.1041-1052
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we estimate parameters of a distributed hydrologic model, GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model), using a model-independent parameter estimation tool, PEST. We implement auto calibration of model parameters such as initial soil moisture, multipliers of overland roughness and soil hydraulic conductivity in the Geumho River Catchment and the Gamcheon Catchment using radar rainfall estimates and ground-observed rainfall represented by Thiessen interpolation. Automatic calibration is performed by GRM-MP (multiple projects), a modified version of GRM without GUI (graphic user interface) implementation, and "Parallel PEST" to improve estimation efficiency. Although ground rainfall shows similar or higher cumulative amount compared to radar rainfall in the areal average, high spatial variation is found only in radar rainfall. In terms of accuracy of hydrologic simulations, radar rainfall is equivalent or superior to ground rainfall. In the case of radar rainfall, the estimated multiplier of soil hydraulic conductivity is lower than 1, which may be affected by high rainfall intensity of radar rainfall. Other parameters such as initial soil moisture and the multiplier of overland roughness do not show consistent trends in the calibration results. Overall, calibrated parameters show different patterns in radar and ground rainfall, which should be carefully considered in the rainfall-runoff modelling applications using radar rainfall.

Application of a Distribution Rainfall-Runoff Model on the Nakdong River Basin

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Sun, Mingdong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.976-976
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    • 2012
  • The applicability of a distributed rainfall-runoff model for large river basin flood forecasts is analyzed by applying the model to the Nakdong River basin. The spatially explicit hydrologic model was constructed and calibrated by the several storm events. The assimilation of the large scale Nakdong River basin were conducted by calibrating the sub-basin channel outflow, dam discharge in the basin rainfall-runoff model. The applicability of automatic and semi-automatic calibration methods was analyzed for real time calibrations. Further an ensemble distributed rainfall runoff model has been developed to measure the runoff hydrograph generated for any temporally-spatially varied rainfall events, also the runoff of basin can be forecast at any location as well. The results of distributed rainfall-runoff model are very useful for flood managements on the large scale basins. That offer facile, realistic management method for the avoiding the potential flooding impacts and provide a reference for the construct and developing of flood control facilities.

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Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model to Predict Flood Runoff in a Small Mountaineous Watershed (산지 소유역의 홍수유출 예측을 위한 모의발생 수문모형의 개발)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.58-68
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    • 1988
  • Most of the Korean watersheds are mountaineous and consist of various soil types and land uses And seldom watersheds are found to have long term hydrologic records. The SNUA, a hydrologic watershed model was developed to meet the unique characteristics of Korean watershed and simulate the storm hydrographs from a small mountaineous watershed. Also the applicability of the model was tested by comparing the simulated storm hydrographs and the observed from Dochuk watershed, Gwangjugun, Kyunggido The conclusions obtained in this study could be summarized as follows ; 1. The model includes the simulation of interception, evaporation and infiltration for land surface hydrologic cycle on the single storm basis and the flow routing features for both overland and channel systems. 2. Net rainfall is estimated from the continuous computation of water balance at the surface of interception storage accounting for the rainfall intensities and the evaporation losses at each time step. 3. Excess rainfall is calculated by the abstraction of infiltration loss estimated by the Green and Ainpt Model from the net rainfall. 4. A momentum equation in the form of kinematic wave representation is solved by the finite differential method to obtain the runoff rate at the exit of the watershed. 5. The developed SNUA Model is a type of distributed and event model that considers the spatial distribution of the watershed parameters and simulates the hydrograph on a single storm basis. 6. The results of verification test show that the simulated peak flows agree with the observed in the occurence time but have relative enors in the range of 5.4-40.6% in various flow rates and also show that the simulated total runoff have 6.9-32% of relative errors against the observed. 7. To improve the applicability of the model, it was thought that more studies like the application test to the other watersheds of various types or the addition of the other hydrologk components describing subsurface storages are needed.

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Assessment of flood runoff using radar rainfall and distributed model (레이더 강우 자료와 분포형 모형을 이용한 홍수 유출량 산정)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Hong, Jun-Bum;Kim, Won;Yoon, Seok-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1783-1787
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    • 2007
  • In this paper we applied radar rainfall for assessment that radar can be used for flood forecasting. The radar data observed at Imjin-River radar site was adjusted using conditional merging method to estimate simulated runoff in Anseon-cheon basin. Also we use two dimensional physical and grid based model call $Vflo^{TM}$. As a result we could find simulated hydrologic curve shows good fitting with observed hydrologic curve even parameters of the model were not calibrated. If we calibrate the parameters, we can expect better hydrologic curve. And radar rainfall can be used for water resources fields and flood forecasting in Korea.

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Estimation of Distributed Groundwater Recharge in Jangseong District by using Integrated Hydrologic Model (통합수문모형을 이용한 장성지역의 분포형 지하수 함양량 추정)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Park, Seunghyuk;Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Min Gyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.517-526
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    • 2018
  • As groundwater recharge shows the heterogeneity in space and time due to land use and soil types, estimating daily recharge by integrated hydrologic analysis is needed. In this work, the SWAT-MODFLOW model was applied to compute daily based groundwater recharge in Jangseong region. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by comparing the observed and calculated values of the unsteady groundwater flow levels after calibrating the observed and calculated flow rates of the stream for a hydrological analysis. The estimated hydrologic components showed a strong correlation with each other and significant spatial variations regarding the groundwater recharge rate in accordance with the heterogeneous watershed characteristics such as subbasin slope, land use, and soil type. Overall, it was concluded that the coupled hydrologic models were capable of simulating the spatial variation with respect to the hydrologic component process in surface water and groundwater. The average recharge rate was estimated at approximately 20.8%.