• 제목/요약/키워드: Disruptive events

검색결과 11건 처리시간 0.039초

글로벌 가치사슬의 붕괴에 어떻게 대응해야 하는가? 분열적 상황의 심층규명과 중소기업의 위험관리 전략에 관한 연구 (How Should We Respond to the Collapse of the Global Value Chain? An In-Depth Investigation of Disruptive Events and Risk Management Strategies in SMEs)

  • 권세인;양종곤
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 공급사슬 취약성의 동인과 내·외부 분열적 상황을 규명하고 공급사슬 위험관리가 성과 피해를 완화하는 조절효과를 검증하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 182개 중소기업을 대상으로 한 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 공급사슬 취약성은 글로벌화, 제품 다양화 등 기업의 과도한 효율성에서 비롯되었음을 확인하였다. 둘째, 외부 환경적 분열요인보다 내부요인의 발생 가능성과 심각성이 더욱 높게 나타났다. 특히, 기업 내부의 가치사슬보다는 기업 간 공급사슬 프로세스에서 발생하는 위험의 대응 우선순위가 높았다. 마지막으로 공급사슬 위험관리의 수준이 높을수록 성과 피해를 긍정적으로 완화하는 조절효과가 나타났다. 본 연구는 공급사슬 위험에 대응하는 기업실무자와 정책 입안자의 의사결정에 실행적 단서를 제공하는 것에 가치가 있다.

The Dynamics of Agricultural Commodities and Their Responses to Disruptions of Considerable Magnitude

  • Conrad Stephen H.
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2005
  • An agricultural commodity production cycle model consisting of corn, beef, and dairy sectors was constructed for the purpose of exploring the propagating effects of large-scale disruptive events. In an initial proof-of-concept exercise, we considered an agricultural disruption scenario in which foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is introduced into the U.S., causing a large-scale outbreak of the disease in both beef and dairy cattle. The magnitude of disruption to the beef and dairy sectors are presented under the existing W response policy and then improvements under two alternative policies are shown.

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INHERENT SAFETY ANALYSIS OF THE KALIMER UNDER A LOFA WITH A REDUCED PRIMARY PUMP HALVING TIME

  • Chang, W.P.;Kwon, Y.M.;Jeong, H.Y.;Suk, S.D.;Lee, Y.B.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2011
  • The 600 MWe, pool-type, sodium-cooled, metallic fuel loaded KALIMER-600 (Korea Advanced LiquId MEtal Reactor, 600 MWe) has been conceptually designed with an emphasis on safety by self-regulating (inherent/intrinsic) negative reactivity feedback in the core. Its inherent safety under the ATWS (Anticipated Transient Without Scram) events was demonstrated in an earlier study. Initiating events of an HCDA (Hypothetical Core Disruptive Accident), however, also need to be analyzed for assessment of the margins in the current design. In this study, a hypothetical triple-fault accident, ULOF (Unprotected Loss Of Flow) with a reduced pump halving time, is investigated as an initiator of a core disruptive accident. A ULOF with insufficient primary pump inertia may cause core sodium boiling due to a power-to-flow mismatch. If the positive sodium reactivity resulting from this boiling is not compensated for by other intrinsic negative reactivity feedbacks, the resulting core power burst would challenge the fuel integrity. The present study focuses on determination of the limit of the pump inertia for assuring inherent reactivity feedback and behavior of the core after sodium boiling as well. Transient analyses are performed with the safety analysis code SSC-K, which now incorporates a new sodium boiling model. The results show that a halving time of more than 6.0 s does not allow sodium boiling even with very conservative assumptions. Boiling takes place for a halving time of 1.8 s, and its behavior can be predicted reasonably by the SSC-K.

The Ligand Occupancy of Endothelial Protein C Receptor Switches the Signaling Specificity of Thrombin from a Disruptive to a Protective Response in Endothelial Cells

  • Bae, Jong-Sup;Kim, Yong-Ung;Park, Moon-Ki
    • 한국환경과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국환경과학회 2008년도 추계학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.538-544
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    • 2008
  • Activated protein C (APC) is thought to exert antiinflammatory activities through the endothelial protein C receptor (EPCR)-dependent cleavage of protease activated receptor 1 (PAR-1) in endothelial cells. Since thrombin cleaves PAR-1 with $\sim$3-4-orders of magnitude higher efficiency, and PAR-1 is a target for proinflammatory activities of thrombin, it is not understood how APC can elicit protective responses through the cleavage of PAR-1. In this study, we demonstrate that EPCR is associated with caveolin-1 in endothelial lipid rafts, but its occupancy by protein C leads to its dissociation from caveolin-1 and subsequent recruitment of PAR-1 to protective signaling pathways through the coupling of PAR-1 to Gi-protein. When EPCR is bound by protein C, the PAR-1-dependent protective response in endothelial cells can be mediated by either thrombin or APC. These results provide a new paradigm for understanding the mechanism through which PAR-1 and EPCR participate in cellular signaling events in endothelial cells.

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자동차 선적 및 납기를 위한 동적 최적화 (A Dynamic Optimization for Automotive Vehicle Shipment and Delivery)

  • Yee, John
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2014
  • 완성차의 빠르고 안전한 납기를 위해 자동차 업계는 많은 노력을 기울여 왔다. 생산 후 선적까지 완성차가 조립공장내에 체재하는 시간의 감축을 통해 총 주문시간을 줄일 수 있음과 동시에 총수송비용 또한 줄일 수 있다. 전통적인 선적계획법들은 조립공장내에서 발생하는 동적인 사건들을 다루는데 한계가 있다. 본 논문은 이러한 선적과정중에 발생할 수 있는 동적 사건들을 해결하는 다중 에이전트 기반 선적 방법을 제시하고 있다. 시뮬레이션을 이용한 실험 결과를 통해 이러한 방법이 주문시간, 작업효율, 품질 및 수송효율의 증진을 가져올 수 있음을 보였다.

가족구조와 사회화가 강박구매에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 태국의 인생행로연구를 중심으로 (The Effects of Family Structure and Socialization Influences on Compulsive Buying: A Life Course Study in Thailand)

  • Nguyen, Hung Vu;Moschis, George P.;Shannon, Randall;Gotthelf, Kristian
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2009
  • Compulsive consumption is regarded as a global phenomenon that can adversely affect consumer well-being. Although the topic has been studied in different cultural settings, we have seen relatively little theory development and explanations of compulsive behavior Nearly all previous empirical studies attempt to explain this behavior by correlating measures of compulsive behavior with independent variables taken within the same time frame. However, recent developments in social sciences suggest that such a phenomenon may best understood in the context of the person's earlier-in-life experiences. Using the life course paradigm as an overarching framework, the present research extends previous work on this topic. Following hypotheses were drawn from literature review: H1: The earlier in childhood and adolescence a person experiences family dislocation, the greater his or her likelihood of exhibiting compulsive behaviors in adulthood. H2: The earlier in life the young person experienced family dislocation, the greater the number of family disruption events the young person experienced prior entering adulthood years. H3: Family dislocation leads to (a) increased frequency of socio.oriented family communications and (b) decreased frequency of concept-oriented family communication. H4: Young adults who were raised in families characterized by a strong socio-oriented communication structure are more likely to exhibit compulsive consumption tendencies than those who were raised in families characterized by a weak socio-oriented family communication structure. H5: Young adults who were raised in families characterized by a strong concept-oriented communication structure are less likely to exhibit compulsive consumption tendencies than those who were raised in families characterized by a week concept-oriented family communication structure. H6: The relationship between family disruption events experienced during adolescence and perceived stressfulness of these events is moderated by (a) global family support, (b) emotional family support, and (c) material family support. Those reporting higher levels of family support as teenagers are less likely to report experiencing stress due to family disruption events. H7: Perceived stressfulness of family disruption events experienced during adolescent years are associated with compulsive consumption tendencies in early adulthood. H8: The greater the number of family disruption events young adults experienced during their adolescent years the more frequent was their communication about consumption with their peers. H9: The more frequent was the young persons' communication with their peers about consumption during their adolescent years, the more likely they are to report compulsive buying tendencies as young adults. We use a sample of 120 Thai undergraduate students attending classes taught in English as part of a four-year international program. Product-moment correlations, hierarchical regression analysis and partial correlation were used to analyze data. Results of testing hypotheses showed that hypothesis 2, 4, 7 and 9 were supported and hypothesis 1, 3, 5, 6 and 8 were not supported. Our study did not find a significant relationship between the age when a person experienced family dislocation and their compulsive behavior tendencies expressed as young adults. We did not find a significant relationship between family dislocation and family communication structures. But we found a significant positive relationship between socio-oriented communication structure and compulsive buying and a significant relationship between our peer communication and compulsive buying measures. Also we found perceived stressfulness due to the disruptive events to have a significant positive relationship between the perceived stressfulness and compulsive buying. Implications from these findings, limitations of this research and future research suggestions were discussed.

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A-KRS 처분 시스템 결정론적 안전성 평가 (A Deterministic Safety Assessment of a Pyro-processed Waste Repository)

  • 이연명;정종태;최종원
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.171-188
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    • 2012
  • 파이로 처리 방사성 폐기물 처분 시스템 A-KRS에 대한 결정론적, 확률론적 안전성 평가가 가능하도록 골드심 프로그램을 개발하였다. 처분장에서 핵종이 유출되어 다양한 처분 시스템 내 매질을 이동하는 것에 관련된 주요 시나리오를 도출하기 위하여 처분 시스템을 구성하는 각 요소 별로, 그리고 처분 시스템 내 핵종의 이동에 관여하는 FEP을 인지 선별하여 수학적 모델을 개발하고 이를 골드심 템플릿 프로그램으로 개발하였다. 이 프로그램을 이용하여 폐쇄후 방사선적 안전성 평가를 결정론적으로 수행하여 5개의 정상 및 비정상 시나리오를 평가하여 그 결과를 상호 비교하였다.

A-KRS 처분 시스템 확률론적 안전성 평가 (A Probabilistic Safety Assessment of a Pyro-processed Waste Repository)

  • 이연명;정종태
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2012
  • 파이로처리 방사성 폐기물 처분 시스템에 대하여 골드심을 이용하여 개발된 확률론적 평가 프로그램을 이용하여 폐쇄후 방사선적 안전성 평가를 수행하였다. 처분장으로부터 핵종이 유출되어 다양한 처분 시스템 내 매질을 이동하는 것에 관련된 정상 시나리오에 대한 평가를 위하여, 평가 결과에 대한 민감도나 일반적으로 불확실성의 범위가 큰 입력자료 중 주요하다고 판단되는 파라미터를 9개로 선정하여 평가에 고려된 핵종 중 Tc, Sn, Pa, Cs 4개의 원소에 대하여 평가 결과를 논의해 보았다. 확률론적 안전성 평가와 함께 이들 각 입력 자료에 대한 최종 방사선 피폭선량에 대한 민감도도 분석하여 결과에 대한 각 입력 파라미터의 중요도도 비교하였다.

Evaluating the impacts of extreme agricultural droughts under climate change in Hung-up watershed, South Korea

  • Sadiqi, Sayed Shajahan;Hong, Eun-Mi;Nam, Wan-Ho
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.143-143
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    • 2021
  • Climate change indicators, mainly frequent drought which has happened since the drought of 1994, 1995, and 2012 causing the devastating effect to the agricultural sector, and could be more disruptive given the context of climate change indicators by increasing the temperature and more variable and extreme precipitation. Changes in frequency, duration, and severity of droughts will have enormous impacts on agriculture production and water management. Since both the possibility of drought manifestation and substantial yield losses, we are propositioning an integrated method for evaluating past and future agriculture drought hazards that depend on models' simulations in the Hung-up watershed. to discuss the question of how climate change might influence the impact of extreme agriculture drought by assessing the potential changes in temporal trends of agriculture drought. we will calculate the temporal trends of future drought through drought indices Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Standardized Precipitation Index, and Palmer drought severity index by using observed data of (1991-2020) from Wonju meteorological station and projected climate change scenarios (2021-2100) of the Representative Concentration Pathways models (RCPs). expected results confirmed the frequency of extreme agricultural drought in the future projected to increase under all studied RCPs. at present 100 years drought is anticipated to happen since the result showing under RCP2.6 will occur every 24 years, RCP4.5 every 17 years, and RCPs8.5 every 7 years, and it would be double in the largest warming scenarios. On another side, the result shows unsupportable water management, could cause devastating consequences in both food production and water supply in extreme events. Because significant increases in the drought magnitude and severity like to be initiate at different time scales for each drought indicator. Based on the expected result that the evaluating the impacts of extreme agricultural droughts and recession could be used for the development of proactive drought risk management, policies for future water balance, prioritize sustainable strengthening and mitigation strategies.

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청소년 병동에 입원한 비행 청소년의 특성에 관한 연구 (CHARACTERISTICS OF UNRULY & DELINQUENT ADOLESCENTS ADMITTED TO A PSYCHIATRIC INPATIENT UNIT)

  • 이영식;김원정
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 비행청소년의 사회심리적 특성을 파악하고 비행을 직접적으로 유발시키는 요소를 알아보고자 실시되었다. 청소년 병동에 입원한 환자 중 정신증 진단을 제외한 210명을 비행의 정도에 따라 경찰체포후 훈방된군(60명), 재판 판결을 받은군(35명), 이러한 사실이 없는 정서적으로 혼란된 비교군(105명)으로 나누어 인지-학습, 감정상태, 자살사고, 성격특성, 가족구조, 생활사건 영역에 관한 표준화된 검사를 실시하고 그 결과를 비교분석하였다. 공유진단을 파악하고자 이중 무작위로 60명은 구조화된 면담을 실시하였다. 연구결과 비행청소년은 비교군에 비해 1) 입양, 성생활의 문란, 가출, 정신과 입원력이 높았으며, 2) 언어성 지능지수 및 학습능력이 떨어지고, 3) 성격구조상 충동적이고 사회순응도가 낮으며, 강압적이며, 4) 가족단위의 여가활동이 적고, 낮은 종교 도덕관을 가진 가족의 특성을 보였으며, 5) 부정적 생활 경험이 많았고, 6) 품행자애, 반항장애, 주의력 결핍 과잉행동장애 진단율이 높았다. 우울, 불안, 자살사고는 3군중 훈방된군에서 가장 낮게 나왔다. 따라서 비행청소년을 다룰 때 비행에 관여하는 인지학습측면, 충동적인 성격구조, 가족구조, 부정적 생활경험, 파탄적 행동장애 측면에 관한 보다 집중적인 대처방안이 강구되어져야 하겠다.

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