• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster-Risk Evaluation

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Complex Disaster Risk Assessment of Local Road using a Landslide Hazard Map (산사태위험지도를 이용한 도로중심 복합재난 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Min-Ho;Jang, Chang-Deok;Jun, Kye-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2022
  • Domestic disaster risk maps are mainly produced and studied as a single disaster map by grid unit and disaster type. In particular, it is necessary to present an evaluation method of the disaster risk map that is more suitable for the relevant facility (local road) in order to utilize the work of practitioners who are mainly in charge of facility maintenance. In this study, an evaluation method was presented to evaluate the risk with a focus on local roads by using the landslide risk map and debris flow risk map provided by the Korea Forest Service. In addition, the risk was evaluated and verified for the provinces located in Gangwon-do. As a result of the evaluation, it was possible to evaluate the risk of grades 1 to 5 for 1,513 evaluation sections in the evaluation section with a total length of 234.59 km.

Probabilistic Risk Evaluation Method for Human-induced Disaster by Risk Curve Analysis (확률.통계적 리스크분석을 활용한 인적재난 위험평가 기법 제안)

  • Park, So-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2009
  • Recently, damage scale of human-induced disaster is sharply increased but its occurrences and damages are so uncertain that it is hard to construct a resonable response & mitigation plan for infrastructures. Therefore, the needs for a advanced risk management technique based on a probabilistic and stochastic risk evaluation theory is increased. In this study, these evaluation methods were investigated and a advanced disaster risk evaluation method, which is based on the probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment theory and also is a quantitative evaluation technique, was suggested. With this method, the safety changes as the result of fire damage management for recent 40 years was analyzed. And the result was compared with that of Japan. Through the consilience of the traditional risk assessment method and this method, a stochastical estimation technique for the uncertainty of future disaster's damage could support a cost-effective information for a resonable decision making on disaster mitigation.

A Study on the Evaluation Model of Disaster Risks for Earthquake : Centering on the Cases of Cheongju City (지진에 대한 재해위험도 평가 모형에 관한 연구 - 청주시 사례 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Eui-Dam;Shin, Chang-Ho;Hwang, Hee-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2010
  • Relatively high density of population and buildings exists in urban area mainly because of broad job opportunities and conveniences available. In other words, if happened, there might be high possibility of disaster which can not be easily recovered. The purpose of this study is to show evaluation approach of the risk degree resulted from the disaster, which considers the attributes of urban area. Cheongju-city in Chungcheongbuk-do is selected as sample district to be estimated. The degree of overall risk including fire risk, building collapse risk, evacuation risk and gas explosion risk etc. is analyzed in the designated area. The analysis suggests the highest risk degree in Bukmun-ro district which also shows CBD decline phenomenon. Therefore, it can be not only predicted that this area as old downtown has not been provided with disaster prevention operation and urban renewal project, but also judged that administrative assistances for the disaster are required possibly soon.

Improvement of the Risk Evaluation Methods for Small Bridges When Investigating the Small Public Facilities (소규모 공공시설 조사 시 소교량의 위험성 평가 방법 개선)

  • Jaesung Shin;Kyewon Jun;Jungsoo Rho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2023
  • Under the "Act on Safety Control of Small Public Facilities (enacted in 2015)", each local government selects and conducts annual safety inspections for small public facilities. Among small public facilities, small bridges pose high risks and are heavily utilized by local residents, making them challenging to manage due to their large numbers and limited resources. Therefore, there is a need for a rational selection method that considers the management capacity of local governments, as well as the establishment of objective risk evaluation and maintenance planning for small hazardous facilities. In this study, we propose a selection method based on structural and functional classification of small bridges, considering the management capacity of local governments. Additionally, we present quantitative evaluation indicators for ten risk evaluation criteria, aiming to facilitate objective risk evaluation.

Improvement of Post-earthquake Risk Assesment System for Damaged Buildings by Case Study on '11.15 Earthquake' (11.15 지진 사례를 통한 지진피해 시설물 위험도 평가 체계 개선)

  • Kang, Hyeong Gu;Yun, Nu-Ri;Kim, David;Lee, Jung Han;Kim, Hye Won;Oh, Keum Ho
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2018
  • Post-earthquake risk assessment technique in Korea is developed in 2013 by National Disaster Management Research Institute, at the same time, related manual and standard regulation is distributed to every local government by National Emergency Management Agency. The objectives of this research are to investigate and evaluate the post-earthquake risk assessment of 9.12 Earthquake (M5.8, Gyeongju City, 2016) and 11.15 Earthquake (M5.4, Pohang City, 2017). To suggest and improve the assessment process of post-earthquake risk, first post-earthquake risk assessment method of advanced foreign countries including US, New Zealand and Japan are compared, and post-earthquake evaluation activities in 9.12 Earthquake and 11.15 Earthquake are analyzed. From the results, it is needed to expand the adapted building and structure types and strengthen the earthquake disaster response capacity of local government.

Comparison of Disaster Vulnerability Analysis and Risk Evaluation of Heat Wave Disasters (폭염재해의 재해취약성분석 및 리스크 평가 비교)

  • Yu-Jeong SEOL;Ho-Yong KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.132-144
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of heat waves due to the increase in climate change temperature are increasing. Therefore, this study tried to compare the evaluation process and evaluation results of the heat wave disaster evaluation, which is the government's analysis of the heat wave disaster vulnerability and the risk evaluation method recently emphasized by the IPCC. The analysis of climate change disaster vulnerability is evaluated based on manuals and guidelines prepared by the government. Risk evaluation can be evaluated as the product of the possibility of a disaster and its impact, and it is evaluated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation based on Bayesian estimation method, which uses prior information to infer posterior probability. As a result of the analysis, the two evaluation results for Busan Metropolitan City differed slightly in the spatial distribution of areas vulnerable to heat waves. In order to properly evaluate disaster vulnerable areas due to climate change, the process and results of climate change disaster vulnerability analysis and risk assessment must be reviewed, and consider each methodology and countermeasures must be prepared.

Evaluation of Japan's Official Development Assistance (ODA) Projects on Flood Risk Management in Thailand

  • Jung, Minjung;Lee, Seungho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.210-210
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    • 2022
  • This study evaluates Japan's Official Development Assistance (ODA) projects in Thailand from 2011 to 2013 by deploying the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development (OECD) evaluation criteria. Special attention is placed on disaster-related development assistance activities of Japan through reviewing long-term impacts of the projects. The Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) has played a crucial role in transferring Japan's experiences on disaster risk management to developing countries, including Thailand. The study highlights two flood risk management projects in Thailand with the support of JICA after the 2011 floods, namely the Project for the Comprehensive Flood Management Plan for the Chao Phraya River Basin and the Project for Flood Countermeasures for Thailand Agriculture Sector. The case studies demonstrate that the projects were efficiently and effectively conducted for meeting Thailand's needs and requirements. JICA provided multi-hazards risk analysis through scientific data as well as local knowledge. However, achievements of the project did not last for long because of a lack of Thai stakeholders' commitment and JICA's post-project management. It is concluded that a development agency should consider impacts and sustainability of flood risk management projects more carefully from the stage of planning, and the practical application of the knowledge, and technologies should also be monitored progressively after the completion of the project.

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A study on development of disaster-risk assessment criteria for steep slope -Based on the cases of NDMS in Ministry of Interior and Safety- (급경사지 재해위험도 평가 기준 개선 방안 연구 -행정안전부 급경사지 관리시스템 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Suk, Jae-Wook;Kang, Hyo-Sub;Jeong, Hyang-Seon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.372-381
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the National Disaster Management System (NDMS) was analyzed to evaluate the disaster impact assessment standards for steep slopes. Problems in the assessment methods and systems were discovered, which could be reasons for poor reliability. The disaster-risk evaluation index needs improvement to evaluate various types of retaining walls, such as concrete/reinforced soil walls and reinforcing stone masonry. Additionally, using the same score for overturning, bulging, and efflorescence could be reasons for poor reliability, and different weighting factors are needed. Assessment methods are needed to subdivide the social influence evaluation index while considering environmental conditions of steep slopes, such as railroads and reservoirs. For the evaluation of steep slopes, standards for start and end points of steep slopes should be created for effective management, and disaster impact assessment needs to be performed after redevelopment from an advanced index for protection and reinforcement. These problems were derived from a current evaluation system, so a disaster impact assessment is necessary to supplement the results of this study.

A Study on Risk Analysis of Social Disaster (사회재난의 재난위해분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kwan-Hyoung;Yi, Waon-Ho;Yang, Won-Jik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2016
  • According to the disaster statistics issued by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security, traffic accidents, fire, collapses and others are classified into twenty-three (23) categories. In the past, disasters were mainly caused by the influence of nature, such as typhoon or drought. On the other hand, as society has become city-centered, social disasters' types, frequencies and scales are becoming more diversified and ever-increasing. However, there are no specific criteria and assessment methods that can measure degrees of social disasters-related risks objectively. Therefore, this study targeted traffic accidents, fire and collapses from major social disasters, utilized data that are related to occurrence rate, scale of casualties and scale of property loss in past eight years, and calculated the disaster risk index using the distance (Euclidean distance) between two points on the 3D spatial coordinates, in order to make the objective assessment by social disaster type possible. These results will enable the objective evaluation of risk index of major social disaster to be used as the foundational data when building the national disaster management system.

Study of Influence Factors for Prediction of Ground Subsidence Risk

  • Park, Jin Young;Jang, Eugene;Ihm, Myeong Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2017
  • This Analyzed case study of measuring displacement, implemented laboratory investigation, and in-situ testing in order to interpret ground subsidence risk rating by excavation work. Since geological features of each country are different, it is necessary to objectify or classify quantitatively ground subsidence risk evaluation in accordance with Korean ground character. Induced main factor that could be evaluated and used to predicted ground subsidence risk through literature investigation and analysis study on research trend related to the ground subsidence. Major factors of ground subsidence might be classified by geological features as overburden, boundary surface of ground, soil, rock and water. These factors affect each other differently in accordance with type of ground that's classified soil, rock, or complex. Then rock could be classified including limestone element or not, also in case of the latter it might be classified whether brittle shear zone or not.