• 제목/요약/키워드: Direct estimation method

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A Quantitative Approach to the influence on the South Korean Air Transportation System in the Event of Volcanic Ash Dispersal (화산재에 따른 국내항공교통의 영향에 대한 정량화 방안)

  • LEE, Jiseon;YOON, Yoonjin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.318-329
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    • 2016
  • There has been a growing interest on the effect of volcanic eruption on the aviation safety, air travel and economy especially after the eruption of Eyjafjallajokull in Iceland. Since volcanic eruption is influential on a large geographic region, the effect usually extends to other neighboring countries. Korea also has an active volcano named Mountain Baekdu. Hence, the need to estimate in advance the quantitative impact of the potential eruption of Mt. Baekdu on South Korean air transportation system. However, previous studies with quantitative estimation were confined to the calculation of the direct economic loss from shut down of the airports, grounding of airlines, and trade deficits caused by the eruption. Therefore, this paper introduces a new approach to assess more accurate impact simultaneously considering volcanic ash dispersal and aviation routes. This approach is then applied to a virtual scenario to predict the damage to air traffic. With further development, this method can help estimate the damage in the air transportation industry in more accurate and faster ways. Prediction outcomes can also be utilized in setting up the emergency response plan for the air transportation industry and contribute to the creation of more proactive and predictive measures in the future.

Closing Analysis of Symmetric Steel Cable-stayed Bridges and Estimation of Construction Error (대칭형 강 사장교의 폐합해석과 시공오차의 예측)

  • Lee, Min Kwon;Lee, Hae Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1A
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the closing analysis of a symmetric steel cable-stayed bridge erected by a free cantilever method. Two independent structural systems are formed before the closing procedure of a bridge is performed, and thus the compatibility conditions for vertical displacement and rotational angle are not satisfied at the closing section without the application of proper sectional forces. Since, however, it is usually impossible to apply sectional forces at the closing section, the compatibility conditions should be satisfied by proper external forces that can be actually applicable to a bridge. Unstrained lengths of selected cables and the pull-up force of a derrick crane are adjusted to satisfy nonlinear compatibility conditions, which are solved iteratively by the Newton-Raphson method. Cable members are modeled by the elastic catenary cable elements, and towers and main girders are discretized by linear 3-D frame elements. The sensitivities of displacement with respect to the unstrained lengths of selected cables and the pull-up force of the derrick crane are evaluated by the direct differentiation of the equilibrium equation. A Monte-Carlo simulation approach is proposed to estimate expected construction errors for a given confidence level. The proposed method is applied to the second Jindo Grand Bridge to demonstrate its validity and effectiveness.

Assessment and Calibration of Ultrasonic Velocity Measurement for Estimating the Weathering Index of Stone Cultural Heritage (석조문화재의 풍화지수 산정을 위한 초음파속도의 평가 및 보정)

  • Lee, Young-Jun;Keehm, Young-Seuk;Lee, Min-Hui;Han, June-Hee;Kim, Min-Su
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.126-138
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    • 2012
  • Ultrasonic method is widely used for the evaluation of weathering index and of degree of deterioration because it is easily applicable $in$ $situ$. The basic idea of the method is that the ultrasonic velocity decreases as a rock is being weathered. Thus, the difference of ultrasonic velocities between fresh rock and weathered rock indicates the degree of weathering. In this method, the ultrasonic velocity of fresh rock is assumed to be 5,000 m/s. However, this assumption can cause significant errors in estimating weathering index, especially in case that those rocks of the same type have a wide range of ultrasonic velocities such as in Korea. Therefore, we obtained twenty rock specimens and sixty core samples commonly used for stone cultural heritages in Korea, and measured ultrasonic velocities. From the results, we found that the ultrasonic velocities of the same rock type, granite samples range from 3,118 to 5,380 m/s, and that the estimated weathering index can be highly biased if we use the fixed value of 5,000 m/s. We created a database (DB) by combining the measurement data and reported it. We also measured ultrasonic velocities by direct and indirect methods to quantify the calibration coefficient for each sampling site. We found that the calibration coefficients vary widely from site to site (1.31-1.76). Other factors, such as operator bias and temperature did not show any significant effect on errors in ultrasonic velocity measurements. Lastly, we applied our ultrasonic velocity DB and calibration coefficients to a stone cultural heritage, Bonghwang-ri Buddha statue. Our estimation of the weathering index was 0.3, 0.1 smaller than that by conventional method. The degree of deterioration was also different, "moderately weathered", while conventional method gave "highly weathered". Since other independent studies reported that the degree of deterioration of the Buddha statue was "moderately weathered", our estimation seems to be more accurate. Thus our method can help accurately evaluate the weathering index and the conservation planning for a stone cultural heritage.

Estimation of the Value of Green Cars Permission on Exclusive Bus Lane of Yeongdong Expressway Using a CVM Method (CVM을 이용한 영동고속도로 버스전용차로 내 친환경차 주행 허가에 대한 가치 추정)

  • Kim, Inyoung;Park, Sangmin;Kim, Kyung Hyun;Lee, Hwanpil;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • The exclusive bus lanes in the Yeongdong Expressway were implemented in the Singal to Yeoju section in 2017, but the capacity of both exclusive bus lanes and general-purpose lanes of the Yeongdong Expressway decreased and the travel time increased, reducing it to the Singal to Deokpyeong section. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the efficiency of exclusive bus lanes to revitalize public transportation and improve environmental problems. This study calculated the willingness to pay and the social benefits of permission for Green cars to drive on exclusive bus lanes in Yeongdong Expressway. A survey was conducted on two groups of Green car users and Expressway users, and the willingness to pay was estimated using the CVM method. As a result, the average WTP of Green car users were estimated to be 218.7(won/km·person), and that of Expressway users were estimated to be approximately 235.5(won/km·person). The direct benefits were estimated to be approximately 7.9 billion won for Green car users, and 8.5 billion won for Expressway users in 2019. Finally, the value of time saving was estimated to be approximately 8.0 billion won.

Analysis of the Adequacy of Nurse Staffing Level through the Estimation of Nursing Activity Hours and Implementation of Focus Group Interviews in a Tertiary Hospital: Using a Mixed-Method Design (일 상급종합병원 병동간호사의 업무량 측정 및 간호사 배치수준의 적절성 연구: 혼합연구 설계 적용)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joo;Lee, Sun-Hee;Lee, Jai-Jung;Seong, Sun-Suk;Yang, Hee;Lee, Hyang-Yuol
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.237-249
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to examine the adequacy of current nurse staffing levels by identifying nursing activities and workload. Methods: The study used a mixed-method design. A nursing activity survey was conducted using the work sampling method over 2 working days with 119 general ward nurses. A focus group interview was conducted with 12 nurses. Quantitative and qualitative data were analyzed using SPSS 20.0 and content analysis, respectively. Results: The most amount of time was spent on medication (in direct nursing) and electronic medical record documentation (in indirect nursing). The appropriate nurse-to-patient ratio is 1:7.7 for the day shift, 1:9.0 for the evening shift, and 1:11.9 for the night shift. However, the current nurse-to-patient ratio is 1:9.4, 1:11.0, and 1:13.8 for the day, evening, and night shifts, respectively. Therefore, the current nurse staffing level is insufficient for the workload. In the focus group interview, the main reasons cited for being unable to complete tasks within working hours were communication and coordination, and the nursing electronic medical record. The essential nursing activities of basic nursing and emotional support were overlooked owing to a heavy workload. Therefore, an adequate nurse staffing level should be higher than the measured quantitative workload. Conclusion: These results suggest the general wards of tertiary hospitals should evaluate the adequacy of their current nurse staffing and allocate sufficient nurses to improve patient safety and nursing care quality.

A Study on a Quantitative Method in Estimating Forest Effects for Streamflow Regulation (II) - Mainly Dealing with Application of Coefficient for Slope Roughness - (삼림이수기능(森林理水機能)의 정량적(定量的) 평가방법(平價方法)에 관한 연구(硏究)(II) - 조도계수(粗度係數)의 응용(應用)을 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Lee, Heon Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.81 no.4
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 1992
  • In this research, a kinematic wave model was applied for the runoff analysis, Regulation of streamflow was estimated by the calibration of roughness coefficient as a parameter. The data analyzed were obtained from Ananomiya and Shirasaka experimental basins at Tokyo University Forest in Aichi. Estimation methods and characteristics of roughness coefficient as a evaluation method of hydrological function of forest are summarized as follows ; 1. Roughness coefficient($N_s$) indicates the resistance of hillslope to the flowing water of surface runoff. There exists an hypothesis that resistance of hillslope to flowing water increase with the growth forest and development of the $A_o$ layer. 2. Roughness coefficient($N_s$) was estimated by the parameter when the stream direct runoff was calculated by using the kinematic wave. 3. Secular change of '$N_s$' in ananomiya has a curve which has an upper limit and increases exponentially near the limit. The curve quickly increased from 1935 to 1945 when results of afforestation for erosion control were thought to be effective. On the other hand, slight increase of '$N_s$' in Shirasaka indicates that there was not such a big change in the surface of soil layer. 4. The increase of '$N_s$' was related with decrease of direct runoff and increase of base flow. It was recognized that the rate of direct runoff decreased with the improvement of forest physiognomy and the rate of base flow was increased. But absolute value of water runoff per one storm decreased in chronological order.

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Application of Vision-based Measurement System for Estimation of Dynamic Characteristics on Hanger Cables (행어케이블의 동특성 추정을 위한 영상계측시스템 적용)

  • Kim, Sung-Wan;Kim, Nam-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1A
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • Along with the development of coasts, islands and mountains, the demand of long-span bridges increases which, in turn, brings forth the construction of cable-supported bridges like suspension and cable-stayed bridges. There are various types of statically indeterminate structures widely applied that supported the main girder with stay cables, main cables, hanger cables with aesthetic structural appearance. As to the cable-supported bridges, the health monitoring of a bridge can be identified by measuring tension force on cable repeatedly. The tension force on cable is measured either by direct measurement of stress of cable using load cell or hydraulic jack, or by vibration method estimating tension force using cable shape and measured dynamic characteristics. In this study, a method to estimate dynamic characteristics of hanger cables by using a digital image processing is suggested. Digital images are acquired by a portable digital camcorder, which is the sensor to remotely measure dynamic responses considering convenient and economical aspects for use. A digital image correlation(DIC) technique is applied for digital image processing, and an image transform function(ITF) to correct the geometric distortion induced from the deformed images is used to estimate subpixel. And, the correction of motion of vision-based measurement system using a fixed object in an image without installing additional sensor can be enhanced the resolution of dynamic responses and modal frequencies of hanger cables.

Assessment of Equivalent Heights of Soil for the Lateral Earth Pressure Against Retaining Walls Due to Design Truck Load by 3D Numerical Analysis (3차원 수치해석에 의한 표준트럭하중에 의해 옹벽에 작용하는 수평토압의 등가높이 산정)

  • Seo, Seunghwan;Jin, Hyunsik;Kim, Dongwook;Chung, Moonkyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2019
  • The lateral load from traffic depends on standard truck's axle loads and locations, loading distance from the inner wall. The method of limit state design has been adopted and used for design of roads in the Republic of Korea since 2015. The concept of equivalent height of soil accounting for traffic loading is often used for design of retaining walls to quantify the traffic loads transmitted to the inner wall faces. Due to the different characteristics of the standard design trucks between Korea and US (AASHTO), the direct use of the guidelines from AASHTO LRFD leads to incorrect estimation of traffic load effects on retaining walls. This paper presents the results of evaluation of equivalent height of soil to reflect the standard truck of the nation, based on the findings from analytical solutions using 3D finite element method. Compare to US, the standard truck loading has a structure where the axle load is concentrated so that the equivalent load height is estimated to be slightly larger than AASHTO for lower retaining wall height. It would be reasonable to present the equivalent load height in Korea more conservatively than AASHTO in terms of securing long term stability of the retaining wall structure.

Estimation of the Spatial Distribution of Groundwater Recharge by Grid-based Soil Water Balance Method (격자기반의 토양물수지방법에 의한 지하수함양의 공간분포 추정)

  • An Jung-Gi;Lee Yong-Doo;Hwang Jong-Hwan
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2006
  • This paper outlines the methodology of grid-based water balance for estimating the spatial distribution of recharge, which is applied to Woedo catchment in the northern area of the Jeju Island. The catchment is divided into grids and a daily water balance in each grid is computed for the period of 5 years. Daily rainfall data in each grid is interpolated from the data of 10 rainfall gauging stations. The spatial distributions of parameters such as SCS curve number, soil water retention capacity and crop coefficients are derived from GIS analyses of soil and land use characteristics. The SCS curve number is obtained by calibrating simulated runoffs with respect to the observed runoffs. The results show that the average annual rainfall increases from 1,665 mm/year to 3,382 mm/year in accordance with the topographic elevation, and the average annual recharge varies from 372 mm/year to 2,576 mm/year according to the average annual rainfall increases. Spatial variability of recharge is the highest among the water balance components such as rainfall, direct runoff, evaprotranspiration and recharge because the rate of runoff and evapotranspiration in the area with relatively low rainfall is higher than the other area.

Comparison of Artificial Neural Network and Empirical Models to Determine Daily Reference Evapotranspiration (기준 일증발산량 산정을 위한 인공신경망 모델과 경험모델의 적용 및 비교)

  • Choi, Yonghun;Kim, Minyoung;O'Shaughnessy, Susan;Jeon, Jonggil;Kim, Youngjin;Song, Weon Jung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.6
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2018
  • The accurate estimation of reference crop evapotranspiration ($ET_o$) is essential in irrigation water management to assess the time-dependent status of crop water use and irrigation scheduling. The importance of $ET_o$ has resulted in many direct and indirect methods to approximate its value and include pan evaporation, meteorological-based estimations, lysimetry, soil moisture depletion, and soil water balance equations. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been intensively implemented for process-based hydrologic modeling due to their superior performance using nonlinear modeling, pattern recognition, and classification. This study adapted two well-known ANN algorithms, Backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and Generalized regression neural network (GRNN), to evaluate their capability to accurately predict $ET_o$ using daily meteorological data. All data were obtained from two automated weather stations (Chupungryeong and Jangsu) located in the Yeongdong-gun (2002-2017) and Jangsu-gun (1988-2017), respectively. Daily $ET_o$ was calculated using the Penman-Monteith equation as the benchmark method. These calculated values of $ET_o$ and corresponding meteorological data were separated into training, validation and test datasets. The performance of each ANN algorithm was evaluated against $ET_o$ calculated from the benchmark method and multiple linear regression (MLR) model. The overall results showed that the BPNN algorithm performed best followed by the MLR and GRNN in a statistical sense and this could contribute to provide valuable information to farmers, water managers and policy makers for effective agricultural water governance.