• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.157-165
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• 2016

하이테크 제품 중에서 이동통신 단말기는 빠른 속도로 혁신이 이루어지고 있으며 이에 따라 제품수명주기도 짧아지고 있다. 이렇게 짧아진 제품수명주기를 정확히 예측하기 위해서는 정확한 수요예측방법론의 선택이 중요하며 이는 전략적 경영계획 수립에 가장 기본적인 요소라고 할 수 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 이동통신 단말기의 전체 확산 수명에 적용될 수 있는 최적의 모형을 제시하는 것이다. 우리는 2013년 3월부터 2014년 8월까지 국내 특정 이동통신 서비스 사업자의 이동통신 단말기 판매 데이터를 활용하여 이동통신 단말기의 판매추이 및 수요예측을 위한 최적의 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 네 가지 모형의 성능을 비교분석하였는데 두 가지 S자형 확산모형인 Gompertz와 logistic 모형, 두 가지 비선형 회귀모형인 Michaelis-Menten과 logarithmic 모형을 비교한다. 모형 적합도에 따르면 logistic 모형이 모형일치성에 있어서 다른 세 개의 모형보다 성능이 우수한 것으로 발견되었으며 수요예측모델로는 확산이 정체하기 전까지는 logistic 모형이 우수하며 포화단계에 근접할수록 Gompertz 모형이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 분석결과는 이동통신 단말기 시장 규모를 추정하거나 이동통신 단말기의 재고 및 주문관리를 하는데 있어서 유용한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.847-864
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• 2015

This study aimed to develop models of sulfate diffusion and ettringite content profile in cement paste for the predication of the damage behavior in cement paste subject to external sulfate. In the models, multiphase reaction equilibrium between ions in pore solution and solid calcium aluminates phases and the microstructure changes in different positions of cement paste were taken into account. The distributions of expansive volume strain and expansion stress in cement paste were calculated based on the ettringite content profile model. In addition, more sulfate diffusion tests and SEM analyses were determined to verify the reliability and veracity of the models. As the results shown, there was a good correlation between the numerical simulation results and experimental evidences. The results indicated that the water to cement ratio (w/c) had a significant influence on the diffusion of sulfate ions, ettringite concentration profile and expansion properties in cement paste specimens. The cracking points caused by ettringite growth in cement paste specimens were predicted through numerical methods. According to the simulation results, the fracture of cement paste would be accelerated when the specimens were prepared with higher w/c or when they were exposed to sulfate solution with higher concentration.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제37A권11호
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• pp.961-971
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• 2012

This article is concerned with effective numerical techniques for partial differential equation (PDE)-based image restoration. Numerical realizations of most PDE-based denoising models show a common drawback: loss of fine structures. In order to overcome the drawback, the article introduces a new time-stepping procedure, called the method of nonflat time evolution (MONTE), in which the timestep size is determined based on local image characteristics such as the curvature or the diffusion magnitude. The MONTE provides PDE-based restoration models with an effective mechanism for the equalization of the net diffusion over a wide range of image frequency components. It can be easily applied to diverse evolutionary PDE-based restoration models and their spatial and temporal discretizations. It has been numerically verified that the MONTE results in a significant reduction in numerical dissipation and preserves fine structures such as edges and textures satisfactorily, while it removes the noise with an improved efficiency. Various numerical results are shown to confirm the claim.

• 대한수학회논문집
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.715-733
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• 1995

We present a transient queue size distribution for $M/G/m/N$ queue with state dependent arrival rates, using the diffusion process with piecewise constant diffusion parameters, with state space [0, N] and elementary return boundaries at x = 0 and x = N. The model considered here contains not only many basic model but the practical models such as as two-node cyclic queue, repairmen model and overload control in communication system with finite storage buffer. For the accuracy check, we compare the approximation results with the exact and simulation results.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.233-243
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• 2001

중장기 수요예측을 위해 자주 사용되는 방법으로 확산모형과 성장곡선모형을 들 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이들 방법론의 성격 및 실제 적용에 있어 모수추정에 따른 문제점들을 살펴보고, 모수추정을 효율적으로 수행하기 위한 전략을 제시한다. 또한 실제 자료에 각 방법론들을 적용하여 예측결과를 비교한다.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.187-205
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• 2010

This study takes a holistic approach to understand the diffusion of IPTV services by combining the adoption-diffusion model and the use-diffusion model of innovation. IPTV service, a leading digital converged application coupling media content with telecommunications, has been recently launched commercially in Korea. We created a structural model of adoption-diffusion, using the perceived easeof-use and usefulness of TAM(Technology Acceptance Model) as mediating variables, and a structural model of use-diffusion, with the rate of use and the variety of use as mediating variables. To empirically analyze these models, non-users of IPTV were surveyed using the adoption-diffusion model to identify factors influencing their intention to subscribe to the service. Meanwhile, users of IPTV were surveyed using the use-diffusion model to determine the factors that influence their satisfaction with the service and their intention to re-use it. Under the adoption-diffusion model, we found that trialability, household innovativeness and perceived risk were the determinants of user satisfaction with IPTV, and perceived ease-of-use, the mediating factors. Under the use-diffusion model, complementarity and communication were shown to be the determinants of users' satisfaction with IPTV, and variety of use, the mediating factor. We also found that consumers' intention to re-use IPTV was strongly influenced by its relative advantage and perceived risk.

• 멤브레인
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.19-29
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• 2000

고분자/용매계에서 물질전달현상에 이용되는 용매의 상호확산계수를 예측하기 위하여 기존의 UNFACFV을 적용한 확산식을 유도하였으며, 상호확산계수를 계산하였다. 또한, 새로운 모델식에 의하여 계산한 값을 실험치 및 Vrentas-Duda의 이론치와 비교하였다. 상화확산계수를 구하는데 필요한 자기확산계수는 Vrentas-Duda의 이론을 이용하고, 용매의 화학포텐셜의 농도 미분항은 original UNIFAC-FA와 modified UNIFAC-FV를 사용하였다. Flory-Hugginstlr을 이용한 Vrentas-Duda의 상호확산식은 용매의 화학포텐셜의 농도 미분항을 표현하기 위하여 매개변수 x를 온도와 농도에 무관한 상수로 가정한 단점을 가지고 있으나, 본 연구에서 제시한 방법에서는 이러한 가정이 없으며, 여러 가지 고분자/용매계(polyisobutylene homopolymer 및 polyisobutylene-poly(pmethylstyrene) copolymer와 cyclohexane, n-hexane, n-pentane, chloroform, toluene)에서의 상호확산계수를 잘예측하였다. 특히 PIB/toluene계의 경우, 본 논문에서 사용된 방법이 Vrentas-Duda 이론에 의한 것보다 실험치에 더 가까웠다. 또한, 아무런 가정이나 제약없이, 넓은 온도 및 농도 영역에서 고분자/용매계의 상호확산계수를 예측할 수 있는 좋은 방법임을 알 수 있었다.

• 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.60-64
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• 2024

The threshold voltage shift in thin-film transistors (TFTs) is modeled using stretched-exponential (SE) and stretched-hyperbola (SH) functions. These models are derived by introducing empirical parameters into reaction rate equations that describe defect generation or charge trapping caused by hydrogen diffusion in the dielectric or interface. Separately, the dielectric relaxation phenomena are also described by the same reaction rate equations based on defect diffusion. Dielectric relaxation was initially modeled using the SE model, and various models have been proposed using fractional calculus. In this study, the characteristics of the threshold voltage shift and the dielectric relaxation phenomena are compared and analyzed to explore the applicability of analytical models used in the field of dielectric relaxation, in addition to the conventional SE and SH models.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.401-410
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• 1994

실험실 규모의 인공균열 추적자 이동실험을 통해 지하매질의 단일균열을 위한 핵종이동 모델중 수리 분산확산모델 및 국부통로확산모델의 타당성이 연구되었다. 사용된 추적자는 비수착성으로 알려진 우라닌과 소디움 리그노설포네이트 이었으며 적용유량은 0.4에서 1.5cc /min의 범위였다. 최적화법으로 모델들의 관련 매개변수들을 구하였으며 모델과 실험결과를 비교하였다. 실험에서 우라닌은 암석내로의 확산이 중요한 인자임을 보여주었고, 두 물질 모두 균열 표면에서의 수착은 중요하게 작용하지 않았다. 두 모델의 암석 확산을 나타내는 매개변수값들은 서로 잘 일치하였다. 모사결과에 따르면 유량변화시 두 모델은 정량적으로 같은 결과를 주었으나, 균열길이는 다른 크기로 두 모델에 영향을 주었다. 즉, 균열길이가 커짐에 따라 국부통로화산모델의 파과곡선 퍼짐성 (dispersivity)이 수리분산화산모델의 파과곡선 퍼짐성보다 증가하였다. 실험과 모델들의 일치는 위 두모델들이 단일 균열 시스템을 해석하는데 매우 유용함을 입증하였다.

• 경영과학
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.179-197
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• 2005

This study examines market acceptance for DMB service, one of the touted new business models in Korea's next-generation mobile communications service market, using adoption end diffusion of innovation as the theoretical framework. Market acceptance for DMB service was assessed by predicting the demand for the service using the Bass model, and the demand variability over time was then analyzed by integrating the innovation adoption model proposed by Rogers (2003). In our estimation of the Bass model, we derived the coefficient of innovation and coefficient of imitation, using actual diffusion data from the mobile telephone service market. The maximum number of subscribers was estimated based on the result of a survey on satellite DMB service. Furthermore, to test the difference in diffusion pattern between mobile phone service and satellite DMB service, we reorganized the demand data along the diffusion timeline according to Rogers' innovation adoption model, using the responses by survey subjects concerning their respective projected time of adoption. The comparison of the two demand prediction models revealed that diffusion for both took place forming a classical S-curve. Concerning variability in demand for DMB service, our findings, much in agreement with Rogers' view, indicated that demand was highly variable over time and depending on the adopter group. In distinguishing adopters into different groups by time of adoption of innovation, we found that income and lifestyle (opinion leadership, novelty seeking tendency and independent decision-making) were variables with measurable impact. Among the managerial variables, price of reception device, contents type, subscription fees were the variables resulting in statistically significant differences. This study, as an attempt to measure the market acceptance for satellite DMB service, a leading next-generation mobile communications service product, stands out from related studies in that it estimates the nature and level of acceptance for specific customer categories, using theories of innovation adoption and diffusion and based on the result of a survey conducted through one-to-one interviews. The authors of this paper believe that the theoretical framework elaborated in this study and its findings can be fruitfully reused in future attempts to predict demand for new mobile communications service products.