• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dichotomous Response

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A Critical Evaluation of Dichotomous Choice Responses in Contingent Valuation Method (양분선택형 조건부가치측정법 응답자료의 실증적 쟁점분석)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.119-153
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    • 2011
  • This study reviews various aspects of model formulating processes of dichotomous choice responses of the contingent valuation method (CVM), which has been increasingly used in the preliminary feasibility test of Korea public investment projects. The theoretical review emphasizes the consistency between WTP estimation process and WTP measurement process. The empirical analysis suggests that two common parametric models for dichotmous choice responses (RUM and RWTP) and two commonly used probability distributions of random components (probit and logit) resulted in all most the same empirical WTP distributions, as long as the WTP functions are specified to be a linear function of the bid amounts. However, the efficiency gain of DB response compared to SB response were supported on the ground that the two CV responses are derived from the same WTP distribution. Moreover for the exponential WTP function which guarantees the non-negative WTP measures, sample mean WTP were quite different from median WTP if the scale parameter of WTP function turned out to be large.

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Biplots of Multivariate Data Guided by Linear and/or Logistic Regression

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Lee, Yonggoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2013
  • Linear regression is the most basic statistical model for exploring the relationship between a numerical response variable and several explanatory variables. Logistic regression secures the role of linear regression for the dichotomous response variable. In this paper, we propose a biplot-type display of the multivariate data guided by the linear regression and/or the logistic regression. The figures show the directional flow of the response variable as well as the interrelationship of explanatory variables.

Predicting the Response of Segmented Customers for the Promotion Using Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 세분화된 고객집단의 프로모션 고객반응 예측)

  • Hong, Tae-Ho;Kim, Eun-Mi
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.75-88
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposed a method that segmented customers utilizing SOM(Self-organizing Map) and predicted the customers' response of a marketing promotion for each customer's segments. Our proposed method focused on predicting the response of customers dividing into customers' segment whereas most studies have predicted the response of customers all at once. We deployed logistic regression, neural networks, and support vector machines to predict customers' response that is a kind of dichotomous classification while the integrated approach was utilized to improve the performance of the prediction model. Sample data including 45 variables regarding demographic data about 600 customers, transaction data, and promotion activities were applied to the proposed method presenting classification matrix and the comparative analyses of each data mining techniques. We could draw some significant promotion strategies for segmented customers applying our proposed method to sample data.

Using One and One-half Bounded Dichotomous Choice Model to Measure the Economic Benefits of Urban Noise Reduction (1.5경계 양분선택형 모형을 이용한 도시소음 저감의 편익 추정)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.451-483
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    • 2007
  • Recently, the problem of noise has received much attention in the urban environment. This paper attempts to measure the economic benefits of urban noise reduction in the metropolitan area. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is applied. In particular, recently proposed one and one-half bound model that reduces the potential for response bias in the double bound model while maintaining much of its efficiency. We surveyed a randomly selected sample of 800 households in the metropolitan area and asked respondents questions in person-to-person interviews about how they would willing to pay for the noise reduction. Respondents overall accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount (997 to 1,778 won), on average, per household per month. This willingness varies according to individual characteristics such as concerns about noise, dwelling area, and income. The aggregate value of the noise reduction in the sampled metropolitan area amounts to approximately 79.26 to 141.35 billion won per year.

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A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Willingness to Pay Amount in Constructed Oceans and Fisheries Resources Market by Contingent Valuation Method (해양수산자원 가상시장의 지불의사금액 추정방법 비교)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2018
  • This study is to compare and evaluate the estimating method of WTP(willingness to pay) for the valuation of oceans and fisheries resources with non-market goods characteristics using contingent valuation method. In general, when estimating parameters of the WTP function, we should take into account the assumption of probability distribution, inclusion of covariates, method of inducement of payment, and the treatment of 0 payment intention and resistance responses. This study utilizes survey data that was used to estimate the value of fisheries resource protection zones, with a total of 1,200 samples. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the final willness to pay amount is estimated at a statistical significance of less than 1 percent, and the distribution of the final willness to pay amount is from \6,926 of the double bounded dichotomous model to \10,721 of the spike model. Second, the willness to pay amount based on assumptions about the normal and logistic probability distributions are estimated to be \9,429 and \9,370 respectively, so there was no significant difference. Third, the willness to pay amount of the single bounded dichotomous model and the double bounded dichotomous model are estimated to be \8,951 and \6,926 respectively, making a relatively large difference. Fourth, the willness to pay amount of the model without covariates and the model with covariates are estimated to be \9,429 and \8,951, respectively, so the willness to pay amount is underestimated when the covariates are included. Fifth, the Spike model that considers zero payment intention and resistance response estimates \10,405 as the highest payment in this study. Finally, the CVM analysis guidelines proposed by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) are estimated to be \9,749 and \10,405 respectively, depending on including no covariates and with covariates. Compared to other models, the final willness to pay amount is not estimated underestimated. Therefore this study suggests the use of KDI's guidance under government public policy projects. In view of these results, the estimating model for willness to pay amount model will be selected by considering the sample size, the suitability of the model, the sign of the estimated coefficient, the statistical significance, the ratio of the zero payment intention and the payment rejection. And, for CVMs on government public policy projects, it is desirable to estimate by the method proposed by the KDI.

Questionnaire study conducted around Gimpo International Airport by using THI (THI를 이용한 항공기소음이 주민 건강상태에 미치는 영향)

  • Son, Jin-Hee;Lee, Kun;Chang, Seo-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.436-441
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    • 2007
  • This study was carried out to evaluate health effects of aircraft noise using THI(Todai Health Index). The questionnaire survey was conducted around the Gimpo International Airport in Seoul, Korea from 8 August to 9 September. Study subjects, 614 residents, were divided into three groups following to the aircraft noise level: under 75WECPNL(area(1)), $75{\sim}80$WECPNL(area(2)) and $80{\sim}85$WECPNL(area (3)). Twelve scale scores are converted to dichotomous variables based on scale scores of 90 percentile value or 10 percentile value in the control group. Logistic regression analysis taking twelve scores converted as the dependent variables and WECPNL(area), age, gender as the independent variables is conducted. Significant dose-response relationships are found in the scale of MOUT, DEPR, NERV, LIFE, where p denotes significance probability of trend test. Factor analysis was carried out and 2 factors are extracted which may be called "somatic factor" and "mental factor". The dose-response relationship with these factors and noise exposure is not clear. But strangely the odds ratio of mental factor in area 2 is the highest and the annoyance of this area is also higher than other areas.

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A Logistic Regression Analysis of Two-Way Binary Attribute Data (이원 이항 계수치 자료의 로지스틱 회귀 분석)

  • Ahn, Hae-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.118-128
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    • 2012
  • An attempt is given to the problem of analyzing the two-way binary attribute data using the logistic regression model in order to find a sound statistical methodology. It is demonstrated that the analysis of variance (ANOVA) may not be good enough, especially for the case that the proportion is very low or high. The logistic transformation of proportion data could be a help, but not sound in the statistical sense. Meanwhile, the adoption of generalized least squares (GLS) method entails much to estimate the variance-covariance matrix. On the other hand, the logistic regression methodology provides sound statistical means in estimating related confidence intervals and testing the significance of model parameters. Based on simulated data, the efficiencies of estimates are ensured with a view to demonstrate the usefulness of the methodology.

A study of the adequate number of questions in a mock test for the paramedic national examination using item response theory (문항반응이론을 적용한 1급 응급구조사 국가시험 대비 모의시험의 적정성 연구)

  • Jung Eun Lee;Jundong Moon;Ajung Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: To adjust item numbers in a national test, this study used item response theory to examine changes in average scores, reliability, difficulty, and discrimination according to the adjustment of item numbers. Methods: We analyzed the dichotomous coding of correct and incorrect answers of 473 examinees in a mock test conducted in 2023. Additionally, as an explanatory pilot study, we used an online questionnaire to survey experts on their perceptions of the appropriate item numbers for each test subject from January 18, 2024, to February 15, 2024. Results: Regarding the item numbers on the national exam, experts preferred to reduce the number of management of emergency patients (33.14±6.09, p<.05) and advanced emergency medical care: subtopics (104.49±11.55, p<.05), and the total number of questions (217.82±20.95, p<.05). In a simulation set in which items with low item fit were removed after fitting a two-parameter item response theory model, reliability was maintained at .910 until the 5th test consisting of 185 questions with little loss of difficulty, discrimination, and average score, and there was no correlation between item numbers and average score. Conclusion: Experts responded that reducing the number of items on the national exam was appropriate. As a result of the item reduction simulation, there was no significant loss in the average score, difficulty, discrimination, or reliability. More reliable results could be obtained if the results were based on a validity analysis and analyzed using actual national exams.

Estimating the Economic Value of Ecotourism in Anmyeondo Tidal Wetlands Using the Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 안면도갯벌의 생태관광에 대한 경제적 가치추정)

  • Pyo, Hee-Dong;Chae, Dong-Ryul
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2004
  • The paper is to estimate the economic value of ecotourism in Anmyeondo tidal wetlands using a double-bounded dichotomous choice (DBDC) model of the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). For the reliability and the validity of CVM a survey was conducted for 511 visitors by personal interview method in Anmyeondo during August 2000, and respondents were asked for maximum Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) to buy a ticket fer the tidal flat's ecotourism. Overall, respondents answered that they would be willing to pay 55,879 won for a ticket under the study. All equations and results estimated are statistically significant at the 1% or 5% level. For the aggregation of WTP estimates, the sample values are extended to the total annual number of visitors in Anmyeondo area during 1998. A conservative estimate, which considers the calibration factor (0.5) recommended by NOAA (1994) and a positive response rate (83.17%), is 73 billion won.

Non-market Benefits of Building the Large Oceanographic Research Ship (대형 해양과학연구선 건조사업의 비시장적 편익 평가)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hoon;Kwon, Suk-Jae
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2012
  • A project to build a large oceanographic research ship was proposed to improve the level of ocean research. This paper attempts to measure the non-market benefits of the project. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is used. In particular, the recently proposed one and one-half bounded model is applied. The model can reduce the potential for response bias compared to the double bounded model, while maintaining much of its efficiency. Moreover, in order to deal with zero WTP observations, a spike model is adjusted for our data. A survey of 500 randomly selected households was implemented in the Metropolitan area. The respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about how they would be willing to pay for implementing the project. Overall, respondents accepted the contingent market, and were willing to contribute a significant amount (3,244 won), on average, per household per year. The aggregate value of the project nationwide would amount to approximately 40.1 billion won per year.