• Title/Summary/Keyword: Development Impact Prediction

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Comparative Analysis of Reliability Predictions for Quality Assurance Factors in FIDES (FIDES의 품질 보증 인자에 대한 신뢰도 예측 비교 분석)

  • Cheol-Hwan Youn;Jin-Uk Seo;Seong-Keun Jeong;Hyun-Ung Oh
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2024
  • In light of the rapid development of the space industry, there has been increased attention on small satellites. These satellites rely on components that are considered to have lower reliability compared to larger-scale satellites. As a result, predicting reliability becomes even more crucial in this context. Therefore, this study aims to compare three reliability prediction techniques: MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus, and FIDES. The goal is to determine a suitable reliability standard specifically for nano-satellites. Furthermore, we have refined the quality assurance factors of the manufacturing company. These factors have been adjusted to be applicable across various industrial sectors, with a particular focus on the selected FIDES prediction standard. This approach ensures that the scoring system accurately reflects the suitability for the aerospace industry. Finally, by implementing this refined system, we confirm the impact of the manufacturer's quality assurance level on the total failure rate.

A Study on the Development Strategy of Artificial Intelligence Technology Using Multi-Attribute Weighted Average Method (다요소 가중 평균법을 이용한 인공지능 기술 개발전략 연구)

  • Chang, Hae Gak;Choi, Il Young;Kim, Jae Kyeong
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2020
  • Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has been widely used in various fields such as finance, and distribution. Accordingly, Korea has also announced its AI R&D strategy for the realization of i-Korea 4.0 in May 2018. However, Korea's AI technology is inferior to major competitors such as the US, Canada, and Japan Therefore, in order to cope with the 4th industrial revolution, it is necessary to allocate AI R&D budgets efficiently through selection and concentration so as to gain competitive advantage under a limited budget. In this study, the importance of each AI technology was evaluated in multi-dimensional way through the questionnaire of expert group using the evaluation index derived from the literature review From the results of this study, we draw the following implication. In order to successfully establish the AI technology development strategies, it is necessary to prioritize the cognitive computing technology that has great market growth potential, ripple effect of technology development, and the urgency of technology development according to the principle of selection and concentration. To this end, it is necessary to find creative ideas, manage assessments, converge multidisciplinary systems and strengthen core competencies. In addition, since AI technology has a large impact on socioeconomic development, it is necessary to comprehensively grasp and manage scientific and technological regulations in order to systematically promote AI technology development.

Analysis of Human Body Injury by Non-penetrating Ballistic Impact Using a Finite Element Model of the Head and Neck (근육 모델이 고려된 두부 및 경추 유한요소모델을 이용한 비관통 피탄 충격에 의한 인체 상해 해석)

  • Kang, Moon Jeong;Jo, Young Nam;Chae, Jeawook;Yoo, Hong Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2017
  • Ballistic impact on a soldier wearing a helmet can induce fatal injury, even if the helmet is not penetrated. Although studies on this type of injury have been performed, most of them have used an analytical model focused on head injury only. The injury of the neck muscles and cervical vertebrae by non-penetrating ballistic impact affects the survivability of soldiers, despite not inflicting fatal injury to the human body. Therefore, an analytical model of the head and neck muscles are necessary. In this study, an analysis of human body injury using the previously developed head model, as well as a cervical model with muscles, was performed. For the quantitative prediction of injury, the stress, strain, and HIC were compared. The results from the model including the cervical system indicated a lower extent of injury than the results from the model excluding them. The results of head injury were compared with other references for reliability.

Prediction of Agricultural Wind and Gust Using Local Ensemble Prediction System (국지앙상블시스템을 활용한 농경지 바람 및 강풍 예측)

  • Jung Hyuk Kang;Geon-Hu Kim;Kyu Rang Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2024
  • Wind is a meteorological factor that has a significant impact on agriculture. Gust cause damage such as fruit drop and damage to facilities. In this study, low-altitude wind speed prediction was performed by applying physical models to Local Ensemble Prediction System (LENS). Logarithmic Law (LOG) and Power Law (POW) were used as the physical models, and Korea Ministry of Environment indicators and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data were applied as indicator variables. We collected and verified wind and gust data at 3m altitude in 2022 operated by the Rural Development Administration, and presented the results in scatter plot, correlation coefficient, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and Threat Score (TS). The LOG-applied model showed better results in wind speed, and the POW-applied model showed better results in gust.

Analysis of Pillar Stability for Ground Vibration and Flyrock Impact in Underground Mining Blasting (발파진동 및 비산충격에 대한 광주 안정성 분석)

  • Park, Hyun-Sik;Kim, Ji-Soo;Ryu, Bok-Hyun;Kang, Choo-Won
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2012
  • These days, mining industry prefers underground development for large mining because of exhaustive minning resources and large drafts and mining cavities thanks to extensive distribution of heavy excavation machines. In a mining design, to control collapse of cavities and secure stability, design of cavities and pillars are considered as very important. Therefore, this study obtained a prediction equation of blasting vibration through instrumentation for underground cavities. And we obtained theoretical shock vibration imposed on pillar through fragmentation analysis and measurement of flyrock distance. To examine the influence of pillar in underground mining blasting, we carried a finite element analysis and compared the result with prediction equation of blasting vibration, and shock vibration of flyrock when a impact was imposed on pillar and theoretical shock vibration.

Nonlinear impact of temperature change on electricity demand: estimation and prediction using partial linear model (기온변화가 전력수요에 미치는 비선형적 영향: 부분선형모형을 이용한 추정과 예측)

  • Park, Jiwon;Seo, Byeongseon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.703-720
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    • 2019
  • The influence of temperature on electricity demand is increasing due to extreme weather and climate change, and the climate impacts involves nonlinearity, asymmetry and complexity. Considering changes in government energy policy and the development of the fourth industrial revolution, it is important to assess the climate effect more accurately for stable management of electricity supply and demand. This study aims to analyze the effect of temperature change on electricity demand using the partial linear model. The main results obtained using the time-unit high frequency data for meteorological variables and electricity consumption are as follows. Estimation results show that the relationship between temperature change and electricity demand involves complexity, nonlinearity and asymmetry, which reflects the nonlinear effect of extreme weather. The prediction accuracy of in-sample and out-of-sample electricity forecasting using the partial linear model evidences better predictive accuracy than the conventional model based on the heating and cooling degree days. Diebold-Mariano test confirms significance of the predictive accuracy of the partial linear model.

Academic Development Status of Climate Dynamics in Korean Meteorological Society (한국기상학회 기후역학 분야 학술 발전 현황)

  • Soon-Il An;Sang-Wook Yeh;Kyong-Hwan Seo;Jong-Seong Kug;Baek-Min Kim;Daehyun Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.125-154
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    • 2023
  • Since the Korean Meteorological Society was organized in 1963, the climate dynamics fields have been made remarkable progress. Here, we documented the academic developments in the area of climate dynamics performed by members of Korean Meteorological Society, based on studies that have been published mainly in the Journal of Korean Meteorological Society, Atmosphere, and Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences. In these journals, the fundamental principles of typical ocean-atmosphere climatic phenomena such as El Niño, Madden-Julian Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, their modeling, prediction, and its impact, are being conducted by members of Korean Meteorological Society. Recently, research has been expanded to almost all climatic factors including cryosphere and biosphere, as well as areas from a global perspective, not limited to one region. In addition, research using an artificial intelligence (AI), which can be called a cutting-edge field, has been actively conducted. In this paper, topics including intra-seasonal and Madden-Julian Oscillations, East Asian summer monsoon, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, mid-latitude and polar climate variations and some paleo climate and ecosystem studies, of which driving mechanism, modeling, prediction, and global impact, are particularly documented.

Development of Economic Prediction Model for Internal Combustion Engine by Dual Fuel Generation (내연기관엔진의 가스혼소발전 경제성 예측모델 개발)

  • HUR, KWANG-BEOM;JANG, HYUCK-JUN;LEE, HYEONG-WON
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2020
  • This paper represents an analysis of the economic impact of firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures in diesel engine power plants. The objects of analysis is a power plant with electricity generation capacity (300 kW). Using performance data of original diesel engines, the fuel consumption characteristics of the duel fuel engines were simulated. Then, economic assessment was carried out using the performance data and the net present value method. A special focus was given to the evaluation of fuel cost saving when firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures instead of the pure diesel firing case. Analyses were performed by assuming fuel price changes in the market as well as by using current prices. The analysis results showed that co-firing of natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil would provide considerable fuel cost saving, leading to meaningful economic benefits.

Prediction of the Added Mass of a 50-meter Class Airship with Empennage (꼬리날개를 고려한 50m급 비행선의 부가 질량 예측)

  • Ok Honam;Lew Jae-Moon;Lee Yung-Gyo;Lee Jinwoo
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.799-802
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    • 2002
  • Korea Aerospace Research Institute has been developing a 50-meter class airship to demonstrate the technology to be used in the development of a stratospheric airship, and importance of accurate prediction of the dynamic behavior of an airship before flight test is widely conceived. The added mass has large impact on the dynamic characteristics of an airship unlike for an airplane and the added mass of the airship with empennage is predicted in this paper. At first, the usability of the strip theory is examined which integrates the analytic two dimensional results in the cross section along the longitudinal axis. A panel method with the surface distribution of sources is developed and its validity is also examined. Finally, the panel method with both source and doublet distributions is implemented, and it is validated and applied for the calculation of the added mass of a 50-meter class airship. Using the methods developed, the influence of empennage and control surface deflection on the added mass property of the airship is studied.

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Rediction of Stage Efficiency Variation of a USC High Pressure Steam Turbine by Computational Fluid Dynamics (유동해석을 이용한 고압증기터빈 단효율 변화 예측)

  • Kang, Soo Young;Jang, Hyuck Jun;Lee, Jeong Jin;Kim, Tong Seop;Park, Seong Jin;Hong, Gi Won
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2017
  • Prediction of performance and operating characteristics of a state-of-the-art ultra-supercritical (USC) steam turbine is an important issue in many ways. Theoretical and empirical correlation equations, developed a few decades ago, have been widely used in commercial programs for a prediction of performance. To improve of these correlation equations and apply them to the high pressure turbine of a USC steam turbine, computational fluid dynamic analysis was carried out and correlation equations to calculate efficiency variation of each stage were made. Both fluid dynamic characteristic and thermodynamic performance was analyzed for the development of the correlation equations. In particular, the impact of flow addition through an overload valve (OLV) between stages was examined throughly. The trend of pressure drop due to the flow mixing by the OLV flow addition was analyzed and an efficiency correlation equation considering the OLV flow was also made.