• 제목/요약/키워드: Design charts

검색결과 280건 처리시간 0.027초

ARIMA모델에 기반한 화재발생 빈도 예측모델의 설계 (Forecasting Model Design of Fire Occurrences with ARIMA Models)

  • 안상훈;강훈;조재훈;김태옥;신동일
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2015
  • 화재를 예방하기 위해서는 그에 필요한 정책과 평가가 필요하며, 화재 발생에 대한 적절한 모니터링 기법이 있어야 한다. 이를 위해 품질관리의 기법중의 하나인 관리도를 화재 모니터링에 적용하는 연구가 진행된 바 있다. 그 결과, 통계적으로 겨울에는 많은 화재가 발생한다는 것이 증명되었고, 매년마다 어떤 주기를 띠고 변화한다는 것이 발견되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 여름철과 겨울철에 동일한 기준(관리한계선)을 적용할 경우 상대적으로 발생건수가 과다한 겨울에는 과도한 예방활동이 진행되고, 여름에는 잠재이상이 있는 경우에도 발생건수 감소에 따른 착시현상으로 인해 활동이 부족해질 가능성이 있다. 이때, 각 계절별로 다른 관리 한계선을 적용시킨다면 합리적인 예측과 보다 효과적인 이상 패턴의 모니터링이 가능해질 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 발생건수를 대상으로 시간에 따라 변하는 시계열 모델을 사용하여 화재발생 빈도 예측 모델계수의 체계적인 설정과정을 ARIMA 모델을 기반으로 제안하였다. 이를 바탕으로 화재발생 패턴의 개선된 분석과 이에 기반한 보다 체계적인 예방활동을 진행할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

비정규 공정의 극소 불량률 관리를 위한 Zp 관리도 적용 방안 연구 (On the Application of Zp Control Charts for Very Small Fraction of Nonconforming under Non-normal Process)

  • 김종걸;최성원;김혜미;엄상준
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.167-180
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The problem for the traditional control chart is that it is unable to monitor the very small fraction of nonconforming and the underlying distribution is the normal distribution. $Z_p$ control chart is useful where it controls the vert small fraction on nonconforming. In this study, we will design the $Z_p$ control chart in order to use under non-normal process. Methods: $Z_p$ is calculated not by failure rate based on attribute data but using variable data. Control limit for non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is designed based on ${\alpha}$-risk calculated by cumulative distribution function of Burr distribution. ${\beta}$-risk, which is for performance evaluation, obtains in the Burr distribution's cumulative distribution function and control limit. Results: The control limit for non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is designed based on Burr distribution. The sensitivity can be checked through ARL table and OC curve. Conclusion: Non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is able to control not only the very small fraction of nonconforming, but it is also useful when $Z_p$ distribution is non-normal distribution.

The Distribution Condition and Clothing Construction Factors of the Working Clothes - Reference to the Changwon National Industrial Complex -

  • Park, Gin-Ah;Park, Hye-Won
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.116-135
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    • 2008
  • To investigate the actual distribution condition and clothing construction factors of the working clothes supplied to the Changwon national industrial complex, 5 major companies in machinery, automotive, industrial engineering, shipbuilding and rolling stock in the industrial complex located in Gyeongsangnam-Do were selected. The questionnaire designed for the research consisted of working clothes distribution policies in manufacturing industry and the actual conditions of the design facts, repair and maintenance of the working clothes, etc. The analysis of the clothing construction factors of the working clothes provided by 5 respondent companies were conducted in parallel. The results derived from the study were as follows: The basic types of working clothes were the blouson jacket and straight pants; safety equipments for manufacture were safety helmets, gloves, snickers, goggles, masks, ear caps, wristlets, leggings, apron, etc. The size-charts adopted by the participant companies were the small-medium-large and cm/inch measurement size systems. To solve wearer's dissatisfaction with the garment fit, certain clothing construction factors were used, e.g. strap bands and the elastic band on a waist band. The types of fabrics used for the working clothes were mainly polyester/cotton and polyester/rayon blended ones. Moreover, to provide with more air permeability to wearers, the warp knit material was used to construct the lining and the armpit or back bodice slits. Lock, two-thread chain, safety, overedge stitches were applied with flat, lap felled, French, superimposed, lapped, bound and edge finishing seams to construct the working clothes selected.

Impact of Screw Type on Kyphotic Deformity Correction after Spine Fracture Fixation: Cannulated versus Solid Pedicle Screw

  • Arbash, Mahmood Ali;Parambathkandi, Ashik Mohsin;Baco, Abdul Moeen;Alhammoud, Abduljabbar
    • Asian Spine Journal
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.1053-1059
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    • 2018
  • Study Design: Retrospective review. Purpose: To detect the effect of cannulated (poly-axial head) and solid (mono-axial head) screws on the local kyphotic angle, vertebral body height, and superior and inferior angles between the screw and the rod in the surgical management of thoracolumbar fractures. Overview of Literature: Biomechanics studies showed that the ultimate load, yield strength, and cycles to failure were significantly lower with cannulated (poly-axial head) pedicle comparing to solid core (mono-axial head). Methods: The medical charts of patients with thoracolumbar fractures who underwent pedicle screw fixation with cannulated or solid pedicle screws were retrospectively reviewed; the subjects were followed up from January 2011 to December 2015. Results: Total 178 patients (average age, $36.1{\pm}12.4years$; men, 142 [84.3%]; women, 28 [15.7%]) with thoracolumbar fractures who underwent surgery and were followed up at Hamad Medical Corporation were classified, based on the screw type as those with cannulated screws and those with solid screws. The most commonly affected level was L1, followed by L2 and D12. Surgical correction of the local kyphotic angle was significantly different in the groups; however, there was no significant difference in the loss of correction of the local kyphotic angle of the groups. Surgical correction of the reduction in the vertebral body height showed statistical significance, while the average loss of correction in the reduction of the vertebral body height was not significantly different. The measurement of the angles made by the screws on the rods was not significantly different between the cannulated (poly-axial head) and solid (mono-axial head) screw groups. Conclusions: Solid screws were superior in terms of providing increased correction of the kyphotic angle and height of the fractured vertebra than the cannulated screws; however, no difference was noted between the screws in the maintenance of the superior and inferior angles of the screw with the rod.

반구형 지중공동의 수치해석적 안정성 평가 (Numerical Stability Evaluation of Underground Semi-Spherical Cavity)

  • 이태건;류동우;윤희정
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.20-29
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    • 2022
  • 지중공동이 존재하는 지반의 거동은 지반함몰의 위험을 평가할 때 반드시 고려해야 하는 사항이다. 지중공동 주변 지반의 전단강도를 알더라도 공동의 크기와 같은 기하학적 요소와 관련된 불확실성으로 인해 정밀한 분석이 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 지반의 강도 및 공동의 기하학적 조건들을 바탕으로 무차원 안정성 상수를 나타내는 도표를 제안하였다. 이를 위해 수치해석이 수행되었으며 안정성 상수는 지반의 강도 정수인 점착력과 마찰각, 그리고 지중 공동의 크기와 심도를 고려한다. 제안도표는 지반 조건을 바탕으로 현장의 안정성을 추정하는 데 도움이 될 수 있다.

각형 출입구를 갖는 방호터널의 방폭밸브에 미치는 폭압 평가 (Blast Overpressure Evaluation for Blast Valves in Protective Tunnels with Rectangular-Shaped Tunnel Entrances)

  • 방승기;신진원
    • 한국지열·수열에너지학회논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2021
  • This paper presents a study to reduce the effect of blast pressure on the blast valves installed in protection tunnels, where the shape of the tunnel entrance and the blast pocket is optimized based on the predetermined basic shape of the protective tunnels. The reliability of the numerical tunnel models was examined by performing analyses of mesh convergence and overpressure stability and with comparison to the data in blast-load design charts in UFC 3-340-02 (DoD, 2008). An optimal mesh size and a stabilized distance of overpressure were proposed, and the numerical results were validated based on the UFC data. A parametric study to reduce the blast overpressures in tunnel was conducted using the validated numerical model. Analysis was performed applying 1) the entrance slope of 90, 75, 60, and 45 degrees, 2) two blast pockets with the depth 0.5, 1.0, and 1.5 times the tunnel width, 3) the three types of curved back walls of the blast pockets, and 4) two types of the upper and lower surfaces of the blast pockets to the reference tunnel model. An optimal solution by combining the analysis results of the tunnel entrance shape, the depth of the blast pockets, and the upper and lower parts of the blast pockets was provided in comparison to the reference tunnel model. The blast overpressures using the proposed tunnel shape have been reduced effectively.

Assessment of seismic stability of finite slope in c-ϕ soils - a plasticity approach

  • Shibsankar, Nandi;G., Santhoshkumar ;Priyanka, Ghosh
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.439-452
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    • 2022
  • A forecast of slope behavior during catastrophic events, such as earthquakes is crucial to recognize the risk of slope failure. This paper endeavors to eliminate the significant supposition of predefined slip surfaces in the slope stability analysis, which questions the relevance of simple conventional methods under seismic conditions. To overcome such limitations, a methodology dependent on the slip line hypothesis, which permits an automatic generation of slip surfaces, is embraced to trace the extreme slope face under static and seismic conditions. The effect of earthquakes is considered using the pseudo-static approach. The current outcomes developed from a parametric study endorse a non-linear slope surface as the extreme profile, which is in accordance with the geomorphological aspect of slopes. The proposed methodology is compared with the finite element limit analysis to ensure credibility. Through the design charts obtained from the current investigation, the stability of slopes can be assessed under seismic conditions. It can be observed that the extreme slope profile demands a flat configuration to endure the condition of the limiting equilibrium at a higher level of seismicity. However, a concurrent enhancement in the shear strength of the slope medium suppresses this tendency by offering greater resistance to the seismic inertial forces induced in the medium. Unlike the traditional linear slopes, the extreme slope profiles mostly exhibit a steeper layout over a significant part of the slope height, thus ensuring a more optimized solution to the slope stability problem. Further, the susceptibility of the Longnan slope failure in the Huining-Wudu seismic belt is predicted using the current plasticity approach, which is found to be in close agreement with a case study reported in the literature. Finally, the concept of equivalent single or multi-tiered planar slopes is explored through an example problem, which exhibits the appropriateness of the proposed non-linear slope geometry under actual field conditions.

유출·침수모델을 이용한 홍수대응 방재시설 시뮬레이터 설계 및 프로토타입 개발 (Flood Response Disaster Prevention Facility Simulator Design and Prototype Development Using Spill and Inundation Model)

  • 서성철;김의환;박형근
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2023
  • 글로벌 기후변화로 국내 이상기후는 증가하고 있으며, 이러한 이상기후로 국지성 집중호우 피해와 규모는 증가하는 추세이다. 침수피해를 예방하기 위해서는 강우예보를 통한 시강우데이터를 통해서 선제적인 침수분석 모의결과를 도출하고 즉각적인 의사결정을 통해 홍수대응 방재시설의 활용과 관리를 통한 예방이 필요하다. 그러나, 현재 XPSWMM, GATE2018과 같은 유출 및 침수모델을 이용하는 방법은 전문적인 사용능력과 복잡한 분석절차로 사용에 대한 한계성이 존재한다. CBD 소프트웨어 개발방식을 이용 강우량(단기, 장기) 등의 산정을 통해 홍수대응 방재시설 시뮬레이터 프로토타입 개발하며, 관리자 및 사용자 중심의 인터페이스를 구성하고 GIS데이터 및 가시적 데이터(그래프, 차트 등)를 제공하여 즉각적이고 선제적인 국지성 집중호우 침수대응을 위한 의사결정 및 기초데이터 사용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

Clinical Outcomes of Minimally Invasive Surgical Stabilization of Rib Fractures Using Video-Assisted Thoracoscopic Surgery

  • Chae-Min Bae;Shin-Ah Son;Yong Jik Lee;Sang Cjeol Lee
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2023
  • Background: Multiple rib fractures are common in blunt chest trauma. Until recently, most surgical rib fixations for multiple rib fractures were performed via open thoracotomy. However, due to the invasive nature of tissue dissection and the resulting large wound, an alternative endoscopic approach has emerged that minimizes the postoperative complications caused by the manipulation of injured tissue and lung during an open thoracotomy. Methods: Our study concentrated on patients with multiple rib fractures who underwent surgical stabilization of rib fractures (SSRF) between June 2018 and May 2020. We found 27 patients who underwent SSRF using video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery. The study design was a retrospective review of the patients' charts and surgical records. Results: No intraoperative events or procedure-related deaths occurred. Implant-related irritation occurred in 4 patients, and 1 death resulted from concomitant trauma. The average hospital stay was 30.2±20.1 days, and ventilators were used for 12 of the 22 patients admitted to the intensive care unit. None of the patients experienced major pulmonary complications such as pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome. Conclusion: Minimally invasive rib stabilization surgery with the assistance of a thoracoscope is expected to become more widely used in patients with multiple rib fractures. This method will also assist patients in a quick recovery.

서해안 세립토의 국지적 침식특성 평가 (Evaluation of Local Erosion Characteristics of Fine-Grained Soils in the West Coast Area)

  • 곽기석;이주형;박재현;우효섭
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권5C호
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    • pp.323-331
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    • 2006
  • 지반의 저항인자인 침식특성을 정량화하여 이를 세립토 지반의 세굴심 산정에 반영하는 것은 세계적인 추세이다. 이러한 노력의 일환으로 국내에서 많은 장대 해상교량이 계획 또는 시공되고 있는 서해안 지역 세립토 지반의 침식특성을 실험을 통해 분석하였다. 대상지역으로는 인천대교 현장, 강화 초지대교 현장, 환경교 현장, 군산 장항지구 등 4곳을 선정하였으며, 총 34개의 불교란시료를 채취하여 세굴률 실험을 수행하였다. 지반의 침식능을 나타내는 한계전단응력은 지반의 비배수전단 강도와 비례하는 경향을 보였으며, 점성을 가진 세립토가 세굴에 대한 저항이 보다 큰 것으로 나타났다. 실험을 통해 지역별 침식특성을 분석 및 체계화하여 서해안 지역 장대교량 건설시 보다 정확한 세굴심도 산정 및 기초 설계를 위한 기초자료로 제공하고자 한다.