• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.58 no.1
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• pp.39-51
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• 2016

Extreme floods occur more often recently as the frequency of extreme storm events increase due to the climate change. Because the extreme flood exceeding the design flood can cause large-scale disasters, it is important to predict and prepare for the future extreme flood. Flood flow is affected by two main factors; rainfall and land use. To predict the future extreme flood, both changes in rainfall due to the climate change and land use should be considered. The objective of this study was to simulate the future design flood in the Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea. The climate and land use change scenarios were derived from the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Conversion of land use and its effects (CLUE) and hydrologic modelling system (HEC-HMS) models were used to simulate the land use change and design flood, respectively. Design floods of 100-year and 200-year for 2040, 2070, and 2100 under the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were calculated and analyzed. The land use change simulation described that the urban area would increase, while forest would decrease from 2010 to 2100 for both the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The overall changes in design floods from 2010 to 2100 were similar to those of probable rainfalls. However, the impact of land use change on design flood was negligible because the increase rate of probable rainfall was much larger than that of curve number (CN) and impervious area.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.485-489
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• 2008

To achieve the optimal sewer layout design, most developed models are designed to determine pipe diameter, slope and overall layout in order to minimize the least cost for the design rainfall. However, these models are not capable of considering the superposition effect of runoff hydrographs entering each junction. The suggested Optimal Sewer Layout Model (OSLM) is designed to control flows and distribute the node inflows while taking into consideration the superposition effect for reducing the inundation risk from the sewer pipes. The suggested model used the genetic algorithm to determine the optimal layout, which was connected to the SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) for the calculation of the hydraulic analysis. The suggested model was applied to an urban watershed of 35 ha, which is located in Seoul, Korea. By using the suggested model, several rainfall events, including the design rainfall and excessive rainfalls, were used to generate runoff hydrographs from a modified sewer layout. By the results, the peak outflows at the outlet were decreased and the overflows were also reduced.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.12
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• pp.1173-1185
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• 2008

The design methods of the road surface drainage facilities were compared for the improvement of design method. We have developed four computational design models classified by the methods to determine the duration of design rainfall and to analyze the flow of a linear drainage channel. The critical duration was determined by assuming the critical duration to be 10 minutes or by finding the duration of design storm being similar to the travel time of flow by trial and error. The flow of a linear drainage channel was analyzed as the uniform flow or the varied flow. The design models were applied to the artificial road surface drainage facilities with various channel slopes and road shoulder slopes. If the rainfall intensity of the 10 minutes duration was applied, the outlet spacing obtained from the design based on the varied flow analysis was larger than the uniform flow analysis only when the channel slope and the road shoulder slope was small. On the other hands, if the duration of design rainfall was determined by calculating the travel time, the varied flow analysis brought about larger outlet spacing than the uniform analysis for all conditions. However, the model of the critical duration concept and the varied flow analysis resulted in smaller outlet spacing than the current design method employing the rainfall of 10 minutes duration and the uniform flow analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.63-69
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• 2012

Climate change, according to the country to increase locality of slope collapse of heavy disaster, such as increasing the likelihood and prior in order to prevent these disasters, "Slope construction design standards (Ministry of Land, 2011)," is prescribed in the relevant guidelines. In recent years, guidelines Slope Stability Analysis of the existing methods when the rainy season infiltration of rainfall, taking into account have been revised to perform more realistic. In this study, according these trends to the analysis of saturation depth by rainfall intensity and soil conditions. Results as a whole, the larger the saturated hydraulic conductivity and depth of rainfall intensity also showed a tendency to rise in proportion but MH, CL did not occur in the saturation region. Analysis of antecedent rainfall case also reflects an overall increase of depth in the saturated, rainfall in many cases is less than the growth rate was higher in the saturation region.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.135-143
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• 1992

The probable rainfall depth is an important hydrologic design data in establishing the hydraulic engineering project at urban watershed. This study is to unificate the probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul. The probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul is basically formed by the types of Talbot, Sherman and Japanese. But these formulae may be unified to uniform type. The unified probable rainfall intensity formula is more applicable than that of the existing types at Seoul. Especially on the probable rainfall depth of total duration the application of unified formula general type is better than existing types. In this formula, values of n are decreasing with return period and increasing with rainfall duration, and values of coefficient, b, are decreasing with the increase of return period. The range of n varies from 0.55 to 0.60 for short duration, from 0.60 to 0.82 for long duration, and from 0.60 to 0.66 for total duration of probable rainfall depth.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.62 no.1
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• pp.17-27
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• 2020

The objective of this study was to assess the flood probability based on temporal distribution of forecasted-rainfall in Cheongmicheon watershed. In this study, 6-hr rainfalls were disaggregated into hourly rainfall using the Multiplicative Random Cascade (MRC) model, which is a stochastic rainfall time disaggregation model and it was repeated 100 times to make 100 rainfalls for each storm event. The watershed runoff was estimated using the Clark unit hydrograph method with disaggregated rainfall and watershed characteristics. Using the peak discharges of the simulated hydrographs, the probability distribution was determined and parameters were estimated. Using the parameters, the probability density function is shown and the flood probability is calculated by comparing with the design flood of Cheongmicheon watershed. The flood probability results differed for various values of rainfall and rainfall duration. In addition, the flood probability calculated in this study was compared with the actual flood damage in Cheongmicheon watershed (R² = 0.7). Further, this study results could be used for flood forecasting.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.49-64
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• 2009

Rainfall-runoff models are used for efficient management, distribution, planning, and design of water resources in accordance with the process of hydrologic cycle. The models simplify the transition of rainfall to runoff as rainfall through different processes including evaporation, transpiration, interception, and infiltration. As the models simplify complex physical processes, gaps between the models and actual rainfall events exist. For more accurate simulation, appropriate models that suit analysis goals are selected and reliable long-term hydrological data are collected. However, uncertainty is inherent in models. It is therefore necessary to evaluate reliability of simulation results from models. A number of studies have evaluated uncertainty ingrained in rainfall-runoff models. In this paper, Meta-Gaussian method proposed by Montanari and Brath(2004) was used to assess uncertainty of simulation outputs from rainfall-runoff models. The model, which estimates upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval from probabilistic distribution of a model's error, can quantify global uncertainty of hydrological models. In this paper, Meta-Gaussian method was applied to analyze uncertainty of simulated runoff outputs from $Vflo^{TM}$, a physically-based distribution model and HEC-HMS model, a conceptual lumped model.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.143-149
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• 2010

The river master plan was established every 10 years in Korea. The basin characteristics of 62 small and medium size rivers of which master plans were recently established during the past three years in Gyeonggi-do were investigated, and design rainfalls and design floods in the past and the latest were compared and analyzed. It was predicted that basin data and flood estimating method changed design flood. The quantitative amount of design floods were analyzed for 6 basins like Gungunchen etc. As the results, the increasing factors of design flood were the application of critical duration time, temporal time of rainfall and the increase of CN value. The decreasing factors of design flood were the application of Huff's rainfall distribution instead of Mononobe one and the ARF. The application of critical duration time increased flood about 60% whereas the application of Huff's rainfall distribution method estimated less flood than Mononobe about 62%. Considering critical duration time and changing rainfall distribution were the most important factors of increasing or decreasing design flood. However, trends of flood variation were differently analyzed by factors in 6 basins because characteristics of topography, weather, hydrology and hydraulic were different, now that correlations were not found between factors and flood variation. Flood variation is evaluated by complex effects of factors so new flood recalculated by reasonable methods should be considered as design flood.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.19-29
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• 2007

This study compares various ground-truth designs of radar rainfall using rain-gauge data sets from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), AWS and Ministry of Construction and Transportation (MOCT). These Rain-gauge data sets and the Mt. Gwanak radar rainfall data for the same period were compared, and then the differences between two observed rainfall were evaluated with respect to the amount of bias. Additionally this study investigated possible differences in bias due to different storm characteristics. The application results showed no distinct differences between biases from three rain-gauge data sets, but some differences in their statistical characteristics. In overall, the design bias from MOCT was estimated to be the smallest among the three rain-gauge data sets. Among three storm events considered, the jangma with the highest spatial intermittency showed the smallest bias.

• Water for future
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.189-201
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• 1996

The main objective of this study is to determine the time distribution models of rainfall in Korea for estimating design floods and to suggest new runoff model(Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph; GIUH) in order to be easily use the rainfall-runoff model put rainfall models practice to be suitable for the regional characteristics of hydrologic situation by practicing engineers. As a result, the reappearance of triangular hyetograph and GIUH runoff model showed promising. The historical data from about 13,000 event-rainfalls and 73 rainfall-runoff measuring data during 12 years in International Hydrological Program (IHP) basins have been used to determine the statistical factors of the time distribution for rainfalls by the Yen-Chow, Huff, Pilgrim-Cordery and Mononobe models. The Rational, Kajiyama, Nakayasu and Clark model and GIUH model that this study runoff model were used for the purpose of application limit for basin area against design concept by the estimation of flood runoff and the derivation of empirical equations to estimate the parameters for ungaged basins.