• 제목/요약/키워드: Deployment decision

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확률적 위험도분석을 이용한 ITS사업의 경제성평가모형 (Development of Evaluation Model for ITS Project using the Probabilistic Risk Analysis)

  • 이용택;남두희;임강원
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 결정적 경제성분석모형(Deterministic Economic Analysis : DEA)의 한계를 극복할 수 있는 확률적 위험도분석(Probabilistic Risk Analysis : PRA) 모형을 이용하여 ITS사업의 경제성평가모형을 개발하고 사례분석을 통해 모형의 적합성(Goodness-of-fit)과 유용성을 검증하는 것이다. 즉 ITS사업의 경제성에 영향을 미치는 위험변수를 확률밀도함수(PDF), 누적확률밀도함수(CDF)로 산출하고 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션기법(Monte-Carlo Simulation Approach : MCSA)을 통해 산출된 결과변수(사업비, 경제성지표)의 통계값에 대해 합리적인 의사결정 방법론을 정립하였다. 대규모 지방자치단체 ITS사업의 사례분석(대전광역시 첨단교통모델도시사업) 수행결과, 통합시스템의 사업비 총사업비는 PRA모형을 통해 산출된 확률분포 상에서 편의(Bias)된 백분율값으로 나타났으며, 사업비 총사업비의 변동계수가(각각 15, 4) 일반교통사업에 비해 낮아, ITS사업의 위험도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 PRA모형의 결과변수(B/C, NPA, IRP)가 변동가능한 사업환경 하에서 90%이상 모두 경제성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 총사업비 사업비의 우발성비용(목표관리값 85%기준)이 발생하는 것으로 나타나 경제성은 높으나 사업비 초과 위험도는 높은 사업으로 분류되었다. 또한 DEA모형의 경제성평가지표는 PRA모형의 확률분포 상에 단일 %값(B/C:27%값, NPV:27%값, IRR:33%값)으로 나타나며, 평균값 또는 중앙값과 비교할 때, 경제성이 과소추정(Underestimate)되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 단위시스템의 우선순위결과정에서 모형에 따라 우선순위가 바꾸는 결과가 나타났다. 특히 대규모 ITS사업의 경제성평가 시 DEA모형이 편의된 하나의 사례만으로 경제성을 평가함으로써, 경제성을 과대 과소추정하거나 비합리적인 투자우선 순위를 도출하는 오류를 범할수 있는 것으로 나타났다.

옥내 측위를 위한 지문 방식 알고리즘들의 성능 분석 (Performance Analysis of Fingerprinting algorithms for Indoor Positioning)

  • 임재걸
    • 전자공학회논문지CI
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    • 제43권6호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2006
  • 무선네트워크 기반 옥내측위는 측위를 위한 특수 장비를 필요로 하지 않고, 지문 방식은 무선네트워크 기반 측위를 위한 기술 중에서 가장 정확도가 높기 때문에 무선네트워크 지문 방식이 가장 적당한 옥내측위 방법이다. 지문 방식은 준비 단계와 실시간 측위 단계로 구성되는데, 준비 단계는 그렇지 않지만 실시간 측위 단계는 실행 시간이 매우 중요한 요소인 작업이다. 왜냐하면, 실시간 측위 단계의 실행 시간이 너무 길면, 실행 도중에 사용자가 너무 많이 이동하여 정확한 측위가 불가능하게 되기 때문이다. 그럼에도 불구하고 무선네트워크 기반 지문 방식의 실시간 측위 단계의 효율성을 개선하는 연구는 아직 수행된 바가 없다. 이 논문은 무선네트워크 기반 지문 방식을 위한 판단나무 방법을 제안하며, 기존의 K-NN 방법 그리고 베이지안 방법과 본 논문이 제안하는 판단나무 방법을 정확도와 실행 시간 측면에서 비교 분석한다.

무인기 자율임무를 위한 BDI 아키텍처 기반 자율행동 소프트웨어 개발 (Development of Autonomous Behavior Software based on BDI Architecture for UAV Autonomous Mission)

  • 양승구;엄태원;김경태
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.312-318
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    • 2022
  • 현재 대한민국은 인구절벽 현상에 의한 병역자원의 감소 문제에 직면해 있으며 이에 대응하기 위해 군 구조 개편 및 전력 구조 변화를 추구하고 있다. 육군은 이런 상황 변화에 대한 대응으로 미래 전장을 주도할 드론봇 전투체계의 전력화를 추진하고 있다. 미래의 전장은 지휘통제, 감시정찰, 정밀타격이 결합된 통합 전장 개념으로 전환될 것이며 이러한 변화에 따라 드론봇을 포함한 무인 전투체계가 실전 배치되어, 위험도가 높고 인간이 수행하기 어려운 전투상황에 더욱 광범위하게 적용될 것이다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 변화에 대한 대응 방안의 하나로 BDI 아키텍처 기반의 의사 결정 시스템을 가진 자율행동 소프트웨어를 개발하였다. 자율행동 소프트웨어는 다 기종에 대한 적용성 확보를 위해 프레임워크 구조를 적용하였고 대상 무인기를 대대급 감시정찰 무인기로 가정하여 PC기반 환경에서 기능을 검증하였다.

INTEGRATED CONSTRUCTION PROJECT PLANNING USING 3D INFORMATION MODELS

  • Chang-Su Shim;Kwang-Myong Lee;Deok-Won Kim;Yoon-Bum Lee;Kyoung-Lae Park
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.928-934
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    • 2009
  • Although the evolution and deployment of information technologies will undoubtedly play an important role in the current construction industry, many engineers are still unsure of the economic value of using these technologies. Especially for the planning of a construction project, a collaboration system to utilize the whole resources is a essential tool for the successful outcome. A detailed, authoritative, and readily accessible information model is needed to enable engineers to make cost-effective decisions among established and innovative plan alternatives. Most engineers rely on limited private experiences when they create solutions or design alternatives. Initial planning is crucial for the success of the construction project. Most construction projects are done through collaboration of engineers who have different specialized knowledge. Information technologies can dramatically enhance the performance of the collaboration. For the information delivery, we need a mediator between engineers. Object-based 3-D models are useful for the communication and decision assistance for the intelligent project design. In this paper, basic guidelines for the 3-D design according to different construction processes are suggested. Adequate interoperability of 3-D objects from any CAD system is essential for the collaboration. Basic architectures of geometry models and their information layer were established to enable interoperability for design checks, estimation and simulation. A typical international project for roadway was chosen for the pilot project. 3-D GIS model was created and bridge information models were created considering several requirements for planning and decision making of the project. From the pilot test, the integrated construction project planning using 3-D information models was discussed and several guidelines were suggested.

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Factors Affecting Medical Incident Care on WBAN

  • Lim, Sungryel;Lee, Hongchul
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.1058-1076
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    • 2013
  • The WBAN(Wireless Body Area Network) supplies mobile convenience to our medical services. But if we have few effective control variables across this service deployment, the hidden distortions or defects of the system might threaten the lives and rights of the stakeholders. Therefore we need to increase the service credibility, to get WBAN effective. This study proposes a governance mechanism using feasible variables that are currently in use in practices in WBAN environments against medical incidents. Control variables were tested in Seoul National University hospital and related medical industries of South Korea. We assume that WBAN systems would be open based on integrating patients, medical employees and law enforcements to get smart theater operations against medical incidents by implementing proposed MJA(Multilateral Joint Analysis) model. MJA model also contributes to the convergence of computer systems and medical services by demonstrating flexible SOA(Service Oriented Architecture) dashboard of healthcare services with credibility factors in medicine. The important components in MJA model across WBAN, were found to be "Safety, Accuracy and Reliability" in priority order. Factor analysis, correlations and ANOVA were used to evaluate this model and an IT dashboard with a realization of mobile application, was used to support participants' decision-making.

부하평준화 기능을 고려한 주택용 ESS의 적정 지원금 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Decision of Appropriate Subsidy Levels for Energy Storage Systems Considering Load Leveling in Smart Place)

  • 김정훈;황성욱;이학주
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2014
  • Construction of power plants and T&D facilities is so difficult because of the civil complaints and the additional cost according to the concerning field conditions. Therefore, various researches and methods have been considered to get solutions in the demand side and energy storage systems have been in the spotlight because of the various functions such as peak shaving, load shifting, and power system stabilizing, and so on. Residential small size batteries are considered in this paper and the economic analysis is carried out to evaluate the reasonable subsidy levels for the deployment of energy storage systems. Various economic parties are considered to find reasonable subsidy level comparing each other, which parties consist of utilities, participants and non-participants in general. The evaluation is based on California Standard Practice Test and the results are able to be used as subsidy guidelines.

탄도미사일 궤적 시뮬레이션 모델을 이용한 방어영역 산출 및 응용 (Application and Determination of Defended Footprint Using a Simulation Model for Ballastic Missile Trajectory)

  • 홍동욱;임동순;최봉완
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.551-561
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    • 2018
  • Footprint is defined as ground area that is projected from the outer edges of the battle space protected by a defence system. This concept can be effectively used for making decisions on site selection of anti missile systems to defend against enemy's ballistic missiles. In this paper, simulations of ballistic missile trajectories based on various launch conditions are performed first and then the footprint is derived with engagement zone set as a boundary condition. Results of the simulation with various relative positions between the defense system and defended asset are also presented. The proposed method, in which the trajectories are generated based on launch point of the ballistic missile, has an advantage of approximating the defended area close to reality. Two applications are introduced in the present paper to describe how the derivation of defended area could be utilized in deployment decision of defense systems.

조직 정보 시스템 보안을 위한 총괄 전략 프레임워크 (Grand Strategy Framework for Information Systems Security in Organizations)

  • 박상서
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2009
  • 정보 시스템 보안 체계를 보다 체계적으로 구축하고 효율적으로 운영하기 위해서는 보안에도 전략이 도입되어야 한다. 또한, 전략이 구현되어 성공적으로 작동하기 위해서는 조직 차원의 참여가 필수적이다. 하지만, 조직의 정보 시스템 보안 전략에 관한 연구는 아직까지 전략적 사고에 의한 보안 체계의 배치와 운영에 초점이 맞추어져 있어, 조직 전체를 움직이고 이끌기 위한 총체적 프레임에 관한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 조직 차원의 보안 전략 수립에 활용할 수 있는 프레임워크를 연구한다. 이를 위하여 조직 차원의 전략 수립이라는 측면에서 총괄 전략의 개념을 도입하였으며, 총괄 전략이 갖는 4차원적 특성을 기반으로 정보 시스템 보안 총괄 전략을 구성하기 위한 프레임워크를 제시한다.

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Applications Development: a Value-Laden Process

  • Cayaba, Christobal;Pablo, Zelinna
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.371-391
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    • 2014
  • A long-drawn out debate in the field of technology is whether it is value-neutral or value-laden. While some have argued that this debate has been resolved given the increasingly accepted view that technology is socially constructed, this is still not reflected in mainstream research which still assumes that technology is neutral. What is clear is that both views tend to be linked to studies that primarily focus on explicit forms of technology such as technological designs and their usage. These studies, though significant, may be limited in terms of an underemphasis on the process by which these technologies emerge, a process that requires decision-making activities made by different stakeholders and thus involves value judgments. In order to understand the extent of value-neutrality or value-ladenness of technologies, therefore, it is important to examine not only the final outcomes but also the process involved in technological development (including the artifacts created and used). In this study, we explored how values may be embedded in a specific IT application, and in cases of conflict of values, how they are prioritized. We did this in the context of applications development through an examination of the stages ranging from requirements analysis to coding to testing and deployment.

신규호에 대한 지체가 허용된 셀룰라 이동통신시스템에서 최적 호제어 연구 (Optimal Call Control Strategies in a Cellular Mobile Communication System with a Buffer for New Calls)

  • Paik, Chun-hyun;Chung, Yong-joo;Cha, Dong-wan
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 1998
  • The demand of large capacity in coming cellular systems makes inevitable the deployment of small cells, rendering more frequent handoff occurrences of calls than in the conventional system. The key issue is then how effectively to reduce the chance of unsuccessful handoffs, since the handoff failure is less desirable than that of a new call attempt. In this study, we consider the control policies which give priority to handoff calls by limiting channel assignment for the originating new calls, and allow queueing the new calls which are rejected at their first attempts. On this system. we propose the problem of finding an optimal call control strategy which optimizes the objective function value, while satisfying the requirements on the handoff/new call blocking probabilities and the new call delay. The objective function takes the most general form to include such well-known performance measures as the weighted average carried traffic and the handoff call blocking probability. The problem is formulated into two different linear programming (LP) models. One is based on the direct employment of steady state equations, and the other uses the theory of semi-Markov decision process. Two LP formulations are competitive each other, having its own strength in the numbers of variables and constraints. Extensive experiments are also conducted to show which call control strategy is optimal under various system environments having different objective functions and traffic patterns.

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