• Title/Summary/Keyword: Density estimation

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Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought analysis (I) - Groundwater drought monitoring using standardized groundwater level index (SGI) (가뭄 분석을 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발(I) - 표준지하수지수(SGI)를 이용한 지하수 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kang, Shinuk;Jeong, Jihye;Chun, Gunil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.11
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    • pp.1011-1020
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to develop a drought monitoring scheme based on groundwater which can be exploit for water supply under drought stress. In this context, groundwater level can be used as a proxy for better understanding the temporal evolution of drought state. First, kernel density estimator is presented in the monthly groundwater level over the entire national groundwater stations. The estimated cumulative distribution function is then utilized to map the monthly groundwater level into the standardized groundwater level index (SGI). The SGI for each station was eventually converted into the index for major cities through the Thiessen polygon approach. We provide a drought classification for a given SGI to better characterize the degree of drought condition. Ultimately, we conclude that the proposed monitoring framework enables a more reliable estimation of the drought stress, especially for a limited water supply area.

A new method to estimate the striking velocity for small caliber projectiles (소구경 탄자의 충돌속도 추정방법 제안)

  • Yoo, Sangjun;Kim, Jeyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1288-1293
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a new method to estimate the striking velocity for ballistic limit velocity in MIL-STD-662F. The method from MIL-STD-662F needs relative air density, drag coefficient, form factor, ballistic coefficient for estimating striking velocity. So precedent studies are essential. However, the new method can estimate striking velocity only using measured velocities and distance between the screen and the target. To prove new method, we compared estimation of striking velocity from both the new method and the method from MIL-STD-662F on the basis of datain PRODAS. The new method shows bigger errors in some velocity ranges. But it could still calculate ballistic limit velocity. It also shows smaller errors in most velocity ranges.

Soft Detection using QR Decomposition for Coded MIMO System (부호화된 MIMO 시스템에서 QR 분해를 이용한 효율적인 연판정 검출)

  • Zhang, Meixiang;Kim, Soo-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.7A
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    • pp.535-544
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    • 2012
  • Multi-Input Multi-Output (MIMO) transmission is now considered as one of essential techniques enabling high rate data transmissions in wireless communication systems. In addition, severe channel impairments in wireless systems should be compensated by using highly efficient forward error correction (FEC) codes. Turbo codes or low density parity check (LDPC) codes, using iterative decoding with soft decision detection information (SDDI), are the most common examples. The excellent performance of these codes should be conditioned on accurate estimation of SDDI from the MIMO detection process. In this paper, we propose a soft MIMO detection scheme using QR decomposition of channel matrices as an efficient means to provide accurate SDDI to the iterative decoder. The proposed method employed a two sequential soft MIMO detection process in order to reduce computational complexity. Compared to the soft ZF method calculating the direct inverse of the channel matrix, the complexity of the proposed method can be further reduced as the number of antennas is increased, without any performance degradation.

Observation of the Ground Subsidence in the Abandoned Gaeun Coal Mining Area using JERS-1 SAR (JERS-1 SAR를 이용한 가은 폐탄광 지역 지반침하 관측)

  • Jung Hahn Chul;Kim Sang-Wan;Kim Bok Chul;Min Kyung Duck;Won Joong-Sun
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.509-519
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    • 2004
  • The ground subsidence that occurred in the abandoned coal mining area, Gaeun, Korea, was observed using 25 JERS-1 SAR interferograms from November 1992 to October 1998. We carried out measurements on a subset of image pixels corresponding to point-wise stable reflectors(PS: permanent scatterer) by exploiting a long temporal series of interferometric phases and compared it with the distribution map of in situ examined crack level. PSs could be identified by means of amplitude dispersion index and coherence of the interferograms and the density of PS was much higher in an urban area than in a mountainous region. The measured subsidence rate represented the average velocity in a period of image acquisition and excluded complex nonlinear displacements such as an abrupt collapse. The mean line-of-sight velocity in the study area is 0.19cm/yr and the estimation error is 0.18cm/yr. The center of the abandoned Gaeun coal mine(0.49cm/yr) and the area opposite Gaeun station(1.66cm/yr) were observed as the most highly subsiding areas.

Evaluation of Performance of Atmospheric Re-Entry System for the Uncertainties Using the Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테-칼로 모의실험을 이용한 대기권 재진입 시스템의 불확실성 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Dae-Woo;Cho, Kyeum-Rae;Oh, Se-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.30 no.7
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2002
  • The Monte-Carlo simulation of statistical analysis is used to investigate the final conditions of states as well as the footprint boundaries resulting from the atmospheric re-entry dispersions. The re-entry dispersions in this paper are specified by a $7\times7$ covariance matrix of latitude, longitude, altitude, bank angle, flight path angle, heading error, and range at entry velocity. The error sources that affect these at re-entry for a deboost are the uncertainties associated with atmospheric density and temperature, initial errors, wind, and estimation error of aerodynamic coefficients. Using $3{\sigma}_n$ deviations of these errors and a nominal flight trajectory, the covariance matrix of state variables can be determined by performing a trajectory error analysis. Major considerations in the application of the Monte-Carlo method are the simulation of perturbed trajectories, bank reversal, and determination of the impact points for each of these trajectories. This paper analyzes the results of uncertainties from the viewpoint of aero-coefficients and bank reversal.

Estimation and Determinants on Residential Investment Profits in Seoul: A Focus on Housing Transaction Price from 2010 to 2018 (서울시 주택 예상투자이익 추정과 영향요인에 대한 시론적 분석 - 2010-2018년 주택 실거래가를 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Hye-Sung;Kang, Chang-Deok
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2020
  • Estimating investment profits of real estate is critical to understand real estate markets and create relevant policy as real estate market and capital market combines closely. Thus, this study applied the concept of Tobin's Q to estimate investment profits for apartments as well as row-houses and multi-family homes in Seoul from 2010 to 2018. Investment profits were estimated by two approaches: subtracting the replacement cost from the transaction price and calculating ratio of the transaction price to the replacement cost, respectively. The spatio-temporal changes in investment profits were apparent in apartments compared with row-houses and multi-family homes. As a result of analyzing the spatial econometrics models, the investment profit was higher in the area with high density and new developments regardless of the housing types. The framework and key findings would be the effective reference to understand residential investment behavior, create relevant housing policy, introduce value capture of windfall, measure regional competitiveness, and estimate housing bubble.

Estimation of Uncertainty on Greenhouse Gas Emission in the Agriculture Sector (농업분야 온실가스 배출량 산정의 불확도 추정 및 평가)

  • Bae, Yeon-Joung;Bae, Seung-Jong;Seo, Il-Hwan;Seo, Kyo;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Kim, Gun-Yeob
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2013
  • Analysis and evaluation of uncertainty is adopting the advanced methodology among the methods for greenhouse gas emission assessment that was defined in GPS2000 (Good practice guideline 2000) and GPG-LULUCF (GPG Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry). In 2006 IPCC guideline, two approaches are suggested to explain the uncertainty for each section with a national net emission and a prediction value on uncertainty as follows; 1) Spread sheet calculation based on the error propagation algorithm that was simplified with some assumptions, and 2) Monte carlo simulation that can be utilized in general purposes. There are few researches on the agricultural field including greenhouse gas emission that is generated from livestock and cultivation lands due to lack of information for statistic data, emission coefficient, and complicated emission formula. The main objective of this study is to suggest an evaluation method for the uncertainty of greenhouse gas emission in agricultural field by means of intercomparison of the prediction value on uncertainties which were estimated by spread sheet calculation and monte carlo simulation. A statistic analysis for probability density function for uncertainty of emission rate was carried out by targeting livestock intestinal fermentation, excrements treatment, and direct/indirect emission from agricultural lands and rice cultivation. It was suggested to minimize uncertainty by means of extraction of emission coefficient according to each targeting section.

Application of the Beta Distribution for the Temporal Quantification of Storm Events (호우사상의 시간적 정량화를 위한 베타분포의 적용)

  • Jun, Chang-Hyun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.531-544
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    • 2012
  • This study suggested the parameter estimation method for given rainfall events to be properly expressed by the beta distribution. For this purpose, this study compared the characteristics of probability density function with the parameter proposed considering the cases with and without addition to the rainfall peak, and the cases of using the real hyetograph and the rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak. As an example, this study analyzed the independent rainfall events at Seoul in 2010 and the annual maximum independent rainfall events from 1961 to 2010. The results derived are as follows. First, this study confirmed the necessity of additional consideration on rainfall peak to mimic the real hyetograph of rainfall events by the beta distribution. Second, this study confirmed the case of using rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak derived a better beta distribution to well mimic the characteristics of real rainfall than the case using the real hyetograph.

Estimation of Cumulative Axle-Load Spectrum for Axle-Load Distribution Standard by Vehicle Type (차종별 축하중 분포 정량화를 위한 누적 축하중 스펙트럼 추정연구)

  • An Ji-Hwan;Ohm Byung-Sik;Kim Yeon-Bok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3 s.29
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2006
  • The primary objective of this study is to characterize traffic axle loadings that consider Korea specific traffic conditions for developing mechanistic-based pavement design method as a part of Korea Pavement Research Program(KPRP). Although the concept of equivalent single axle load(ESAL) has been generally used since the 1960s for the pavement design, the mechanistic-based pavement design procedure requires more accurate axle loading data on the specific pavement. In this study, axle loading data were collected according to vehicle type and highway functional classification. Axle-load spectrum was then standardized by cumulative density function(cdf), because the axle load spectrum could vary from the observed site, truck traffic volume, and truck type, Finally, this study presented the procedure and S-shaped exponential models for characterizing axle load spectra according to vehicle type and highway functional classification.

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Estimation of Habitat Suitability Index of Fish Species in the Gapyeong stream (가평천 어류의 서식처적합도지수 산정)

  • Kong, Dongsoo;Son, Se-Hwan;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Piljae;Kwon, Yongju;Kim, Jungwoo;Kim, Ye Ji;Min, Jeong Ki;Kim, Ah Reum
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.626-639
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    • 2017
  • Based on an ecological monitoring in a Korean stream (Gapyeong), Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) of nine fish species was developed for three physical habitat factors : current velocity, water depth and substrate. The species were chosen based on their abundance and frequency in the fish community of the Gapyeong stream. The Weibull model was used as the probability density function to analyze the distribution and number of each fish species according to the three identified physical factors, which showed good results. This HSI equation has advantages because it statistically expresses habitat preferences of fish species simply and clearly. From that, we can quantitatively deduce the central tendency and variation of environmental factors for fish distribution. The selected fish species showed different preferences for each habitat factor respectively. Although there are some exceptions, the distribution and abundance of individual species of nektonic fish (Zacco koreanus, Zacco platypus, Microphysogobio longidorsalis and Pungtungia herzi) were positively skewed to deep water and fine substrate while riffle-benthic fish (Koreocobitis rotundicaudata and Coreoleuciscus splendidus) were normally distributed at the shallow and coarse substrate zone. It seems that the species showing the positively skewed distribution to the current, Z. koreanus, Z. platypus, M. longidorsalis and P. herzi have adapted themselves to the fast current and have expanded their niche.