• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.21-35
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• 1996

In this paper, estimation and prediction procedures are discussed for grneral situation in which the failure time follows the independent density $f_{i}({\varepsilon}_{i})$ for the accelerated life testing under Type II censoring. In the context of accelerated life test experiment, procedures are given for estimating the parameters in the Eyring model, and for estimating mean life at a given future stress level. The procedures given are conditional confidence interval procedures, obtained by conditioning on ancillary statistics. A comparison is made of these procedures and procedures based on asymptotic properties of the maximum, likelihood estimates.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.06a
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• pp.17-20
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• 2005

This paper presents an overview analysis on the observed wind shear at Pohang Steel Works, focusing on diurnal patterns and the frequency of high nighttime shear at the site in case of land breeze. In addition, this paper discusses the importance of accurate shear estimates for reliable evaluation of wind energy density. In order for a long-term correlation of the site, three Measure-Correlate-Predict methods were tested with Pohang wind data and it was shown that the linear MCP gives poor estimation due to the geographic characteristics of complex terrain where the severe transformation of wind direction was accompanied.

• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• 1999.11a
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• pp.117-121
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• 1999

Relations between GMS-5 infrared brightness temperature with SSM/I retrieved rain rate are determined by a probability matching method similar to Atlas et al. and Crosson et al. For this study, coincident data sets of the GMS-5 infrared measurements and SSM/I data during two summer seasons of 1997 and 1998 are constructed. The cumulative density functions (CDFs) of infrared brightness temperature and rain rate are matched at pairs of two variables which give the same percentile contribution. The method was applied for estimating rain rate on 31 July 1998, examining heavy rainfall estimation of a flash flood event over Mt. Jiri. Results were compared with surface gauge observations run by Korean Meteorological Administration. It was noted that the method produced reasonably good quality of rain estimate, however, there was large area giving false rain due to the anvil type clouds surrounding deep convective clouds. Extensive validation against surface rain observation is currently under investigation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.371-383
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• 2000

Lindsay (1994) and Basu et al (1997) show that another density-based distance called the negative exponential disparity (NED) is an excellent competitor to the Hellinger distance (HD) in generating an asymptotically fully efficient and robust estimator. Bhattacharya and Basu (1996) consider estimation of the locations of several normal populations when an order relation between them is known to be true. They empirically show that the robust HD based weighted likelihood estimators compare favorably with the M-estimators based on Huber's $\psi$ function, the Gastworth estimator, and the trimmed mean estimator. In this paper we investigate the performance of the weighted likelihood estimator based on the NED as a robust alternative relative to that based on the HD. The NED based estimator is found to be quite competitive in the settings considered by Bhattacharya and Basu.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.331-345
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• 2007

Uncertainties enter a complex analysis from a variety of sources: variability, lack of data, human errors, model simplification and lack of understanding of the underlying physics. However, for many important engineering applications insufficient data are available to justify the choice of a particular probability density function (PDF). Sometimes the only data available are in the form of interval estimates which represent, often conflicting, expert opinion. In this paper we demonstrate that Bayesian estimation techniques can successfully be used in applications where only vague interval measurements are available. The proposed approach is intended to fit within a probabilistic framework, which is established and widely accepted. To circumvent the problem of selecting a specific PDF when only little or vague data are available, a hierarchical model of a continuous family of PDF's is used. The classical Bayesian estimation methods are expanded to make use of imprecise interval data. Each of the expert opinions (interval data) are interpreted as random interval samples of a parent PDF. Consequently, a partial conflict between experts is automatically accounted for through the likelihood function.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.1-5
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• 2017

The F2-layer critical frequency (foF2) data from several ionosondes are employed to study the long-distance effect of the M8.8 Chile Earthquake of February 27, 2010, on the F2 layer. Significant perturbations of the peak F2-layer electron density have been observed following the earthquake at two South African stations, Hermanus and Madimbo, which are located at great circle distances of ~8,000 and ~10,000 km from the earthquake epicenter, respectively. Simplified estimates demonstrate that the observed ionospheric perturbations can be caused by a long-period acoustic gravity wave produced in the F-region by the earthquake.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2001.11a
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• pp.527-532
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• 2001

In this paper, we will propose the new method that estimates the sensing ability of HH smart sensor. We have developed a new signal processing method that can distinguish among different materials relatively. The HH smart sensor was developed for recognition of materials. We made the HH smart sensor in our experiment. Then, we estimated the ability to recognize objects according to acceleration value. We estimated the sensing ability of HH smart sensor with the $R_{SAI}$ method. Experiments and analysis were executed to estimate the ability to recognize objects according to acceleration value changing. Dynamic characteristics of HH smart sensor were evaluated relatively through a new $R_{SAI}$ method that uses the power spectrum density. Applications of this method are for finding abnormal conditions of objects (auto-manufacturing), feeling of objects (medical product), robotics, safety diagnosis of structure, etc.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.111-117
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• 2001

In this paper, we will propose the new method that estimates the sensing ability of smart sensor. A study is estimation method that evaluates the sensing ability about smart sensor respectively. According to acceleration(g) and displacement changing, we estimated the sensing ability of smart sensor using the SAI(Sensing Ability Index) method respectively. We made the smart sensors in our experiment. The types of smart sensor are three types(H1, H1, H3 smart sensor). The smart sensors were developed for recognition of materials. Experiments and analysis were executed to estimated the sensing abili-ty of smarty sensor. Dynamic characteristics of smart sensors(acceleration changing) were evaluated respectively through a new method(SAI) that uses the power spectrum density.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.22-27
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• 2004

A new method that estimates the sensing ability of HH smart sensor is proposed. The new signal processing method have been developed that can distinguish among different materials relatively. The HH smart sensor was developed far recognition of materials. The HH smart sensor was made for experiment. Then, it was estimated the ability to recognize objects according to acceleration value. The sensing ability of HH smart sensor has been estimated with the $R_{SAI}$ method. Experiments and analysis were executed to estimate the ability to recognize objects according to acceleration value changing. Dynamic characteristics of HH smart sensor were evaluated relatively through a new $R_{SAI}$ method that uses the power spectrum density. Applications of this method are for finding abnormal conditions of objects (auto-manufacturing), feeling of objects (medical product), robotics, safety diagnosis of structure, etc.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.72-73
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• 2018

The accuracy of contingency estimation plays an important role for dealing with the uncertainty of the financial success of construction project. Its' estimation may be used for various purposes such as schedule control, emergency resolve, and quality expense, etc. This paper presents a contingency estimation method which is schedule control specific. The method 1) implements stochastic EVMS, 2) detects a specific timing for schedule compression, 3) identifies an optimal strategy for shortening planned schedule, 4) finds a probability density function (PDF) of project cost overrun, and 5) estimates the optimal contingency cost based on the level of confidence. The method facilitates expeditious decisions involved in project budgeting. The validity of the method is confirmed by performing test case.