• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demanding forecasting

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Data Center Remote Management Service for Demanding Forecasting and Reduction of Energy U sage (에너지 수요예측 및 절감을 위한 데이터 센터 원격 관리 서비스)

  • Han, Jong-Hoon;Jung, Dae-Kyo;Bae, Kwang-Yong
    • Journal of The Institute of Information and Telecommunication Facilities Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 2010
  • This paper is concerned with data center remote management service for demanding forecasting and reduction of energy usage. More particularly, intelligent server rack, mounted on inside of the data center, collects information about energy usage and temperature per server. Using this information, management platform forecasts energy demand in the future and automatically makes report according green environment raw. By providing the remote management service through remote terminals, users are not tied to a time and place to control device inside the data center. In this way, the data center remote management service enhances operability of the facility.

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An Empirical Study on Improving the Accuracy of Demand Forecasting Based on Multi-Machine Learning (다중 머신러닝 기법을 활용한 무기체계 수리부속 수요예측 정확도 개선에 관한 실증연구)

  • Myunghwa Kim;Yeonjun Lee;Sangwoo Park;Kunwoo Kim;Taehee Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.406-415
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    • 2024
  • As the equipment of the military has become more advanced and expensive, the cost of securing spare parts is also constantly increasing along with the increase in equipment assets. In particular, forecasting demand for spare parts one of the important management tasks in the military, and the accuracy of these predictions is directly related to military operations and cost management. However, because the demand for spare parts is intermittent and irregular, it is often difficult to make accurate predictions using traditional statistical methods or a single statistical or machine learning model. In this paper, we propose a model that can increase the accuracy of demand forecasting for irregular patterns of spare parts demanding by using a combination of statistical and machine learning algorithm, and through experiments on Cheonma spare parts demanding data.

A Study on Demanding forecasting Model of a Cadastral Surveying Operation by analyzing its primary factors (지적측량업무 영향요인 분석을 통한 수요예측모형 연구)

  • Song, Myeong-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.477-481
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to provide the ideal forecasting model of cadastral survey work load through the Economeatric Analysis of Time Series, Granger Causality and VAR Model Analysis, it suggested the forecasting reference materials for the total amount of cadastral survey general work load. The main result is that the derive of the environment variables which affect cadastral survey general work load and the outcome of VAR(vector auto regression) analysis materials(impulse response function and forecast error variance decomposition analysis materials), which explain the change of general work load depending on altering the environment variables. And also, For confirming the stability of time series data, we took a unit root test, ADF(Augmented Dickey-Fuller) analysis and the time series model analysis derives the best cadastral forecasting model regarding on general cadastral survey work load. And also, it showed up the various standards that are applied the statistical method of econometric analysis so it enhanced the prior aggregate system of cadastral survey work load forecasting.

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Working Electrical Energy Forecasting for Peak Load Estimation of Distribution Transformer (주상변압기 최대부하 추정을 위한 수용가 사용전력량 예측)

  • Park, Chang-Ho;Cho, Seong-Soo;Kim, Jae-Cheol;Kim, Du-Bong;Yun, Sang-Yun;Lee, Dong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.929-931
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    • 1998
  • This paper describes the peak load forecasting technique of distribution transformers with correlation equation. While customers are demanding safe energy supply, conventional correlation equation that is used for load management of distribution transformers in domestic has some problems. To get accurate correlation equation, se-correlation equation were examined using new collected using the measuring instrument dev for this study. It was recognized that the qua equation was the most accurate for peak forecasting from working electrical energy.

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Forecasting of Various Air Pollutant Parameters in Bangalore Using Naïve Bayesian

  • Shivkumar M;Sudhindra K R;Pranesha T S;Chate D M;Beig G
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.196-200
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    • 2024
  • Weather forecasting is considered to be of utmost important among various important sectors such as flood management and hydro-electricity generation. Although there are various numerical methods for weather forecasting but majority of them are reported to be Mechanistic computationally demanding due to their complexities. Therefore, it is necessary to develop and build models for accurately predicting the weather conditions which are faster as well as efficient in comparison to the prevalent meteorological models. The study has been undertaken to forecast various atmospheric parameters in the city of Bangalore using Naïve Bayes algorithms. The individual parameters analyzed in the study consisted of wind speed (WS), wind direction (WD), relative humidity (RH), solar radiation (SR), black carbon (BC), radiative forcing (RF), air temperature (AT), bar pressure (BP), PM10 and PM2.5 of the Bangalore city collected from Air Quality Monitoring Station for a period of 5 years from January 2015 to May 2019. The study concluded that Naive Bayes is an easy and efficient classifier that is centered on Bayes theorem, is quite efficient in forecasting the various air pollution parameters of the city of Bangalore.

A Study on Forecasting Spare Parts Demand based on Data-Mining (데이터 마이닝 기반의 수리부속 수요예측 연구)

  • Kim, Jaedong;Lee, Hanjun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2017
  • Demand forecasting is one of the most critical tasks in defense logistics, because the failure of the task can bring about a huge waste of budget. Up to date, ROK-MND(Republic of Korea - Ministry of National Defense) has analyzed past component consumption data with time-series techniques to predict each component's demand. However, the accuracy of the prediction still needs to be improved. In our study, we attempted to find consumption pattern using data mining techniques. We gathered an 18,476 component consumption data first, and then derived diverse features to utilize them in identification of demanding patterns in the consumption data. The results show that our approach improves demand forecasting with higher accuracy.

A Study on Demand Forecasting of Export Goods Based on Vector Autoregressive Model : Subject to Each Small Passenger Vehicles Quarterly Exported to USA (VAR모형을 이용한 수출상품 수요예측에 관한 연구: 소형 승용차 모델별 분기별 대미수출을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jung-Hyeong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to evaluate a short-term export demand forecasting model reflecting individual passenger vehicle brands and market characteristics by using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models that are based on multivariate time-series model. The short-term export demand forecasting model was created by discerning theoretical potential factors that affect the short-term export demand of individual passenger vehicle brands. Quarterly short-term export demand forecasting model for two Korean small vehicle brands (Accent and Avante) were created by using VAR model. Predictive value at t+1 quarter calculated with the forecasting models for each passenger vehicle brand and the actual amount of sales were compared and evaluated by altering subject period by one quarter. As a result, RMSE % of Accent and Avante was 4.3% and 20.0% respectively. They amount to 3.9 days for Accent and 18.4 days for Avante when calculated per daily sales amount. This shows that the short-term export demand forecasting model of this research is highly usable in terms of prediction and consistency.

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The Peak Load Forecast of Pole-Transformers by Working Electrical Energy (사용전력량에 의한 주방변압기의 최대 부하 예측)

  • Lee, Dong-Jun;Han, Sung-Ho;Lee, Wook;Kwak, Hee-Ro;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.101-103
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    • 1996
  • This Paper describes Peak load forecasting technique of pole transformers with correlation equation. While customers are demanding safe energy supply, current correlation equation that is used for load management of pole transformers has some problems. To get accurate correlation equation. several correlation equation were examined using past data and nu data collected using the measuring instrument developed for this study. It was recognized that the quadratic equation was the most accurate for peak load forecasting from working electrical energy.

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Bivariate long range dependent time series forecasting using deep learning (딥러닝을 이용한 이변량 장기종속시계열 예측)

  • Kim, Jiyoung;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2019
  • We consider bivariate long range dependent (LRD) time series forecasting using a deep learning method. A long short-term memory (LSTM) network well-suited to time series data is applied to forecast bivariate time series; in addition, we compare the forecasting performance with bivariate fractional autoregressive integrated moving average (FARIMA) models. Out-of-sample forecasting errors are compared with various performance measures for functional MRI (fMRI) data and daily realized volatility data. The results show a subtle difference in the predicted values of the FIVARMA model and VARFIMA model. LSTM is computationally demanding due to hyper-parameter selection, but is more stable and the forecasting performance is competitively good to that of parametric long range dependent time series models.