• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand-side impact

검색결과 42건 처리시간 0.023초

확산모형을 이용한 LED 조명기기의 최적보조금 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Calculation of Optimal Subsidy for LED Appliance using Diffusion Model)

  • 손학식
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
    • /
    • 제29권3호
    • /
    • pp.1-7
    • /
    • 2015
  • Korea's electricity supply and demand policy has focusing on electricity demand side management instead of the expanding supply and a lot of effort for LED(Light Emitting Diode) at the time. This paper calculated the optimal subsidy for LED spread. For this purpose, it analyzed the impact on spread of the lighting appliances each subsidy level from BDM(Bass Diffusion Model) and predicted the number of lighting appliances according to subsidy level in the future. The case study is calculated susidy for satisfaction of LED target using the suggested model in the future and verified availability.

Oil Price Forecasting : A Markov Switching Approach with Unobserved Component Model

  • Nam, Si-Kyung;Sohn, Young-Woo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.105-118
    • /
    • 2008
  • There are many debates on the topic of the relationship between oil prices and economic growth. Through the repeated processes of conformations and contractions on the subject, two main issues are developed; one is how to define and drive oil shocks from oil prices, and the other is how to specify an econometric model to reflect the asymmetric relations between oil prices and output growth. The study, thus, introduces the unobserved component model to pick up the oil shocks and a first-order Markov switching model to reflect the asymmetric features. We finally employ unique oil shock variables from the stochastic trend components of oil prices and adapt four lags of the mean growth Markov Switching model. The results indicate that oil shocks exert more impact to recessionary state than expansionary state and the supply-side oil shocks are more persistent and significant than the demand-side shocks.

배전시스템에 연계된 다기능 전지전력저장시스템의 사고에 관한 연구 (A Study on Fault of Multifunctional Battery Storage System interconnected with Distribution System)

  • 김재철;문선호;김인택;김응상;추동욱
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1998년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
    • /
    • pp.1244-1246
    • /
    • 1998
  • This paper present a variety fault problem brought out with the multifunctional Battery Energy Storage System [MBESS] expected to be practical in the short future interconnected to power distribution system. Multifunctional BESS model and interconnection model to power system is simply configured, the problems of protection coordination and operation is studied. A line fault in the power distribution system are discussed such as line to ground and three phase fault in order to show the impact on power utilities, demand-side and BESS-side. In order to simulate a variable transient phenomenon due to 2 the BESS interconnection operation to power distribution system, in this paper, PSCAD/EMTDC simulation tools is used.

  • PDF

The Environmental and Economic Impact of Trade between South Korea and the United States

  • Tae-Jin Kim;Nikolas Tromp
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.37-67
    • /
    • 2024
  • This paper analyses carbon emissions and value-added embodied in trade between two large developed countries, South Korea and the United States, during 2000-2014. Using multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables, our analysis reveals that carbon emissions and value-added embodied in exports grew by 19% and 101% for South Korea but shrank by 43% and 7% for the United States. As a result, South Korea experienced a 40% increase in net carbon exports and 243% increase in net value-added exports. At the industry level, the primary drivers of changes in carbon exports were electricity and basic materials. The majority of industries in witnessed improvements in carbon intensities suggesting improved environmental efficiency. While both countries achieved a decoupling of carbon emissions from value-added exports, substantial year-to-year and sectoral variations were observed. Finally, structural decomposition analysis indicates that domestic supply-side factors played a role in decreasing emissions whereas foreign demand-side factors contributed to emissions increases. In line with the main findings, various implications for policy and future research are discussed.

고효율기기의 보급확산을 고려한 전력수요관리 모니터링시스템의 방법론 개발 (Development of DSM(Demand Side Management) Monitoring Methodology Considering the Diffusion Process of High Efficient End-Use Appliances)

  • 황성욱;김발호;김정훈;장승찬;김창섭
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제48권8호
    • /
    • pp.941-950
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper presents a DSM monitoring methodology that is able to evaluate the impact of DSM programs especially focused on the strategic conservation i.e. the enhancement of end-use energy efficiency. For an effective assessment of DSM programs, it is foremost necessary to examine the market characteristics on the specific end-use appliance according to the customer's adoption of DSM programs. The proposed monitoring methodology contains a diffusion process of high efficient end-uses considering major factors of DSM impact such as, price, reference capacity, forecasted capacity and lifetime of end-use appliances. Case studies show the projection of power reductions and energy savings resulted from DSM monitoring in order to diagnose the current status properly and provide a baseline of DSM policy and analysis.

  • PDF

The Determinants and their Time-Varying Spillovers on Liquefied Natural Gas Import Prices in China Based on TVP-FAVAR Model

  • Ying Huang;Yusheng Jiao
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • 제20권1호
    • /
    • pp.93-104
    • /
    • 2024
  • China is playing more predominant role in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market worldwide and LNG import price is subject to various factors both at home and abroad. Nevertheless, previous studies rarely heed a multiple of factors. A time-varying parameter factor augmented vector auto-regression (TVP-FAVAR) model is adopted to discover the determinants of China's LNG import price and their dynamic impacts from January 2012 to December 2021. According to the findings, market fundamentals have a greater impact on the import price of natural gas in China than overall economic demand, financial considerations, and world oil prices. The primary determinants include domestic gas consumption, consumer confidence and other demand-side information. Then, there are diverse and time-varying spillover effects of the four common determinants on the volatility of China's LNG import price at different intervals and time nodes. The price volatility is more sensitive and long-lasting to domestic natural gas pricing reform than other negative shocks such as the Sino-US trade war and the COVID-19 pandemic. The results in this study further proves the importance of domestic natural gas market liberalization. China ought to do more to support the further marketization of natural gas prices while working harder to guarantee natural gas supplies.

보험진료체계 개편이 의료기관 종별 환자분포에 미친 영향 분석 -3차 의료기관, 종합병원, 병원, 의원을 중심으로- (Introducing the Insurance Health Care Delivery System and Its Impact on Patients Distribution of Medical Service Organizations)

  • 공방환;한동운;장원기;강선희;문옥륜
    • 보건행정학회지
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.31-58
    • /
    • 1995
  • The Korean government achieved the universal coverage of health insurance in July 1989, and concomitantly introduced a new measure of regulated health care delivery system in using medical care. There are three reasons why the government took the new health care delivery system. Firstly, there was ample room for improving the allocative efficiency in the use of medical facilities. And the second one was to constrain the dramatic increase of medical demand under health insurance. Thirdly, and the most important reason was to alleviate the patient crowdedness in big general hospitals, particularly tertiary hospitals. There are essentially two different ways to control the use of health care : one is to cut the demand for health care, and the other to regulate behaviors of providers through the use of incentives/disincentives, demand-side approach or supply-side approach. The objective of this study is to examine whether or not medical care utilization behaviors under health insurance scheme have been changed among medical facilities such as clinic, hospital, general hospital and tertiary hospital in comparison with those before and after the introduction, particularly whether the patient crowdedness in tertiary hospitals has been alleviated or not. In order to conduct this study, the insurance claim data during the period of January 1989 and July 1992 were analyzed by focusing on diagnosis of both inpatients and outpatients, and especially the fifteen most frequent diseases in ambulatory care and the seven most frequent diseases in hospitalizatio. In addition, the same analyses were made on the changes in medical care utilization by specialty department. This was because the five departments, such as family medicine, ENT, eye, dermatology and rehabilitation, were exempted from applying the regulated health care delivery system in tertiary hospitals. The study revealed that a remarkable alleviation effect in the crowdness was noted for tertiary hospitals. This effect was most conspicuous for the most frequent mild diseases of both inpatient and outpatient care. For example, the fifteen most frequent OPD care at tertiary facilities have decreased as much as by 40%, of which 34% belonged to the cut in initial visits. Meanwhile, the proportion of those who used general hospitals and private practitioner's clinics have increased due to the shift of patients. The cases from the five special departments were also decreased, but not so much as other departments. A problem was noted that, as time passed by, the decreasing tendencies of crowdness at tertiary hospitals due to the regulated system became slightly smaller. Therefore, through complementary remedies are needed for the future implementation.

  • PDF

내생시차변수모형을 이용한 전력수요함수 추정 (Estimation of the electricity demand function using a lagged dependent variable model)

  • 안소연;진세준;유승훈
    • 에너지공학
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.37-44
    • /
    • 2016
  • 2차 에너지인 전력은 다양한 연료를 발전원으로 하고 있기 때문에, 전력에 대한 수요는 에너지 각 부문에 적지 않은 영향을 미친다. 이에 본 논문에서는 전력수요함수를 추정하여 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성에 대한 정량적 정보를 도출하고자 한다. 이를 위해 1991년부터 2014년까지의 연간 시계열 자료를 이용하되, 탄력성을 단기와 장기를 구분하여 추정할 수 있는 내생시차변수모형을 적용한다. 종속변수로는 연간 전력수요, 독립변수로는 상수항, 전력실질가격, 실질 국내총생산의 3가지를 이용한다. 분석결과 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.142 및 0.866으로 추정되었으며 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 즉 전력수요는 단기적인 관점에서 가격 변화에 대해 비탄력적임과 동시에 소득 변화에 대해서도 비탄력적이다. 장기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성을 추정한 결과를 살펴보면 각각 -0.210 및 1.287이며 이 값은 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 장기적인 관점에서 보더라도 전력수요는 가격 변화에 대해 여전히 비탄력적인 반면에, 소득 변화에 대해서는 전력수요가 탄력적으로 변한다. 따라서 가격정책 위주의 수요관리정책은 단기 및 장기 모두 효과가 제한적이며, 향후 예상되는 소득 증가에 기인하는 전력수요의 증가는 단기보다는 장기에 보다 두드러질 것으로 예상된다.

경제성을 고려한 전기자동차 충전시스템과 배터리 교체형 시스템의 비교분석 연구 (A Study of Comparing and Analyzing Electric Vehicle Battery Charging System and Replaceable Battery System by Considering Economic Analysis)

  • 김시연;황재동;임종훈;송경빈
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제61권9호
    • /
    • pp.1242-1248
    • /
    • 2012
  • Electric vehicle usage is currently very low, but it will be increase with development of electric vehicle technology and a good government policy. Moreover in 2020, advanced electric vehicle manufacturing system will give high performance for its price and mass production. Electric vehicle will become widespread in Korea. From an operational and a planned viewpoint, the electric power demand should be considered in relation to diffusion of electric vehicles. This paper presents the impact of the various battery charge systems. A comparison is performed for electric vehicle charging methods such as, normal charging, fast charging, and battery swapping. In addition, economic evaluation for the replaceable battery system and the quick battery charging system is performed through basic information about charging Infrastructure installation cost. The results of the evaluation show that replaceable battery system is more economical and reliable in side of electric power demand than quick battery charging system.

육계생산과 도계유통에 관한 조사연구 (A Study on Production, Dressing and Marketing of Broiler)

  • 오세정
    • 한국가금학회지
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 1983
  • The Purpose of this study is to examine both supply and demand side of broiler chicken in Korea. Especially the paper aims to investigate the broiler chicken production Dressing and marketing pattern which may affect the demand for it. It is generally understood that broiler chicken production becomes unstable because of frequent market price fluctuation mainly due to disequilibrium of quantities demanded ana supplied It is important to point out that marketing in the form dressed chicken has been enforced by the regulation in Seoul area since March 1st, 1983, though live birds have been customarily marketed for year. It is assumed that the subsituation of chicken meat for beef would save foreign exchanges, because increasingly large amount of beef is imported mainly thanked to a chronical shortage in local production. Main findings of this study may be summarized as follows: 1) Broiler chicker production has been rapidly increased recently, estimating 180-200 million head per year with the trend of contineous increase year after year. Price fluctuation during the year is found, especially summer and winter mainly due to seasonal demand change. It is known that mal-funconing of broiler chicken market may be one of the causes for a large Price fluctuation. Accordingly the increase of marketing efficiency may reduce the price fluctuation and also positively impact on creating demand for the chicken consumption. 2) It is also interesting to note that 90 percent of broilers are grown on the floor and almost 86 percent of total broilers composed of so called high-bros, weighing on an average more than 1.6kg per head Approximately 8 weeks are required for of around marketing birds at the feed efficiency of around 2.3-2.5 Average broiler farm raises between 1,000 and 2,000 head, showing a quite small scale of operation. Only a few sampled farmers follow an all-in and all-out method in broiler production.

  • PDF