• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-Supply Model

Search Result 801, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Improvement in Regional-Scale Seasonal Prediction of Agro-Climatic Indices Based on Surface Air Temperature over the United States Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 미국 지표 기온 기반 농업기후지수의 지역 규모 계절 예측성 개선)

  • Chan-Yeong, Song;Joong-Bae, Ahn;Kyung-Do, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.201-217
    • /
    • 2022
  • The United States is one of the largest producers of major crops such as wheat, maize, and soybeans, and is a major exporter of these crops. Therefore, it is important to estimate the crop production of the country in advance based on reliable long- term weather forecast information for stable crops supply and demand in Korea. The purpose of this study is to improve the seasonal predictability of the agro-climatic indices over the United States by using regional-scale daily temperature. For long-term numerical weather prediction, a dynamical downscaling is performed using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, a regional climate model. As the initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF, the global hourly prediction data obtained from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM) are used. The integration of WRF is performed for 22 years (2000-2021) for period from June to December of each year. The empirical quantile mapping, one of the bias correction methods, is applied to the timeseries of downscaled daily mean, minimum, and maximum temperature to correct the model biases. The uncorrected and corrected datasets are referred WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively in this study. The daily minimum (maximum) temperature obtained from WRF_UC presents warm (cold) biases over most of the United States, which can be attributed to the underestimated the low (high) temperature range. The results show that WRF_C simulates closer to the observed temperature than WRF_UC, which lead to improve the long- term predictability of the temperature- based agro-climatic indices.

Measurement of Nursing Service Quality using SERVQUAL Model (SERVQUAL 모델을 이용한 간호 서비스 질 측정)

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Kim, So-In
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.259-279
    • /
    • 2000
  • This study is a descriptive analytic research measuring nursing service quality, using SERVQUAL model, to make fundamental data and strategies for nursing service improvement. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaire from 202 patients and 142 nurses, from June 7 to 14, 1999. The reliability of instrument were adequate(Cronbach ${\alpha}=.94$). SAS program was utilized for statistical analysis of collected data. The results were as follows; 1. There was a gab between patient's expectation and perception on nursing service(Gap B). Gap D was indicated an affecting factor to decide nursing service quality. Gap C was indicated an indirect affecting factor of nursing service quality. Because it was not statistically significant in total item analysis, but in individual item analysis, 7 items were appeared statistically significant. Gap A was not a gap occurrence factor of nursing service quality. 2. Focuses of nursing service quality improvement strategies were; (1) to direct qualitative improvement of nursing service in order to correspondence patient's nursing service expectation. (2) to make nurse's service activity modified because nurse's practice were not reached patient's expectation level. (3) to need internal, external factor analysis affecting nurse's service activity. 3. Nursing service quality was decided by rather environmental inappropriateness provided nursing service than itself. Therefore, to make nursing service quality improvement, it is required to improve nursing service environment. For this, followings are required; (1) to strengthen nurse's education on lower part of nursing service satisfaction and QI activities. (2) to balance demand and supply of nursing personnel. 3) to fix computerized system for reducing other duties weight except nursing care through analysis of nursing activity. (4) to construct rational cooperating system among related departments. 4. The important parts for nursing service quality improvement were indicated as follows: (1) Gap B: 'prompt reaction', 'examination symptom before patient's complaint', 'hearted nursing service reducing patient's dissatisfaction', 'explanation goals of nursing activities', 'having special Knowledge enough', 'maintenance position comfortably', 'management of patient's physical hygiene'. (2) Gap C: 'maintenance physical safety', 'explanation about hospital rules and facilities'. (3) Gap D: 'tender, safe injection and wound care'. Because above items are mostly improved through nurse's attitude change and quality improvement, it is required to establish nursing standardization and to strengthen nurse's clinical education. As the based on above results, followings are suggested; 1. SERVQUAL model is very useful to make strategies for nursing service quality improvement because it indicates multiple factors affecting hap occurrence. 2. At individual items analysis of Gap C, statistically significant 7 items appeared higher nurse's perception level than patient's perception level on nursing service were trouble perception level on nursing service quality improvement. So. it need further research to analysis about these difference occurring factors. 3. At analysis of Gap D, it is indicated that in nursing service performance process, multiple factors lowing nursing service quality were intruded. So it needs further research to analysis what these factors are and how each factors affect on nursing performance process. 4. nursing service quality measurement is changeable according to sample select time or sampled subject's characteristics. So to develope strategy for nursing service quality improvement is based on the results of periodical analysis.

  • PDF

Detail Focused Image Classifier Model for Traditional Images (전통문화 이미지를 위한 세부 자질 주목형 이미지 자동 분석기)

  • Kim, Kuekyeng;Hur, Yuna;Kim, Gyeongmin;Yu, Wonhee;Lim, Heuiseok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.12
    • /
    • pp.85-92
    • /
    • 2017
  • As accessibility toward traditional cultural contents drops compared to its increase in production, the need for higher accessibility for continued management and research to exist. For this, this paper introduces an image classifier model for traditional images based on artificial neural networks, which converts the input image's features into a vector space and by utilizing a RNN based model it recognizes and compares the details of the input which enables the classification of traditional images. This enables the classifiers to classify similarly looking traditional images more precisely by focusing on the details. For the training of this model, a wide range of images were arranged and collected based on the format of the Korean information culture field, which contributes to other researches related to the fields of using traditional cultural images. Also, this research contributes to the further activation of demand, supply, and researches related to traditional culture.

Preferences of Mixed Types in a Social Mix Apartment Community and It's Residents' Social Behavior - Focused on the first district in Eunpyeong New Town in Seoul - (사회적 혼합아파트 거주자의 혼합유형 선호특성과 사회적 행태 연구 -서울시 은평뉴타운을 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Hye-Jin;Lee, Yeun-Sook;Lee, Soo-Jin
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • v.11 no.5
    • /
    • pp.69-77
    • /
    • 2011
  • In order to solve social exclusion and segregation phenomenon and to realize social integration, the necessity of social combination and consensus has been presented and existing conception about the public lease apartment confronts a turning point due to the diversification of apartment supply system. With this social background, Eunpyeong New Town Project implemented by Seoul Metropolitan Government is the first example that supplied diverse apartments for social integration. Survey was made upon the residents aged 20 and over and living in combination apartments, lease apartments and common apartments for private ownership in the Enpyeong New Town Apartment Complex in section 1 area, and the survey sheets filled up by the respondents were collected by personal visits or by using specified gathering spots. Summary of study results is as follows: Firstly, regarding the combination method, respondents preferred the irregular combination of lease apartment units and common apartment units in the same apartment building at the top, analyzing by survey groups marked that residents of common apartment with initial ownership responded not to choose combination apartment complex or combination apartment in future. Secondly, the living consciousness with neighbors revealed that respondents were generally satisfied without difference between the residents of lease apartment and common apartment. As the demand and policies for diverse lease apartments are increasing recently, Eunpyeong New Town Project aimed for positive social integration and consensus will be evaluated as model case for social combination apartment in future. And it is necessary to introduce the policies that consider the differences in consciousness and interest of the residents among the lease apartments and common apartments.

On Modeling the PBL Process and the ILS Development from a Life Cycle View with Resultant Enhanced Interrelationship (PBL 수행절차와 ILS 개발절차의 수명주기별 프로세스 모델링 및 상호 연계성의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Ju, Hyun-Jun;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.10
    • /
    • pp.4418-4425
    • /
    • 2012
  • The demand on applying the performance-based logistics (PBL) in the operational phase of the weapon systems development is increasing these days. Therefore, the enhancement of the PBL concept and process needs to be done. This is the objective of the paper. As a method of approach, a modeling method is adopted to cover the whole life cycle of the weapon systems development from the concept development to the operation. The modeling results for the PBL process yield an useful suggestion for improvement. Also, by analyzing the interrelationship model between the PBL process and the integrated logistics support (ILS) procedure, it is possible to take advantage of the PBL concept in the ILS elements development, which is usually carried out from the beginning of the development phase, a lot earlier than the operational phase. Note that the PBL concept has been restrictively applied in only the supply support among many ILS elements up until now. However, the results obtained in the paper can make it also possible to consider the availability, reliability, logistics support, cost and so on from the early phase of the weapon systems development.

The Spillover Effect of Public Hosing Policy on Rental Housing Market: The Case of Seoul, Korea (공공임대주택이 주변 전세시장에 미치는 효과: 서울시 장기전세주택(SHIFT)의 경우)

  • Yang, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.405-418
    • /
    • 2017
  • SHIFT is public rental housing policy introduced by Seoul Metropolitan in 2007, which works as Chonsei(korean unique deposit rental system). This paper examines the effect of SHIFT on Chonsei prices of neighborhood apartments. To estimate the change in prices of Chonsei after the provision of SHIFT, I collect data on Chonsei prices of apartments within a 5km radius from the SHIFT housings. Summary of main results are following. Chonsei prices of the apartments within a 2-3km radius decreased by 4.4% after the provision of SHIFT housings. In contrast, when it comes to apartments within a 1-2km radius, I can't find the stochastic relationship between the provision of SHIFT hosing and price changes. This results can be explained by "Offset effects" caused by real estate development. Provision of SHIFT can sequentially induce nearby area's development, which plays a factor in the effect of price increases. And this offset effects varies in each apartment complex depending on demand for Chonsei and supply of the SHIFT.

A Mixed Approach for Single-Vendor-Single-Buyer Production Inventory Integration Problem (판매자-구매자 생산-재고통합 문제를 위한 Mixed Approach)

  • Lee, Dongju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.39 no.4
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 2016
  • Unlike most researches that focus on single manufacturer or single buyer, this research studies the cooperation policy for two participants of supply chain such as single vendor and single buyer. Especially, this paper deals with single vendor-single buyer integrated-production inventory problem. If the buyer orders products, then the vendor will start to make products and then the products will be shipped from the vendor to the buyer many times. The buyer is supposed to order again when the buyer's inventory level hits reorder point during the last shipment and this cycle keeps repeated. The buyer uses continuous review inventory policy and customer's demand is assumed to be probabilistic. The contribution of this paper is to present a mixed approach and derive its cost function. The existing policy assumes that the size of shipping batch from single vendor to single buyer is increasing, called Type 1, or constant, called Type 2. In mixed approach, the size of shipping batch is increasing at the beginning part of the cycle, and then its size is constant at the ending part of the cycle. The number of shipping for Type 1 and Type 2 in a cycle in mixed approach is determined to minimize total cost. The relationship between parameters, for example, the holding cost per product, the set up cost per order, and the shortage cost per item and decision variables such as order quantity, safety factor, the number of shipments, and shipment increasing factor is figured out via sensitivity analysis. Finally, it is statistically proved that the mixed approach is superior to the existing approaches.

An Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Parallel Reimportation: The Case of Korean Automobile Market (재병행수입의 경제적 효과 분석: 자동차산업을 중심으로)

  • Chang, Woo Hyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.71-102
    • /
    • 2014
  • This paper examines the possibility of 'parallel reimportation', the reimportation of goods originally produced in the country and exported to another country by profit-pursuing arbitrageurs. The chance of parallel reimportation implies unusually high level of market power of domestic enterprises, and promoting parallel reimportation can be an effective welfare-enhancing, competition-generating policy for the situation. Motivated by the finding, this paper proposes a methodology to measure the welfare effects of parallel reimportation. Specifically, this paper makes use of a structural empirical model to estimate the demand and supply system of Korean automobile market for performing a counterfactual experiment to measure the welfare effects of the parallel reimportation. The results indicates that parallel reimportation can enhance social welfare considerably by increasing consumer surplus and government tax revenue altogether, though it reduces the producer surplus.

  • PDF

Simulation of Virtual Marionette with 3D Animation Data (3D Animation Data를 활용한 가상 Marionette 시뮬레이션)

  • Oh, Eui-Sang;Sung, Jung-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.9 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2009
  • A doll created by various materials is a miniature based on human model, and it has been one of components in a puppet show to take some responsibility for human's culture activity. However, demand and supply keeps on the decrease in the puppet show industry, since professional puppeteer has been reduced rapidly, and also it is difficult to initiate into the skill. Therefore, many studies related Robotic Marionette for automation of puppet show have been internationally accompanied, and more efficient structure design and process development are required for better movement and express of puppet with motor based controller. In this research, we suggest the effective way to enable to express the marionette's motion using motion data based on motion capture and 3D graphic program, and through applying of 3D motion data and proposal of simulation process, it will be useful to save time and expenses when the Robotic Marionette System is practically built.

Short-term Power Load Forecasting using Time Pattern for u-City Application (u-City응용에서의 시간 패턴을 이용한 단기 전력 부하 예측)

  • Park, Seong-Seung;Shon, Ho-Sun;Lee, Dong-Gyu;Ji, Eun-Mi;Kim, Hi-Seok;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.177-181
    • /
    • 2009
  • Developing u-Public facilities for application u-City is to combine both the state-of-the art of the construction and ubiquitous computing and must be flexibly comprised of the facilities for the basic service of the building such as air conditioning, heating, lighting and electric equipments to materialize a new format of spatial planning and the public facilities inside or outside. Accordingly, in this paper we suggested the time pattern system for predicting the most basic power system loads for the basic service. To application the tim e pattern we applied SOM algorithm and k-means method and then clustered the data each weekday and each time respectively. The performance evaluation results of suggestion system showed that the forecasting system better the ARIMA model than the exponential smoothing method. It has been assumed that the plan for power supply depending on demand and system operation could be performed efficiently by means of using such power load forecasting.

  • PDF