• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-Supply Model

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Developing Wastepaper Demand-Supply Model and Policy Measures to Increase Wastepaper Recycling Rate (폐지시장(廢紙市場)의 수요(需要)·공급(供給) 모델의 개발(開發)과 회수율(回收率) 제고방안(提高方案))

  • Choi, Kwan;Han, Sang-Yoel
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.2
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    • pp.133-147
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    • 1994
  • Wastepaper recycling has significant implications not only in providing scarce raw material input for the paper industry but in environmental concerns such as reducing solid waste disposal, energy conservation and preservation of forest resources. The objectives of this study was (1) to develop an econometric model of demand for and supply of wastepaper, (2) to forecast wastepaper consumption and price to the year 2000 applying the econometric models estimated and (3) to estimate the elasticity of variables which are included in the wastepaper supply and demand equations. In this study wastepaper was classified into three groups, old newsprint, old corrugated and mixed For each group such as demand and supply equation were estimated. The demand equations were estimated as a function of paper and paper product consumption and wholesale price index and supply equations as a function of wastepaper price, one year lagged paper and paperproduct consumption and transportation price. Applying the econometric models to forcasting results in the future consumption and supply of wastepaper projected as 11.645 million MT and 7.396 million MT in 2000, respectively. The rate of wastepaper self-supply is forcasted about 63.5% in 2000. Especially, the rate of old neswprint self-supply is predicted about 16% which means about 2.2 million MT of old newsprint should be imported from foreign countries. Lastly, some policy measures to promote wastepaper recycling rate based upon economic and physical characteristics of wastepaper and market structure are suggested.

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Development of Water Demand Forecasting Simulator and Performance Evaluation (단기 물 수요예측 시뮬레이터 개발과 예측 알고리즘 성능평가)

  • Shin, Gang-Wook;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Yang, Jae-Rheen;Hong, Sung-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2011
  • Generally, treated water or raw water is transported into storage reservoirs which are receiving facilities of local governments from multi-regional water supply systems. A water supply control and operation center is operated not only to manage the water facilities more economically and efficiently but also to mitigate the shortage of water resources due to the increase in water consumption. To achieve the goal, important information such as the flow-rate in the systems, water levels of storage reservoirs or tanks, and pump-operation schedule should be considered based on the resonable water demand forecasting. However, it is difficult to acquire the pattern of water demand used in local government, since the operating information is not shared between multi-regional and local water systems. The pattern of water demand is irregular and unpredictable. Also, additional changes such as an abrupt accident and frequent changes of electric power rates could occur. Consequently, it is not easy to forecast accurate water demands. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a short-term water demands forecasting and to develop an application of the forecasting models. In this study, the forecasting simulator for water demand is developed based on mathematical and neural network methods as linear and non-linear models to implement the optimal water demands forecasting. It is shown that MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptron) and ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) can be applied to obtain better forecasting results in multi-regional water supply systems with a large scale and local water supply systems with small or medium scale than conventional methods, respectively.

Coordinated Inventory Model for the Joint Replenishment Supply Chain (공동 납품 사슬에서의 재고관리 모형)

  • Lee Kyung-Keun;Moon Il-Kyeong;Song Jae-Bok;Ryu Si-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2006
  • We consider an integrated supply chain model in which multiple suppliers replenish items for a single buyer's demand. Also the buyer specifies a basic replenishment cycle and the suppliers replenish the items only at those time intervals. Namely, we propose a model to study and analyze the benefit by coordinating supply chain inventories through the basic replenishment cycle time. The objective of this model is to minimize the total relevant annual cost of the integrated inventory model. After developing proposed coordinated models, we suggest heuristics for searching the solutions of our models. Finally, numerical and computational experiments for each policy are carried out to evaluate the benefits of those models and the compensation policy is addressed to share the benefits.

Supply-Driven Strategies Model for Resource Management in Grid Environment (그리드 환경에서의 효율적인 자원 관리를 위한 공급-조정 전략 모델)

  • Ma Yong-Beom;Lee Jong-Sik;Cho Kyu-Cheol;Kim In-Hee;Jang Sung-Ho;Park Da-Hye
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2005
  • Recently, Grid is embossed as a new issue according to the need of cooperation related to distributed resources, data sharing, Interaction and so on. It focuses on sharing of large scale resources, high-performance, applications of new paradigms, which improved more than established distributed computing. Because of the environmental specificity distributed geographically and dynamic, the most important problem in grid environment is to share and to allocate distributed grid resources. This paper proposes supply-driven strategies model that is applicable for resource management in grid environment and presents a optimal resource allocation algorithm based on resource demands. Supply-driven strategies model can offer efficient resource management by transaction allocation based on user demand and provider strategy. This paper implements the supply-driven strategies model on the DEVS modeling and simulation environment and shows the efficiency and excellency of this model by comparing with established models.

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A Study on the Application of the Two Step Supply System of Public Rental Housing - Focused on the cases of SI housing with skeleton rental in Japan - (공공임대주택의 2단계 공급방식 적용 방안에 관한 연구 - 일본 스켈레톤 임대형 SI주택 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Yong-Kyu;Park, Ji-Young
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.35 no.7
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, there has been a demand for a residential supply model that can actively and flexibly cope with various housing demands in the changing paradigm of public rental housing. This study focuses on the two-step supply system that has been studied in Japan. It was used to examine and analyze cases to recommend a supply plan that can be used for domestic public rental housing. In more detail, the literature review of the two-step supply system discloses that four types by supply methods (A-1, A-2, B-2, and C-2) and four types of relationship (construction and management combine entities type, management entity type, construction entity type, a separated entity type) can be categorized. In addition, from the actual case study, it revealed that the way of linking and supplying activities among the entity can have a great influence on "ease of supply (supply)", "diversity of housing demand (diversity)," and "quality of construction (construction)". "Ease of supply (supply)" refers to whether the construction entity is separated, and the owner is a manager. "Diversity" refers to whether the management subject is separated, and if the owner is also the constructor or the manager. "Construction" is whether the management entity is connected and managed by the management entity and can be evaluated in "Good", "Middle", and "Bad" level. As a summary, even if the existing public rental housing in Korea can be separated into a skeleton and infill system, the result suggested that it has a limitation on response to residential demand. In addition, the paper was able to propose an improved plan to make the infill as a secondary operator.

A Study on Car Ownership Forecasting Model using Category Analysis at High Density Mixed Use District in Subway Area

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2011
  • The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

Development and Application of Water Balance Network Model in Agricultural Watershed (농업용수 유역 물수지 분석 모델 개발 및 적용)

  • Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Nam, Won-Ho;Koh, Bo-Sung;Kim, Kyung-Mo;Jo, Young-Jun;Park, Jin-Hyeon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2024
  • To effectively implement the integrated water management policy outlined in the National Water Management Act, it is essential to analyze agricultural water supply and demand at both basin and water district levels. Currently, agricultural water is primarily distributed through open canal systems and controlled by floodgates, yet the utilization-to-supply ratio remains at a mere 48%. In the case of agricultural water, when analyzing water balance through existing national basin water resource models (K-WEAP, K-MODISM), distortion of supply and regression occurs due to calculation of regression rate based on the concept of net water consumption. In addition, by simplifying the complex and diverse agricultural water supply system within the basin into a single virtual reservoir, it is difficult to analyze the surplus or shortage of agricultural water for each field within the basin. There are limitations in reflecting the characteristics and actual sites of rural water areas, such as inconsistencies with river and reservoir supply priority sites. This study focuses on the development of a model aimed at improving the deficiencies of current water balance analysis methods. The developed model aims to provide standardized water balance analysis nationwide, with initial application to the Anseo standard watershed. Utilizing data from 32 facilities within the standard watershed, the study conducted water balance analysis through watershed linkage, highlighting differences and improvements compared to existing methods.

Optimal Revenue Sharing in a Supply Chain of Rental Industries (대여산업 공급사슬의 최적 수입공유모형)

  • Park, Hae-Churl;Cho, Jae-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2009
  • It is often to apply revenue sharing models in rental industries which consist of a retailer and a wholesaler. This research analyzed the influences to profit of the supply chain if we adopt the revenue sharing model when the demand is uncertain and price sensitive. We found the conditions of the revenue sharing model to maximize the profit of the supply chain, and identified incentive compatible conditions for revenue sharing. It is proved that vertical integration guarantees maximization of profit for the supply chain. Also we found that it is possible to derive Incentive compatible schemes by controlling ranges of revenue sharing ratios.

Social Distancing, Labor Supply, and Income Distribution

  • CHO, DUKSANG
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2021
  • The effects of social distancing measures on income distributions and aggregate variables are examined with an off-the-shelf heterogeneous-agent incomplete-market model. The model shows that social distancing measures, which limit households' labor supply, can decrease the labor supply of low-income households who hold insufficient assets and need income the most given their borrowing constraints. Social distancing measures can therefore exacerbate income inequality by lowering the incomes of the poor. An equilibrium interest rate can fall when the social distancing shock is expected to be persistent because households save more to prepare for rising consumption volatility given the possibility of binding to the labor supply constraint over time. When the shock is expected to be transitory, in contrast, the interest rate can rise upon the arrival of the shock because constrained households choose to borrow more to smooth consumption given the expectation that the shock will fade away. The model also shows that social distancing shocks, which diminish households' consumption demand, can decrease households' incomes evenly for every income quantile, having a limited impact on income inequality.

Monthly Hanwoo supply and forecasting models

  • Hyungwoo, Lee;Seonu, Ji;Tongjoo, Suh
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.797-806
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    • 2021
  • As the number of scaled-up ranches increased and agile responses to market changes became possible, decision-making by Hanwoo cattle farms also began to affect short-term shipments. Considering the changing environment of the Hanwoo supply market and the response speed of producers, it is necessary quickly to grasp the forecast ahead of time and to respond accordingly in an effort to stabilize supply and demand in the Hanwoo market. In this study, short-term forecasting model centered on the supply of Hanwoo was established. The analysis conducted here indicates that the slaughter of Hanwoo males increases by 0.248 as the number of beef cattle raised over 29 months of age in the previous month increases by one, and 0.764 Hanwoo females were slaughtered under average conditions for every Hanwoo male slaughtered. With regard to time, the slaughtering of Hanwoo was higher in January and August, which are months known for holiday food preparation activities for the New Year and Chuseok in Korea, respectively. Simulations indicated that errors were within 10% in all simulations performed through the Hanwoo supply model. Accordingly, it is considered that the estimation results from the supply model devised in this study are reliable and that the model has good structural stability.