• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand sensitivity

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Generator Scheduling Considering System's Reliability and Demand Response (시스템의 신뢰도와 수요 반응을 고려한 발전 운영)

  • Kwag, Hyung-Geun;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.929-935
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    • 2011
  • Customers hardly change to electric prices in old days because electricity is essential commodity, while demand changes with price after deregulation. It's explained by price-based demand response with demand-elasticity matrix. Also all of the customers have had identical demand-price elasticity matrix till now. But in a practical power system, various customers are present with taking a variety of demand-price elasticity. Therefore this paper proposes demand-price sensitivity to represent different demand-price elasticity. Also as proposing demand-reliability sensitivity, it is modeling various customers' characteristics to reliability. And then this paper calculates total expected interruption cost of customer from the customer interruption cost and the demand-reliability sensitivity. A total expected interruption cost of system is shown as opportunity cost of a generation cost.

Sensitivity Analysis of Temperature on Special Day Electricity Demand in Jeju Island (제주도의 특수일 전력수요에 대한 기온 민감도 분석)

  • Jo, Se-Won;Park, Rae-Jun;Kim, Kyeong-Hwan;Kwon, Bo-Sung;Song, Kyung-Bin;Park, Jeong-Do;Park, Hae-Su
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.8
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    • pp.1019-1023
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    • 2018
  • In this paper sensitivity analysis of temperature on special day electricity demand of land and Jeju Island is performed. The basic electricity demand per 3 hours is defined as electricity demand that reflects the GDP effect without the temperature influence. The temperature sensitivity per 3 hours is calculated through the relationship between special day electricity demand normalized to basic electricity demand and temperature. In the future, forecast error will be improved if the temperature sensitivity per 3 hours is applied to the special day load forecasting.

Sensitivity Analysis of the Power System Considering the Load Power Factor While using Direct Load Control (부하 역률을 고려한 직접부하제어 실행시 계통의 민감도 분석)

  • Chae, Myeong-Suk
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.333-336
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the power load is growing larger and because of the environmental limitation of generation, the expansion of generation facilities are becoming more difficult. For that reason the importance of the demand-side resources come to be higher. One method of the demand-side resource, the DLC Program, has executed, and moreover, the loads which are available to be controlled are increasing. It should be considered of some kinds of power system components such as DLCs, because the fact that using the demand resources will be an important part of the power system. This paper considers the power factor of the load-bus which is shedded in the direct load control program. and then analyze the power system using flow sensitivity and voltage sensitivity. In this paper, we assumed two scenarios through the rank of the load power factor at each bus and to compare and evaluate each case, we used Power World for the simulation.

Development of Short-Term Load Forecasting Algorithm Using Hourly Temperature (시간대별 기온을 이용한 전력수요예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 2014
  • Short-term load forecasting(STLF) for electric power demand is essential for stable power system operation and efficient power market operation. We improved STLF method by using hourly temperature as an input data. In order to using hourly temperature to STLF algorithm, we calculated temperature-electric power demand sensitivity through past actual data and combined this sensitivity to exponential smoothing method which is one of the STLF method. The proposed method is verified by case study for a week. The result of case study shows that the average percentage errors of the proposed load forecasting method are improved comparing with errors of the previous methods.

Rejection Sensitivity and Dysfunctional Communication Patterns of Serial Arguing (거절 민감성과 연속적 언쟁의 역기능적 의사소통)

  • Lee, Sangeun;Roloff, Michael E.
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.247-261
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    • 2019
  • Demand/withdraw communication is an important dysfunctional pattern of serial arguing. This study aims at addressing factors that affect the ways in which self-demand/partner-withdraw pattern increases the likelihood of persistence of serial arguing. We posit that sensitivity to rejection is positively related to the degree to which individuals perceive a partners' behavior as generally disconfirming, which is positively related to enactment of self-demand/partner-withdraw during an argumentative episode. This sequence is positively related to perception of arguments as unresolved. In addition, among those who reported their argument was resolved, this sequence is positively related to the likelihood that the argument is resolved without mutual agreement. Serial mediation analysis confirmed that the likelihood of resolution without mutual agreement were positively associated with rejection sensitivity partially because high RS individuals are likely to perceive their partner to be generally disconfirming and to enact self-demand/partner-withdraw communication during the episode. However, this pattern did not apply to perception of the argument as resolved.

Optimal Network Design Using Sensitivity Analysis for Variable Demand Network Equilibrium (가변수요 통행배정의 민감도 분석을 통한 최적가로망 설계)

  • 권용석;박병정;이성모
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2001
  • The conventional studies on equilibrium network design problem(ENDP) with fixed travel demand models assume that the future OD travel demand might not be changed even if the structure and the capacity of the network are improved. But this fixed demand assumption may loose its validity in the long-range network design because OD travel demand actually shifts with the network service level. Thus, it is desirable to involve the variable travel demand which is determined endogenously in the model in the optimal network design. In this paper a hi-level model formulation and solution procedure for ENDP with variable travel demand are presented. Firstly It is considered how to measure the net user benefits to be derived from the improved in link capacities, and the equilibrium network design problem considered here is to maximize the increase of net user benefit which results from a set of lift capacity enhancements within the budget constraints, while the OD travel demands and link travel times are obtained by solving the lower level network equilibrium problem with variable demand. And secondly sensitivity analysis is carried out to find the links to which the network equilibrium flow pattern is the most sensitive. Finally numerical example with simple network is carried out to test the validity of the model.

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Sensitivity Analysis for Production Planning Problems with Backlogging

  • Lee, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.5-20
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    • 1987
  • This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for a deterministic multi-period production and inventory model. The model assumes a piecewise linear cost structure, but permits backlogging of unsatisfied demand. Our approach to sensitivity analysis here can be divided into two basic steps; (1) to find the optimal production policy through a forward dynamic programming algorithm similar to the backward version of Zangwill [1966] and (2) to apply the penalty network approach by the author [1986] in order to derive sensitivity ranges for various model parameters. Computational aspects are discussed and topics of further research are suggested.

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Sensitivity Analysis for Joint Pricing and Lot-sizing Model with Price Dependent Demand under Day terms Supplier Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.270-276
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we analyze the buyer's joint pricing and lot-sizing model in a two-stage supply chain consisting of the supplier, the buyer and the customer. It is assumed that the supplier will permit a certain fixed period for settling the amount the buyer owes to him for the items supplied in order to stimulate the demand for the product. Generally, credit transactions would have a positive effect to the buyer. The availability of credit transactions from the supplier effectively reduces the cost of holding stocks for the buyer and therefore, the buyer has a lot of price options to choose his sales price for a customer in anticipation of increased the customer's demand and, as a result, it will appear to increase the buyer's inventory levels. On the other hand, in the case of decaying products in which their utility decay over time, the decaying rate with time may be expected to reduce inventory levels. In this regard, we need to analyze how much the length of credit period and the decaying rate affect the buyer's pricing and lot-sizing policy. For the analysis, we consider the situation where the customer's demand is represented as a linearly decreasing function of the buyer's sales price. From this perspective, we formulate the buyer's annual net profit and analyze the effect of the length of credit period and decaying rate of the product on the buyer's inventory policy numerically.

Sensitivity Analysis of the Power System Considering the Load Power Factor While using Direct Load Control (부하 역률을 고려한 직접부하제어 실행시 계통의 민감도 분석)

  • Choo, Sung-Ho;Lee, Joo-Won;Chae, Myung-Suk;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.235-236
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the power load is growing larger and because of the environmental limitation of generation, the expansion of generation facilities are becoming more difficult. For that reason the importance of the demand-side resources come to be higher. One method of the demand-side resource, the DLC Program, has executed, and moreover, the loads which are available to be controlled are increasing. It should be considered of some kinds of power system components such as DLCs, because the fact that using the demand resources will be an important part of the power system. This paper considers the power factor of the load-bus which is shedded in the direct load control program. and then analyze the power system using flow sensitivity and voltage sensitivity. In this paper, we assumed two scenarios through the rank of the load power factor at each bus and to compare and evaluate each case, we used Power World for the simulation.

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AN ORDER LEVEL INVENTORY MODEL FOR PERISHABLE SEASONAL PRODUCTS WITH DEMAND FLUCTUATION

  • Panda, S.;Basu, M.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.26 no.3_4
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    • pp.615-625
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    • 2008
  • A single item order level inventory model for perishable products is considered in which a constant fraction of on hand inventory spoils per unit time. Demand linearly depends on time. The fluctuation of demand is taken into account to determine minimum total cost of the system. Both discrete and continuous fluctuations are considered. The model is developed and solved analytically for infinite time horizon. A numerical example is presented for finite time horizon. Sensitivity analysis of the model is carried out.

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