• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand rate

Search Result 2,116, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Supply models for stability of supply-demand in the Korean pork market

  • Chunghyeon, Kim;Hyungwoo, Lee ;Tongjoo, Suh
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.49 no.3
    • /
    • pp.679-690
    • /
    • 2022
  • As the supply and demand of pork has become a significant concern in Korea, controlling it has become a critical challenge for the industry. However, compared to the demand for pork, which has relatively stable consumption, it is not easy to maintain a stable supply. As the preparation of measures for a supply-demand crisis response and supply control in the pig industry has emerged as an important task, it has become necessary to establish a stable supply model and create an appropriate manual. In this study, a pork supply prediction model is constructed using reported data from the pig traceability system. Based on the derived results, a method for determining the supply-demand crisis stage using a statistical approach was proposed. From the results of the analysis, working days, African swine fever, heat wave, and Covid-19 were shown to affect the number of pigs graded in the market. A test of the performance of the model showed that both in-sample error rate and out-sample error rate were between 0.3 - 7.6%, indicating a high level of predictive power. Applying the forecast, the distribution of the confidence interval of the predicted value was established, and the supply crisis stage was identified, evaluating supply-demand conditions.

A Study on Problems and Improvement in Statistics on Fisheries Supply and Demand (수산물 수급통계의 문제점과 개선방향)

  • Kang, Jong-Ho
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.47 no.4
    • /
    • pp.57-63
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to raise some questions about the supply and demand statistics of fisheries products and to find implications for food supply and demand. There are three problems in the statistics of fisheries supply and demand. First, it is a structural problem of supply and demand statistics. Supply and demand statistics are not accurate because the feed, the amount of loss, and the waste rate are not surveyed. Second, the amount of fish used as a moist pellet is missing. Third, although some of the seaweed and kelp production is used as abalone feed, it is not classified as feed. Taking these results into consideration, at least 300,000 tons should be classified as feed for fisheries supply and demand statistics. As mentioned above, the current statistics on the supply and demand of fisheries are incomplete and structural improvement is needed.

Analysis of the Recall Demand Pattern of Imported Cars and Application of ARIMA Demand Forecasting Model (수입자동차 리콜 수요패턴 분석과 ARIMA 수요 예측모형의 적용)

  • Jeong, Sangcheon;Park, Sohyun;Kim, Seungchul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.43 no.4
    • /
    • pp.93-106
    • /
    • 2020
  • This research explores how imported automobile companies can develop their strategies to improve the outcome of their recalls. For this, the researchers analyzed patterns of recall demand, classified recall types based on the demand patterns and examined response strategies, considering plans on how to procure parts and induce customers to visit workshops, recall execution capacity and costs. As a result, recalls are classified into four types: U-type, reverse U-type, L- type and reverse L-type. Also, as determinants of the types, the following factors are further categorized into four types and 12 sub-types of recalls: the height of maximum demand, which indicates the volatility of recall demand; the number of peaks, which are the patterns of demand variations; and the tail length of the demand curve, which indicates the speed of recalls. The classification resulted in the following: L-type, or customer-driven recall, is the most common type of recalls, taking up 25 out of the total 36 cases, followed by five U-type, four reverse L-type, and two reverse U-type cases. Prior studies show that the types of recalls are determined by factors influencing recall execution rates: severity, the number of cars to be recalled, recall execution rate, government policies, time since model launch, and recall costs, etc. As a component demand forecast model for automobile recalls, this study estimated the ARIMA model. ARIMA models were shown in three models: ARIMA (1,0,0), ARIMA (0,0,1) and ARIMA (0,0,0). These all three ARIMA models appear to be significant for all recall patterns, indicating that the ARIMA model is very valid as a predictive model for car recall patterns. Based on the classification of recall types, we drew some strategic implications for recall response according to types of recalls. The conclusion section of this research suggests the implications for several aspects: how to improve the recall outcome (execution rate), customer satisfaction, brand image, recall costs, and response to the regulatory authority.

Driving Force of Inverse Electron Demand Diels-Alder Reactions of Diphenyl Tetrazines

  • Kim, Yeil;Song, Suhwan;Sim, Eunji
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
    • /
    • 2017.03a
    • /
    • pp.128-131
    • /
    • 2017
  • We explore the inverse electron demand Diels-Alder reactions of tetrazines with various functional groups employing quantum calculations. In general, the rate of inverse electron demand Diels-Alder reaction depends on molecular orbital levels of electron donor and electron acceptor. Likewise, ${\pi}$ orbital of the dienophile and ${\pi}^*$ orbital of the diene is a key factor. In this work, we discuss the case where the energy of diene's ${\pi}^*$ molecular orbital is not the sole governing factor to determine the reaction rate, rather the rate shows strong correlation with the charge density of dienes.

  • PDF

A Study on Utilization Plans of Regional Trunk Rail Route (지역철도이용 활성화방안 연구)

  • Yang, Jun-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2011.10a
    • /
    • pp.3289-3298
    • /
    • 2011
  • The region trunk line railroad route considering regional characters is the final aim of railroad management to operators and passengers. For reflecting these aspect to make policies, The study has been performed by defining and analyzing the informations. According to the methodological and political research, First of all, The feature for demand and supply of railroad in the region trunk line railroad route is that demand aspect was excessively influenced by supply aspect. The demand sensitivity was measured very high on the supply changes. The survey, Containing the regional characters, result the railway and bus use patterns are clearly different and this feature is simiral to that of janghang and pohang district. also, In railroad case, Demand shifts from railroad to other transport sensitively. Therefore, We make some new index besides existing index, which like to management index, rate of boarding, rate of using. After that, We suggest passengers and operator's win-win alternatives.

  • PDF

발전용 천연가스 일일수요 예측 모형 연구-평일수요를 중심으로

  • Jeong, Hui-Yeop;Park, Ho-Jeong
    • Bulletin of the Korea Photovoltaic Society
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.45-53
    • /
    • 2018
  • Natural gas demand for power generation continued to increase until 2013 due to the expansion of large-scale LNG power plants after the black-out of 2011. However, natural gas demand for power generation has decreased sharply due to the increase of nuclear power and coal power generation. But demand for power generation has increased again as energy policies have changed, such as reducing nuclear power and coal power plants, and abnormal high temperatures and cold waves have occurred. If the gas pipeline pressure can be properly maintained by predicting these fluctuations, it can contribute to enhancement of operation efficiency by minimizing the operation time of facilities required for production and supply. In this study, we have developed a regression model with daily power demand and base power generation capacity as explanatory variables considering characteristics by day of week. The model was constructed using data from January 2013 to December 2016, and it was confirmed that the error rate was 4.12% and the error rate in the 90th percentile was below 8.85%.

  • PDF

Demand Pattern of the Global Passengers: Sea and Air Transport (글로벌 여객의 해상과 항공운송에 대한 수요패턴)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2011
  • The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of exchange rate and economic business activity on the passengers' demand for international transportation. The demand pattern depends upon the transport vehicles that the global passengers take. The global passengers' demand for transportation is modelled as exchange rate, industrial production and seasonal dummy variables. The seasonality is found in both water and air, but the former is far greater than the latter. All series span the period January 1990 to December 2008. The empirical results of this paper reveal that the income elasticity of sea transport is greater than that of air one, all of which are positive. The study also shows that the exchange rate has an significant impact on the demand for air transport, whereas it is insignificant in water transport. The impulse response function indicates that passengers increase steadily before peaking seven to eight months after the shocks to economic business activity and decline very slowly to its pre-shock level. The air passengers also respond negatively to the shocks in exchange rate and the impacts of exchange rate shock seem to decrease relatively slowly, while the water passengers respond positively after six months. The industrial production shocks remain above equilibrium for more than twenty four months, while the exchange rate shocks remain below equilibrium for more than twenty four months. Boosted by improved economic conditions worldwide, international tourism has recovered faster than expected from the impacts of the global financial crisis and economic recession of late 2008 and 2009. These facts suggest that the demand of global water transport has the high possibility of growing steadily and continuously.

A Buffer Management Scheme to Maximize the Utilization of System Resources for Variable Bit Rate Video-On-Demand Servers (가변 비트율 주문형 비디오 서버에서 자원 활용률을 높이기 위한 버퍼 관리 기법)

  • Kim Soon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2004
  • Video-On-Demand servers use compression techniques to reduce the storage and bandwidth requirements. The compression techniques make the bit rates of compressed video data significantly variable from frame to frame. Consequently, Video-On-Demand servers with a constant bit rate retrieval can not maximize the utilization of resources. It is possible that when variable bit rate video data is stored, accurate description of the bit rate changes could be computed a priori. In this paper, I propose a buffer management scheme called MAX for Video-On-Demand server using variable bit rate continuous media. By caching and prefetching the data, MAX buffer management scheme reduces the variation of the compressed data and increases the number of clients simultaneously served and maximizes the utilization of system resources. Results of trace-driven simulations show the effectiveness of the scheme.

  • PDF

Dynamic Scheme Transition for On-Demand Video Streaming Adaptable to Variable Client Request Rate (다양한 클라이언트 요청율에 적용가능한 주문형 비디오 스트리밍을 위한 동적 스킴 트랜지션 기법)

  • Kim Hyun-Joo;Yeom Heon-Young
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.149-159
    • /
    • 2006
  • To provide on-demand video streaming services through the network, video objects with both high and low client request rates should be served efficiently. In this paper, we propose a dynamic on-demand streaming approach for providing services efficiently regardless of the client request rate. This approach can maintain QoS by transitioning the service scheme according to the request rate. The server provides services by the Heuristic broadcasting approach when the client request rate is low and by Striping broadcast, one of many Periodic broadcast approaches, when the client request rate is high. The server knows the variations of client request rates by the number of service channels and decides the transition to more efficient service schemes on its own. We simulated this scheme transition with various client request intervals and traces from a company providing streaming services. The results show that the performance of our approach is reasonable.

Energy and Air Quality Benefits of DCV with Wireless Sensor Network in Underground Parking Lots

  • Cho, Hong-Jae;Jeong, Jae-Weon
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-165
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study measured and compared the variation of ventilation rate and fan energy consumption according to various control strategies after installing wireless sensor-based pilot ventilation system in order to verify the applicability of demand-controlled ventilation (DCV) strategy that was efficient ventilation control strategy for underground parking lot. The underground parking lot pilot ventilation system controlled the ventilation rate by directly or indirectly tracking the traffic load in real-time after sensing data, using vehicle detection sensors and carbon monoxide (CO) and carbon dioxide ($CO_2$) sensor. The ventilation system has operated for 9 hours per a day. It responded real-time data every 10 minutes, providing ventilation rate in conformance with the input traffic load or contaminant level at that time. A ventilation rate of pilot ventilation system can be controlled at 8 levels. The reason is that a ventilation unit consists of 8 high-speed nozzle jet fans. This study proposed vehicle detection sensor based demand-controlled ventilation (VDS-DCV) strategy that would accurately trace direct traffic load and CO sensor based demand-controlled ventilation (CO-DCV) strategy that would indirectly estimate traffic load through the concentration of contaminants. In order to apply DCV strategy based on real-time traffic load, the minimum required ventilation rate per a single vehicle was applied. It was derived through the design ventilation rate and total parking capacity in the underground parking lot. This is because current ventilation standard established per unit floor area or unit volume of the space made it difficult to apply DCV strategy according to the real-time variation of traffic load. According to the results in this study, two DCV strategies in the underground parking lot are considered to be a good alternative approach that satisfies both energy saving and healthy indoor environment in comparison with the conventional control strategies.