• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand prediction algorithm

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A Study on the UI Design Method for Monitoring AI-Based Demand Prediction Algorithm (AI 기반 수요예측알고리즘 모니터링 UI 디자인 방안 연구)

  • Im, So-Yeon;Lee, Hyo-won;Kim, seong-Ho;Lee, Seung-jun;Lee, Young-woo;Park, Cheol-woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.447-449
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    • 2022
  • This study was based on Android, one of the representative mobile platforms with the characteristics of connecting to the network anytime, anywhere and flexible mobility. In addition, using a demand prediction algorithm that can know the data of defective products based on AI, we will study the real-time monitoring UI design method based on Android studio with demand prediction data and company time series data.

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Development of Daily Peak Power Demand Forecasting Algorithm with Hybrid Type composed of AR and Neuro-Fuzzy Model (자기회귀모델과 뉴로-퍼지모델로 구성된 하이브리드형태의 일별 최대 전력 수요예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Yong-San;Ji, Pyeong-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.63 no.3
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    • pp.189-194
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    • 2014
  • Due to the increasing of power consumption, it is difficult to construct accurate prediction model for daily peak power demand. It is very important work to know power demand in next day for manager and control power system. In this research, we develop a daily peak power demand prediction method based on hybrid type composed of AR and Neuro-Fuzzy model. Using data sets between 2006 and 2010 in Korea, the proposed method has been intensively tested. As the prediction results, we confirm that the proposed method makes it possible to effective estimate daily peak power demand than conventional methods.

Development of Daily Peak Power Demand Forecasting Algorithm Considering of Characteristics of Day of Week (요일 특성을 고려한 일별 최대 전력 수요예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Ji, Pyeong-Shik;Lim, Jae-Yoon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.307-311
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    • 2014
  • Due to the increasing of power consumption, it is difficult to construct accurate prediction model for daily peak power demand. It is very important work to know power demand in next day for manager and control power system. In this research, we develop a daily peak power demand prediction method considering of characteristics of day of week. The proposed method is composed of liner model based on AR model and nonlinear model based on ELM to resolve the limitation of a single model. Using data sets between 2006 and 2010 in Korea, the proposed method has been intensively tested. As the prediction results, we confirm that the proposed method makes it possible to effective estimate daily peak power demand than conventional methods.

Development of Daily Peak Power Demand Forecasting Algorithm using ELM (ELM을 이용한 일별 최대 전력 수요 예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Ji, Pyeong-Shik;Kim, Sang-Kyu;Lim, Jae-Yoon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.169-174
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    • 2013
  • Due to the increase of power consumption, it is difficult to construct an accurate prediction model for daily peak power demand. It is very important work to know power demand in next day to manage and control power system. In this research, we develop a daily peak power demand prediction method based on Extreme Learning Machine(ELM) with fast learning procedure. Using data sets between 2006 and 2010 in Korea, the proposed method has been intensively tested. As the prediction results, we confirm that the proposed method makes it possible to effective estimate daily peak power demand than conventional methods.

DEVELOPMENT OF A MAXIMUM DEMAND CONTROLLER USING FUZZY LOGIC (퍼지로직 알고리즘을 이용한 최대수요전력 제어기의 개발)

  • Han, Hong-Seok;Chung, Kee-Chul;Seong, Ki-Chul;Yoon, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.07b
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    • pp.778-780
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    • 1996
  • The predictive maximum demand controllers often bring about large number of control actions during the every integrating period and/or undesirable load-disconnecting operations during the begining stage if the integrating period. To solve these problems, a fuzzy predictive maximum demand control algorithm is proposed, which determines the sensitivity if control action by urgency if the load interrupting action along with the predicted demand reading to the target or the time arriving at the end stage if the integrating period. A prototype controller employing the proposed algorithm also is developed and its performances are tested by PROCOM SYSTEMS Corperation of Korea.

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Stochastic Real-time Demand Prediction for Building and Charging and Discharging Technique of ESS Based on Machine-Learning (머신러닝기반 확률론적 실시간 건물에너지 수요예측 및 BESS충방전 기법)

  • Yang, Seung Kwon;Song, Taek Ho
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2019
  • K-BEMS System was introduced to reduce peak load and to save total energy of the 120 buildings that KEPCO headquarter and branch offices use. K-BEMS system is composed of PV, battery, and hybrid PCS. In this system, ESS, PV, lighting is used to save building energy based on demand prediction. Currently, neural network technique for short past data is applied to demand prediction, and fixed scheduling method by operator for ESS charging/discharging is used. To enhance this system, KEPCO research institute has carried out this K-BEMS research project for 3 years since January 2016. As the result of this project, we developed new real-time highly reliable building demand prediction technique with error free and optimized automatic ESS charging/discharging technique. Through several field test, we can certify the developed algorithm performance successfully. So we will describe the details in this paper.

Proposal of An Artificial Intelligence based Temperature Prediction Algorithm for Efficient Agricultural Activities -Focusing on Gyeonggi-do Farm House-

  • Jang, Eun-Jin;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2021
  • In the aftermath of the global pandemic that started in 2019, there have been many changes in the import/export and supply/demand process of agricultural products in each country. Amid these changes, the necessity and importance of each country's food self-sufficiency rate is increasing. There are several conditions that must accompany efficient agricultural activities, but among them, temperature is by far one of the most important conditions. For this reason, the need for high-accuracy climate data for stable agricultural activities is increasing, and various studies on climate prediction are being conducted in Korea, but data that can visually confirm climate prediction data for farmers are insufficient. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an artificial intelligence-based temperature prediction algorithm that can predict future temperature information by collecting and analyzing temperature data of farms in Gyeonggi-do in Korea for the last 10 years. If this algorithm is used, it is expected that it can be used as an auxiliary data for agricultural activities.

Planning ESS Managemt Pattern Algorithm for Saving Energy Through Predicting the Amount of Photovoltaic Generation

  • Shin, Seung-Uk;Park, Jeong-Min;Moon, Eun-A
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.20-23
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    • 2019
  • Demand response is usually operated through using the power rates and incentives. Demand management based on power charges is the most rational and efficient demand management method, and such methods include rolling base charges with peak time, sliding scaling charges depending on time, sliding scaling charges depending on seasons, and nighttime power charges. Search for other methods to stimulate resources on demand by actively deriving the demand reaction of loads to increase the energy efficiency of loads. In this paper, ESS algorithm for saving energy based on predicting the amount of solar power generation that can be used for buildings with small loads not under electrical grid.

Study on Simulator for computing Demand Rate using Index of Transformer's Demand Rate (변압기 용량 지수를 이용한 수용률 산정 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.11c
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2007
  • There are regulations on each building for its classification and It is corresponding determined contract demand. For transformer's capability calculation algorithm, cumulated power information of each customer is used to analysis the correlation between power usage and Demand Rate. By modeling this using Least Square Method, it can be targeted to recognize the pattern of transformer use in the past and make a prediction on it in the future.

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ELM based short-term Water Demand Prediction for Effective Operation of Water Treatment Plant (정수장 운영효율 향상을 위한 ELM 기반 단기 물 수요 예측)

  • Choi, Gee-Seon;Lee, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Sung-Hwan;Lee, Kyung-Woo;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we develop an ELM(Extreme Learning Machine) based short-tenn water demand prediction algorithm which solves overfitting problem of MLP(Multi Layer Perceptron) and has quick training time. To show effectiveness of proposed method, we analyzed time series data collected in A water treatment plant at Chung-Nam province during $2007{\sim}2008$ years and used the selected data for the verification of developed algorithm. According to the experimental results, MLP model showed 5.82[%], but the proposed ELM based model showed 5.61[%] with respect to MAPE, respectively. Also, MLP model needed 7.57s training time, but ELM based model was 0.09s. Therefore, the proposed ELM based short-term water demand prediction model can be used to operate the water treatment plant effectively.