• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand Modelling

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A Study on the Demand Modelling for District Cooling Energy Source (지역냉방 열원의 수요모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin Hyung;Choi, Byung Ryeal
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.633-657
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    • 2002
  • This study presents a demand modelling for landfill gas, which is used as alternative energy source for district cooling business. By analyzing the cost minimizing behavior of producer facing with three alternative energy sources such as electricity, cooling heat water, and gas, a demand function for landfill gas is derived from the optimal operating time of gas fired production facility, and estimated using unpublished data, which are associated with Seoul city's development plan for Sang-am area. The estimation results repeals that Seoul City could supply the land-fill gas of 13.76 million cubic meters each year at the price of about 16 won per cubic meters. However, if the investment costs associated with installation of gas collecting facilities are treated as sunk costs, annual amount of gas supplied is expected to increase to 14.22 million cubic meters at a lower unit price of 14.76 won.

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Suitability Modelling for Potential Sites for Seoul's 2030 Youth-Housing Projects: Focusing on the 5th Policy Modification and the Youth's Demand (서울시 역세권 청년주택 사업 적지평가 모형: 5차 운영기준 개정과 청년수요의 반영을 중심으로)

  • Park, MinHo;Kim, MyoungHoon;Cheon, SangHyun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2020
  • The Seoul's 2030 Youth-Housing is a policy to promote the development of private sector-built rental housing in a Station Influence Area (SIA). It is a representative policy to resolve a housing problem for the youth in Seoul. The Seoul Metropolitan Government has made continuous policy improvements to respond to earlier criticisms on the policy. In December 2018, the Seoul Metropolitan Government enlarged the possible spatial boundaries of the SIA that the private sector developer can carry out the housing development projects. This study attempts to assess the potential sites available in Seoul by considering the youth's demand. This study used the suitability modelling technique to evaluate the potential sites. In detail, we established three sub-models by reflecting rent, accessibility to living areas of the youth, and accessibility to living SOC for the youth's demand. According to the results, the Hanyang City Wall area, which was newly included by the recent policy revision, showed moderate scores to fit the housing projects, while some Gangbuk areas, which have high accessibility and relatively lower rents, showed the best scores appropriate for the projects. The age group of 20s preferred university districts, while the age group of 30s preferred to locate near Seoul's main office areas. We suggest that the Seoul metropolitan government develops better ways to guage and reflect the demand for differing youth groups and the demand by age groups.

Modelling of Demand Determinants for Full-Time Bachelor's Degree Programs in Hospitality and Catering: The Case of Ukrainian Higher Education Institutions

  • Povorozniuk, Inna;Neshchadym, Liudmyla;Lytvyn, Oksana;Berbets, Tetiana;Filimonova, Iryna;Zotsenko, Liudmyla;Hushcha, Yevheniia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.347-357
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    • 2022
  • The aim of the study is to model demand for full-time Bachelor's Degree Programs in Hospitality and Catering, taking into account the influence of the main determinants in the COVID-19 pandemic. The research used methods of algorithms, correlation and regression analysis, ANOVA, graphical method, deduction and induction, abstraction, etc. It was found that the demand for full-time Bachelor's Degree Programs in Hospitality and Catering is price elastic. It has been argued that it is useful to consider both price and non-price determinants when modelling demand for full-time Bachelor's Degree Programs in Hospitality and Catering. It is proved that the main determinants of demand for full-time Bachelor's Degree Programs in Hospitality and Catering are full-time tuition fee, maximum government order, license volume and Consolidated Ranking of a higher education institution (HEI). In this case, the applicant decides to enrol in a full-time Bachelor's Degree Program in Hospitality and Catering, guided by the optimal ratio of tuition fee and the prestige of the HEI.

Reinforcement leaning based multi-echelon supply chain distribution planning (강화학습 기반의 다단계 공급망 분배계획)

  • Kwon, Ick-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2014
  • Various inventory control theories have tried to modelling and analyzing supply chains by using quantitative methods and characterization of optimal control policies. However, despite of various efforts in this research filed, the existing models cannot afford to be applied to the realistic problems. The most unrealistic assumption for these models is customer demand. Most of previous researches assume that the customer demand is stationary with a known distribution, whereas, in reality, the customer demand is not known a priori and changes over time. In this paper, we propose a reinforcement learning based adaptive echelon base-stock inventory control policy for a multi-stage, serial supply chain with non-stationary customer demand under the service level constraint. Using various simulation experiments, we prove that the proposed inventory control policy can meet the target service level quite well under various experimental environments.

Explosion Modelling for Crack Propagation near Blast holes in Rock Plate (암석판재에서 발파공 부근 균열전파에 대한 폭원모델링)

  • Choi, Byung-Hee;Kang, Myoung-Soo;Ryu, Chang-Ha;Kim, Jae-Woong
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2015
  • Recently, as the demand for development and utilization of underground space is increasing worldwide, the blast damaged zone has become a major issue in constructing underground structures. In this study, numerical analyses were performed for modelling a small-scale blasting of rock plates using PFC3D and ANSYS LS-DYNA. In order to verify the analysis results, several test blasts were conducted. It is concluded from the study that the numerical modelling methods well simulate the crack propagation procedure near blast holes under given conditions.

Force-deformation behaviour modelling of cracked reinforced concrete by EXCEL spreadsheets

  • Lam, Nelson;Wilson, John;Lumantarna, Elisa
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.43-57
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    • 2011
  • Force-deformation modelling of cracked reinforced concrete is essential for a displacement-based seismic assessment of structures and can be achieved by fibre-element analysis of the cross-section of the major lateral resisting elements. The non-linear moment curvature relationship obtained from fibre-element analysis takes into account the significant effects of axial pre-compression and contributions by the longitudinal reinforcement. Whilst some specialised analysis packages possess the capability of incorporating fibre-elements into the modelling (e.g., RESPONSE 2000), implementation of the analysis on EXCEL is illustrated in this paper. The outcome of the analysis is the moment-curvature relationship of the wall cross-section, curvature at yield and at damage control limit states specified by the user. Few software platforms can compete with EXCEL in terms of its transparencies, versatility and familiarity to the computer users. The program has the capability of handling arbitrary cross-sections that are without an axis of symmetry. Application of the program is illustrated with examples of typical cross-sections of structural walls. The calculated limiting curvature for the considered cross-sections were used to construct displacement profiles up the height of the wall for comparison with the seismically induced displacement demand.

A Method of Explosion Modelling Using the Concept of Momentum Trap (모멘텀 트랩 개념을 이용한 폭원모델링 기법)

  • Choi, Byung-Hee;Kang, Myoung-Soo;Ryu, Chang-Ha;Kim, Jae-Woong
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2015
  • Recently, as the demand for development and utilization of underground space is increasing worldwide, the blast damaged zone has become a major issue in constructing underground structures. In this study, to verify the explosion modelling method for blast-damaged zone (BDZ) around underground cavern, a series of small-scale test blasts was conducted using the concept of momentum trap. According to the test results, the input parameters to the numerical model (ANSYS LS-DYNA) were corrected. It is concluded that the suggested method of miniature blasting and numerical modelling using the MT concept well simulates the velocity of the MT projectile under given conditions.

A Simplified Steel Beam-To-Column Connection Modelling Approach and Influence of Connection Ductility on Frame Behaviour in Fire

  • Shi, Ruoxi;Huang, Shan-Shan;Davison, Buick
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.343-362
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    • 2018
  • A simplified spring connection modelling approach for steel flush endplate beam-to-column connections in fire has been developed to enable realistic behaviour of connections to be incorporated into full-scale frame analyses at elevated temperature. Due to its simplicity and reliability, the proposed approach permits full-scale high-temperature frame analysis to be conducted without high computational cost. The proposed simplified spring connection modelling approach has been used to investigate the influence of connection ductility (both axial and rotational) on frame behaviour in fire. 2D steel and 3D composite frames with a range of beam spans were modelled to aid the understanding of the differences in frame response in fire where the beam-to-column connections have different axial and rotational ductility assumptions. The modelling results highlight that adopting the conventional rigid or pinned connection assumptions does not permit the axial forces acting on the connections to be accurately predicted, since the axial ductility of the connection is completely neglected when the rotational ductility is either fully restrained or free. By accounting for realistic axial and rotational ductilities of beam-to-column connections, the frame response in fire can be predicted more accurately, which is advantageous in performance-based structural fire engineering design.

E-commerce Utility and Service Quality Enablers: A TISM Approach

  • Dhanya Manayath;Dulari S S
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2024
  • Consumer demand for e-commerce services has skyrocketed due to the introduction of social distancing standards and lockdown measures that countries have taken to combat the pandemic. There has been a notable surge in the popularity of on-demand delivery services, with a significant influx of new users turning to the e-platform for assistance. This research paper tries to identify the enablers of E-commerce Utility and Service Quality and establish a connection using total interpretive structural modelling (TISM). Enablers are the building blocks for providing customers with an enhanced and more consistent service experience contributing to service quality. The enablers and the linkages thus established hold valuable insights for e-commerce marketers, aiding them in effectively reaching their customers, and achieving desired growth outcomes. The TISM- based model and the MICMAC analysis identified two barriers; website design and personalization as the decisive attributes of e-commerce service quality, possessing strong driving power and weak dependence. Furthermore, the factors of reliability, responsiveness, information, and ease of use form the linkage zone, indicating that any action taken on these factors would not only influence other factors but also have a reciprocal effect on them.

A simplified design approach for modelling shear force demand on tower walls supported on a transfer structure in regions of lower seismicity

  • Yacoubian, Mehair;Lam, Nelson;Lumantarna, Elisa;Wilson, John L.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 2018
  • Buildings featuring a transfer structure can be commonly found in metropolitan cities situated in regions of lower seismicity. A transfer structure can be in the form of a rigid plate or an array of deep girders positioned at the podium level of the building to support the tower structure of the building. The anomalous increase in the shear force demand on the tower walls above the podium is a major cause for concern. Design guidance on how to quantify these adverse effects is not available. In this paper a simplified method for quantifying the increase in the shear force demand on the tower walls is presented. In view of the very limited ductile nature of this type of construction the analysis presented herein is based on linear elastic behaviour.