• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi Panel

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Development of Evaluation Indicators for Maintenance and Preservation of Agriculture and Rural Heritage (델파이 기법을 이용한 농업·농촌유산 유지·보전 평가지표 개발)

  • Kim, Eun Ja;Jeong, Won Ill;Lee, Yoo Kyoung;Lim, Chang Su
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1191-1226
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the evaluation criteria for the maintenance preserve of agriculture and rural heritage. The major steps for this study are 1) drafting the evaluation criteria for maintenance preservation of agriculture and rural heritage 2) verifying the evaluation criteria, and 3) determining the weighting values of the confirmed evaluation criteria. First, to derive the evaluation criteria for maintenance preservation of agriculture and rural heritage, the researcher reviewed the literature on the evaluation of agriculture and rural heritage, including research on the indexes of agriculture and rural heritage, the degree of the maintain preservation of heritage. A total of 31 evaluation criteria were selected. Second, to verify the selected 5 evaluation items and 31 evaluation indexes, the Delphi Method was implemented. Using traditional 3-step Delphi Method consisting of close-ended forms, with a panel of 41 experts, the researchers verified 5 evaluation items 31 evaluation indexes, two for each evaluation area validity. The confirmed evaluation areas are 5 items of management plan, management support system, surroundings of heritage, local network, heritage utilization and 31 criteria were preservation maintenance, performance plan, resident community composition, monitoring, act of parliament fulfillment, ecosystem management, landscape harmony, restoration and transmission plan and enhancement of residents' capability, etc. in the order. Through maintenance preservation evaluation index of agriculture and rural heritage, it can be utilized as sustainable development of plural resources.

Strategy for Improving Forestland Classification System in Korea (산지이용구분제도의 개선방안 연구)

  • Park, Young-Kyu;Jeon, Jun-Heon;Roh, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.6
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    • pp.780-790
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study was to analyze 'Forestland Classification System' in Korea and to develop a strategy for its improvement. A survey was conducted in this study based on the Delphi technique, one of the interactive survey method relying on a panel of experts. The result indicated that the existing 'Forestland Classification System' was initiated for reasonable management of forestland, but now it turned into one of the most strict management restrictions. To improve forestland management in Korea, it was suggested to adopt 'Forest Function System' in this study. Moreover, to avoid indiscreet landuse conversion that might be occurred by substituting the 'Forest Function System' for the 'Forestland Classification System', it was suggested to adopt 'Forestland Conversion Propriety Assessment System'. In fact, landuse conversion has been regulated by the 'Environmental Impact Assessment System', but this system appeared inadequate to be applied to the forested area. Illegal acts for having permission of landuse conversion for reserved forests was another big issue in the forestland management. For example, alteration of the reserved status of forests or partition into patches smaller than the size limit has been attempted. Thus in this study, it was strongly recommended to take sanction against such illegal acts. In order to enhance the efficiency of forestland management, it was also suggested to integrate administrative agencies related to the landuse conversion or to take over the charge to local governments.

Vulnerability Assessment of Human Health Sector due to Climate Change: Focus on Ozone (기후변화에 따른 보건 분야의 취약성 평가: O3을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jae-Bum;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Moon, Kyung-Jung;Hong, Sung-Chul;Kim, Deok-Rae;Song, Chang-Keun;Hong, You-Deog
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.22-38
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    • 2012
  • Adaptation of climate change is necessary to avoid unexpected impacts of climate change caused by human activities. Vulnerability refers to the degree to which system cannot cope with impacts of climate change, encompassing physical, social and economic aspects. Therefore the quantification of climate change impacts and its vulnerability is needed to identify vulnerable regions and to setup the proper strategies for adaptation. In this study, climate change vulnerability is defined as a function of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Also, we identified regions vulnerable to ozone due to climate change in Korea using developed proxy variables of vulnerability of regional level. 18 proxy variables are selected through delphi survey to assess vulnerability over human health sector for ozone concentration change due to climate change. Also, we estimate the weighting score of proxy variables from delphi survey. The results showed that the local regions with higher vulnerability index in the sector of human health are Seoul and Daegu, whereas regions with lower one are Jeollanam-do, Gyeonggi-do, Gwangju, Busan, Daejeon, and Gangwon-do. The regions of high level vulnerability are mainly caused by their high ozone exposure. We also assessed future vulnerability according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2, A1FI, A1T, A1B, B2, and B1 scenarios in 2020s, 2050s and 2100s. The results showed that vulnerability increased in all scenarios due to increased ozone concentrations. Especially vulnerability index is increased by approximately 2 times in A1FI scenarios in the 2020s. This study could support regionally adjusted adaptation polices and the quantitative background of policy priority as providing the information on the regional vulnerability of ozone due to climate change in Korea.

Deriving Key Risk Sub-Clauses for EPC/Turnkey Contract Conditions for Overseas Construction Projects - Based on FIDIC Conditions of Contract for EPC/Turnkey Projects, second edition 2017 - (해외건설공사 EPC/Turnkey 계약조건 핵심 리스크 세부조항 도출 - FIDIC Silver Book 2017년 개정판 기준으로 -)

  • Hong, Seong Yeoll;Jei, Jae Yong;Seo, Sung Chul;Park, Hyung Keun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the global construction market is expected to grow at an annual average of 4.8% by 2025 and the risk of overseas construction is also expected to increase accordingly. In particular, domestic construction companies intensively participated in the EPC(Engineering, Procurement, Construction)/Turnkey project, but as a result of failing to respond to contractual risks, they have suffered losses of trillions of won in overseas business since 2013. Nevertheless, there have been not many studies on the derivation of EPC/Turnkey's contractual key risk sub-clauses. Therefore, in this study, the key risk sub-clauses were studied for the conditions of the 2017 Silver Book contract issued by the International Consulting Engineering Federation(FIDIC). To this end, 30 experts with more than 10 years of experience in international construction contracts were formed as a panel to conduct a Delphi survey on 170 sub-clauses of 21 clauses of FIDIC Silver Book to derive 62 main risk sub-clauses. In addition, the RPN(Risk Priority Number) was finally calculated using the FMEA(Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) technique, and 25 key risk sub-clauses within the Critical Risk range were derived. Through the results of this study, the practical point of view is able to refer to the contract provisions to be carefully reviewed at the bidding and contract signing stage in overseas construction projects. From an academic point of view, it provides direction and basic knowledge of how to study the contract fields used in overseas construction EPC/Turnkey projects.

Information Privacy Concern in Context-Aware Personalized Services: Results of a Delphi Study

  • Lee, Yon-Nim;Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.63-86
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    • 2010
  • Personalized services directly and indirectly acquire personal data, in part, to provide customers with higher-value services that are specifically context-relevant (such as place and time). Information technologies continue to mature and develop, providing greatly improved performance. Sensory networks and intelligent software can now obtain context data, and that is the cornerstone for providing personalized, context-specific services. Yet, the danger of overflowing personal information is increasing because the data retrieved by the sensors usually contains privacy information. Various technical characteristics of context-aware applications have more troubling implications for information privacy. In parallel with increasing use of context for service personalization, information privacy concerns have also increased such as an unrestricted availability of context information. Those privacy concerns are consistently regarded as a critical issue facing context-aware personalized service success. The entire field of information privacy is growing as an important area of research, with many new definitions and terminologies, because of a need for a better understanding of information privacy concepts. Especially, it requires that the factors of information privacy should be revised according to the characteristics of new technologies. However, previous information privacy factors of context-aware applications have at least two shortcomings. First, there has been little overview of the technology characteristics of context-aware computing. Existing studies have only focused on a small subset of the technical characteristics of context-aware computing. Therefore, there has not been a mutually exclusive set of factors that uniquely and completely describe information privacy on context-aware applications. Second, user survey has been widely used to identify factors of information privacy in most studies despite the limitation of users' knowledge and experiences about context-aware computing technology. To date, since context-aware services have not been widely deployed on a commercial scale yet, only very few people have prior experiences with context-aware personalized services. It is difficult to build users' knowledge about context-aware technology even by increasing their understanding in various ways: scenarios, pictures, flash animation, etc. Nevertheless, conducting a survey, assuming that the participants have sufficient experience or understanding about the technologies shown in the survey, may not be absolutely valid. Moreover, some surveys are based solely on simplifying and hence unrealistic assumptions (e.g., they only consider location information as a context data). A better understanding of information privacy concern in context-aware personalized services is highly needed. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to identify a generic set of factors for elemental information privacy concern in context-aware personalized services and to develop a rank-order list of information privacy concern factors. We consider overall technology characteristics to establish a mutually exclusive set of factors. A Delphi survey, a rigorous data collection method, was deployed to obtain a reliable opinion from the experts and to produce a rank-order list. It, therefore, lends itself well to obtaining a set of universal factors of information privacy concern and its priority. An international panel of researchers and practitioners who have the expertise in privacy and context-aware system fields were involved in our research. Delphi rounds formatting will faithfully follow the procedure for the Delphi study proposed by Okoli and Pawlowski. This will involve three general rounds: (1) brainstorming for important factors; (2) narrowing down the original list to the most important ones; and (3) ranking the list of important factors. For this round only, experts were treated as individuals, not panels. Adapted from Okoli and Pawlowski, we outlined the process of administrating the study. We performed three rounds. In the first and second rounds of the Delphi questionnaire, we gathered a set of exclusive factors for information privacy concern in context-aware personalized services. The respondents were asked to provide at least five main factors for the most appropriate understanding of the information privacy concern in the first round. To do so, some of the main factors found in the literature were presented to the participants. The second round of the questionnaire discussed the main factor provided in the first round, fleshed out with relevant sub-factors. Respondents were then requested to evaluate each sub factor's suitability against the corresponding main factors to determine the final sub-factors from the candidate factors. The sub-factors were found from the literature survey. Final factors selected by over 50% of experts. In the third round, a list of factors with corresponding questions was provided, and the respondents were requested to assess the importance of each main factor and its corresponding sub factors. Finally, we calculated the mean rank of each item to make a final result. While analyzing the data, we focused on group consensus rather than individual insistence. To do so, a concordance analysis, which measures the consistency of the experts' responses over successive rounds of the Delphi, was adopted during the survey process. As a result, experts reported that context data collection and high identifiable level of identical data are the most important factor in the main factors and sub factors, respectively. Additional important sub-factors included diverse types of context data collected, tracking and recording functionalities, and embedded and disappeared sensor devices. The average score of each factor is very useful for future context-aware personalized service development in the view of the information privacy. The final factors have the following differences comparing to those proposed in other studies. First, the concern factors differ from existing studies, which are based on privacy issues that may occur during the lifecycle of acquired user information. However, our study helped to clarify these sometimes vague issues by determining which privacy concern issues are viable based on specific technical characteristics in context-aware personalized services. Since a context-aware service differs in its technical characteristics compared to other services, we selected specific characteristics that had a higher potential to increase user's privacy concerns. Secondly, this study considered privacy issues in terms of service delivery and display that were almost overlooked in existing studies by introducing IPOS as the factor division. Lastly, in each factor, it correlated the level of importance with professionals' opinions as to what extent users have privacy concerns. The reason that it did not select the traditional method questionnaire at that time is that context-aware personalized service considered the absolute lack in understanding and experience of users with new technology. For understanding users' privacy concerns, professionals in the Delphi questionnaire process selected context data collection, tracking and recording, and sensory network as the most important factors among technological characteristics of context-aware personalized services. In the creation of a context-aware personalized services, this study demonstrates the importance and relevance of determining an optimal methodology, and which technologies and in what sequence are needed, to acquire what types of users' context information. Most studies focus on which services and systems should be provided and developed by utilizing context information on the supposition, along with the development of context-aware technology. However, the results in this study show that, in terms of users' privacy, it is necessary to pay greater attention to the activities that acquire context information. To inspect the results in the evaluation of sub factor, additional studies would be necessary for approaches on reducing users' privacy concerns toward technological characteristics such as highly identifiable level of identical data, diverse types of context data collected, tracking and recording functionality, embedded and disappearing sensor devices. The factor ranked the next highest level of importance after input is a context-aware service delivery that is related to output. The results show that delivery and display showing services to users in a context-aware personalized services toward the anywhere-anytime-any device concept have been regarded as even more important than in previous computing environment. Considering the concern factors to develop context aware personalized services will help to increase service success rate and hopefully user acceptance for those services. Our future work will be to adopt these factors for qualifying context aware service development projects such as u-city development projects in terms of service quality and hence user acceptance.

Study on Priority Selection of Export Strategic Core Technologies for IT Fusion Next Generation Agricultural Machines (IT융합 차세대 농기계 수출전략형 핵심기술 우선순위 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Dong-Il;Cho, Byoung-Kwan;Lee, Hoon-Soo;Chung, Sun-Ok;Park, Seung-Jae;Kim, Chul-Soo;Lee, Young-Hee
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to develop the export strategic core technologies for IT fusion next generation agricultural machines by the analysis of comprehensive and cooperative systems of industries, universities, and institutes. In order to achieve the objective of this study, an expert panel was formed and operated. The first survey was conducted by the Delphi method. For this the export strategic core technologies were surveyed and analyzed using the questionnaire. Based on the results of the first survey, the second survey was conducted. The questionnaire used for the second survey was designed by results of the first survey. The results of the second survey was analyzed by AHP method. The third survey was conducted based on the second one, and the final results were analyzed and the export strategic core technologies were developed through the expert meeting. The study results showed six export strategic core technologies as the followings : 1) environment-friendly engine technology for high performance 2) high performance/high efficiency power transmission system technology 3) development of measurement system technology for safety of agricultural products 4) field application of sensor networks 5) large size combine development technology for high performance 6) quality evaluation technology for agricultural products.

A Study on the Meanings of Half-Life: Alyx and the Success Factors of VR Games (하프라이프 알릭사의 의미와 VR게임 성공 요소 고찰)

  • Kwon, Dong-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.271-284
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    • 2020
  • Good reviews that Half-Life: Alyx received created a turning point for the vitalization of the VR market with an uncertain future due to the absence of a revenue model together with the increased sales of VR equipment. Based on previous studies, this study categorized the characteristics of VR games according to graphs, first-person system, interface, controller, interaction technology, sound and stories. The analysis results show that the seven elements corresponded with "interactions" and "virtual images," which represent the completion level of games as part of VR components, and were connected to one another, which led to the proposal of an upper-rank concept "presence" to put them together. "Immersiveness," which represents users' emotions as part of VR components, was analyzed with the immersion theory to assign tasks of proper difficulty level for users' abilities. In the research process, the Delphi technique and FGI were administered to a panel of 15 experts to ensure objectivity. Finally, "presence" and "immersiveness" are characteristics in proportion to each other and can be valid concepts in future analysis of VR games as well as Half-Life: Alyx, which led to the proposal a new concept framework called 'presence effects' by combining the two words.

Development for Curriculum and Coursework Design of Convergence Program of Psychology and Police in College (융합 대학전공 교과목 및 교육과정 개발: 범죄피해케어전문가양성과정을 중심으로)

  • Koh, Eun-Young;Lee, Eun-A
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.513-524
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    • 2017
  • This study proposed an 'Crime Victim Care Specialist(CVCS)' convergence curriculum for psychology and police students in college. First, the courses and the curriculums of counseling, psychology, psychotherapy, police, and police administration departments in nationwide were listed. After consulting with professors from 2 majors, 3-levels curriculum and courses were drafted. Second, for the inputs from the field, a panel of 51 crime victim care/counseling/psychotherapy experts were Delphi surveyed about goodness of fit and importance. The result were following. First, the curriculum were consisted of required, basics, advanced courses. The required course were 5 courses for each department. The basics were for the minors and 7 courses for each. The advanced were for the double majors and 4 courses for each. Finally, the implication and further studies were suggested.

The Study on the Analysis of Supervisor Competence in Community Welfare Centers -Focus on Competency of Supervisor's Knowledge, Skill and Attitude- (사회복지관 수퍼바이저의 역량분석에 관한 연구 -수퍼바이저의 지식, 기술, 태도 역량을 중심으로-)

  • Ahn, Jeong-Sun;Youn, Jung-Hye
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to present the fundamental direction in training social work supervisors. First it defined the competency of supervisors and by analyzing the contrasts between the present situation and points for compensation, the study searched for alternative solutions to reinforce the role of supervisors. The research was conducted by interviewing 7 Focus Groups, the 20 Delphi questionnaire panel, and the 213 social workers in the community welfare centers. This study multilaterally evaluated the opinions of all supervision interested parties and as a result, defined the core supervisor competence in the areas of knowledge, skill, and attitude(KSA). The main characteristics to be improved were found to be supervisors' leadership, supervision knowledge, self-recognition. conflicts arbitration skills, the communication skills, the team work skills, and the main attitudes of consistency, patience and openness. This study is significant that it presented specific direction in the developing training courses for supervisor, researching the detailed education demands and analyzing the application of the supervisor's competency model in the organization.

Development of Standardized Manual for Efficient Management of School Milk Program (학교 우유급식의 효율적 관리를 위한 표준 매뉴얼 개발)

  • Yang, Il-Sun;Park, Moon-Kyung;Park, Moon-Kyung;Kim, Hye-Young;Kim, Young-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a standardized manual to help an educational agency manage the school milk program in cities and provinces. Towards this purpose, we carried out an observational study, content analysis, and survey as the first step. After developing the standardized manual and modifying its contents based on a panel discussion, we implement the delphi-technique as the second step. The standardized manual was composed of an introduction, the administrative direction of educational agency, the management of the school milk program, the management of the free milk program, teaching guidance, selection and contract of supplier, and an appendix. The manual was distributed to over 16 educational agencies for managing the school milk program and was promoted to public officials, such as the officers of educational agencies, the school district officials, and the officers of ministry of agriculture and forestry. The developed manual was targeted for used in schools throughout the nation, but was accepted with reservation in different regions. Therefore, school milk program would be expected to be an efficient management and operation through the use of a standardized manual.