• 제목/요약/키워드: Delphi Approach

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델파이기법을 이용한 법적보호종 서식환경평가의 환경영향평가 적용방안 개발 - 파주시, 시흥시, 안산시, 화성시에서의 황조롱이를 대상으로 - (Application of the Habitat Evaluation Procedure(HEP) for Legally Protected Wildbirds using Delphi Technique to Environmental Impact Assessment - In case of the Common Kestrel(Falco tinnunculus) in four areas (Paju, Siheung, Ansan, Hwaseong) -)

  • 이석원;노백호;유정칠
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.277-290
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    • 2013
  • This study was carried out to propose the new procedure to apply Habitat Evaluation Procedure(HEP) of target species using delphi technique, which is suitable to develop endangered species with few researches and ecological knowledges. To identify habitat quality of specific species in development project site, we can develop habitat model and create habitat suitability maps. In this study, we select the Common Kestrel(Falco tinnunculus) as target species in four areas(Paju, Siheung, Ansan, Hwaseong) which is located near the Seoul metropolitan area. The Delphi technique was selected to get the reliable information on the species and habitats requirements. Through the delphi approach, seven habitat components were determined as suitable variables for the Common Kestrel: density($n/km^2$) of small mammals, area($km^2$) of bare-grounds, pasturelands and riparian, and open area(%), spatial distribution and area of croplands, landscape diversity, breeding sites(tall trees, cliffs, high-rise buildings), and the length of shelf. Habitat variables used in this model were classified into two categories: % of suitable land-cover type(open areas, croplands, pasturelands, wetlands, and baregrounds) and the quality of feeding sites(within 250m from edges of woodlands). Habitat quality of the Common Kestrel was assessed against occurred sites derived from the nationwide survey. Predicted habitat suitability map were closely related to the observed sites of the endangered avian species in the study areas. With the habitat suitability map of the Common Kestrel, we assess the environmental impacts with habitat loss after development project in environmental impact assessment.

국방 군사시설의 BIM적용 및 활성화 방안 연구 (Research of Application and Facilitation of BIM on Military Facilities)

  • 공금록
    • 한국BIM학회 논문집
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2017
  • Since its beginning the military has continued updating its equipments and facilities by modernizing and expanding them. However, with rapidly growing technologies and business management skills, the time for military facilities' evolvement seems unavoidable. The Defense Installations Agency (DIA) has come to a conclusion that application of BIM is necessary. Since its decision, the DIA has been researching the use of BIM and developing guidelines for its application. Nevertheless, the speed of instructions and practical implementation of its model have been behind its plan due to various reasons. To overcome its limitations, the DIA has come up with three-step-solution: basic experience, budgeting, and expansion. Due to numerous number of projects of BIM, it is almost impractical to implement all of them concurrently. The methodological approach of the research employs the Delphi survey method to quantitatively analyze qualitative information drawn from experts' opinions. By applying the Delphi survey method, the first round of the survey drew lists of constraints, BIM application scenarios as well as BIM promotion measures. Afterwards, at the second round of the survey, criticality of each item collected at the 1st round was analyzed to reach a conclusion. Finally, constraints against BIM application were analyzed, and BIM application scenarios and promotion measures for the BIM were introduced.

Indicators for assessing neighbourhood satisfaction in state provided housing in South Africa

  • Aigbavboa, Clinton;Thwala, Wellington
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.361-366
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this paper was to establish the attributes that determines neighbourhood satisfaction in South Africa lowincome housing subsidy scheme ultilising the Delphi approach. This is because the perception and housing satisfaction of lowincome housing beneficiaries toward their housing condition can be studied by examining their satisfaction toward s the neighbourhood factors. The Delphi method was used where the views of housing experts were solicited on 26 potential attributes as identified from li terature. Consensus was achieved after three iterative rounds. The expert"s scored each attributes on a 10-point ordinal scale of impact significance, where 1-2=No impact and 9-10= very high impact. The scales adapted for consensus were: strong consensus, median 9-10, inter quartile deviation (IQD) ≤1; good consensus, median 7 ≤ 6.99and IQD≥2.1≤3. The key findings indicate that there was a good to strong consensus of 19 attributes which were key attributes that the experts perceived as determinants of neighbourhood satisfaction; while 6 other attributes had weak consensus, as they were considered to have a le sser impact in determining residents" neighbourhood satisfaction. However, attributes with weak consensus were the attributes that are highly regarded as core neighbourhood factors in other housing settings. The study contributes to the body of knowledge on th e subject where no consensus has been reached pertaining to indicators for measuring neighbourhood satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa.

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델파이법을 적용한 암연구수준의 평가 (An Application of Delphi Method to the Assessment of Current Status of Cancer Research)

  • 강영호;윤석준;강길원;김창엽;유근영;신영수
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.844-856
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    • 1998
  • Globally, cancer research has been considered one of the most important field of biomedical researches. Recently, in Korea, there are increasing concerns about cancer research and the development of national cancer control programme. For the efficient investment in cancer research at the national level, strategic approach is needed based on the nationwide information about current status of research. However even the basic data on cancer research have not been systematically collected, and are not available when necessary. The aim of this study is to assess current status of cancer research. For this purpose, this study applied two round Delphi method in which fifteen experts in cancer research fields participated. They rated each items on the initial list at the first round, and modified their responses at the second round. Panels responded that pathogenesis of cancer, research & development of cancer drug, and oncogene, etc. are the most urgent and important research Holds. They assessed national level of cancer research as being 49.6% of the world highest level. Coefficient of variation tended to be lowered with the iteration. Predictive stability was evaluated to be lower in items of urgency than in items of importance and research level. Although this study shares the same limitations in the selection of the experts with many other Delphi studies, it provides a primary data that would be required to plan the national strategy of the cancer research.

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전기화재 원인진단을 위한 지능형 프로그램 개발 (Development of an Intelligent Program for Diagnosis of Electrical Fire Causes)

  • 권동명;홍성호;김두현
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.50-55
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents an intelligent computer system, which can easily diagnose electrical fire causes, without the help of human experts of electrical fires diagnosis. For this system, a database is built with facts and rules driven from real electrical fires, and an intellectual database system which even a beginner can diagnose fire causes has been developed, named as an Electrical Fire Causes Diagnosis System : EFCDS. The database system has adopted, as an inference engine, a mixed reasoning approach which is constituted with the rule-based reasoning and the case-based reasoning. The system for a reasoning model was implemented using Delphi 3, one of program development tools, and Paradox is used as a database building tool. To verify effectiveness and performance of this newly developed diagnosis system, several simulated fire examples were tested and the causes of fire examples were detected effectively by this system. Additional researches will be needed to decide the minimal significant level of the solution and the weighting level of important factors.

정보보호 전문가의 직무수행을 위한 지식 및 기술 분석 (Analysis of Knowledge and Skill for Security Professionals)

  • 최명길;김세헌
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2004
  • Due to exponentially growing threats of cyber attacks, many organizations have begun to recognize the importance of information security. There is an explosion in demand for experienced ISMs(Information Security Managers) and ISSDs(Information Security System Developers). To educate ISMs and ISSDs, identifying the specific knowledge and skill for information security professional is critical. This paper identifies 15 items of knowledge and skill for ISMs and ISSDs using a simplified Delphi technique and categories them. The results of this paper could be used in determining what kinds of knowledge and skill should be included in the curriculum of information security programs.

Evaluating the Comfort Experience of a Head-Mounted Display with the Delphi Methodology

  • Lee, Doyeon;Chang, Byeng-hee;Park, Jiseob
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2020
  • This study developed evaluation indicators for the comfort experience of virtual reality (VR) headsets by classifying, defining, and weighting cybersickness-causing factors using the Delphi research method and analytic hierarchical process (AHP) approach. Four surveys were conducted with 20 experts on VR motion sickness. The expert surveys involved the 1) classification and definition of cybersickness-causing dimensions, classification of sub-factors for each dimension, and selection of evaluation indicators, 2) self-reassessment of the results of each step, 3) validity revaluation, and 4) final weighting calculation. Based on the surveys, the evaluation indicators for the comfort experience of VR headsets were classified into eight sub-factors: field of view (FoV)-device FoV, latency-device latency, framerate-device framerate, V-sync-device V-sync, rig-camera angle view, rig-no-parallax point, resolution-device resolution, and resolution-pixels per inch (PPI). A total of six dimensions and eight sub-factors were identified; sub-factor-based evaluation indicators were also developed.

의사결정 지원 정보시스템 개발을 위한 Delphi-DEMATEL모델에 의한 의사결정 요인분석 -전작권 전환 사례를 중심으로- (An Analysis of Decision Making Factor by Delphi and DEMATEL Model for Decision Support Information System development -Wartime Operational Control Transition approach-)

  • 박상중;고찬
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제10권11호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 Delphi 및 DEMATEL 기법을 활용하여 참여정부의 전시작전통제권(이후 전작권) 전환에 관한 정치 군사적 결정요인을 선정하고, 이들 결정요인간의 영향정도 및 관계를 정량적 정성적으로 분석하는데 있다. AHP를 활용한 기존 연구에서는 전작권 전환 결정요인을 학술자료와 현장실무경험을 바탕으로 선정하여, 요인선정에 대한 보다 객관적인 분석이 요구되었다. 본 연구를 위해 온라인 및 오프라인 환경에서 안보 관련 전문가 집단을 대상으로 일련의 설문을 실시하였다. 분석결과로 참여정부의 전작권 전환 결정요인은 크게 '군사주권의 회복', '평화통일을 위한 여건조성', '우리나라의 국력신장에 따른 국격 제고'로 AHP기법에 의한 기존연구와 대동소이하였으며, 전작권 전환 결정요인간의 영향 및 관계는 '군사주권 회복'과 '평화통일을 위한 여건조성'은 별개 사안으로 상호 연관성이 없고 '군사주권 회복'이라는 진보세력의 정치적 이익이 주된 결정요인이었던 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 Delphi 및 DEMATEL 기법을 적용하여 참여정부의 전작권 전환 결정요인에 대해 정략적 정성적 분석을 실시하였는데 의의가 있다.

델파이 기법을 활용한 전자상거래 촉진요인 분석: 우즈베키스탄의 사례 (Using the Delphi Approach to Identify e-Commerce Facilitators: The Case of Uzbekistan)

  • 주재훈;이스마틸라 노르마토프
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.207-232
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    • 2010
  • 우즈베키스탄과 같은 개발 도상국에서 전자상거래란 비교적 새롭고 경제 발전에 기여할 수 있는 산업이다. 이러한 관점에서 개발도상국에 적합한 전자상거래 촉진 요인을 연구하여 그 함축적 의미를 제공할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 전자상거래 촉진요인을 파악하는데 텔파이 기법을 적용하였다. 전자상거래 관련 전문가 패널을 구성하여 4차례의 조사를 통해 전자상거래를 촉진하는 24개 변수를 식별하였다. 이들 24개 변수는 기술 인프라, 법률 환경과 지원, 산업 환경, 조직, 경제와 정치적 환경이라는 5개의 촉진요인으로 분류되었다. 기술 인프라, 법률 환경과 지원, 산업 환경, 조직 요인은 경제와 정치적 요인보다 중요한 것으로 파악되었다. 본 연구는 개발도상국에서 전자상거래를 촉진하기 위해 필요한 함축적 의미를 정부기관, 연구자, 기업의 실무자 관점에서 제안하였다.

정보통신표준화 전략계획수립을 위한 방법론연구-표준화대상의 우선순위 결정을 중심으로-

  • 구경철;박기식;송기평;임채연
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1995년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 전남대학교; 28-29 Apr. 1995
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    • pp.847-864
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    • 1995
  • In this paper we present an integrated methodology for strategic planning in telecommunications standardization. Especially this paper focuses on the method of setting priorities for telecommunications SWAs(Standardization Work Areas) and related SWls(Standardization Work Items). To make a strategic plan for telecommunications standardization in which usually includes prioritization, resource allocation, standardization schedule for each SWA is based on prioritization of SWAs. Our methodology integrated various existing methods including the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and a modified Delphi technique. Recently, rapid technology evolution in telecommunications fields increases the necessity of developing more and more new standards. Also increased complexity of those technologies makes standards more complicated, more specified and more thick than the past ones. As a result, the number of SWAs and SWIs are being increased constantly. Furthermore, rapid telecommunication environment changes such as deregulation, liberalization, privatization, regionalization, and globalization surrounding standardization bring about new challenges and opportunities. Due to all these trends, strategic planning for telecommunications standardization grows more and more important. To cope with these challenges and also to make the more efficient use of the limited standardization resources including time, financial, human resources, we suggest more logical and rational approach that will be a backbone of strategic plan for telecommunications standardization. The telecommunications standardization planning process involves a MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is a kind of MCDM approaches. Our method is based on a combination of a modified Delphi technique and an application of AHP(Liberator's spreadsheet model). Analyzed data from Delphi technique is used as inputs to ABP. In addition, we also focus on the technique how to combine group judgments and to handle a large number of comparisons. We present analyzed results including Pilot and Full Scale Survey according to the proposed process. The result of this study will be useful input for telecommunications standardization policy making and practical implementation.

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