• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.5-32
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• 2015

Last year, a disastrous accident happened on the sea. Car ferry Se-wol which was on its way from In-cheon to Je-ju sank in the middle of the western sea. 304 passengers were drowned at the sea in the accident. There were no passengers who were waiting on board ship rescued in the accident. This study is to review the pattern of decision making in the middle of saving a life, right after Se-wol was about to sink. The starting point of this study is decision making on the rescue by rescue corps with no expert knowledge at the initial stage. When it comes to saving victims, there was no expert on rescue on the sea. Failure in rescue at Se-wol disaster lets us find a vicious circle of positive feedback loop. Experts with no experience act like well-qualified persons. Unqualified persons(leaders) have no expertise. Those who pretend to be expert occupy the important post in the hierarchy. It means we could not accumulate expertise of know-how in rescue division. That's why a vicious circle of positive feedback is formed in areas of disasters. It is necessary to train experts in Government Organizations to weaken the vicious circle of positive feedback.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.489-494
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• 2000

This research focused on the priotity decision for establishment sriteria on the effects which environmental sculptures in urban area. The analysis performed in this study used the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) that is recognized as a useful decision-making tool to select and evaluate alternatives through pairwise comparison in the context of hierarchical decision structure. The results obtained from the analysis drawn by collecting the professional opinions of 5 experts for environmental sculptures are as follows: 1. The orders of establish criteria priorities on environmental sculptures were harmony of environment> symbol> public> function. The harmony of environment was the most important priority because it showed the highest weight of criteria. 2. The alternative priorities of environmental sculptures were the meaning of work>setting place> social contribution> physical quality .The meaning of work showed the highest change in the weight of alternative. 3.The sensitivity analysis of environmental sculptures demonstrated that the rate of change in the alternative priorities of the public was stabilized although the criteria importance varied, while the harmony of environment, the symbol intimated and function of priorities has their rates of weight changed if the criteria priorities were high.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.309-314
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• 2006

건축설계자들의 디자인 결정을 보조하고 설계자료들을 지원하기 위한 총합건축설계 지원시스템을 개발하기 위한 연구과정으로 선행연구에서 제안된 Fuzzy System을 토대로한 디자인 결정모델의 문제점들을 본 논문에서 보완하고자 한다. 특히, 공조설계자의 공조방식 결정과정에서 중요한 부분이라 할 수 있는 관련 설계요소들에 대한 특성과 영향정도를 논리적으로 결정과정에 반영 할 수 있는 방법을 제안하였다. 이를 위해서 의사결정방법의 하나인 AHP(Analystic Hierarchy Process)를 적정 디자인 값을 추론하는 과정에 적용하여 공조설계자의 공조방식 결정과정에 반영한 모델을 설정하였다

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제14권10호
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• pp.173-181
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• 2016

본 논문의 목적은 델파이 (Delphi) 기법과 분석적계층과정 (AHP; Analytic Hierarchy Process)를 통해서 전술적 고려요소인 METT+TC (임무, 적, 지형 및 기상, 가용부대, 가용시간, 민간요소)를 세분화하고 우선순위를 정하는 것이다. 군의 작적수행과정상의 의사결정과정에서 전술적 고려요소는 매우 중요한 요소로 작용하지만, 6개 요소의 세분화 및 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구는 그동안 충분히 수행되지 않았다. 델파이와 분석적계층과정은 군사 전문가들의 인터뷰와 설문지 작성을 통해 이루어졌으며, 최초 6개의 전술적 고려요소는 델파이 분석을 통해 34개의 하위요소로 세분화되었고, 분석적계층과정을 통해 6개의 고려요소와 34개의 하위요소는 우선순위가 정량적으로 공격과 방어 국면을 구분하여 제시되었다. 본 연구결과는 군의 ATCIS와 같은 의사결정지원시스템상의 DB로 활용되고, 이를 활용할 수 있는 의사결정 애플리케이션이 도입된다면, 효과적이고 빠른 의사결정에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.917-926
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• 2013

본 연구는 로버스트 우선순위 결정을 위한 퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법의 타당성을 수자원 계획수립 문제에 적용하여 제시하였다. 즉 일반적인 다기준 의사결정 기법인 가중합계법, 계층화분석과정, 수정계층화분석과정, TOPSIS 방법과 퍼지가중합계법, 퍼지계층화분석과정, 퍼지수정계층화분석과정, 퍼지 TOPSIS 방법을 사용하여 결과를 비교하였다. 이때 사용된 각 평가기준별 자료는 동일하게 표준화되었으며 각 가중치도 동일한 방법으로 결정되었다. 분석결과 다기준 의사결정방법에 따라 조금씩 다른 순위가 도출되었으나, 퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법을 사용할 경우 사업들의 순위 변동성이 퍼지를 사용하지 않을 때보다 크지 않아 보다 일관된 순위를 유도하였다. 따라서 사업의 우선순위를 결정하는 문제에서 자료와 가중치의 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법을 활용해서 방법의 변화로 인한 순위의 변동성을 최소화해서 로버스트 순위를 결정하는 것이 보다 효과적이다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2016년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.247-248
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• 2016

Globally the interest of large-scale structure has been increasing for the use in various social and cultural events. However various problems for building large-scale structure in South Korea are expected in terms of construction method and site management due to the lack of experience. Construction method and planning significantly affects on making decisions. There are only theoretical approach for constructing large-scale building in domestic with the limited experience of constructing constrained size structure. Through Analytic Hierarchy Process with experts, derived decision factors mostly used construction method in construction of large-scale structure. Derived factors from this study will support making decisions for field management in constructing large-scale structure.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.105-117
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• 2003

As E-commerce is getting more popular, consumers faces more decision complexity than ever before because they can get greater alternative choices. Futhermore, consumers are sometimes motivated to expand effort in making a good decision in the case of relatively important and non-routine decison, such as buying a house or car. Thus, a buying decision support function is required to help consumers make decisions that have the greatest effects on consumer's lives. We develop a propotype system of a web-based buying decision support system for a cyber shopping mall. A buying decision of a consumer is a multi-attribute decision problem and is supported using analytic hierarchy process model. The system was implemented using HTML, Java, Java applet, JSP.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2013

Developing Build-Own (or Operate)-Transfer (BOT) nuclear power project carrying large capital in the long term requires initially well-made multi-decision which it prevents sorts of risks from unexpected situation of target countries. In order to analyze the feasibility of project country, the Analytic Hierarchy Process is adopted. Firstly, the factors influencing the success of BOT nuclear power project in overseas countries were investigated through the literature survey for the country risk and were evaluated by expert interview for estimating comparative weight through pairwise comparison between such factors. Finally, it is developed comparative database of alternate countries with respect to each factor. This analytic method enables the developer to select and focus on the country which has preferable circumstance so that it enhances the efficiency of the project promotion. Also, it enables the developer to quantify the qualitative factors so that it diversifies the project success strategy and policy for the target country.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.921-933
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• 2016

본 연구는 대안이 많지 않은 의사결정에서 계층적 의사결정론(analytic hierarchy process)과 컨조인트 분석 간의 비교를 다루었다. 계층적 의사결정론은 속성들의 쌍대비교 과정을 거쳐 속성의 중요도를 추정한 후 대안들의 순위를 추정하는 방법이며, 컨조인트 분석은 대안의 순서로부터 속성의 효용을 추정하는 방법으로, 의사결정의 과정이 다르기에 두 방법을 직접적으로 비교하는 것은 다소 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 Scholl (2004)의 타당도 척도를 사용하여 두 방법을 S대학 여학생들의 화장품 선택 사례 연구를 통하여 두 방법을 서로 비교하였다. 사례연구 결과 컨조인트 분석은 내적타당도가 높게 나타났으며, 계층적 의사결정분석 방법은 예측타당도가 높게 나타남을 볼 수 있었다.

• 안보군사학연구
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• 통권15호
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• pp.153-192
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to verify the relationship between mission-oriented Command, organization efficiency, organization culture of 626 field officers in JFMU. Firstly. the study found that decision making in the relationship between mission-oriented command and organization efficiency had negative effect on job satisfaction. Planning and trust lead to positive effect on job satisfaction and organizational commitment and no significance in self decision. Secondly, mission-oriented command may differ depending on the types of organization culture and organization culture has positive effect on job satisfaction and organizational commitment. Thirdly, mission-oriented command has some effect which derives from its impact on organization efficiency that also effects rational culture and rank hierarchy culture. These study results suggest different measures in terms of practice and policy. Firstly. within the military organization, precise communication will lead to job satisfaction without unnecessary overload of communication. Also. we have rationale culture, agreement culture and rank hierarchy culture forming our organization culture. There is a need to apply elements of mission-oriented command depending on the types of organization culture. Secondly, to maximize organization performance through mission-oriented command, we have to strengthen the rationale and rank hierarchy cultures and especially introduce development culture which should be established within the military organization.