• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision-Making Models

검색결과 674건 처리시간 0.026초

크리깅 근사모델을 이용한 강건설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Robust Design Using Kriging Surrogate Models)

  • 이권희;조용철;박경진
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한기계학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.870-875
    • /
    • 2004
  • Current trend of design technologies shows engineers to objectify or automate the given decision-making process. The numerical optimization is an example of such technologies. However, in numerical optimization, the uncertainties are uncontrollable to efficiently objectify or automate the process. To better manage these uncertainties, Taguchi method, reliability-based optimization and robust optimization are being used. To obtain the target performance with the maximum robustness is the main functional requirement of a mechanical system. In this research, the robust design strategy is developed based on the DACE and the global optimization approaches. The DACE modeling, known as the one of Kriging interpolation, is introduced to obtain the surrogate approximation model of the system. The robustness is determined by the DACE model to reduce the real function calculations. The simulated annealing algorithm of global optimization methods is adopted to determine the global robust design of a surrogated model. The mathematical problems and the MEMS design problem are investigated to show the validity of the proposed method.

  • PDF

기회비용개념을 이용한 실물옵션가치분석 (Pricing Real Options Value Based On the Opportunity Cost Concept)

  • 김규태;김윤배
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2001
  • Traditionally, companies have been concerned with making an investment decision either to go now or never to go forever. However, owing to the development of the theory of options pricing in a financial investment field and its introduction to the appraisal of real investments in these days, we are now partially allowed to derive the value of a managerial flexibility of real investment projects. In this paper, we derived a general mathematical model to price the option value of real investment projects assuming that they have only one-period of time under which uncertainty exists. This mathematical model was developed based on the opportunity cost concept. We will show a simple numerical example to illustrate how the mathematical model works comparing it with the existing models.

  • PDF

Bayesian Statistical Modeling of System Energy Saving Effectiveness for MAC Protocols of Wireless Sensor Networks: The Case of Non-Informative Prior Knowledge

  • Kim, Myong-Hee;Park, Man-Gon
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
    • /
    • 제13권6호
    • /
    • pp.890-900
    • /
    • 2010
  • The Bayesian networks methods provide an efficient tool for performing information fusion and decision making under conditions of uncertainty. This paper proposes Bayes estimators for the system effectiveness in energy saving of the wireless sensor networks by use of the Bayesian method under the non-informative prior knowledge about means of active and sleep times based on time frames of sensor nodes in a wireless sensor network. And then, we conduct a case study on some Bayesian estimation models for the system energy saving effectiveness of a wireless sensor network, and evaluate and compare the performance of proposed Bayesian estimates of the system effectiveness in energy saving of the wireless sensor network. In the case study, we have recognized that the proposed Bayesian system energy saving effectiveness estimators are excellent to adapt in evaluation of energy efficiency using non-informative prior knowledge from previous experience with robustness according to given values of parameters.

분류모형과 DEA를 이용한 두뇌한국(BK) 21 사업단 효율성 분석 (Data Envelopment Analysis and Logistic Model for BRAIN KOREA 21)

  • 손소영;주용규
    • 산업공학
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.249-260
    • /
    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to measure and to predict the efficiency of participating groups of BK 21 by using DEA. DEA is a methodology to measure and to evaluate the relative efficiency of a homogeneous set of decision-making units (DMUs) in a process which uses multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs. In order to reflect the effect of the environmental factors of BK 21, we consider not only a general DEA model but also a logistic model for DEA. As a result, location of participating groups of BK 21 turns out to be significant. Our proposed approach can predict the efficiency of a new BK 21 group with given environmental factors. It is expected that these models can give a feedback for effective management of BK 21.

Quality Function Deployment(QFD)와 Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)를 이용한 유도무기의 시스템 요구도 분석 (System Requirement Analysis of Guided Missile using Quality Function Deployment(QFD) and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP))

  • 노경호;황성환;이기승;강동석;김지억
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.67-72
    • /
    • 2009
  • User Requirements are analyzed and quantified by decision making models and system engineering methods to select alternative concepts which satisfy the various requirements. In this study, the design concepts for guided missile are derived using Quality Function Deployment(QFD) and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). The design alternatives that satisfy the user requirements are extracted by QFD and Morphological Matrix, then the best design concept are obtained using AHP and Pugh concept Selection.

  • PDF

Highway traffic noise modeling and estimation based on vehicles volume and speed

  • Rassafi, Amir Abbas;Ghassempour, Jafar
    • Advances in environmental research
    • /
    • 제4권4호
    • /
    • pp.211-218
    • /
    • 2015
  • Traffic noise estimation models are useful in evaluation of the noise pollution in current circumstances. They are helpful tools for design and planning new roads and highways. Measurement of average traffic noise level is possible when traffic speed and volume are known. The objective of this study was to devise a model for prediction of highway traffic noise levels based on current traffic variables in Iran. The design of this model was to take the impact of traffic congestion into consideration and to be field tested. This study is a library research augmented by field study conducted on Saeedi Highway located south west of Tehran. The period for the field study lasted 5 days from 7-12 February, 2013. This study examined liner and non-liner methods in formulation of its model. Liner method without a fixed coefficient was the best fit for the intended model. The proposed model can serve as a decision making tool to estimate the impact of key influential factors on sound pressure levels in urban areas in Iran.

Performance-based remaining life assessment of reinforced concrete bridge girders

  • Anoop, M.B.;Rao, K. Balaji;Raghuprasad, B.K.
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.69-97
    • /
    • 2016
  • Performance-based remaining life assessment of reinforced concrete bridge girders, subject to chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement, is addressed in this paper. Towards this, a methodology that takes into consideration the human judgmental aspects in expert decision making regarding condition state assessment is proposed. The condition of the bridge girder is specified by the assignment of a condition state from a set of predefined condition states, considering both serviceability- and ultimate- limit states, and, the performance of the bridge girder is described using performability measure. A non-homogeneous Markov chain is used for modelling the stochastic evolution of condition state of the bridge girder with time. The thinking process of the expert in condition state assessment is modelled within a probabilistic framework using Brunswikian theory and probabilistic mental models. The remaining life is determined as the time over which the performance of the girder is above the required performance level. The usefulness of the methodology is illustrated through the remaining life assessment of a reinforced concrete T-beam bridge girder.

An intelligent consultant for material handling euqipment selection and evaluation

  • Park, Yang-Byung;Cha, Kyung-Cheon
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1995년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 전남대학교; 28-29 Apr. 1995
    • /
    • pp.79-90
    • /
    • 1995
  • The material handling equipment selection, that is a key task in the material handling system design, is a complex, difficult task, and requires a massive technical knowledge and systematic analysis. It is invaluable to justify the selected equipment model by the performance evaluation before its actual implementation. This paper presents an intelligent knowledge-based expert system called "IMESE" created by authors, for the selection and evaluation of material handling equipment model suitable for movement and storage of materials in a manufacturing facility. The IMESE is consisted of four modules: a knowledge base to select an appropriate equipment type, a multiple criteria decision making procedure to choose the most favorable commercial model of the selected equipment type, a database to store the list of commercial models of equipment types with their specifications, and simulators to evaluate the performance of the equipment model. The whole process of IMESE is executed under VP-Expert expert system environment.vironment.

  • PDF

Optimal Learning of Fuzzy Neural Network Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm

  • Kim, Dong-Hwa;Cho, Jae-Hoon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.421-426
    • /
    • 2005
  • Fuzzy logic, neural network, fuzzy-neural network play an important as the key technology of linguistic modeling for intelligent control and decision making in complex systems. The fuzzy-neural network (FNN) learning represents one of the most effective algorithms to build such linguistic models. This paper proposes particle swarm optimization algorithm based optimal learning fuzzy-neural network (PSOA-FNN). The proposed learning scheme is the fuzzy-neural network structure which can handle linguistic knowledge as tuning membership function of fuzzy logic by particle swarm optimization algorithm. The learning algorithm of the PSOA-FNN is composed of two phases. The first phase is to find the initial membership functions of the fuzzy neural network model. In the second phase, particle swarm optimization algorithm is used for tuning of membership functions of the proposed model.

  • PDF

지능에이전트를 이용한 개방형 셀 제어기 개발 (Intelligent Agent-based Open Architecture Cell Controller)

  • 황지현;최경현;이석희
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정밀공학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.393-397
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper addresses an Intelligent Agent-based Open Architecture Cell Controller for Intelligent Manufacturing System(IMS). With an Intelligent Agent approach, the IMS will be a independent, autonomous, distributed system and achieve a adaptability to change of manufacturing environment. As the development methodology of Open Architecture Cell Controller, an object-oriented modeling technique is employed for building models associated with IMS operation, such as resource model, product model, and control model. Intelligent Agent-based Open Architecture Cell Controller consists of two kinds of dependant agents, that are the active agent and the coordinator agent. The Active agent is contributed to control components of IMS in real-time. The coordinator agent has great role in scheduling and planning of IMS. It communicates with other active agents to get information about status on system and generates the next optimal task through the making-decision logic and dispatch it to other active agent.

  • PDF