• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision Cost

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확률론적 생애주기비용-이익분석 기반 수명관리 최적화 기법 (Optimum Service Life Management Based on Probabilistic Life-Cycle Cost-Benefit Analysis)

  • 김선용
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2016
  • 사회기반시설물을 포함한 구조물은 수명유지 또는 연장을 위하여 적절한 점검과 유지보수가 필수적이다. 이러한 점검과 유지보수는 일반적으로 생애주기비용 평가를 통해 관련 계획이 수립된다. 본 논문에서는 구조물의 생애주기비용과 그 사용으로 인해 발생되는 이익을 고려하는 확률론적 비용-이익분석과 이를 통한 구조물 최적수명 결정 방법을 다루고자 한다. 생애주기비용은 구조물 초기 제작/건설비용, 유지보수 비용과 구조물 파괴로 인한 예상손실을 고려하게 된다. 일반적으로 구조물의 수명연장은 생애주기비용의 증가를 유발하나 사용기간 증가로 인해 발생되는 이익 또한 증가하여, 이를 최적화하는 수명관리에 관심을 가질 필요가 있다. 생애주기 평가에 있어서 유지보수 적용이 구조성능, 구조물 파괴확률 그리고 수명에 미치는 영향을 확률론적 방법을 적용하여 평가하며, 이를 통해 생애주기비용과 이익의 차이를 목적함수로 구성하게 된다. 이 목적함수가 최대가 되는 지점이 설계변수인 구조물 최적수명이 되는데, 최적화문제 구성에 있어서 제한조건의 변화에 따라 유지보수 계획수립도 가능하다. 본 논문에서 다루어지는 구조물 수명관리 최적화기법이 안전성과 효율성을 동시에 고려하는 사회기반시설물 수명관리에 기여할 것으로 기대한다.

신뢰성에 기반한 구조물 의사결정 방법 (Reliability - Based Decision Analysis for Structures)

  • 김이현;김동근;한서연
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.3208-3213
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    • 2011
  • It has regarded an attempt to design and construct more safe structures as challenges such as fate. In order to operate public facilities safely, It can be taken how to improve the resistance to applied load by increasing the cross-section of structural members or by installing reinforcement. But inevitably such a way is accompanied by an increase of construction cost or maintenance cost. To make a cost-effective construction, Reliability-based decision analysis which can judge the adequacy of investment is suggested using statistical data of the load, resistance and the maintenance cost.

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실물 옵션을 이용한 최적 투자 의사결정 시기 선택 모형 (Optimal Investment Decision Timing Model Using Real Options Approach)

  • 이재한;이동주;안재현
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2001
  • Net Present Value (NPV) criterion has been the most widely used criterion to evaluate investment opportunities. However, the analysis based on the NPV criterion falls to consider the managerial flexibility of deferring decisions until major uncertainty is resolved. Recently, real options method attracted a lot of attention as a Powerful approach to address the problem. If investment decision is deferred, the value of the investment opportunity increases but opportunity cost increases at the same time. Therefore, it is important to decide the optimal timing how long the decision can be deferred. In this paper, we developed a model deciding the optimal decision timing. Using the real options approach, the model derived the optimal deferring time until a decision is made. Then, the model was applied to a Korean mobile telecommunications company who wants to invest on the wireless resale business. We believe that this model would be very useful to overcome the problem of NPV decision criterion. With this approach, we can make contingent decisions based on the observation of uncertainly resolutions.

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Decision-Makings of CoPS Innovation Strategy, Power and Dominant Design - the Case of SKT and KTF

  • Kim, Jong-Seok;Miles, Ian;Flanagan, Kieron
    • 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국기술혁신학회 2017년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.219-219
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    • 2017
  • This study aims at examining each firm's decision-makings of complex product and system (hereafter CoPS) innovation strategy, so that it tries to reveal the nature and role of CoPS innovations strategy. And it designed a comparative case study along with qualitative methods, by having two mobile operators' digital rights management (hereafter DRM) innovation in South Korea's digital music service industry. Through literature review, this study formulated three research propositions: (i) Each firm's decision-makings of CoPS innovations strategy are analytical negotiation process among economic actors in an industry; (ii) Each firm's market power originated from its market share from the installed base through network effect and switching cost influence decision-makings of CoPS innovation strategies; (iii) Each firm's decision-makings of different CoPS innovation strategies are related to their intension of achieving better market power, consequently dominant design. Through empirical examination of two mobile operators' decision-makings of DRM innovation strategy, this study empirically verified three research propositions.

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Synthesis of Spatial Results to Recommend a Preferred Alternative

  • 임광섭;강신욱
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.798-802
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    • 2010
  • The integration of GIS and fuzzy MCDA(Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis) allows the engineer to determine the preferred alternative for each spatial location in the study area. The next step is to recommend to the final decision makers a single flood management alternative for the entire region. Note that if the study area is large, it might be possible to use the kind of information to recommend different alternatives for different portions of the region. However, for this study it is assumed that only a single alternative will be used. In this study, a "cost of uniformity" metric is proposed that allows decision makers to compute the impact of selecting a single alternative for the entire floodplain. This metric represents the increase in the average distance metric value as compared to the spatially diverse solution from the MCDA and GIS analysis. The results could be applied to any region of the floodplain as desired. Whether the decision makers decide to apply these calculations to the entire floodplain or to specific important regions within the floodplain, an analysis of the increases in the cost of uniformity provides an integrated way for the decision maker to rank the alternatives. This should provide an improvement in their engineering analysis.

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다품목(多品目) 생산체제(生産體制)의 생산계획(生産計劃)을 위한 모델 (A Model for Production Planning in a Multi-item Production System -Multi-item Parametric Decision Rule-)

  • 최병규
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 1975
  • This paper explores a quantitative decision-making system for planning production, inventories and work-force in a multi-item production system. The Multi-item Parametric Decision Rule (MPDR) model, which assumes the existence of two types of linear feed-back rules, one for work-force level and one for production rates, is basically an extension of the existing method of Parametric Production Planning (PPP) proposed by C.H. Jones. The MPDR model, however, explicitly considers the effect of manufacturing progress and other factors such as employee turn-over, difference in work-days between month etc., and it also provides decision rules for production rates of individual items. First, the cost relations of the production system are estimated in terms of mathematical functions, and then decision rules for work-force level and production rates of individual items are establised based upon the estimated objective cost function. Finally, a direct search technique is used to find a set of parameters which minimizes the total cost of the objective function over a specified planning horizon, given estimates of future demands and initial values of inventories and work-force level. As a case problem, a hypothetical decision rule is developed for a particular firm (truck assembly factory).

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소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트에서 수행의 지속행위에 관한 연구 : 문화적 차이의 관점에서 (A Study on Escalation of Commitment Behavior in Software Projects : The Perspective of Cultural Differences)

  • 김인재;심형섭;김종은
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2004
  • The level of sunk cost and risk-taking theory have been offered as one explanation for the escalation of commitment behavior. This Study attempted to replicate Keil's study in Korea. Keil examined the level of sunk cost associated with the risk propensity and risk perception of decision-makers, and these factors are assessed for cross-cultural robustness using matching laboratory experiments carried out in three countries. The level of sunk cost and the risk perception of decision-makers contributed significantly to their continuous willingness to their project. Moreover, the risk propensity of decision-makers was inversely related to risk perception, and this inverse relationship was significantly more weak in Korea than in Singapore. These results show that the sunk-cost effect exists across cultures, and that the risk-taking behaviors are partially mediated by cultural factors.

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O2O 플랫폼 충성도에 플랫폼 정보 품질과 고객 정보품질이 미치는 영향 분석 (An Analysis of the Effect of Platform Information Quality and Customer Information Quality on Customer Loyalty to Online to Offline Platforms)

  • 박준성;박희준
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.23-42
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aims to investigate the impact of two types of information quality, which are platform-oriented information quality and customer-oriented information quality, on customers' decision-making processes in the Online to offline (O2O) platform environment. Grounded in the product brokering efficiency model, which encompasses screening cost, evaluation cost, and decision quality, a model framework was developed. Furthermore, this study explores how these decision-making processes affect customer loyalty. Methods: Given that food delivery apps are the most widely used O2O service in Korea, this study targeted users of these apps for data analysis. We conducted hypothesis testing through a purposive sampling methodology focusing on food delivery app users. A Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling analysis was conducted to analyze the data. The data collection occurred via an online survey from October to December 2021, with a total of 212 respondents participating. Results: The results of this study revealed the significant role of information quality in helping customers' decision processes while using food delivery apps. Specifically, it was found that platform-oriented information positively influences decision quality, while customer-oriented information significantly affects both the reduction of evaluation cost and the enhancement of decision quality. Additionally, the study indicated that lower evaluation costs and higher decision quality lead to increased platform loyalty. However, a reduction in screening cost did not have a significant impact on platform loyalty. Conclusion: While previous studies have overlooked the existence of two sides, service provider and user, in a platform, this research holds significance in its analysis of how information quality impacts loyalty by utilizing the two kinds of information quality. Practitioners can enhance customer loyalty to the platform by enriching customer-oriented information, thereby reducing customers' evaluation costs and encouraging more loyal usage of the platform.

열화시스템의 수리를 위한 베이지안 의사결정 모형의 개발 (A Bayesian Decision Model for a Deteriorating Repairable System)

  • 김택상;안선응
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the development of a decision model to examine the optimal repair action for a deteriorating system. In order to make a reasonable decision, it is necessary to perform an analysis of the uncertainties embedded in deterioration and to evaluate the repair actions based on the expected future cost. Focusing on the power law failure model, the uncertainties related to deterioration are analyzed based on the Bayesian approach. In addition, we develop a decision model for the optimal repair action by applying a repair cost function. A case study is given to illustrate a decision-making process by analyzing the loss incurred due to deterioration.

육상수조 어류양식 생존율에 따른 비용분석모형 (Cost Analysis Model according to Mortality in Land-based Aquaculture)

  • 어윤양
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2016
  • Fish mortality is the most important success factor in aquaculture management. To analyze the effect of mortality considering biological and economic condition is a important problem in land-based aquaculture. This study is aimed to analyze the effect of mortality for duration of cultivation in land-based aquaculture. This study builds the mathematical model that finds the value of decision variable to minimize cost that sums up the water pool usage cost, sorting cost, fingerling cost and feeding cost under critical standing corp constraint. The proposed mathematical model involves many aspects, both biological and economical: (1) number of fingerlings (2) timing and number of batch splitting event, based on (3) fish growth rate, (4) mortality, and (5) several farming expense. Numerical simulation model presented here in. The objective of numerical simulation is to provide for decision makers to analyse and comprehend the proposed model. When extensive biological and cost data become available, the proposed model can be widely applied to yield more accurate results.