• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Cost

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RELIABILITY DATA UPDATE USING CONDITION MONITORING AND PROGNOSTICS IN PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT

  • KIM, HYEONMIN;LEE, SANG-HWAN;PARK, JUN-SEOK;KIM, HYUNGDAE;CHANG, YOON-SUK;HEO, GYUNYOUNG
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2015
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has had a significant role in quantitative decision-making by finding design and operational vulnerabilities and evaluating cost-benefit in improving such weak points. In particular, it has been widely used as the core methodology for risk-informed applications (RIAs). Even though the nature of PSA seeks realistic results, there are still "conservative" aspects. One of the sources for the conservatism is the assumptions of safety analysis and the estimation of failure frequency. Surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis (SDP), utilizing massive databases and information technology, is worth highlighting in terms of its capability for alleviating the conservatism in conventional PSA. This article provides enabling techniques to solidify a method to provide time- and condition-dependent risks by integrating a conventional PSA model with condition monitoring and prognostics techniques. We will discuss how to integrate the results with frequency of initiating events (IEs) and probability of basic events (BEs). Two illustrative examples will be introduced: (1) how the failure probability of a passive system can be evaluated under different plant conditions and (2) how the IE frequency for a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) can be updated in terms of operating time. We expect that the proposed model can take a role of annunciator to show the variation of core damage frequency (CDF) depending on operational conditions.

A Study on the Determinants of Global Sourcing Strategies in Korean Apparel Industry (한국의류산업의 범세계적 조달전략 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • 김용주
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.42-53
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    • 1999
  • Global sourcing strategy is the one that apparel firms adopt in order to improve efficiency. Souring statesgies are not limited to the decision of sourcing country or vertical integration of sewing process Sourcing strategies include all the ecision of marketing process from the acquisition of fabric to distribution of products. The present study aims to analyze the soucing strategies of Korea apparel industry in global perspectives by applying transaction cost approach and aims to provide the implications for the future. The results are as follows ; (1) sourcing strategies in the dimension of domestic versus offshore soucing are determined by the experience in foreign business and the degree of fashionability of the product. (2) Firms tend to increase affshore soucing as they accumulate the experience in foreign business because they can decrease transaction costs as the perceived risks decrease (3) Also firms tend to source their products in foreign countries when the products are more fashionable. Brand loyalty of the product is a additional factor that increases the proportion of domestic sourcing. (4) Degree of vertical integration of sourcing is determined by the fashionability brand loyalty and the experience in foreign business. That is firms decrease the transaction costs by avoiding the investment to short life fashion products. However firms increase the control over the high reputation product by in house production. As the apparel firms tend to more marketing oriented and the national boundaries of business envrionment becomes permeable more efficient global sourcing strategies should be stablished, Besides the production costs nonproduction costs should be equallly considered in order to analyze the total costs.

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A Study to Analyze Service Life of Expressway Pavement according to Traffic Volumes and De-icing Chemicals (교통량 및 제설제 사용량에 따른 고속도로 포장의 공용수명 분석)

  • Kim, Chan-Woo;An, Soo-Han;Park, Hee-Young;Lee, Jung-Hun;Jung, Chul-Ki
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to analyze the service life of expressway pavement based on both traffic volumes and use of deicing chemicals. METHODS : A database was built using expressway rehabilitation history information from over the last decade. In order to estimate the service life of expressway pavement, various analysis methods were considered, and a decision was made to perform analysis using a method based on an accumulated rehabilitation ratio. The service life of expressway pavement was then analyzed by classifying the scale of traffic volume and extent of de-icing chemicals used. RESULTS : The service life of PMA and SMA ranged from 7.8 to 10.6 years and from 9.9 to 12.0 years, respectively. The service life of JCP ranged from 16.0 to 22.2 years, and the service life of CRCP was 33.5 years on average. Results of assessing service life according to traffic volumes and de-icing chemicals showed that the lower the traffic volumes were, the greater the service life of PMA and JCP, and the less that de-icing chemicals were applied, the greater the service life of JCP. CONCLUSIONS : The dependence of expressway pavement service life on traffic volumes and de-icing chemicals makes it possible to apply LCCA for regional maintenance plans and cost-effective selection of expressway pavement type.

Survey of conditions of dental prosthesis incentives of it in some area in Korea (우리나라 일부지역의 치과보철물 장착 동기에 관련된 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Bong-Jin;Kim, Jeoung-Sook
    • Journal of Technologic Dentistry
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.119-142
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    • 2003
  • In the present work the knowledge of dental health as well as dental prosthesis has been studied on the basis of analysis of current dental prosthetic treatments for dental diseases prophylaxis and the final decision for dental prosthetic appliance. The results have been analyzed by the current dental health care and the subjective acknowledgement from 700 people of urban as well as rural inhabitance in our country. The results from the present work have been summarized as following: Depending dental status has been shown worse to be in the cases of divorce and bereavement, age and less educated or jobless. It is also interesting to note that the dental status has shown to be even worse than health status. It has been shown that the dental prosthetic treatments have been mainly caused by the oral disease (62.2%) and depend on the age and the educational level. According to the actual status of dental prosthetic treatments, the fixed partial denture was the most case (78.9%) that increased as divorced, bereavement and as less educated, less income, retired and jobless as well as from urban to rural. As a clinic for the dental prosthetic treatments, dental clinics have been most frequent visited as indicated by 59.6%, then the un-licensed dentist (6.5%), then the hospitals (3.7%), then the public health centers (2.2%). Most of those who are older in age, less educated and jobless have been treated by the un-licensed dentists. In point of view on the cost for dental prosthetic treatments, 93.1% have claimed to be too expensive, in as the divorced and the bereaved, the older age, the less educated and the jobless. About satisfaction of dental prosthetic treatments, 51.4% was satisfied, 39.4% was normal and 9.2% was dissatisfied. Most of people experienced increasing levels of satisfaction as their income increase. Most in the age range of 40-60 have wanted to be insured for the dental prosthetic treatments. It is also interesting to note that the older age and the less educated wanted to apply this kind of insurance.

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A Case Study on a Real-Time Enterprise to Improve Operational Efficiency of Medical Institutions - Centering on the Main Process of Seoul St. Mary's Hospital - (의료기관 운영 효율성 제고를 위한 실시간 기업(RTE) 사례 연구 - 서울성모병원 핵심 프로세스를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Byeong-Tae;Lee, Dong-Hyeon
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.143-169
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    • 2010
  • This is a case study of Seoul St. Mary's Hospital applying a real-time enterprise (RTE) strategy to improve customer satisfaction and operational efficiency with the main process of medical institutions. The hospital is applying an RTE strategy to get real-time information on occurrences at each contact point of the main process of the medical institution from reservation to discharge through dashboard and to resolve issues through rapid decision-making. The RTE strategy of the hospital has some summaries: First, the hospital has linked a hospital management strategy to the RTE strategy to build a patient-centered treatment process. Second, the hospital has operated a control tower for change management and implementation monitoring in the process of implementing the RTE strategy. Third, the hospital has built systematic RTE-based environment as an application program in which the nU System is linked to Business Processor Renovation (BPR) promoted from 2006 on. Fourth, the hospital is applying a strategy to improve efficiency in operating the hospital by increasing customer satisfaction, removing inefficiency and variability, and managing medical resources efficiently through the RTE strategy. Fifth, it has established an information-sharing system through authority management for each user in terms of RTE information. Sixth, it has supplemented limitations of short-term information of the RTE strategy by linking the key performance index to the cost information system in order to improve performance of the RTE strategy. Seventh, it has improved customer satisfaction and achieved higher performance in improving operational efficiency, as compared with rival hospitals, through the RTE strategy.

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Analysis on Static Characteristics for Greylist-based SPIT Level Decision of VoIP SPAM Calls (VoIP 스팸 Call의 Grey List 기반 SPIT 레벨 결정을 위한 정적 속성 분석 연구*)

  • Chang, Eun-Shil;Kim, Hyoug-Jong;Kang, Seung-Seok;Cho, Young-Duk;Kim, Myuhng-Joo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2007
  • VoIP service provides various functions that PSTN phone service hasn't been able to provide. Since it also has superiority in service charge, the number of user is increasing these days. When we think of the other side in cost aspect, the spam caller can also send his/her commercial message over phone line using more economic way. This paper presents the characteristics that should be considered to detect the spam call using greylisting method. We have explored static and dynamic characteristics in VoIP calls, and analyzed the relation among them. Especially, we have surveyed the authentication and charging method of Korean VoIP service provider. We have analyzed each charging method using our spam call simulation result, and derived the charging method that can be favored by spam caller. The contribution of the work is in analysis result of static aspect for SPIT Level calculation in greylisting method.

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A GIS and Expert System Based Transportation Facility Management System for Local Government (전문가시스템과 지리정보시스템을 이용한 지방정부의 교통시설물관리시스템 개발)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo;Suh, Bon-Yang;Park, In-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.5 no.2 s.10
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this paper is to implement a GIS and expert system based integrated computing environment for urban facility management, especially with an emphasis on transportation facilities. GIS has been utilized for constructing and managing the database of various transportation facilities, while expert system for executing human expert's role of making priorities, budgeting, and other functions associated with facility management Focusing on roadway sign system, the integrated system proposes new concept of managing sign facilities which leads to the birth of effective decision support system that may be used in local government like Seoul. The proposed concept and system, if supplemented with more functions required by local governments, can be a low cost solution for such facility management tasks. Son discussion and future research agenda have also been addressed.

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Decision of Neural Network Architecture for Software Development Effort Estimation using Prior Information (사전 정보를 이용한 소프트웨어 개발노력 추정 신경망 구조 결정)

  • 박석규;유창열;박영목
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.2 no.9
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    • pp.1191-1198
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    • 2001
  • An increasingly important facet of software development is the ability to estimate the associate cost and effort of development early in the development life cycle. Most of the proposed models are based upon a combination of intuition, expert judgement, and regression analysis of empirical data. Overall, the work has failed to produce any single model that can be applied with a reasonable degree of success to a variety of environments. This paper presents a neural network (NN) model that related software development effort to software size measured in function element types. The heuristic approach is applied to decide the number of hidden neurons in NN from the relationship between input-output pairs. The research describes appropriate NN modeling in the context of a case study for 24 software development projects. Also, this paper compared the NN model with a regression analysis model and found the NN model has better accuracy.

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Refining and Validating a Two-stage and Web-based Cancer Risk Assessment Tool for Village Doctors in China

  • Shen, Xing-Rong;Chai, Jing;Feng, Rui;Liu, Tong-Zhu;Tong, Gui-Xian;Cheng, Jing;Li, Kai-Chun;Xie, Shao-Yu;Shi, Yong;Wang, De-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.24
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    • pp.10683-10690
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    • 2015
  • The big gap between efficacy of population level prevention and expectations due to heterogeneity and complexity of cancer etiologic factors calls for selective yet personalized interventions based on effective risk assessment. This paper documents our research protocol aimed at refining and validating a two-stage and web-based cancer risk assessment tool, from a tentative one in use by an ongoing project, capable of identifying individuals at elevated risk for one or more types of the 80% leading cancers in rural China with adequate sensitivity and specificity and featuring low cost, easy application and cultural and technical sensitivity for farmers and village doctors. The protocol adopted a modified population-based case control design using 72, 000 non-patients as controls, 2, 200 cancer patients as cases, and another 600 patients as cases for external validation. Factors taken into account comprised 8 domains including diet and nutrition, risk behaviors, family history, precancerous diseases, related medical procedures, exposure to environment hazards, mood and feelings, physical activities and anthropologic and biologic factors. Modeling stresses explored various methodologies like empirical analysis, logistic regression, neuro-network analysis, decision theory and both internal and external validation using concordance statistics, predictive values, etc..

An Implementation of Knowledge-based BIM System for Representing Design Knowledge on Massing Calculation in Architectural Pre-Design Phase (건축기획 매스 규모산정의 설계지식 재현을 위한 지식기반 BIM 시스템 구현)

  • Lee, Byung-Soo;Ji, Seung-Yeul;Jun, Han-Jong
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.252-266
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    • 2016
  • An architectural pre-design, which is conducted prior to the architecture design, supports fundamental configuration during the entire AEC project by predicting the cost, demand, etc., of the building, and is therefore gaining importance. In particular, the massing calculation of the pre-design phase should be prioritized, as it is fundamental to architectural outline. However, most architects depend on only their experience and intuition while conceptualizing an integrated framework of design conditions, including the building code and requirements for the massing calculation of the object. Therefore, many difficulties arise in terms of performing appropriate tasks. Thus, the purpose of this study is to implement a knowledge-based BIM for explicitly representing the design knowledge, which is the basis of decision making for an architect while performing the massing calculation. In particular, the 3D knowledge relevant to a project can be provided and accumulated in the massing calculation by the BIM system; this facilitates an integral understanding. Consequently, the approximate result of massing calculation in 3D BIM environment, through both the knowledge-based BIM template and plug-in, can be swiftly provided to the architect. In addition, the architect can invent various alternatives, estimate resulting costs, and reuse the accumulated knowledge in future BIM design processes.