• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data-Driven Prediction Model

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Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen at Anyang-stream using XG-Boost and Artificial Neural Networks

  • Keun Young Lee;Bomchul Kim;Gwanghyun Jo
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 2024
  • Dissolved oxygen (DO) is an important factor in ecosystems. However, the analysis of DO is frequently rather complicated because of the nonlinear phenomenon of the river system. Therefore, a convenient model-free algorithm for DO variable is required. In this study, a data-driven algorithm for predicting DO was developed by combining XGBoost and an artificial neural network (ANN), called ANN-XGB. To train the model, two years of ecosystem data were collected in Anyang, Seoul using the Troll 9500 model. One advantage of the proposed algorithm is its ability to capture abrupt changes in climate-related features that arise from sudden events. Moreover, our algorithm can provide a feature importance analysis owing to the use of XGBoost. The results obtained using the ANN-XGB algorithm were compared with those obtained using the ANN algorithm in the Results Section. The predictions made by ANN-XGB were mostly in closer agreement with the measured DO values in the river than those made by the ANN.

Analysis of Impact of Hydrologic Data on Neuro-Fuzzy Technique Result (수문자료가 Neuro-Fuzzy 기법 결과에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Ji, Jungwon;Choi, Changwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1413-1424
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the frequency of severe storms increases in Korea. Severe storms occurring in a short time cause huge losses of both life and property. A considerable research has been performed for the flood control system development based on an accurate stream discharge prediction. A physical model is mainly used for flood forecasting and warning. Physical rainfall-runoff models used for the conventional flood forecasting process require extensive information and data, and include uncertainties which can possibly accumulate errors during modelling processes. ANFIS, a data driven model combining neural network and fuzzy technique, can decrease the amount of physical data required for the construction of a conventional physical models and easily construct and evaluate a flood forecasting model by utilizing only rainfall and water level data. A data driven model, however, has a disadvantage that it does not provide the mathematical and physical correlations between input and output data of the model. The characteristics of a data driven model according to functional options and input data such as the change of clustering radius and training data length used in the ANFIS model were analyzed in this study. In addition, the applicability of ANFIS was evaluated through comparison with the results of HEC-HMS which is widely used for rainfall-runoff model in Korea. The neuro-fuzzy technique was applied to a Cheongmicheon Basin in the South Han River using the observed precipitation and stream level data from 2007 to 2011.

Rainfall-Runoff Analysis using SURR Model in Imjin River Basin

  • Linh, Trinh Ha;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.439-439
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    • 2015
  • The temporal and spatial relationship of the weather elements such as rainfall and temperature is closely linked to the streamflow simulation, especially, to the flood forecasting problems. For the study area, Imjin river basin, which has the specific characteristics in geography with river cross operation between North and South Korea, the meteorological information in the northern area is totally deficiency, lead to the inaccuracy of streamflow estimation. In the paper, this problem is solved by using the combination of global (such as soil moisture content, land use) and local hydrologic components data such as weather data (precipitation, evapotranspiration, humidity, etc.) for the model-driven runoff (surface flow, lateral flow and groundwater flow) data in each subbasin. To compute the streamflow in Imjin river basin, this study is applied the hydrologic model SURR (Sejong Univ. Rainfall-Runoff) which is the continuous rainfall-runoff model used physical foundations, originally based on Storage Function Model (SFM) to simulate the intercourse of the soil properties, weather factors and flow value. The result indicates the spatial variation in the runoff response of the different subbasins influenced by the input data. The dependancy of runoff simulation accuracy depending on the qualities of input data and model parameters is suggested in this study. The southern region with the dense of gauges and the adequate data shows the good results of the simulated discharge. Eventually, the application of SURR model in Imjin riverbasin gives the accurate consequence in simulation, and become the subsequent runoff for prediction in the future process.

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Utilizing Machine Learning Algorithms for Recruitment Predictions of IT Graduates in the Saudi Labor Market

  • Munirah Alghamlas;Reham Alabduljabbar
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2024
  • One of the goals of the Saudi Arabia 2030 vision is to ensure full employment of its citizens. Recruitment of graduates depends on the quality of skills that they may have gained during their study. Hence, the quality of education and ensuring that graduates have sufficient knowledge about the in-demand skills of the market are necessary. However, IT graduates are usually not aware of whether they are suitable for recruitment or not. This study builds a prediction model that can be deployed on the web, where users can input variables to generate predictions. Furthermore, it provides data-driven recommendations of the in-demand skills in the Saudi IT labor market to overcome the unemployment problem. Data were collected from two online job portals: LinkedIn and Bayt.com. Three machine learning algorithms, namely, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor, and Naïve Bayes were used to build the model. Furthermore, descriptive and data analysis methods were employed herein to evaluate the existing gap. Results showed that there existed a gap between labor market employers' expectations of Saudi workers and the skills that the workers were equipped with from their educational institutions. Planned collaboration between industry and education providers is required to narrow down this gap.

Prototype Development of Marine Information based Supporting System for Oil Spill Response (해양정보기반 방제지원시스템 프로토타입 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Lee, Moonjin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2008
  • In oder to develop a decision supporting system for oil spill response, the prototype of pollution response support system which has integrated oil spill prediction system and pollution risk prediction system has developed for Incheon-Daesan area. Spill prediction system calculates oil spill aspects based on real-time wind data and real-time water flow and the residual volume of spilt oil and spread pattern are calculated considering the characteristic of spilt oil. In this study, real-time data is created from results of real-time meteorological forecasting model(National Institute of Environmental Research) using ftp, real-time tidal currents datasets are built using CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) model and real-time wind-driven currents are calculated applying the correlation function between wind and wind-driven currents. In order to model the feature which is spilt oil spreading according to real-time water flow is weathered, the decrease ratio by oil kinds was used. These real-time data and real-time prediction information have been integrated with ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) and response resources and then these are provided using GIS as a whole system to make the response strategy.

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Predicting flux of forward osmosis membrane module using deep learning (딥러닝을 이용한 정삼투 막모듈의 플럭스 예측)

  • Kim, Jaeyoon;Jeon, Jongmin;Kim, Noori;Kim, Suhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2021
  • Forward osmosis (FO) process is a chemical potential driven process, where highly concentrated draw solution (DS) is used to take water through semi-permeable membrane from feed solution (FS) with lower concentration. Recently, commercial FO membrane modules have been developed so that full-scale FO process can be applied to seawater desalination or water reuse. In order to design a real-scale FO plant, the performance prediction of FO membrane modules installed in the plant is essential. Especially, the flux prediction is the most important task because the amount of diluted draw solution and concentrate solution flowing out of FO modules can be expected from the flux. Through a previous study, a theoretical based FO module model to predict flux was developed. However it needs an intensive numerical calculation work and a fitting process to reflect a complex module geometry. The idea of this work is to introduce deep learning to predict flux of FO membrane modules using 116 experimental data set, which include six input variables (flow rate, pressure, and ion concentration of DS and FS) and one output variable (flux). The procedure of optimizing a deep learning model to minimize prediction error and overfitting problem was developed and tested. The optimized deep learning model (error of 3.87%) was found to predict flux better than the theoretical based FO module model (error of 10.13%) in the data set which were not used in machine learning.

Numerical Prediction of Smoke Concentration in a Compartment Fire by Using the Modified Volumetric Heat Source Model (수정된 체적열원모델을 이용한 실내 화재의 연기농도 예측)

  • Kim Sung-Chan;Lee Seong-Hyuk
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.344-350
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    • 2006
  • The present study investigates the characteristics of fire-driven heat flows and gas concentration in a compartment fire by using the modified VHS model (MVHS). The main idea of this model is to add some source terms for combustion products and oxygen consumption to the original VHS model for providing more accurate and useful information on gas concentration distributions as well as thermal fields. It is found that the present MVHS model shows fairly good agreement with the experimental data and the eddy breakup combustion model. The tilting angle of fire plume calculated by MVHS is larger than that of EBU model because the fire source of VHS is affected by ventilating flow less than EBU. However, this discrepancy is apparently reduced in the downstream region of fire source.

Data-driven Modeling for Valve Size and Type Prediction Using Machine Learning (머신 러닝을 이용한 밸브 사이즈 및 종류 예측 모델 개발)

  • Chanho Kim;Minshick Choi;Chonghyo Joo;A-Reum Lee;Yun Gun;Sungho Cho;Junghwan Kim
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.62 no.3
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    • pp.214-224
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    • 2024
  • Valves play an essential role in a chemical plant such as regulating fluid flow and pressure. Therefore, optimal selection of the valve size and type is essential task. Valve size and type have been selected based on theoretical formulas about calculating valve sizing coefficient (Cv). However, this approach has limitations such as requiring expert knowledge and consuming substantial time and costs. Herein, this study developed a model for predicting valve sizes and types using machine learning. We developed models using four algorithms: ANN, Random Forest, XGBoost, and Catboost and model performances were evaluated using NRMSE & R2 score for size prediction and F1 score for type prediction. Additionally, a case study was conducted to explore the impact of phases on valve selection, using four datasets: total fluids, liquids, gases, and steam. As a result of the study, for valve size prediction, total fluid, liquid, and gas dataset demonstrated the best performance with Catboost (Based on R2, total: 0.99216, liquid: 0.98602, gas: 0.99300. Based on NRMSE, total: 0.04072, liquid: 0.04886, gas: 0.03619) and steam dataset showed the best performance with RandomForest (R2: 0.99028, NRMSE: 0.03493). For valve type prediction, Catboost outperformed all datasets with the highest F1 scores (total: 0.95766, liquids: 0.96264, gases: 0.95770, steam: 1.0000). In Engineering Procurement Construction industry, the proposed fluid-specific machine learning-based model is expected to guide the selection of suitable valves based on given process conditions and facilitate faster decision-making.

Review on Applications of Machine Learning in Coastal and Ocean Engineering

  • Kim, Taeyoon;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.194-210
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    • 2022
  • Recently, an analysis method using machine learning for solving problems in coastal and ocean engineering has been highlighted. Machine learning models are effective modeling tools for predicting specific parameters by learning complex relationships based on a specified dataset. In coastal and ocean engineering, various studies have been conducted to predict dependent variables such as wave parameters, tides, storm surges, design parameters, and shoreline fluctuations. Herein, we introduce and describe the application trend of machine learning models in coastal and ocean engineering. Based on the results of various studies, machine learning models are an effective alternative to approaches involving data requirements, time-consuming fluid dynamics, and numerical models. In addition, machine learning can be successfully applied for solving various problems in coastal and ocean engineering. However, to achieve accurate predictions, model development should be conducted in addition to data preprocessing and cost calculation. Furthermore, applicability to various systems and quantifiable evaluations of uncertainty should be considered.

A Three-Dimensional Numerical Model of Circulation and Heat Transport in Coastal Region (연안 해수유동 및 온배수 확산에 관한 3차원 수치모형)

  • 정태성;이길성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.245-259
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    • 1994
  • This paper is concerned with the development of a three-dimensional numerical model for coastal circulation and heat transport with improved prediction ability. The model uses fully nonlinear, time-dependent three-dimensional, $\sigma$-transformed equations of motion and equation of heat transport The model was verified with experimental data for wind-driven current in a one-dimensional channel and thermal jets flowing into stagnant waters and applied for unsteady flow induced by tide and thermal jets in coastal waters around Kori nuclear power plant. The model results were in good agreements with experimental data sets for wind-driven current and thermal jet, and field observed data sets in coastal waters. This study has shown that the $\kappa$-$\varepsilon$ turbulence model is applicable to various coastal conditions without any modification of turbulence constants.

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