• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data trend analysis

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The Effect of Prior Price Trends on Optimistic Forecasting (이전 가격 트렌드가 낙관적 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Young-Doo
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study examines when the optimism impact on financial asset price forecasting and the boundary condition of optimism in the financial asset price forecasting. People generally tend to optimistically forecast their future. Optimism is a nature of human beings and optimistic forecasting observed in daily life. But is it always observed in financial asset price forecasting? In this study, two factors were focused on considering whether the optimism that people have applied to predicting future performance of financial investment products (e.g., mutual fund). First, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied depending on the direction of the prior price trend. Second, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied according to the forecast period by dividing the future forecasted by people into three time horizon based on forecast period. Research design, data, and methodology - 2 (prior price trend: rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) × 3 (forecast time horizon: short term vs medium term vs long term) experimental design was used. Prior price trend was used between subject and forecast time horizon was used within subject design. 169 undergraduate students participated in the experiment. χ2 analysis was used. In this study, prior price trend divided into two types: rising-up trend versus falling-down trend. Forecast time horizon divided into three types: short term (after one month), medium term (after one year), and long term (after five years). Results - Optimistic price forecasting and boundary condition was found. Participants who were exposed to falling-down trend did not make optimistic predictions in the short term, but over time they tended to be more optimistic about the future in the medium term and long term. However, participants who were exposed to rising-up trend were over-optimistic in the short term, but over time, less optimistic in the medium and long term. Optimistic price forecasting was found when participants forecasted in the long term. Exposure to prior price trends (rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) was a boundary condition of optimistic price forecasting. Conclusions - The results indicated that individuals were more likely to be impacted by prior price tends in the short term time horizon, while being optimistic in the long term time horizon.

A Study on Reliability Growth through Failure Analysis by Operational Data of Avionic Equipments (항공전자장비의 운용자료 분석을 통한 신뢰성 성장 연구)

  • Jo, In-Tak;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Park, Jong Hun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.100-108
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    • 2013
  • In aerospace industry, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and MFTBF (Mean Flight Time Between Failure) are generally used for reliability analysis. So far, especially to Korean military aircraft, MFTBF of avionic equipments is predicted by MIL-HDBK-217 and MIL-HDBK-338, however, the predicted MFTBF by military standard has a wide discrepancy to that of real-world operation, which leads to overstock and increase operation cost. This study analyzes operational data of avionic equipments. Operational MFTBF, which is calculated from operational data, is compared with predicted MFTBF calculated conventionally by military standard. In addition, failure rate trend is investigated to verify reliability growth in operational data, the investigation shows that failure rate curve from operational data has somewhat pattern with decreased failure rate and constant failure rate.

A Study on an Improvement of Network Monitoring Performance by Adding Time Variables in SNMP PDU (SNMP PDU의 시간변수 추가를 통한 네트워크 모니터링 성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • 윤천균;정일용
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.6 no.7
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    • pp.1266-1276
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    • 2003
  • Multimedia information containing voice and image is transmitted on Internet, which is ten times or hundred times larger than ordinary information. Analysis types for network management in this environment consist of a real time analysis, a basic analysis and an intensive analysis. The intensive analysis is useful for gathering the trend information of specific objects periodically for certain period in order to monitor network status. When SNMP is applied to collect the trend information of intensive analysis, it brings on the increase of network load, the delay of response time and the decrease of data collection accuracy since an agent responds to manager's every polling. In this paper, an efficient SNMP is proposed and implemented to add time variables in the existing SNMP PDU. It minimizes unnecessary traffic in the intensive analysis between manager and agent, and collects trend information more accurately. The results of experiments show that it has compatibility with the existing SNMP, decreases the amount of network traffic greatly and increases the accuracy of data collection.

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The trend of prevalence of pain in Korea from 2005 to 2016

  • Cho, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Yong-Min;Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Song, Jae-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2020
  • Background: Korean society is afflicted with rapid aging. Aging is a risk factor for pain, and pain can reduce patients' quality of life. Thus, adequate management and monitoring of changing trends accompanying the demographic shift are highly valuable. However, this study was conducted because no studies have investigated the recent changes in the prevalence of pain. Methods: The extent of the prevalence of pain was determined by questions related to quality of life based on the data derived from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey (KNHNS) from 2005 to 2016. The annual frequencies of the pain group and severe pain group were calculated using the survey questionnaire. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to determine possible differences in prevalence by year. Results: The prevalence of pain in all populations was 30.6% in 2005 and 18.9% in 2016. The average prevalence from 2005 to 2016 was 21.9%. A declining trend occurred over time with an odds ratio of 0.929 per year (95% CI: 0.921-0.938). The prevalence of severe pain was 2.35% in 2005 and 1.88% in 2016. Likewise, a decrease was observed over time, with an odds ratio of 0.920 per year at 95% CI 0.901-0.939. The decline in age-/sex-stratified analysis also showed a statistically significant trend in all groups. Conclusions: The prevalence of pain in Korean society, based on the KNHNS, has declined since 2005. Such a trend was observed in all ages and sexs, and was most significant in the elderly.

Lineament analysis in the euiseong area using automatic lineament extraction algorithm (자동 선구조 추출 알고리즘을 이용한 경북 의성지역의 선구조 분석)

  • 김상완
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 1999
  • In this study, we have estimated lineaments in the Euiseong area, Kyungbuk Province, from Landsat TM by applying the algorithm developed by Kim and Won et al. which can effectively reduce the look direction bias associated with the Sun's azimuth angle. Fratures over the study area were also mapped in the field at 57 selected sites to compare them with the results from the satellite image. The trends of lineaments estimated from the Landsat TM images are characterized as $N50^{\circ}$~70W, NS~$N10^{\circ}$W, and $N10^{\circ}$~$60^{\circ}$E trends. The spatial distribution of lineaments is also studied using a circular grid, and the results show that the area can be divided into two domains : domain A in which NS~$N20^{\circ}$E direction is dominant, and domain B in which west-north-west direction is prominent. The trends of lineaments can also be classified into seven groups. Among them, only C, D and G trends are found to be dominant based upon Donnelly's nearest neighbor analysis and correlations of lineament desities. In the color composite image produced by overlaying the lineament density map of these C-, D-, and G-trends, G-trend is shown to be developed in the whole study area while the eastern part of the area is dominated by D-trend. C-trend develops extensively over the whole are except the southeastern part. The orientation of fractures measured at 35 points in the field shows major trends of NS~$N30^{\circ}$E, $N50^{\circ}$~$80^{\circ}$W, and N80$^{\circ}$E~EW, which agree relatively well with the lineaments estimated form the satellite image. The rose diagram analysis fo field data shows that WNW-ESE trending discontinuities are developed in the whole area while discontinuities of NS~$N20^{\circ}$E are develped only in the estern part, which also coincide with the result from the satellite image. The combined results of lineaments from the satellite image and fracture orientation of field data at 22 points including 18 minor faults in Sindong Group imply that the WNW-ESE trend is so prominent that Gumchun and Gaum faults are possibly extended up to the lower Sindong Group in the study area.

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Investigation on Trend Removal in Time Domain Analysis of Electrochemical Noise Data Using Polynomial Fitting and Moving Average Removal Methods

  • Havashinejadian, E.;Danaee, I.;Eskandari, H.;Nikmanesh, S.
    • Journal of Electrochemical Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2017
  • Electrochemical noise signals in many cases exhibit a DC drift that should be removed prior to further data analysis. Polynomial fitting and moving average removal method have been used to remove trends of electrochemical noise (EN) in time domain. The corrosion inhibition of synthesized schiff base N,N'-bis(3,5-dihydroxyacetophenone)-2,2-dimethylpropandiimine on API-5L-X70 steel in hydrochloric acid solutions were used to study the effects of drifts removal methods on noise resistance calculation. Also, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) was used to study the corrosion inhibition property of the inhibitor. The results showed that for the calculation of $R_n$, both methods were effective in trend removal and the polynomial with m=4 and MAR with p=40 were in agreement.

STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE ANNUAL CATCHES OF ANCHOVY, ENGRAULIS JAPONICA, IN KOREA BY MEANS OF PAST DATA (어획 통계고에 의한 멸치의 장기 변동 분석)

  • CHANG Jee-Won;SU Doo-Ok
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 1970
  • By means of past data, taken from the annual catches of anchovy landings in Korea, from the year 1926 to 1967, as reported in the Annual Statistical deports of Fisheries, the future annual catches from the year 1968 to 1973 were predicted by statistical extrapolation. The trend C(t) in the 42 year period above was interpreted by the least square method. Also, the ratio of the actual annual catches Ct to this trend C(t) was regarded as a stationary variate and the serial correlation coefficients $r_k$ were calculated. The type of statistical variate model was therefore determined by the correlogram. A periodical analysis, using Whittaker's method, was performed and a harmonic analysis was also performed. According to these calculations the stationary variate at was fixed and the annual catches following the year 1967 were predicted by extrapolation.

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A Geological Study on the Seoul-Dongducheun Lineament Using Digital Image Processing Teachniques of Landsat Data (LANDSAT DATA의 映像處理手法에 의한 서울-東豆川 간의 LINEAMENT 硏究)

  • 姜必鍾;智光薰;曺民肇;崔映燮
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 1985
  • The study was emphasized on application of the digital image processing techniques for lineament analysis. The major lineament of the study area belongs to Choogaryong faults which many geologists have studied since 1903. Also the lineament is so significant in geological views, because the lineament runs through Seoul area. The several image processing methods such as gradient, Laplacian and spatial filter have been applied, and the spatial filtering is most suitable method for lineament analysis among them. The lineaments distribute predominently in the N20.deg.-30.deg.E trend and N80.deg.-90.deg.W trend which have the conjugated relationship each other, and it coincides with the Gyeongsang conjugate system. The circular structure of study area was developed by cooling circular joint.

Sentiment Orientation Using Deep Learning Sequential and Bidirectional Models

  • Alyamani, Hasan J.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2021
  • Sentiment Analysis has become very important field of research because posting of reviews is becoming a trend. Supervised, unsupervised and semi supervised machine learning methods done lot of work to mine this data. Feature engineering is complex and technical part of machine learning. Deep learning is a new trend, where this laborious work can be done automatically. Many researchers have done many works on Deep learning Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Shor Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Network. These requires high processing speed and memory. Here author suggested two models simple & bidirectional deep leaning, which can work on text data with normal processing speed. At end both models are compared and found bidirectional model is best, because simple model achieve 50% accuracy and bidirectional deep learning model achieve 99% accuracy on trained data while 78% accuracy on test data. But this is based on 10-epochs and 40-batch size. This accuracy can also be increased by making different attempts on epochs and batch size.

A Suggestion of Fashion Planning based on the Male Consumers' Preference on the Recent Fashion Trend according to Their Lifestyle (소비자(消費者) 선호도(選好度) 및 라이프스타일 분석(分析)에 기초(基礎)한 의류상품기획(衣類商品企劃)의 제안(提案) - 남성(男性) 정장류(正裝類)의 캐주얼화 트렌드를 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Park, So-Min;Lee, Joo-Hyeon
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study was 1) to analyze the consumers' preference on the recent trend in men's wear according to their lifestyle and 2) to suggest a suitable direction for men's wear planning based on the lifestyle analysis. A survey was applied to obtain the data set responded from 310 male subjects who were aged between thirties and fourties. The main results of this study are summarized as follows: 1) Five types of recent fashion trends were identified through a qualitative analysis on the recent men's wear trend, which were 'Modern classic casual', 'Retro traditional casual', 'Authentic/Ethnic casual', 'Urban dandy street casual' and the 'Refined sportive casual'. 2) The three types of the respondents' lifestyle were identified in this research and named as 'pursuing sense', 'pursuing tradition' and 'conservative indifference'. Examining the preference on fashion trends according to subjects' lifestyle and etc., the preference level of the 'pursuing sense' group on trend was, in general, higher than that of the two other lifestyle groups. The most preferred trend style of 'pursuing sense' group was the 'Modern Classic'. Finally, a suitable direction for men's wear planning was suggested on the result of analysis in this research.