• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data assimilation techniques

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Variational Data Assimilation for Optimal Initial Conditions in Air Quality Modeling

  • Park, Seon-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.19 no.E2
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2003
  • Variational data assimilation, which is recently introduced to the air quality modeling, is a promising tool for obtaining optimal estimates of initial conditions and other important parameters such as emission and deposition rates. In this paper. two advanced techniques for variational data assimilation, based on the adjoint and quasi-inverse methods, are tested for a simple air quality problem. The four-dimensional variational assimilation (4D-Var) requires to run an adjoint model to provide the gradient information in an iterative minimization process, whereas the inverse 3D-Var (I3D-Var) seeks for optimal initial conditions directly by running a quasi -inverse model. For a process with small dissipation, I3D-Vu outperforms 4D-Var in both computing time and accuracy. Hybrid application which combines I3D-Var and standard 4D-Var is also suggested for efficient data assimilation in air quality problems.

Fast Data Assimilation using Kernel Tridiagonal Sparse Matrix for Performance Improvement of Air Quality Forecasting (대기질 예보의 성능 향상을 위한 커널 삼중대각 희소행렬을 이용한 고속 자료동화)

  • Bae, Hyo Sik;Yu, Suk Hyun;Kwon, Hee Yong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2017
  • Data assimilation is an initializing method for air quality forecasting such as PM10. It is very important to enhance the forecasting accuracy. Optimal interpolation is one of the data assimilation techniques. It is very effective and widely used in air quality forecasting fields. The technique, however, requires too much memory space and long execution time. It makes the PM10 air quality forecasting difficult in real time. We propose a fast optimal interpolation data assimilation method for PM10 air quality forecasting using a new kernel tridiagonal sparse matrix and CUDA massively parallel processing architecture. Experimental results show the proposed method is 5~56 times faster than conventional ones.

The Effects of the Changed Initial Conditions on the Wind Fields Simulation According to the Objective Analysis Methods (객관분석기법에 의한 바람장 모의의 초기입력장 변화 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Yoo-Keun;Jeong, Ju-Hee;Bae, Joo-Hyun;Kwun, Ji-Hye;Seo, Jang-Won
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.759-774
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    • 2006
  • We employed two data assimilation techniques including MM5 Four Dimensional Data Asssimilation (FDDA) and Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) to find out the effects of the changed inetial conditions on the wind fields simulation according to the objective analysis methods. We designed 5 different modeling cases. EXP B used no data assimilation system. Both EXP Fl using surface observations and EXP F2 with surface and upper-air observations employed MM5 FDDA. EXP Ll using surface observations and EXP L2 with surface and upper-air observations used LAPS. As results of, simulated wind fields using MM5 FDDA showed locally characterized wind features due to objective analysis techniques in FDDA which is forcefully interpolating simulated results into observations. EXP Fl represented a large difference in comparison of wind speed with EXP B. In case of LAPS, simulated horizontal distribution of wind fields showed a good agreement with the patterns of initial condition and EXP Ll showed comparably lesser effects of data assimilation of surface observations than EXP Fl. When upper-air observations are applied to the simulations, while MM5 FDDA could hardly have important effects on the wind fields simulation and showed little differences with simulations with merely surface observations (EXP Fl), LAPS played a key role in simulating wind fields accurately and it could contribute to alleviate the over-estimated winds in EXP Ll simulations.

Data Assimilation of Real-time Air Quality Forecast using CUDA (CUDA를 이용한 실시간 대기질 예보 자료동화)

  • Bae, Hyo-Sik;Yu, Suk-Hyun;Kwon, Hee-Yong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.271-277
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    • 2017
  • As a result of rapid industrialization, air pollutants are seriously threatening the health of the people, the forecast is becoming more and more important. In forecasting air quality, it is very important to create a reliable initial field because the initial field input to the air quality forecasting model affects the accuracy of the forecast. There are several methods for enhancing the initial field input. One of the necessary techniques is data assimilation. The number of operations and the time required for such data assimilation is exponentially increased as the forecasting area is widened and the number of observation sites increases. Therefore, as the forecast size increases, it is difficult to apply the existing sequential processing method to a field requiring fast processing speed. In this paper, we propose a method that can process Cresman's method, which is one of the data assimilation techniques, in real time using CUDA. As a result, the proposed parallel processing method using CUDA improved at least 35 times faster than the conventional sequential method and other parallel processing methods.

Improving Satellite Derived Soil Moisture Data Using Data Assimilation Methods (자료동화 기법을 이용한 위성영상 추출 토양수분 자료 개선)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Ryu, Jeong Hoon;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.152-152
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    • 2018
  • Soil moisture is a important factor in hydrologic analysis. So, if we have spatially distributed soil moisture data, it can help to study much research in a various field. Recently, there are a lot of satellite derived soil moisture data, and it can be served through web freely. Especially, NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) launched the Soil Moisture Aperture Passive (SMAP) satellite for mapping global soil moisture on 31 January 2015. SMAP data have many advantages for study, for example, SMAP data has higher spatial resolution than other satellited derived data. However, becuase many satellited derived soil moisture data have a limitation to data accuracy, if we have ancillary materials for improving data accuracy, it can be used. So, in this study, after applying the alogorithm, which is data assimilation methods, applicability of satellite derived soil moisture data was analyzed. Among the various data assimilation methods, in this study, Model Output Statistics (MOS) technique was used for improving satellite derived soil moisture data. Model Output Statistics (MOS) is a type of statistical post-processing, a class of techniques used to improve numerical weather models' ability to forecast by relating model outputs to observational or additional model data.

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Comparison of Data Assimilation Methods in a Regional Ocean Circulation Model for the Yellow and East China Seas (자료동화 기법에 따른 황·동중국해 지역 해양순환모델 결과 비교)

  • Lee, Joon-Ho;Moon, Jae-Hong;Choi, Youngjin
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.179-194
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    • 2020
  • The present study aims to evaluate the effects of satellite-based SST (OSTIA) assimilation on a regional ocean circulation model for the Yellow and East China Seas (YECS), using three different assimilation methods: the Ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI), Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), and 4-Dimensional Variational (4DVAR) techniques, which are widely used in the ocean modeling communities. The model experiments show that an improved initial condition by assimilating the SST affects the seasonal water temperature and water mass distributions of the YECS. In particular, the SST data assimilation influences the temperature structures horizontally and vertically in winter, thereby improving the behavior of the YS warm current water. This is due to the fact that during wintertime the water column is well mixed, which is directly updated by the SST assimilation. The model comparisons indicate that the SST assimilation can improve the model performance in resolving the subsurface structures in wintertime, but has a relatively small impact in summertime due to the strong stratification. The differences among the different assimilation experiments are obvious when the SST was sharply changed due to a typhoon passage. Overall, the EnKF and 4DVAR show better agreement with the observations than the EnOI. The relatively low performance of EnOI under storm conditions may be related with a limitation of EnOI method whereby an analysis is obtained from a number of climatological fields, and thus the typhoon-induced SST changes in short-time scales may not be adequately reflected in the data assimilation.

Development of a software framework for sequential data assimilation and its applications in Japan

  • Noh, Seong-Jin;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Shiiba, Michiharu;Kim, Sun-Min;Yorozu, Kazuaki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2012
  • Data assimilation techniques have received growing attention due to their capability to improve prediction in various areas. Despite of their potentials, applicable software frameworks to probabilistic approaches and data assimilation are still limited because the most of hydrologic modelling software are based on a deterministic approach. In this study, we developed a hydrological modelling framework for sequential data assimilation, namely MPI-OHyMoS. MPI-OHyMoS allows user to develop his/her own element models and to easily build a total simulation system model for hydrological simulations. Unlike process-based modelling framework, this software framework benefits from its object-oriented feature to flexibly represent hydrological processes without any change of the main library. In this software framework, sequential data assimilation based on the particle filters is available for any hydrologic models considering various sources of uncertainty originated from input forcing, parameters and observations. The particle filters are a Bayesian learning process in which the propagation of all uncertainties is carried out by a suitable selection of randomly generated particles without any assumptions about the nature of the distributions. In MPI-OHyMoS, ensemble simulations are parallelized, which can take advantage of high performance computing (HPC) system. We applied this software framework for several catchments in Japan using a distributed hydrologic model. Uncertainty of model parameters and radar rainfall estimates is assessed simultaneously in sequential data assimilation.

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Air-Sea Heat Flux Estimation by Ocean Data Assimilation Using Satellite and TOGA/TAO Buoy Data

  • Awaji, Toshiyuki;Ishikawa, Yoichi;Iida, Masatora;In, Teiji
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 1999
  • A data assimilation system for a 1-dimensional mixed layer model has been constructed using the adjoint method. The classical adjoint method does not work well for the mixed layer variabilities due to the occurrence of spikes in the gradient of the cost function. To solve this problem, the two techniques of scaling the cost function and optimization in the frequency space are used. As a result, the heat flux can be reliably estimated with an accuracy of 8Wm$^{-2}$ rms error in the identical twin experiments. We then applied this system to the tropical Pacific TOGA-TAO buoy data. The air-sea heat flux as well as the mixed layer variability were estimated in close approximation to the buoy data, particularly on time scales longer than the seasonal one.

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Role of Supercomputers in Numerical Prediction of Weather and Climate (기상 및 기후의 수치예측에 대한 슈퍼컴퓨터의 역할)

  • Park, Seon-Ki
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2004
  • Progresses in numerical prediction of weather and climate have been in parallel with those of computing resources, especially the development of supercomputers. Advanced techniques in numerical modeling, computational schemes, and data assimilation cloud not have been practically achieved without the aid of supercomputers. With such techniques and computing powers, the accuracy of numerical forecasts has been tremendously improved. Supercomputers are also indispensible in constructing and executing the synthetic Earth system models. In this study, a brief overview on numerical weather / climate prediction, Earth system modeling, and the values of supercomputing is provided.

Development of Realtime Dam's Hydrologic Variables Prediction Model using Observed Data Assimilation and Reservoir Operation Techniques (관측자료 동화기법과 댐운영을 고려한 실시간 댐 수문량 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byong Ju;Jung, Il-Won;Jung, Hyun-Sook;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.7
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    • pp.755-765
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    • 2013
  • This study developed a real-time dam's hydrologic variables prediction model (DHVPM) and evaluated its performance for simulating historical dam inflow and outflow in the Chungju dam basin. The DHVPM consists of the Sejong University River Forecast (SURF) model for hydrologic modeling and an autoreservoir operation method (Auto ROM) for dam operation. SURF model is continuous rainfall-runoff model with data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique. The four extreme events including the maximum inflow of each year for 2006~2009 were selected to examine the performance of DHVPM. The statistical criteria, the relative error in peak flow, root mean square error, and model efficiency, demonstrated that DHVPM with data assimilation can simulate more close to observed inflow than those with no data assimilation at both 1-hour lead time, except the relative error in peak flow in 2007. Especially, DHVPM with data assimilation until 10-hour lead time reduced the biases of inflow forecast attributed to observed precipitation error. In conclusion, DHVPM with data assimilation can be useful to improve the accuracy of inflow forecast in the basin where real-time observed inflow are available.