• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.187-200
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• 2019

Bankruptcy prediction model is an issue that has consistently interested in various fields. Recently, as technology for dealing with unstructured data has been developed, researches applied to business model prediction through text mining have been activated, and studies using this method are also increasing in bankruptcy prediction. Especially, it is actively trying to improve bankruptcy prediction by analyzing news data dealing with the external environment of the corporation. However, there has been a lack of study on which news is effective in bankruptcy prediction in real-time mass-produced news. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the high impact news on bankruptcy prediction. Therefore, we classify news according to type, collection period, and analyzed the impact on bankruptcy prediction based on sentiment analysis. As a result, artificial neural network was most effective among the algorithms used, and commentary news type was most effective in bankruptcy prediction. Column and straight type news were also significant, but photo type news was not significant. In the news by collection period, news for 4 months before the bankruptcy was most effective in bankruptcy prediction. In this study, we propose a news classification methods for sentiment analysis that is effective for bankruptcy prediction model.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.11-25
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• 2024

The purpose of this study is to investigate the improvement of prediction performance and changes in variable importance in SEM-ANN two-stage analysis. 366 cosmetics repurchase-related survey data were analyzed and the results were presented. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, in SEM-ANN two-stage analysis, SEM and ANN models were trained with train data and predicted with test data, respectively, and the R² was showed. As a result, the prediction performance was doubled from SEM 0.3364 to ANN 0.6836. Looking at this degree of R² improvement as the effect size f² of Cohen (1988), it corresponds to a very large effect at 110%. Second, as a result of comparing changes in normalized variable importance through SEM-ANN two-stage analysis, variables with high importance in SEM were also found to have high importance in ANN, but variables with little or no importance in SEM became important in ANN. This study is meaningful in that it increased the validity of the comparison by using the same learning and evaluation method in the SEM-ANN two-stage analysis. This study is meaningful in that it compared the degree of improvement in prediction performance and the change in variable importance through SEM-ANN two-stage analysis.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.453-456
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• 2022

전력망의 역할은 안정적인 전력공급이 최우선이다. 예고 없는 불안정한 상황에 대한 여러 가지 대비에 대한 방안이 필요하다. 기상 데이터를 활용하여 탐구적 데이터 분석을 통한 피처 간의 관계를 파악하여 머신러닝 기반의 에너지 생산 예측 모형을 모델링한다. 본 연구에서는 주성분분석을 사용하여 에너지 생산 예측 시 영향을 미치는 피처를 추출하였으며 머신러닝 모델에 적용함으로써 예측 신뢰도를 높였다. 제안한 모형을 사용하여 특정 기간을 대상으로 생산 에너지를 예측하고 해당 시점의 실제 생산 값과 비교함으로써 주성분분석을 적용한 에너지 생산 예측에 대한 성능을 확인하였다.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권9호
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• pp.103-108
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• 2021

The emergence of new technologies and their implementation by different manufacturers of electronic devices are experiencing an ascending trend. Most of the time, these protocols are expected to reach a certain degree of maturity, and electronic equipment manufacturers use simplified communication standards and interfaces that have already reached maturity in terms of their development such as ModBUS, KNX or CAN. This paper proposes an IoT solution of the Smart Home type based on an Analysis and Prediction System. A data acquisition component was implemented and there was defined an algorithm for the analysis and prediction of actions based on the values collected from the data update component and the data logger records.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.115-120
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• 2012

In order to establish preventive maintenance standards through analysis & reliability prediction of about 60,000pcs of 20kindsof relays and contractors used for Seoul subway trains, several life prediction methodologies were applied. Firstly, Occurrence, Severity, Detection were defined and predicted by applying operation characteristic of EMU to the number of actions of relays & contactors which the manufacturers generally offer as the life cycle data. Secondly, failure distribution and average life of parts were analyzed through interpretation of field data based on a lot of experience which had built up in the field for a long time. Finally, using the 217PLUS standard as a reliability prediction program, comparative analysis of use reliability and inherent reliability was done through reliability prediction at the part level and system level.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.183-183
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• 2021

Deep learning methods and their application have become an essential part of prediction and modeling in water-related research areas, including hydrological processes, climate change, etc. It is known that application of deep learning leads to high availability of data sources in hydrology, which shows its usefulness in analysis of precipitation, runoff, groundwater level, evapotranspiration, and so on. However, there is still a limitation on microclimate analysis and prediction with deep learning methods because of deficiency of gauge-based data and shortcomings of existing technologies. In this study, a real-time rainfall prediction model was developed from a sky image data set with convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These daily image data were collected at Chung-Ang University and Korea University. For high accuracy of the proposed model, it considers data classification, image processing, ratio adjustment of no-rain data. Rainfall prediction data were compared with minutely rainfall data at rain gauge stations close to image sensors. It indicates that the proposed model could offer an interpolation of current rainfall observation system and have large potential to fill an observation gap. Information from small-scaled areas leads to advance in accurate weather forecasting and hydrological modeling at a micro scale.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.937-943
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• 2000

Data mining usually deal with undesigned massive data containing many variables for which their characteristics and association rules are unknown, therefore it is actually not easy to interpret the results of analysis. In this paper, it is shown that decision tree can be very useful in interpreting data mining prediction model using two real examples.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제38권12호
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• pp.103-112
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• 2022

본 연구에서는 시간-침하량 계측 데이터를 기반으로 한 기존 침하 예측 이론식을 확인하였다. 기존 계측 기반 침하 예측 이론식 중 쌍곡선법 및 Asaoka법이 정확도가 높게 나타났으며, 이외 방법은 정확도가 낮은 것으로 확인되었다. 이러한 분석 결과를 토대로 기존 침하 예측 방법의 한계점을 도출하였으며, 이러한 한계점을 보완할 수 있는 개선방안으로써 가중 비선형 회귀분석을 통한 침하 예측 방법을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.305-319
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• 2019

The prediction of the sum of container is very important in the field of container transport. Many influencing factors can affect the prediction results. These factors are usually composed of many variables, whose composition is often very complex. In this paper, we use gray relational analysis to set up a proper forecast index system for the prediction of the sum of containers in foreign trade. To address the issue of the low accuracy of the traditional prediction models and the problem of the difficulty of fully considering all the factors and other issues, this paper puts forward a prediction model which is combined with a back-propagation (BP) neural networks and the support vector machine (SVM). First, it gives the prediction with the data normalized by the BP neural network and generates a preliminary forecast data. Second, it employs SVM for the residual correction calculation for the results based on the preliminary data. The results of practical examples show that the overall relative error of the combined prediction model is no more than 1.5%, which is less than the relative error of the single prediction models. It is hoped that the research can provide a useful reference for the prediction of the sum of container and related studies.

• Architectural research
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2022

As the occurrence of a crime is dependent on different factors, their correlations are beyond the ordinary cognitive range. Owing to this limitation, systems face difficulty in correlating various factors, thereby requiring the assistance of artificial intelligence (AI) to overcome such limitations. Therefore, AI has become indispensable for crime prediction. Crimes can cause severe and irrevocable damage to a society. Recently, big data has been introduced for developing highly accurate models for crime prediction. Prediction of night crimes should be given significant consideration, because crimes primarily occur during nights, when the spatiotemporal characteristics become vulnerable to crimes. Many environmental factors that influence crime rate are applied for crime prediction, and their influence on crime rate may differ based on temporal characteristics and the nature of crime. This study aims to identify the environmental factors that influence sex and theft crimes occurring at night and proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict sex and theft crimes at night in random areas. The crime data of A district in Seoul for 12 years (2004-2015) was used, and environmental factors that influence sex and theft crimes were derived through multiple regression analysis. Two types of crime prediction models were developed: Type A using all environmental factors as input data; Type B with only the significant factors (obtained from regression analysis) as input data. The Type B model exhibited a greater accuracy than Type A, by 3.26 and 9.47 % higher for theft and sex crimes, respectively.